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Round 38

Stoke City vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

Stoke City

Stoke City

16th48 pts
14 Mar 2026
15:00
Watford

Watford

9th52 pts
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.73
55%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

37%
26%
37%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
Match Result
Home Win
@ 2.31
37%
Total Goals
Best Value
Under 2.5
@ 1.73
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
@ 1.82
51%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.32
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.25
@ 2.20
45%
Half Time
Draw
@ 1.99
44%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.80
17.2%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.77
52.4%
Total Cards
Over 3.5
@ 1.36
66.1%
Anytime Goalscorer
Amin Nabizada
32.3%@ 3.10
Milan Smit
30.8%@ 3.25
Jack Grieves
30.8%@ 3.25
Luca Kjerrumgaard
28.6%@ 3.50
Lamine Cisse
28.6%@ 3.50
Million Manhoef
28.6%@ 3.50
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Stoke City
Stoke City have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
Stoke City have received 3 red cards in 35 matches this season
S. Thomas has been involved in 15 goals (9G + 6A)
Stoke City failed to score in 13 of 35 matches (37%)
Watford
Watford have received 3 red cards in 35 matches this season

Key Statistics

Stoke City5
3Draws
7Watford
2Avg Goals
27%BTTS
33%Over 2.5
20 Dec 2025Watford1-0Stoke City
1 Mar 2025Stoke City0-0Watford
17 Aug 2024Watford3-0Stoke City
29 Dec 2023Watford1-1Stoke City
19 Aug 2023Stoke City1-0Watford
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.853.201.85
188Bet2.593.352.53
1xBet2.663.182.62

Additional Information

Stoke CityStoke City

Top Scorers

S. Thomas
S. ThomasMidfielder
9Goals
M. Manhoef
M. ManhoefMidfielder
5Goals
D. Mubama
D. MubamaAttacker
5Goals
L. Baker
L. BakerMidfielder
4Goals
Bae Jun-Ho
Bae Jun-HoMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

S. Thomas
S. ThomasMidfielder
6Assists
Bae Jun-Ho
Bae Jun-HoMidfielder
3Assists
M. Manhoef
M. ManhoefMidfielder
2Assists
L. Cissé
L. CisséAttacker
2Assists
A. Cresswell
A. CresswellDefender
2Assists

Cards

J. Tchamadeu
J. TchamadeuDefender
100
B. Pearson
B. PearsonMidfielder
81
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal
Mohammed Olabosun LawalDefender
60
S. Thomas
S. ThomasMidfielder
50
A. Phillips
A. PhillipsDefender
50
WatfordWatford

Top Scorers

L. Kjerrumgaard
L. KjerrumgaardAttacker
7Goals
I. Louza
I. LouzaMidfielder
6Goals
M. Doumbia
M. DoumbiaAttacker
4Goals
T. Ince
T. InceMidfielder
4Goals
Vivaldo Semedo
Vivaldo SemedoAttacker
3Goals

Top Assists

I. Louza
I. LouzaMidfielder
6Assists
J. Ngakia
J. NgakiaDefender
4Assists
N. Irankunda
N. IrankundaAttacker
3Assists
R. Vata
R. VataAttacker
2Assists
M. Bola
M. BolaDefender
2Assists

Cards

N. Irankunda
N. IrankundaAttacker
71
H. Kyprianou
H. KyprianouMidfielder
80
I. Louza
I. LouzaMidfielder
61
M. Pollock
M. PollockDefender
50
K. Baah
K. BaahAttacker
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Stoke City
DLLWD
10Played
1Wins
4Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.7
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.6
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

10 MarDvs Ipswich3-3
7 MarLat Swansea0-2
28 FebLat Coventry1-2
25 FebWvs Oxford United2-1
21 FebDvs Leicester2-2
Watford
DWLWD
10Played
2Wins
5Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

10 MarDat Sheffield Wednesday1-1
27 FebWat Bristol City2-1
24 FebLvs Ipswich0-2
21 FebWvs Derby2-0
14 FebDat Preston2-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches15
Average Goals2
BTTS27%
Over 2.5 Goals33%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Stoke City110.73 per game
Watford191.27 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Stoke City6 (40%)
Watford7 (47%)
20 Dec 2025ChampionshipWatford1-0Stoke City
1 Mar 2025ChampionshipStoke City0-0Watford
17 Aug 2024ChampionshipWatford3-0Stoke City
29 Dec 2023ChampionshipWatford1-1Stoke City
19 Aug 2023ChampionshipStoke City1-0Watford
8 May 2023ChampionshipWatford2-0Stoke City
2 Oct 2022ChampionshipStoke City0-4Watford
22 Jan 2021ChampionshipStoke City1-2Watford
4 Nov 2020ChampionshipWatford3-2Stoke City
31 Jan 2018Premier LeagueStoke City0-0Watford
28 Oct 2017Premier LeagueWatford0-1Stoke City
3 Jan 2017Premier LeagueStoke City2-0Watford
27 Nov 2016Premier LeagueWatford0-1Stoke City
19 Mar 2016Premier LeagueWatford1-2Stoke City
24 Oct 2015Premier LeagueStoke City0-2Watford