Brazil
Serie ARound 26
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Sao PauloDrawAtletico-MG
Match Result
Atletico-MG
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Sao PauloSao Paulo have conceded in each of their last 9 matches
Both teams scored in 11 of Sao Paulo's last 15 matches (73%)
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG concede 43% of goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Key Statistics
38Draws
9
1.85Avg Goals
30%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
18 Mar 2026Atletico-MG1-0Sao Paulo
24 Aug 2025Sao Paulo2-0Atletico-MG
6 Apr 2025Atletico-MG0-0Sao Paulo
24 Nov 2024Sao Paulo2-2Atletico-MG
13 Sept 2024Atletico-MG0-0Sao Paulo
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
Our model predicts Atletico-MG with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG played?
Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG takes place on 5 Sept 2026 at Estadio Do MorumBIS.
Additional Information
Sao PauloTop Scorers
DanielzinhoMidfielder
1Goals
LucianoAttacker
1Goals
J. CalleriAttacker
1Goals
Top Assists
E. DíazDefender
1Assists
Lucas MouraAttacker
1Assists
Cards
A. FrancoDefender
10
Atletico-MGTop Scorers
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Goals
HulkAttacker
1Goals
Ruan TressoldiDefender
1Goals
DuduMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
Victor HugoMidfielder
1Assists
HulkAttacker
1Assists
Renan LodiDefender
1Assists
Cards
Renan LodiDefender
20
Ruan TressoldiDefender
10
A. FrancoDefender
10
Igor GomesMidfielder
10
AlexsanderMidfielder
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Sao PauloLLDLD
10Played
0Wins
4Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 0.4 |
| Win % | 0% |
| Goals/Game | 2.9 |
| Scored Avg | 1.1 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.8 |
| BTTS | 90% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
16 AugDvs Coritiba1-1
8 AugLat Gremio1-2
26 JulDat Flamengo1-1
23 JulLvs Atletico Paranaense1-2
31 MayLat Remo0-1
Atletico-MGWDWDW
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 1.9 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.1 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
16 AugWvs Gremio3-0
8 AugDat Remo2-2
4 AugWat Juventude1-0
1 AugDvs Juventude0-0
26 JulWat Palmeiras2-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 20 |
| Average Goals | 1.85 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 35% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 55% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 16 | 0.8 per game |
| Atletico-MG | 21 | 1.05 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 7 (35%) |
| Atletico-MG | 11 (55%) |
18 Mar 2026Serie AAtletico-MG1-0Sao Paulo
24 Aug 2025Serie ASao Paulo2-0Atletico-MG
6 Apr 2025Serie AAtletico-MG0-0Sao Paulo
24 Nov 2024Serie ASao Paulo2-2Atletico-MG
13 Sept 2024Copa Do BrasilAtletico-MG0-0Sao Paulo
29 Aug 2024Copa Do BrasilSao Paulo0-1Atletico-MG
12 Jul 2024Serie AAtletico-MG2-1Sao Paulo
3 Dec 2023Serie AAtletico-MG2-1Sao Paulo
6 Aug 2023Serie ASao Paulo0-2Atletico-MG
2 Nov 2022Serie ASao Paulo2-2Atletico-MG
10 Jul 2022Serie AAtletico-MG0-0Sao Paulo
26 Sept 2021Serie ASao Paulo0-0Atletico-MG
13 Jun 2021Serie AAtletico-MG1-0Sao Paulo
17 Dec 2020Serie ASao Paulo3-0Atletico-MG
3 Sept 2020Serie AAtletico-MG3-0Sao Paulo
27 Oct 2019Serie ASao Paulo2-0Atletico-MG
13 Jun 2019Serie AAtletico-MG1-1Sao Paulo
6 Sept 2018Serie AAtletico-MG1-0Sao Paulo
5 May 2018Serie ASao Paulo2-2Atletico-MG
12 Oct 2017Serie AAtletico-MG1-0Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo — Upcoming Predictions
Atletico-MG — Upcoming Predictions
Serie A — Predictions
FluminenseVS
Remo1X2
Home
65%
InternacionalVS
Atletico-MGO/U
Under 2.5
54%
CruzeiroVS
FlamengoAH
Away -0.25
71%
RB BragantinoVS
Gremio1X2
Home
56%
PalmeirasVS
Vasco DA Gama1X2
Home
61%
VitoriaVS
BahiaBTTS
BTTS Yes
55%
Chapecoense-scVS
Sao PauloAH
Away -0.25
76%
SantosVS
MirassolBTTS
BTTS Yes
54%
CoritibaVS
CorinthiansAH
Away -0.25
70%
BotafogoVS
Atletico ParanaenseO/U
Under 2.5
53%