England
ChampionshipRound 16
Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Our prediction: Draw (50%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
SouthamptonDrawDerby
Match Result
Southampton
50%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
23Draws
0
3Avg Goals
80%BTTS
60%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Southampton2-1Derby
4 Oct 2025Derby1-1Southampton
5 Jan 2019Derby2-2Southampton
18 Feb 2012Southampton4-0Derby
15 Oct 2011Derby1-1Southampton
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Southampton vs Derby?
Our model predicts Southampton with 50% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Southampton vs Derby have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (58% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Derby?
Both teams to score: Yes (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Southampton vs Derby?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 95% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Southampton vs Derby played?
Southampton vs Derby takes place on 21 Nov 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium.
Additional Information
SouthamptonTop Scorers
C. LarinAttacker
1Goals
Top Assists
Cameron BraggMidfielder
1Assists
Cards
C. LarinAttacker
10
J. BreeDefender
10
F. DownesMidfielder
10
DerbyTop Scorers
S. SzmodicsAttacker
1Goals
Top Assists
C. MorrisAttacker
1Assists
Cards
A. MowattMidfielder
10
R. BrewsterAttacker
10
S. LangåsDefender
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
SouthamptonWDWWD
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 2.1 |
| Win % | 60% |
| Goals/Game | 2.8 |
| Scored Avg | 1.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.9 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
3 NovDat West Brom1-1
31 OctWvs QPR4-1
24 OctWat West Ham3-2
17 OctDvs Bolton0-0
14 OctWat Norwich1-0
DerbyLDLLW
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 0.6 |
| Win % | 10% |
| Goals/Game | 2.9 |
| Scored Avg | 0.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 2 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
6 NovWvs Bolton3-1
3 NovLvs Norwich0-4
31 OctLat Millwall1-4
24 OctDat Sheffield Utd1-1
17 OctLvs Stoke City0-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 5 |
| Average Goals | 3 |
| BTTS | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 100% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 10 | 2 per game |
| Derby | 5 | 1 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Southampton | 1 (20%) |
| Derby | 0 (0%) |
11 Apr 2026ChampionshipSouthampton2-1Derby
4 Oct 2025ChampionshipDerby1-1Southampton
5 Jan 2019FA CupDerby2-2Southampton
18 Feb 2012ChampionshipSouthampton4-0Derby
15 Oct 2011ChampionshipDerby1-1Southampton
Southampton — Upcoming Predictions
Championship — Predictions
Bristol CityVS
NorwichAH
Away -0.25
66%
PortsmouthVS
Stoke CityO/U
Under 2.5
57%
WrexhamVS
WolvesAH
Away -0.25
73%
BirminghamVS
SwanseaBTTS
BTTS Yes
54%
BlackburnVS
West HamAH
Away -0.25
86%
CardiffVS
BurnleyBTTS
BTTS Yes
65%
CharltonVS
Sheffield UtdAH
Away -0.25
77%
PrestonVS
SouthamptonAH
Away -0.50
87%
QPRVS
Lincoln1X2
Home
58%
WatfordVS
MiddlesbroughAH
Away -0.50
88%