FranceFrance
Coupe de FranceCoupe de France
Round 16

Toulouse vs Amiens Prediction & Betting Tips

4 Feb 2026
1-0
Full Time
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.20
1 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

74%
16%
10%
ToulouseDrawAmiens
Match Result
Home Win
@ 1.20
72%
Both Teams to Score
No
@ 1.70
54%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.05
45%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.75
@ 2.00
50%
Half Time
Home Win
@ 1.65
52%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 1.67
59.9%
Correct Score
3:0
@ 6.50
15.4%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.87
50.0%
Total Cards
Under 3.5
@ 1.78
52.5%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Pierre Dubois
Pierre Dubois French Football Analyst
73.4% 11+ yrs
7 min read

Comprehensive Preview & Betting Analysis: Toulouse vs Amiens - Coupe de France Clash Match Overview On Wednesday, February 4, 2026, Toulouse will host Amiens at the Stadium de Toulouse in a pivotal fixture of the Coupe de France. As one of France’s m...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Toulouse
Amiens
Amiens score 85% of their goals in the first half
Amiens have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches (60%)
Amiens average 2.6 goals per game this season (13 in 5)
Amiens score 23% of their goals in the first 15 minutes (3 goals)

Key Statistics

Toulouse6
4Draws
1Amiens
1.36Avg Goals
0%BTTS
18%Over 2.5
4 Feb 2026Toulouse1-0Amiens
15 Mar 2022Toulouse6-0Amiens
2 Oct 2021Amiens0-0Toulouse
27 Feb 2021Toulouse3-0Amiens
2 Nov 2020Amiens0-1Toulouse
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet1.055.608.00
188Bet1.275.409.30
1xBet1.275.659.65

Full Match Analysis

Pierre Dubois
Pierre Dubois
French Football Analyst
73.4% Accuracy
11+ Years Experience
2k Predictions

Comprehensive Preview & Betting Analysis: Toulouse vs Amiens - Coupe de France Clash

Match Overview

On Wednesday, February 4, 2026, Toulouse will host Amiens at the Stadium de Toulouse in a pivotal fixture of the Coupe de France. As one of France’s most storied domestic cup competitions, the Coupe de France often produces unpredictable results, especially in knockout stages where form, tactics, and individual brilliance can tilt the balance. Toulouse, aiming to leverage their home advantage, face Amiens in what promises to be a competitive encounter, with both sides eager to progress further in the tournament.

This match carries significant importance for both teams. Toulouse, possessing a solid recent record, seeks to capitalize on cup success to bolster morale and perhaps secure a rare trophy. Amiens, despite a mixed league form, will look to upset the odds and advance, adding an extra layer of excitement to this midweek fixture.

Form Analysis

Toulouse: Recent Performance & Momentum

Over their last five matches, Toulouse have demonstrated a commendable level of consistency, recording a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with notable performances on both ends of the pitch. Their recent form reads as DWWLW, indicating resilience and the ability to grind out results. Statistically, they average 1.9 goals per game while conceding only 0.8, highlighting a strong defensive foundation complemented by an effective attack.

Defensively, Toulouse boasts a clean sheet rate of 50%, and their attack, led by key contributors like Y. Gboho (6 goals) and S. Hidalgo (5 goals), has shown potency. Their overall form percentage is approximately 48%, suggesting a balanced team capable of both offense and defense. Their home record, combined with a disciplined approach, makes them favorites in this fixture.

Amiens: Recent Performance & Momentum

Amiens’ recent form has been less stable, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches, reflected in their form notation LDLWL. Their attacking output remains respectable, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but defensive frailty—conceding 1.2 goals on average—has hampered their consistency.

With a clean sheet rate of just 30%, Amiens are more vulnerable at the back. Their key goal scorers include Y. Ikia Dimi (5 goals) and T. Averlant (4 goals), who provide offensive spark. Their overall form percentage stands at approximately 52%, slightly behind Toulouse, but their recent performances suggest they can be dangerous on the counterattack or set-pieces.

Tactical Analysis

Toulouse: Structured and Defensive Balance

Operating primarily in a 3-4-2-1 formation, Toulouse prioritizes defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their disciplined backline, complemented by midfielders who cover wide areas, allows them to absorb pressure and launch rapid counterattacks. Expect Toulouse to sit deep initially, leverage their home advantage, and focus on set-pieces and exploiting spaces behind Amiens’ defense.

Offensively, their key players like Gboho and Hidalgo are adept at combining quick passing and movement, creating scoring opportunities from narrow angles or through individual skill.

Amiens: Attacking Flexibility & Counterattacking Approach

Amiens typically deploy a 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing width and direct play. Their approach likely involves pressing high to regain possession and launching quick counters, especially targeting Toulouse’s defensive weaknesses. Their midfielders and wingers will aim to deliver crosses and through balls to their top scorers, Ikia Dimi and Averlant.

Given Toulouse’s structured build-up, Amiens might rely on set-pieces or quick transitions to breach their opponent’s defense, especially if Toulouse commits players forward or leaves gaps during their build-up play.

Key Players to Watch

  • Y. Gboho (Toulouse): Leading scorer with 6 goals, Gboho’s pace and dribbling can unlock tight defenses. His ability to create and finish chances makes him a constant threat.
  • S. Hidalgo (Toulouse): With 5 goals and 2 assists, Hidalgo’s versatility and link-up play are critical in Toulouse’s attacking rhythm.
  • F. Magri (Toulouse): A consistent scorer, Magri’s positioning and finishing prowess could be decisive in tight situations.
  • Y. Ikia Dimi (Amiens): Top scorer for Amiens, Dimi’s pace and finishing make him a key outlet for counterattacks.
  • T. Averlant (Amiens): Creative and energetic, Averlant can provide assists and unlock defenses with key passes.
  • R. Lutin (Amiens): His multiple assists and goal contributions add attacking depth, especially in set-piece situations.

Injury Impact

While specific injury data isn’t provided, any key absences could influence the tactical balance. Toulouse’s squad depth in attacking positions suggests they can adapt if necessary, but losing a core scorer or a pivotal defender could tilt the outcome. Similarly, Amiens’s reliance on their main goal threats means injuries to Ikia Dimi or Averlant could diminish their chances significantly.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Historically, Toulouse and Amiens have met 10 times, with Toulouse holding a slight edge—winning 5 matches, drawing 4, and losing only once. Notably, their recent encounters have been decisive in Toulouse’s favor, including a 6-0 victory in March 2022, which highlights Toulouse’s dominance in head-to-head matchups.

Interestingly, the last three meetings have seen Toulouse either winning comfortably or drawing, with an average of just 1.4 goals per game and no goals scored by both teams in the last two encounters, indicating tight, low-scoring affairs.

Betting Market Analysis

  • Match Winner (1X2): Home 1.08, Draw 5, Away 7
  • Implied Probabilities: Home: 73%, Draw: 15.8%, Away: 11.3%
  • Double Chance: 1X at 1.07, 12 at 1.14, X2 at 3.5
  • Asian Handicap: Home -1.5 at 1.85, Away -1.5 at 1.95
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Odds suggest a leaning towards over 2.5 at 1.58, with under at 2.45
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Odds favoring no at 1.80, with BTTS yes at 2.00
  • Correct Score Predictions: Most bookmaker predictions favor 2:0 for Toulouse at around 5.5-5.89, indicating a belief in a narrow home win.

Analysis of Betting Odds & Value Bets

The odds strongly favor Toulouse, with a 73% implied probability for their win, aligning with their superior recent form and historical dominance. The risk with betting on Toulouse to win stems from the unpredictability inherent in cup fixtures, especially midweek, where fatigue and tactical surprises can occur.

The over 2.5 goals market has a reasonable implied probability (~58%), but given the recent low-scoring trend (average goals per game in head-to-heads of 1.4), caution is advised. The BTTS market suggests a slight lean towards no, which aligns with historical data and the low goals per game average.

Given the data, the double chance (1X) appears attractive, offering a safety net against potential upset, with a 45% confidence level considering cup unpredictability.

Our Predictions

  • Match Result: Toulouse to win (Odds 1.08) — The data strongly supports Toulouse’s dominance, especially at home, reinforced by their recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds.
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals (Odds 1.58) — While recent trends are low-scoring, cup ties often open up due to tactical shifts, making over 2.5 goals a reasonable bet with moderate confidence.
  • Both Teams Score: No (Odds 1.80) — Given Toulouse’s solid defense and Amiens’ inconsistent scoring, a clean sheet for Toulouse seems plausible, but risks remain.
  • Double Chance (1X): Toulouse or Draw — Provides insurance against an upset, with the potential for profit if Toulouse do not secure an outright win.

It’s vital to remember that cup matches can be unpredictable, with extra motivation, tactical surprises, or fatigue influencing outcomes. Nonetheless, based on the data, Toulouse appears to hold the edge, especially given their home advantage and historical success in this fixture.

Best Bets Summary

  • Primary Bet: Toulouse to win at 1.08 — Strong statistical backing, high confidence, but low odds mean limited return.
  • Secondary Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 — Moderate confidence, suitable for those expecting an open game or potential late goals.
  • Alternative Bet: Double Chance 1X at 1.07 — Offers safety, especially considering the knockout nature of the competition.
  • Defensive Play: BTTS No at 1.80 — Reflects Toulouse’s defensive strength and Amiens' scoring inconsistency.

In conclusion, while Toulouse is favored to secure victory based on form, head-to-head history, and betting odds, bettors should be cautious of the inherent unpredictability of cup competitions. A combination of the primary and secondary bets offers a balanced approach to maximize value and manage risk in this intriguing midweek fixture.

Additional Information

ToulouseToulouse

Top Scorers

S. Hidalgo
S. HidalgoAttacker
1Goals
A. Dønnum
A. DønnumAttacker
1Goals
Emersonn
EmersonnAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

C. Cásseres
C. CásseresMidfielder
1Assists
C. Cresswell
C. CresswellDefender
1Assists

Cards

S. Hidalgo
S. HidalgoAttacker
10
K. Haug
K. HaugGoalkeeper
10
S. Koumbassa
S. KoumbassaDefender
10
R. Messali
R. MessaliMidfielder
10
M. Sauer
M. SauerMidfielder
10
AmiensAmiens

Top Scorers

Yanis Rafii
Yanis RafiiAttacker
1Goals
T. Averlant
T. AverlantMidfielder
1Goals
K. Kaïboué
K. KaïbouéDefender
1Goals
Y. Ikia Dimi
Y. Ikia DimiAttacker
1Goals
I. Hamache
I. HamacheMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. Léautey
A. LéauteyMidfielder
2Assists
Yanis Rafii
Yanis RafiiAttacker
1Assists
T. Averlant
T. AverlantMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

Y. Ikia Dimi
Y. Ikia DimiAttacker
20
O. Aissat
O. AissatMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Toulouse
LLDLL
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %30%
Goals/Game2
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

7 MarLvs Marseille0-1
28 FebLat Rennes0-1
21 FebDvs Paris FC1-1
15 FebLat Le Havre1-2
8 FebLat Angers0-1
Amiens
LLDLW
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.8
Win %20%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg2
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

6 MarLat Boulogne2-4
2 MarLvs Estac Troyes0-2
21 FebDat Reims0-0
13 FebLvs Dunkerque1-4
9 FebWvs Clermont Foot4-3

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches11
Average Goals1.36
BTTS0%
Over 2.5 Goals18%
Over 1.5 Goals27%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Toulouse141.27 per game
Amiens10.09 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Toulouse10 (91%)
Amiens5 (45%)
4 Feb 2026Coupe de FranceToulouse1-0Amiens
15 Mar 2022Ligue 2Toulouse6-0Amiens
2 Oct 2021Ligue 2Amiens0-0Toulouse
27 Feb 2021Ligue 2Toulouse3-0Amiens
2 Nov 2020Ligue 2Amiens0-1Toulouse
1 Feb 2020Ligue 1Amiens0-0Toulouse
31 Aug 2019Ligue 1Toulouse2-0Amiens
11 May 2019Ligue 1Amiens0-0Toulouse
10 Nov 2018Ligue 1Toulouse0-1Amiens
17 Feb 2018Ligue 1Amiens0-0Toulouse
14 Oct 2017Ligue 1Toulouse1-0Amiens