ThailandThailand
Thai League 1Thai League 1
Round 25

Rayong FC vs BG Pathum United Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Mar 2026
1-1
Full Time
Rayong Provincial Stadium, Rayong
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
BG Pathum United -0.25
@ 1.56
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

36%
26%
38%
Rayong FCDrawBG Pathum United
Match Result
BG Pathum United
38%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
53%
Double Chance
Home/Away
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.56
64%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
5 min read

As we look ahead to the exciting match between Rayong FC and BG Pathum United, one thing is clear – the atmosphere at Rayong Provincial Stadium is always electric. With its picturesque setting and passionate fans, this venue sets the perfect stage for a thrilling encounter. However, while Rayong FC ...

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Match Facts

Rayong FC
Rayong FC have conceded in each of their last 10 matches
Rayong FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches
Rayong FC have received 5 red cards in 26 matches this season
Rayong FC have scored all 4 penalties this season
Both teams scored in 12 of Rayong FC's last 15 matches (80%)
Rayong FC score 34% of their goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
BG Pathum United
BG Pathum United have kept 3 consecutive clean sheets
BG Pathum United are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches
BG Pathum United have received 3 red cards in 27 matches this season
BG Pathum United have scored all 3 penalties this season

Key Statistics

Rayong FC1
3Draws
4BG Pathum United
3.25Avg Goals
75%BTTS
38%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Rayong FC1-1BG Pathum United
9 Nov 2025BG Pathum United1-1Rayong FC
12 Jan 2025Rayong FC1-1BG Pathum United
16 Aug 2024BG Pathum United0-1Rayong FC
25 Feb 2021Rayong FC0-1BG Pathum United
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

The Charm of Rayong Provincial Stadium: A Tale of Two Teams

As we look ahead to the exciting match between Rayong FC and BG Pathum United, one thing is clear – the atmosphere at Rayong Provincial Stadium is always electric. With its picturesque setting and passionate fans, this venue sets the perfect stage for a thrilling encounter. However, while Rayong FC will be buoyed by the home crowd, BG Pathum United come into the game with a bit more momentum, thanks to their recent run of form.

Match Context and Significance

This matchup is crucial for both teams as they navigate the latter stages of the Thai League 1. Rayong FC, currently sitting in 8th place, will be eager to pick up points to improve their standing and maintain their chances for a higher finish. Meanwhile, BG Pathum United, in 5th place, aim to secure a top-four spot for the upcoming playoffs and will see this as an opportunity to gain some breathing room.

Recent Momentum

When looking at the teams’ form, it’s evident that BG Pathum United have been on a slightly better trajectory recently. They’ve managed to win three out of their last five matches, interspersed with a couple of draws and a loss. Conversely, Rayong FC has struggled a bit, with only one victory in their last five games, coupled with a pair of draws and losses. Despite this, both teams share a knack for scoring and conceding goals in almost equal measure, with neither showing a significant edge in defensive or offensive prowess.

Current State of Play

In terms of overall performance, BG Pathum United have the edge, having secured 39 points from 23 matches compared to Rayong FC’s 28 points from 22 matches. While Rayong FC has managed to keep things tight with four clean sheets, BG Pathum United have eight under their belt, demonstrating a stronger defensive record. However, the attacking flair remains comparable, with both teams averaging around 1.4 goals per game.

Tactical Preview

Rayong FC, employing a 4-3-3 formation, will likely focus on creating width and depth through their midfield and wings, aiming to catch BG Pathum United off guard with quick transitions. On the other hand, BG Pathum United’s 4-4-2 setup suggests they’ll be looking to dominate the center of the pitch and exploit gaps in the opposition’s defense with precise passing and movement.

Key Players to Watch

  • Stênio Júnior (Rayong FC): With six goals and four assists to his name, Stênio Júnior is the main man for Rayong FC. His ability to score and create opportunities will be pivotal.
  • S. Ratree (Rayong FC): Though he hasn’t found the back of the net as often as Stênio Júnior, S. Ratree provides a solid presence in midfield and can be a game-changer with his tactical awareness.
  • T. Doi (BG Pathum United): Leading the attack for BG Pathum United, T. Doi’s four goals make him a constant threat. His clinical finishing could prove decisive.
  • N. Sandokhadze (BG Pathum United): As a consistent scorer with three goals, N. Sandokhadze offers versatility and can break down defenses with his skillful runs.

Head-to-Head History

Looking back at recent encounters, BG Pathum United hold the upper hand, having won four out of the last seven meetings. These games have seen plenty of goals, with an average of 3.43 per match, indicating that both teams are capable of high-scoring affairs. However, there have been multiple draws as well, suggesting that the matches tend to be closely contested.

Betting Analysis

Let’s dive into the betting markets and see where the value lies:

  • Match Winner (1X2): The odds are set at 2.25 for a Rayong FC win, 3.3 for a draw, and 1.55 for a BG Pathum United win. Based on these odds, the implied probabilities are 31.9%, 21.8%, and 46.3%, respectively. Given BG Pathum United’s stronger form and recent performances, backing them seems sensible.
  • Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5): The over 2.5 goals market stands at 52% confidence, which aligns well with the historical data showing high-scoring matches. Therefore, betting on over 2.5 goals appears to be a solid choice.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): At 55% confidence, both teams scoring looks likely given their shared penchant for finding the back of the net.
  • Double Chance (12): With a 37% confidence level, the double chance of either Rayong FC or BG Pathum United winning is a cautious bet that acknowledges the closeness of the contest.

Predictions and Confidence Levels

Based on our analysis, we predict a close and competitive match with both teams showing their quality. Our confidence leans towards BG Pathum United coming out on top, but we also see potential for a draw due to Rayong FC’s strong home record. Therefore, our main prediction is for a BG Pathum United win with a confidence level of 45%. Additionally, we’re confident in seeing over 2.5 goals being scored and both teams finding the back of the net, with respective confidence levels of 52% and 55%.

Best Bets Summary

Considering the odds and historical trends, the best bets for this match are:

  • Match Winner: BG Pathum United to win at 1.55 odds
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals at 1.25 odds
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.33 odds

These selections offer excellent value and align well with the teams’ current form and historical performance. So, grab your tickets and get ready for a thrilling match at Rayong Provincial Stadium!

Additional Information

Rayong FCRayong FC

Top Scorers

Stênio Júnior
Stênio JúniorMidfielder
6Goals
S. Ratree
S. RatreeMidfielder
2Goals
A. Amornlertsak
A. AmornlertsakMidfielder
2Goals
Ryoma Ito
Ryoma ItoMidfielder
1Goals
S. Sontisawat
S. SontisawatMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Stênio Júnior
Stênio JúniorMidfielder
4Assists
Ryoma Ito
Ryoma ItoMidfielder
2Assists
J. Sattham
J. SatthamDefender
1Assists

Cards

Stênio Júnior
Stênio JúniorMidfielder
60
S. Sontisawat
S. SontisawatMidfielder
60
João Afonso
João AfonsoMidfielder
40
W. Phosririt
W. PhosriritDefender
30
K. Kullapha
K. KullaphaDefender
30
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United

Top Scorers

T. Doi
T. DoiAttacker
4Goals
N. Sandokhadze
N. SandokhadzeDefender
3Goals
Ikhsan Fandi
Ikhsan FandiAttacker
3Goals
C. Songkrasin
C. SongkrasinAttacker
1Goals
E. Panya
E. PanyaAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

K. Kaman
K. KamanMidfielder
3Assists
C. Songkrasin
C. SongkrasinAttacker
2Assists
E. Panya
E. PanyaAttacker
1Assists
Y. Takagi
Y. TakagiMidfielder
1Assists
G. Notsuda
G. NotsudaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

N. Sandokhadze
N. SandokhadzeDefender
40
T. Doi
T. DoiAttacker
30
K. Kaman
K. KamanMidfielder
30
C. Tongkiri
C. TongkiriMidfielder
30
E. Panya
E. PanyaAttacker
20

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Rayong FC
LLWDL
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.6
Win %10%
Goals/Game3.5
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg2.3
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

18 AprLat Uthai Thani1-4
5 AprLat Chonburi FC1-4
21 MarWvs Kanchanaburi2-1
14 MarDvs BG Pathum United1-1
7 MarLat Sukhothai FC1-2
BG Pathum United
WDWDD
10Played
5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.8
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

25 AprWvs Nakhon Ratchasima FC1-0
19 AprDat Port FC0-0
4 AprWat Kanchanaburi2-0
22 MarDvs Ratchaburi2-2
14 MarDat Rayong FC1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches8
Average Goals3.25
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals38%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Rayong FC91.13 per game
BG Pathum United172.13 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Rayong FC1 (13%)
BG Pathum United1 (13%)
14 Mar 2026Thai League 1Rayong FC1-1BG Pathum United
9 Nov 2025Thai League 1BG Pathum United1-1Rayong FC
12 Jan 2025Thai League 1Rayong FC1-1BG Pathum United
16 Aug 2024Thai League 1BG Pathum United0-1Rayong FC
25 Feb 2021Thai League 1Rayong FC0-1BG Pathum United
3 Oct 2020Thai League 1BG Pathum United2-1Rayong FC
30 Jun 2019Thai League 2Rayong FC2-4BG Pathum United
17 Feb 2019Thai League 2BG Pathum United7-2Rayong FC