Stockholm Derby
Allsvenskan

Stockholm Derby Predictions — AIK Stockholm — Hammarby FF

Stockholm Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

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Head to Head (All-time · 24 matches)

11AIK Stockholm
5Draws
8Hammarby FF
Total matches24
Avg goals/match2.7
Goals37 - 27
BTTS %50%
Over 2.554%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — AIK Stockholm
3-0
AIK Stockholm — Hammarby FF · 20 Sept 20
Biggest Win — Hammarby FF
4-2
Hammarby FF — AIK Stockholm · 3 Sept 23
Highest Scoring Match
4-2
Hammarby FF — AIK Stockholm · 3 Sept 23
Longest Win Streaks
3 in a row
2 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
4 matches
4 matches

Most Common Scorelines

1-2
2-0
1-0
0-0
3-0
3-2

Goals by Time Period

7
0-15'
11
16-30'
11
31-45'
15
46-60'
7
61-75'
14
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1S. Larsson5
2N. Bahoui4
3N. Besara4
4V. Rodić3
5J. Guidetti3
6P. Dibba2
7A. Amoo2
8G. Ludwigson2
9N. Stefanelli2
10A. Fesshaie2

Venue Stats

At AIK Stockholm home
11P
7HW
3D
1AW
17-6Goals
At Hammarby FF home
13P
7HW
2D
4AW
21-20Goals

Results by Season

20262W0D0W5-3
20250W1D1W1-2
20241W0D1W2-2
20231W0D1W4-4
20220W2D1W6-7
20211W0D1W2-1
20202W0D1W7-3
20191W0D1W3-2
20182W0D0W2-0
20170W1D1W2-3
20161W1D0W3-0

Current Form

AIK Stockholm
LDLDW
1W 2D 2L · 6-9
L@ Halmstad1-2
Dvs Mjallby AIF1-1
Lvs Vasteras SK FK1-4
D@ Malmo FF0-0
Wvs Hammarby FF3-2
Hammarby FF
WWDLW
3W 1D 1L · 10-5
W@ Degerfors IF1-0
Wvs IF Brommapojkarna3-1
D@ Orgryte IS1-1
L@ AIK Stockholm2-3
W@ Stockholm Internazionale3-0

Upcoming Fixtures

AIK Stockholm
10 Oct 26AIK Stockholm — IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
18 Oct 26AIK Stockholm — IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
25 Oct 26Sirius — AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
28 Oct 26AIK Stockholm — IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
1 Nov 26Gais — AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
Hammarby FF
11 Oct 26Hammarby FF — Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
18 Oct 26Halmstad — Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
25 Oct 26Mjallby AIF — Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
28 Oct 26Hammarby FF — SiriusAllsvenskan
1 Nov 26Malmo FF — Hammarby FFAllsvenskan

League Standings

Hammarby FF#2
43Pts
13W
4D
5L
49-20Goals
WWDLW
AIK Stockholm#8
33Pts
9W
6D
7L
31-34Goals
LDLDW

Recent Meetings

30 Aug 26AIK Stockholm3 - 2Hammarby FF
24 May 26Hammarby FF1 - 2AIK Stockholm
19 Oct 25Hammarby FF2 - 1AIK Stockholm
18 May 25AIK Stockholm0 - 0Hammarby FF
29 Sept 24AIK Stockholm1 - 0Hammarby FF
19 May 24Hammarby FF2 - 1AIK Stockholm
3 Sept 23Hammarby FF4 - 2AIK Stockholm
16 Apr 23AIK Stockholm2 - 0Hammarby FF
13 Mar 23Hammarby FF2 - 1AIK Stockholm
28 Aug 22AIK Stockholm2 - 2Hammarby FF
15 May 22Hammarby FF3 - 3AIK Stockholm
17 Oct 21Hammarby FF1 - 0AIK Stockholm
25 Apr 21AIK Stockholm2 - 0Hammarby FF
7 Mar 21Hammarby FF3 - 2AIK Stockholm
20 Sept 20AIK Stockholm3 - 0Hammarby FF
21 Jun 20Hammarby FF0 - 2AIK Stockholm
22 Sept 19Hammarby FF2 - 1AIK Stockholm
2 Jun 19AIK Stockholm2 - 0Hammarby FF
23 Sept 18AIK Stockholm1 - 0Hammarby FF
20 May 18Hammarby FF0 - 1AIK Stockholm
AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF Predictions & Stats

Stockholm Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

The Stockholm Derby: A Tale of Two Philosophies

When two of Sweden's most storied clubs lock horns in the capital, the city's football pulse quickens. The Stockholm Derby between AIK Stockholm and Hammarby FF represents a collision of identities, histories, and ambitions that transcends the ordinary matchday experience. This fixture has become one of Swedish football's defining spectacles, drawing attention far beyond Allsvenskan's borders with its intensity, passion, and unpredictability.

The head-to-head record over recent years tells a story of remarkable parity. Across 23 competitive encounters, AIK have secured ten victories while Hammarby have claimed eight, with five matches ending in draws. The goal aggregate of 34-25 in AIK's favour hints at a slight attacking edge, though the average of 2.6 goals per match and a 52% rate of over 2.5 goals suggests these contests tend to be tightly contested rather than free-scoring exhibitions. The most common result has been a 1-2 away win, occurring five times, followed by 2-0 victories for AIK in four instances. Notably, Hammarby's heaviest recent victory came in September 2023 with a 4-2 triumph, while AIK's standout result was a commanding 3-0 home win in September 2020.

Both clubs arrive at this encounter in encouraging form. AIK have collected three wins from their last five outings alongside one draw and one defeat, scoring ten goals while conceding seven. Hammarby mirror that win-draw-loss ratio but with a far more miserly defensive record, shipping just one goal across the same five-match sample while finding the net nine times. In the current Allsvenskan table, Hammarby occupy second place with 36 points from 18 matches, holding a comfortable cushion over AIK in fifth on 28 points. The eight-point gap means this derby carries substantial implications for European qualification ambitions, with both sides seeking to cement their positions among Sweden's elite.

The venue factor adds another layer to this tactical puzzle. AIK's home record shows ten matches with six wins, three draws, and a solitary defeat, conceding just four goals in the process—a defensive resilience that has made their Tele2 Arena a formidable fortress. Hammarby's home record spans 13 matches with seven wins, two draws, and four defeats, though they have been far more permissive defensively, shipping 20 goals. These contrasting approaches—one built on defensive solidity, the other on attacking ambition—have defined their seasons and set the stage for what promises to be a compelling tactical battle.

A Rivalry Defined by Fine Margins

Head-to-Head: A Decade of Competitive Parity

Across the most recent chapter of the Stockholm Derby, approximately the last decade and a half of competitive encounters, AIK Stockholm and Hammarby FF have produced one of Swedish football's most evenly contested rivalries. Of 23 Allsvenskan meetings during this period, AIK have secured ten victories while Hammarby have claimed eight, with the remaining five ending all square. The aggregate goal tally of 34-25 in AIK's favour suggests a modest but persistent edge, yet the margin is far narrower than a simple win-loss record implies.

The frequency of tight scorelines tells its own story. The 1-2 result has materialized five times, 2-0 has appeared on four occasions, and 1-0 on three. Low-scoring affairs have dominated this matchup, with over 2.5 goals landing in just over half of all meetings and both teams scoring in under half. When the two sides face off, they tend to produce tightly contested encounters where a single moment of quality often decides the outcome. The data reveals no comfortable rub-of-the-green for either club over the long term.

Eras of Dominance: Shifting Fortunes

The seasonal breakdown across recent years illustrates how the pendulum has swung between these clubs. The 2020 season marked an AIK purple patch, with AIK taking both meetings that year and recording their biggest win of the dataset, a commanding 3-0 victory. That season represented their most dominant recent period against Hammarby, establishing a winning habit that carried into 2021 and 2022 with continued competitive results.

Hammarby answered back emphatically in 2023, delivering the statement result of the dataset with a 4-2 victory — their largest win and the highest-scoring match recorded. That result interrupted AIK's momentum and signalled a shift in fortunes. The 2022 and 2023 seasons saw Hammarby accumulate results, including memorable away performances, that tightened their grip on the head-to-head record. The 2024 season split evenly once more, suggesting the rivalry has settled into a pattern where neither side can sustain prolonged dominance.

Home and Away: The Venue Factor

Location has played a measurable role in determining outcomes. At AIK's home ground, the hosting side have accumulated six wins from ten meetings alongside three draws and just one defeat, with goals flowing freely in their favour (14 scored, 4 conceded). This represents a significant fortress effect — AIK have been extraordinarily difficult to beat on their own patch in this fixture. In contrast, Hammarby's home record shows seven wins from thirteen attempts but with four defeats and a considerably leakier defensive record (21 goals conceded), suggesting their supporters have witnessed more entertaining but less reliable fare.

Goal Timings and Key Contributors

The timing of goals across these matches follows a distinct pattern. The 46-60 minute window has proven the most prolific period for scoring, with fifteen goals falling within that quarter-hour spell. The first half's 16-30 and 31-45 minute brackets each produced ten goals, while the final quarter — 76-90 minutes — saw thirteen goals arrive, indicating that matches are frequently settled late as tired legs and tactical decisions create openings. Goals before the quarter-hour mark remain rarer, suggesting both sets of players take a measured approach to opening exchanges.

Among the individual performers shaping these encounters, Sebastian Larsson has been AIK's most reliable source of goals in this fixture with five strikes. Nabil Bahoui has added four goals during his involvement. For Hammarby, the attacking burden has been shared more broadly, with both Nabil Besara and Viktor Rodić contributing four and three goals respectively, illustrating a distributed scoring threat. Former striker John Guidetti also features in the dataset with three goals against Hammarby during his AIK career. The names at the top of the scoring charts reflect players capable of turning tight matches through moments of individual quality — precisely the kind of clinical edge this fixture demands.

Iconic Moments in the Stockholm Derby

Hammarby FF 4-2 AIK Stockholm (September 2023)

The most explosive encounter in recent derby history produced a nine-goal thriller that remains unmatched in intensity. Hammarby dismantled AIK with their most commanding performance of the decade, converting four chances against a defensive unit that struggled to contain the attacking waves. This result represented the largest margin of victory for either side during this period, and the six-goal aggregate demonstrated how freely both clubs approach this fixture when momentum shifts decisively. AIK's two goals masked a difficult afternoon, as Hammarby controlled proceedings after establishing an early advantage that their opponents never recovered from.

AIK Stockholm 3-0 Hammarby FF (September 2020)

AIK delivered their most authoritative statement in the rivalry with a dominant three-goal victory that exposed Hammarby's defensive vulnerabilities on the day. The result stood as the largest winning margin for AIK throughout this entire dataset, a testament to their tactical precision and clinical efficiency in front of goal. Hammarby found themselves outmatched across all phases of play, unable to generate the attacking momentum that typically characterizes their derby performances. This victory reminded supporters of both clubs that even during periods of Hammarby ascendancy, AIK retains the capacity to produce emphatic responses in this heated matchup.

AIK Stockholm 1-0 Hammarby FF (September 2024)

A tight, cagey affair saw AIK claim maximum points through a single decisive moment, exemplifying how margins in this rivalry often prove razor-thin. Both sides prioritized defensive solidity over expansive football, resulting in limited clear-cut opportunities and heightened tension throughout. The match underscored that derby encounters rarely follow expected patterns, with AIK's solitary strike proving sufficient to secure all three points against a Hammarby side unable to break down a well-organized opponent. This result demonstrated AIK's ability to grind out narrow victories when their attacking play fails to function optimally.

Hammarby FF 3-3 AIK Stockholm (May 2022)

An absolute spectacle unfolded as both clubs traded goals in a pulsating encounter that perfectly captured the drama inherent to this rivalry. Neither side managed to establish a winning position, with momentum constantly shifting between the dugouts and three lead changes occurring throughout the ninety minutes. The six-goal affair matched the highest-scoring derby within this dataset, ensuring it would remain etched in the memory of supporters who witnessed the end-to-end nature of the contest. Such draws typify the unpredictability of the Stockholm Derby, where defensive caution frequently gives way to breathtaking attacking exchanges.

AIK Stockholm 2-0 Hammarby FF (April 2023)

AIK asserted their authority early in the season with a controlled victory that prevented Hammarby from building sustained momentum in their derby encounters. The two-goal margin reflected AIK's dominance rather than the closeness of the contest, as they managed the game effectively after establishing their advantage. This result held particular significance given the fixture's timing early in the campaign, establishing psychological momentum for AIK heading into subsequent meetings. Hammarby's inability to respond exposed limitations in their tactical approach on the day, providing AIK with a blueprint for future success against their fiercest rivals.

Key Players

AIK Stockholm's Attacking Threats

AIK Stockholm's most prolific derby performer in recent history has been S. Larsson, whose five goals against Hammarby FF demonstrate his clinical edge in the biggest matches. Larsson's ability to deliver under pressure makes him the primary threat whenever these sides meet. N. Bahoui follows closely with four goals, showcasing his capacity to turn tight encounters in AIK's favour through individual brilliance.

J. Guidetti, with three goals in this fixture, represents another dangerous option in AIK's forward line. His experience in high-stakes matches adds valuable depth to the squad's attacking options. The data reveals that AIK's derby goals tend to come from multiple sources rather than relying on a single marksman, creating a multi-dimensional attacking threat that opponents struggle to neutralise completely.

Hammarby FF's Goal Scorers

Among current Hammarby FF squad members, N. Besara stands out as the most prolific derby scorer with four goals against AIK Stockholm. His consistency in finding the net in these high-pressure fixtures makes him an essential figure in any tactical planning. P. Dibba and G. Ludwigson have each contributed two goals in recent derby encounters, providing supplementary firepower that keeps opposition defenders honest.

Former players also feature prominently in Hammarby's derby scoring history. V. Rodić accumulated three goals during his spell at the club, while A. Amoo scored twice during his time with Hammarby. These historical contributions highlight the club's tradition of producing players capable of delivering in this rivalry, even if they no longer feature in the current squad.

The statistical picture suggests a relatively balanced attacking threat between the clubs in recent derbies, with both sides possessing players capable of deciding tight encounters. The presence of multiple goal sources on each team means that opposing defences cannot simply focus on shutting down a single player, adding tactical complexity to how managers approach these fixtures.

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