Mexico

Liga MX

Round 17

Toluca vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips

Toluca

4th26 pts

26 Apr 2026

01:00

Leon

8th19 pts

Best Bet

Our #1 Pick

Double Chance

Home/Draw

90%

Confidence

Betting Tips

45%

45%

10%

TolucaDrawLeon

Match Result

Toluca

45%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

56%

Both Teams Score

Yes

58%

Double Chance

Home/Draw

90%

Odds updated hourly from bookmakers

Predictions recalculated every 2 hours

Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Match Facts

Toluca

Toluca have scored all 7 penalties this season

Toluca have received 5 red cards in 36 matches this season

Paulinho has been involved in 17 goals (15G + 2A)

Leon

Leon have scored all 6 penalties this season

Leon have received 4 red cards in 29 matches this season

Leon have won just 2 of 15 away matches this season

Leon have lost 6 of 14 home matches (43%)

Leon failed to score in 11 of 29 matches (38%)

Leon scored in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches (67%)

Key Statistics

5

7Draws

6

3.5Avg Goals

67%BTTS

72%Over 2.5

5 Oct 2025Leon2-4Toluca

9 Feb 2025Leon3-3Toluca

2 Nov 2024Toluca2-2Leon

3 Feb 2024Toluca4-1Leon

21 Oct 2023Leon1-0Toluca

View all H2H matches

vs

47%

Form

53%

62%

Attack

38%

60%

Defense

40%

86%

Poisson

14%

62%

H2H

38%

59%

Goals

41%

62%

Overall

37%

Toluca

WLDWD

2.3Scored/G

1.1Conceded/G

30%CS

60%BTTS

Leon

WWWLL

1.1Scored/G

1.8Conceded/G

20%CS

40%BTTS

View detailed form

Additional Information

Toluca

Top Scorers

PaulinhoAttacker

15Goals

HelinhoAttacker

8Goals

J. AnguloMidfielder

5Goals

A. VegaMidfielder

4Goals

J. GallardoDefender

4Goals

Top Assists

A. VegaMidfielder

9Assists

N. CastroMidfielder

8Assists

HelinhoAttacker

4Assists

J. AnguloMidfielder

4Assists

R. MoralesAttacker

3Assists

Cards

J. GallardoDefender

100

F. PereiraDefender

70

M. RuizMidfielder

60

D. BarbosaDefender

60

HelinhoAttacker

40

Leon

Top Scorers

I. DíazAttacker

6Goals

J. RodríguezMidfielder

3Goals

J. AlvaradoMidfielder

2Goals

D. CambindoAttacker

2Goals

I. MorenoMidfielder

1Goals

Top Assists

I. MorenoMidfielder

3Assists

J. RodríguezMidfielder

2Assists

F. BeltránMidfielder

2Assists

S. ReyesDefender

2Assists

I. DíazAttacker

1Assists

Cards

S. BarreiroDefender

70

R. EcheverríaMidfielder

60

N. FonsecaMidfielder

50

J. CortizoMidfielder

40

F. BeltránMidfielder

30

Toluca

No injuries reported

Leon

No injuries reported

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	14	10	1	3	28	17	+11	31
2	Pachuca	14	8	4	2	19	12	+7	28
3	Cruz Azul	13	8	3	2	24	14	+10	27
4	Toluca	13	7	5	1	19	8	+11	26
5	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	13	6	6	1	23	14	+9	24
6	Tigres UANL	14	6	2	6	22	16	+6	20
7	Atlas	14	5	4	5	14	18	-4	19
8	Leon	14	6	1	7	16	24	-8	19
9	Club America	13	5	3	5	14	12	+2	18
10	Club Tijuana	14	4	6	4	15	15	0	18
11	FC Juarez	14	4	4	6	21	24	-3	16
12	Necaxa	14	5	1	8	17	20	-3	16
13	Monterrey	14	4	3	7	19	17	+2	15
14	Club Queretaro	14	3	6	5	13	18	-5	15
15	Atletico San Luis	13	4	2	7	20	22	-2	14
16	Puebla	14	3	4	7	11	17	-6	13
17	Mazatlán	13	3	2	8	15	25	-10	11
18	Santos Laguna	14	2	3	9	16	33	-17	9

Champions League

Europa League

Conference League

Relegation

Toluca

Leon

Toluca

70Goals Scored

32Goals Conceded

1.9Goals/Match

13Clean Sheets

9Failed to Score

4-2-3-1Formation

80Yellow Cards

5Red Cards

7/7Penalties

Leon

27Goals Scored

55Goals Conceded

0.9Goals/Match

4Clean Sheets

11Failed to Score

4-2-3-1Formation

68Yellow Cards

4Red Cards

6/6Penalties

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Toluca

WLDWD

10Played

6Wins

2Draws

2Losses

Points/Game	2
Win %	60%
Goals/Game	3.4
Scored Avg	2.3
Conceded Avg	1.1
BTTS	60%
Clean Sheets	30%
Failed to Score	10%

Recent Matches

9 AprWvs Los Angeles Galaxy4-2

4 AprLat Club Queretaro0-1

22 MarDat Pachuca1-1

19 MarWvs San Diego4-0

15 MarDvs Atlas1-1

Leon

WWWLL

10Played

5Wins

0Draws

5Losses

Points/Game	1.5
Win %	50%
Goals/Game	2.9
Scored Avg	1.1
Conceded Avg	1.8
BTTS	40%
Clean Sheets	20%
Failed to Score	40%

Recent Matches

11 AprWat Puebla1-0

5 AprWvs Atlas2-0

22 MarWat Atletico San Luis2-1

19 MarLat Guadalajara Chivas0-5

15 MarLvs Club Tijuana0-3

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

Metric	Value
Total Matches	18
Average Goals	3.5
BTTS	67%
Over 2.5 Goals	72%
Over 1.5 Goals	78%

Goals by Team

Team	Total	Average
Toluca	30	1.67 per game
Leon	33	1.83 per game

Clean Sheets

Team	Clean Sheets
Toluca	3 (17%)
Leon	5 (28%)

5 Oct 2025Liga MXLeon2-4Toluca

9 Feb 2025Liga MXLeon3-3Toluca

2 Nov 2024Liga MXToluca2-2Leon

3 Feb 2024Liga MXToluca4-1Leon

21 Oct 2023Liga MXLeon1-0Toluca

29 Jan 2023Liga MXToluca0-0Leon

27 Jul 2022Liga MXLeon0-1Toluca

2 May 2022Liga MXLeon4-4Toluca

31 Oct 2021Liga MXToluca0-0Leon

5 Apr 2021Liga MXLeon2-1Toluca

8 Nov 2020Liga MXToluca2-2Leon

10 Nov 2019Liga MXLeon4-0Toluca

17 Feb 2019Liga MXLeon3-0Toluca

26 Aug 2018Liga MXToluca1-2Leon

14 Jan 2018Liga MXLeon3-1Toluca

30 Jul 2017Liga MXToluca3-1Leon

19 Mar 2017Liga MXLeon2-3Toluca

25 Sept 2016Liga MXToluca1-1Leon