Mexico
Liga MXRound 16
Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca
Our prediction: Draw (35%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
TolucaDrawMonterrey
Match Result
Toluca
35%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams Score
Yes
65%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
74Draws
7
2.83Avg Goals
61%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
11 Jan 2026Monterrey0-1Toluca
7 Dec 2025Toluca3-2Monterrey
4 Dec 2025Monterrey1-0Toluca
25 Sept 2025Toluca6-2Monterrey
11 May 2025Toluca2-1Monterrey
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Toluca vs Monterrey?
Our model predicts Toluca with 35% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Toluca vs Monterrey have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (63% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Toluca vs Monterrey?
Both teams to score: Yes (65% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Toluca vs Monterrey?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 70% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Toluca vs Monterrey played?
Toluca vs Monterrey takes place on 8 Nov 2026 at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 16 | +16 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 23 | |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 22 | |
| 6 |  Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 21 | |
| 7 | Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 20 | |
| 8 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 | |
| 11 |  Club Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 17 | |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 | |
| 13 |  Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 | |
| 14 |  Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 | |
| 15 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 | |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 13 | |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 | |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 5 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
TolucaLDLDD
10Played
4Wins
4Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 3.7 |
| Scored Avg | 2.2 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.5 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
22 OctDvs Club Tijuana2-2
18 OctDvs Atletico San Luis1-1
10 OctLat Tigres UANL2-3
26 SeptDat Cruz Azul3-3
21 SeptLvs Santos Laguna2-3
MonterreyWLDWW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.7 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 3.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
22 OctWat Puebla4-1
19 OctWvs CF Pachuca2-1
11 OctDat Club America1-1
26 SeptLat Atlante FC2-4
20 SeptWvs Cruz Azul1-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 18 |
| Average Goals | 2.83 |
| BTTS | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 26 | 1.44 per game |
| Monterrey | 25 | 1.39 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Toluca | 4 (22%) |
| Monterrey | 4 (22%) |
11 Jan 2026Liga MXMonterrey0-1Toluca
7 Dec 2025Liga MXToluca3-2Monterrey
4 Dec 2025Liga MXMonterrey1-0Toluca
25 Sept 2025Liga MXToluca6-2Monterrey
11 May 2025Liga MXToluca2-1Monterrey
8 May 2025Liga MXMonterrey3-2Toluca
19 Jan 2025Liga MXToluca1-1Monterrey
1 Sept 2024Liga MXMonterrey1-2Toluca
19 Feb 2024Liga MXMonterrey0-0Toluca
31 Aug 2023Liga MXToluca1-0Monterrey
6 Feb 2023Liga MXMonterrey2-1Toluca
18 Aug 2022Liga MXToluca1-1Monterrey
7 Apr 2022Liga MXToluca2-2Monterrey
23 Sept 2021Liga MXMonterrey2-0Toluca
11 Apr 2021Liga MXToluca1-2Monterrey
29 Jul 2020Liga MXMonterrey3-1Toluca
29 Feb 2020Liga MXToluca2-0Monterrey
18 Aug 2019Liga MXMonterrey2-0Toluca
Toluca — Upcoming Predictions
Monterrey — Upcoming Predictions
Liga MX — Predictions
MonterreyVS
Guadalajara ChivasBTTS
BTTS Yes
56%
U.N.A.M. - PumasVS
Tigres UANLBTTS
BTTS Yes
58%
AtlasVS
Puebla1X2
Home
56%
Club QueretaroVS
Cruz AzulAH
Away -0.25
76%
Club AmericaVS
CF Pachuca1X2
Home
61%
Club TijuanaVS
Santos LagunaBTTS
BTTS Yes
59%
Club AmericaVS
Club Tijuana1X2
Home
60%
Atletico San LuisVS
AtlasDC
DC X2
90%
FC JuarezVS
Club QueretaroDC
DC X2
95%
PueblaVS
U.N.A.M. - PumasDC
DC X2
90%