TurkeyTurkey
Super LigSuper Lig
Round 22

Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Betting Tips

Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor

3rd57 pts
14 Feb 2026
2-3
Full Time
Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe

2nd57 pts
Papara Park, Trabzon
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.36
2 : 3
FT

Betting Tips

29%
24%
47%
TrabzonsporDrawFenerbahçe
Match Result
Away Win
@ 1.83
47%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.76
54%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.27
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.36
74%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.16
40%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 5.00
20.0%
Correct Score
1:2
@ 6.75
14.8%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Under 9.5
@ 1.65
55.4%
Anytime Goalscorer
Youssef En Nesyri
44.4%@ 2.25
Jhon Duran
43.5%@ 2.30
Conceicao Talisca
40.0%@ 2.50
Kerem Akturkoglu
36.4%@ 2.75
Ebere Paul Onuachu
36.4%@ 2.75
Ernest Muci
33.3%@ 3.00
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Emre Yilmaz
Emre Yilmaz Turkish Football Expert
74.1% 10+ yrs
6 min read

Clash of Titans at Papara Park: Tactical Schemes Set to Decide the Outcome As Trabzonspor welcomes Fenerbahçe to Papara Park, the stage is set for a compelling strategic duel that could reshape the league standings. With both sides boasting solid rec...

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Match Facts

Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor have scored in each of their last 18 matches
Trabzonspor have scored all 8 penalties this season
Both teams scored in 12 of Trabzonspor's last 15 matches (80%)
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of Trabzonspor's last 15 matches (80%)
Trabzonspor have won 9 of 13 away matches (69%)
Trabzonspor have received 3 red cards in 25 matches this season
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
Fenerbahçe have scored all 4 penalties this season
Fenerbahçe concede 27% of goals in the first 15 minutes (7 goals)
Talisca has been involved in 14 goals (11G + 3A)

Key Statistics

Trabzonspor7
5Draws
8Fenerbahçe
3.3Avg Goals
85%BTTS
65%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Trabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
14 Sept 2025Fenerbahçe1-0Trabzonspor
6 Apr 2025Fenerbahçe4-1Trabzonspor
3 Nov 2024Trabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
17 Mar 2024Trabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.553.501.45
188Bet3.103.702.07
1xBet3.483.702.11

Full Match Analysis

Emre Yilmaz
Emre Yilmaz
Turkish Football Expert
74.1% Accuracy
10+ Years Experience
1.6k Predictions

Clash of Titans at Papara Park: Tactical Schemes Set to Decide the Outcome

As Trabzonspor welcomes Fenerbahçe to Papara Park, the stage is set for a compelling strategic duel that could reshape the league standings. With both sides boasting solid recent form and a penchant for attacking football, this fixture is more than just a three-point opportunity—it's a test of tactical discipline, resilience, and individual brilliance.

Context and Significance: More Than Just Three Points

This encounter carries substantial weight in the Turkish Süper Lig race. Trabzonspor, sitting in third place with 45 points, aim to consolidate their Champions League qualification hopes, especially with a home advantage that has historically favored them. Fenerbahçe, a shade ahead in second with 49 points, are eager to extend their streak and maintain unbeaten run, having lost only once all season. A win for Trabzonspor would tighten the race at the top, while Fenerbahçe’s victory could stretch their lead and reaffirm their title credentials.

The mood within each camp reflects the high stakes. Trabzonspor, under their tactically astute coach, have leaned on a flexible 4-2-3-1 that emphasizes quick transitions and solid defensive organization. Fenerbahçe, meanwhile, continue to evolve under their current management, with a slightly more aggressive 4-2-3-1 system that leverages their attacking talents and disciplined midfield pressing.

Recent Form: Momentum in Favor of the Leaders

Both teams arrive here with commendable momentum. Trabzonspor’s resurgence has been marked by a five-match run where they’ve recorded 4 wins and 1 draw. Their offensive output is lively, averaging 2.5 goals per game, with a 70% BTTS rate, reflecting their willingness to engage and their vulnerability at the back.

Fenerbahçe’s form is slightly better in terms of points, with six wins and two draws in their last ten matches, culminating in a run of unbeaten league games. Their defensive solidity is evident, conceding an average of fewer than one goal per game (0.9), and boasting a 30% clean sheet rate. Their attack, averaging 1.8 goals, is well-rounded and frequently delivered by key figures like Talisca and Aydın, who have both netted 11 goals this season.

Strategic Blueprints: How Will the Managers Set Up?

Expect Trabzonspor to prioritize a balanced approach—solid defensively but looking to exploit quick counters. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allows for flexibility, with the double pivot providing cover for their full-backs and facilitating swift transitions. P. Onuachu, their top scorer with 13 goals, will be the focal point, aiming to hold up play and generate scoring opportunities.

Fenerbahçe, under their tactical philosophy, are likely to adopt a slightly more aggressive stance, leveraging their creative midfielders like Marco Asensio and their dynamic wingers. Their 4-2-3-1 often morphs into a high-pressing unit in midfield, trying to win possession high up the pitch and set quick attacks. Talisca and Aydın serve as the primary goal threats, with the latter’s pace providing an added dimension to their attack.

Key Players to Watch: Influencers on Both Sides

  • Trabzonspor:
    • P. Onuachu – The towering striker’s 13 goals make him a constant menace in the box and a likely target for crosses and set-piece opportunities.
    • Felipe Augusto – His nine goals from midfield provide balance, and his ability to arrive late into the box could be decisive.
    • E. Muçi – An energetic winger, Muçi’s dribbling and crossing can unlock Fenerbahçe’s defense.
  • Fenerbahçe:
    • Talisca – The Brazilian midfielder’s playmaking and goal-scoring threat from set-pieces make him a pivotal figure.
    • O. Aydın – Also with 11 goals, Aydın's pace and finishing ability are crucial for Fenerbahçe’s attacking rhythm.
    • Marco Asensio – A creative spark, his six assists and vision can unlock even the most organized defenses.

Head-to-Head Trends and Patterns

The recent head-to-heads reveal a tightly contested battle, with 7 wins each and 6 draws over the last 20 meetings. Goals have flowed freely; the average stands at over three goals per game, with an 85% BTTS rate. Notably, the last five encounters have been high-scoring affairs, often featuring late drama or decisive moments.

Fenerbahçe hold a slight edge historically with more recent victories, including a 4-1 win last April. However, Trabzonspor’s home advantage and recent form suggest they are well-equipped to challenge that trend. Expect an open game, with both teams not shy of attacking and vulnerabilities at the back that could be exploited.

Betting Markets: Dissecting the Odds and Finding Value

Bookmakers’ odds highlight a clear favoritism towards Fenerbahçe, with a 1.4 quote for away win translating to an implied probability of about 52.4%. Trabzonspor’s home odds stand at 2.7 (implying a 27.2% chance), while the draw is priced at 3.6 (20.4%).

Analyzing the Asian Handicap market, home +0.5 is offered at 1.9, and away +0 at 1.44, indicating confidence in Fenerbahçe’s ability to avoid defeat. The double chance markets favor 1X at 1.85 and 12 at 1.25, reflecting the bookmakers’ expectation of a close contest.

Over/Under 2.5 goals markets are a key consideration, with over 2.5 goals offered at 1.9, aligning with the recent trend of high-scoring games. The BTTS market is priced around 1.7, with a near 60% implied chance that both teams will score, consistent with recent form and head-to-head patterns.

Identifying betting value, the over 2.5 goals market appears attractive given the historical trends and current scoring rates. Also, Asian Handicap +0.5 for Fenerbahçe at 1.85 offers promising value, considering their recent unbeaten form and strong attacking setup.

Predictions: Striking a Balance Between Data and Intuition

Based on comprehensive analysis, our predicted outcome is a narrow away win with a scoreline of 2-1, reflecting Fenerbahçe’s slight edge in attacking quality and recent unbeaten streak. Our confidence in this prediction stands at around 50%, acknowledging Trabzonspor’s home resilience and ability to challenge.

Expect both teams to find the net, given their attacking prowess and defensive lapses. The over 2.5 goals market, with a 57% confidence level, aligns with the data and recent trends.

Double chance on the away team (12) at 1.25 offers some safety, though the value lies in backing Fenerbahçe to seize the game’s key moments, especially through their key individuals like Talisca and Aydın.

Summary of Best Bets

  • Fenerbahçe to Win at 1.4 – a favored pick based on form and head-to-head edge.
  • Over 2.5 Goals at 1.9 – supported by recent scoring patterns and team approaches.
  • BTTS - Yes at around 1.7 – considering both teams’ offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Asian Handicap +0.5 for Fenerbahçe at 1.85 – offers a cushion given the form and head-to-head history.

This fixture promises to blend tactical chess with moments of individual brilliance, where strategic adjustments and key performances will ultimately decide who claims the vital victory at Papara Park. Expect a competitive, high-energy encounter that keeps fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.

In Conclusion: A Tactical Showdown with Top-Flight Stakes

As the whistle approaches, both managers will be keen to impose their game plans—Trabzonspor banking on home advantage and quick counters, Fenerbahçe aiming to dominate possession and capitalize on set-pieces. The interplay between strategic discipline and attacking flair will be critical, with a slight lean towards Fenerbahçe’s ability to edge out a narrow victory thanks to their broader squad depth and current form.

Additional Information

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor

Top Scorers

P. Onuachu
P. OnuachuAttacker
13Goals
Felipe Augusto
Felipe AugustoAttacker
9Goals
E. Muçi
E. MuçiAttacker
8Goals
O. Zubkov
O. ZubkovMidfielder
3Goals
C. Inao Oulaï
C. Inao OulaïMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

O. Zubkov
O. ZubkovMidfielder
4Assists
C. Inao Oulaï
C. Inao OulaïMidfielder
4Assists
Wagner Pina
Wagner PinaDefender
3Assists
T. Jabol-Folcarelli
T. Jabol-FolcarelliMidfielder
3Assists
M. Eskihellaç
M. EskihellaçDefender
3Assists

Cards

P. Onuachu
P. OnuachuAttacker
50
C. Inao Oulaï
C. Inao OulaïMidfielder
50
M. Eskihellaç
M. EskihellaçDefender
50
E. Muçi
E. MuçiAttacker
30
S. Savić
S. SavićDefender
30
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe

Top Scorers

Talisca
TaliscaMidfielder
11Goals
O. Aydın
O. AydınMidfielder
11Goals
Marco Asensio
Marco AsensioMidfielder
9Goals
Y. En-Nesyri
Y. En-NesyriAttacker
7Goals
N. Dorgeles
N. DorgelesAttacker
4Goals

Top Assists

Marco Asensio
Marco AsensioMidfielder
6Assists
Talisca
TaliscaMidfielder
3Assists
O. Aydın
O. AydınMidfielder
3Assists
K. Aktürkoğlu
K. AktürkoğluMidfielder
3Assists
L. Mercan
L. MercanDefender
3Assists

Cards

M. Škriniar
M. ŠkriniarDefender
60
Nélson Semedo
Nélson SemedoDefender
60
İ. Yüksek
İ. YüksekMidfielder
50
J. Oosterwolde
J. OosterwoldeDefender
50
E. Álvarez
E. ÁlvarezMidfielder
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Trabzonspor
WWWWW
10Played
8Wins
1Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.5
Win %80%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg2.4
Conceded Avg1
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

14 MarWvs Rizespor1-0
9 MarWat Kayserispor3-1
3 MarWat Başakşehir4-2
27 FebWvs Fatih Karagümrük3-1
22 FebWat Gaziantep FK2-1
Fenerbahçe
LWWDW
10Played
6Wins
2Draws
2Losses
Points/Game2
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.6
Scored Avg2.1
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

13 MarLat Fatih Karagümrük0-2
8 MarWvs Samsunspor3-2
4 MarWat Gaziantep FK4-0
1 MarDat Antalyaspor2-2
26 FebWat Nottingham Forest2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.3
BTTS85%
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals90%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Trabzonspor321.6 per game
Fenerbahçe341.7 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Trabzonspor1 (5%)
Fenerbahçe2 (10%)
14 Feb 2026Super LigTrabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
14 Sept 2025Super LigFenerbahçe1-0Trabzonspor
6 Apr 2025Super LigFenerbahçe4-1Trabzonspor
3 Nov 2024Super LigTrabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
17 Mar 2024Super LigTrabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
4 Nov 2023Super LigFenerbahçe2-3Trabzonspor
18 May 2023Super LigFenerbahçe3-1Trabzonspor
24 Dec 2022Super LigTrabzonspor2-0Fenerbahçe
6 Mar 2022Super LigFenerbahçe1-1Trabzonspor
17 Oct 2021Super LigTrabzonspor3-1Fenerbahçe
28 Feb 2021Super LigTrabzonspor0-1Fenerbahçe
25 Oct 2020Super LigFenerbahçe3-1Trabzonspor
16 Jun 2020Türkiye KupasıFenerbahçe1-3Trabzonspor
3 Mar 2020Türkiye KupasıTrabzonspor2-1Fenerbahçe
1 Feb 2020Super LigTrabzonspor2-1Fenerbahçe
1 Sept 2019Super LigFenerbahçe1-1Trabzonspor
27 Apr 2019Super LigFenerbahçe1-1Trabzonspor
25 Nov 2018Super LigTrabzonspor2-1Fenerbahçe
28 Jan 2018Super LigTrabzonspor1-1Fenerbahçe
20 Aug 2017Super LigFenerbahçe2-2Trabzonspor