Argentina
Liga ProfesionalRound 3
Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Velez SarsfieldDrawIndependiente
Match Result
Velez Sarsfield
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
59%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Match Facts
Velez SarsfieldUnder 2.5 goals in 12 of Velez Sarsfield's last 15 matches (80%)
IndependienteKey Statistics
47Draws
5
1.94Avg Goals
44%BTTS
25%Over 2.5
31 Jan 2026Independiente1-1Velez Sarsfield
16 Aug 2025Velez Sarsfield2-1Independiente
12 Feb 2025Independiente3-0Velez Sarsfield
27 Sept 2024Velez Sarsfield1-0Independiente
26 May 2024Independiente1-1Velez Sarsfield
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?
Our model predicts Velez Sarsfield with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?
Both teams to score: Yes (59% confidence).
When and where is Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente played?
Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente takes place on 3 Aug 2026.
Additional Information
Velez SarsfieldTop Scorers
M. PellegriniAttacker
2Goals
M. LanziniMidfielder
1Goals
T. AndradaAttacker
1Goals
Jano GordonDefender
1Goals
J. GarcíaDefender
1Goals
Top Assists
D. ValdésMidfielder
2Assists
M. AriasAttacker
1Assists
D. GodoyAttacker
1Assists
Cards
T. AndradaAttacker
20
C. BaezaMidfielder
20
Elías GómezDefender
10
R. AliendroMidfielder
10
B. RomeroAttacker
10
IndependienteTop Scorers
G. ÁvalosAttacker
1Goals
S. MontielMidfielder
1Goals
L. CabralMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
G. ÁvalosAttacker
2Assists
Cards
K. LomónacoDefender
20
Lautaro MillánMidfielder
20
V. MalcorraMidfielder
20
S. MontielMidfielder
01
L. CabralMidfielder
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Velez SarsfieldDDWDL
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.5 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 2.3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.9 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
11 MayLvs Gimnasia L.P.0-1
4 MayDvs Newells Old Boys1-1
1 MayWvs Gimnasia Y Tiro2-0
27 AprDvs Union Santa Fe2-2
20 AprDat San Lorenzo0-0
IndependienteWLWLW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 3 |
| Scored Avg | 1.6 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.4 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
22 MayWat Union Santa Fe2-0
10 MayLat Rosario Central1-3
2 MayWat San Lorenzo2-1
24 AprLat Deportivo Riestra0-2
18 AprWvs Defensa Y Justicia3-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 16 |
| Average Goals | 1.94 |
| BTTS | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 0.88 per game |
| Independiente | 17 | 1.06 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | 5 (31%) |
| Independiente | 6 (38%) |
31 Jan 2026Liga ProfesionalIndependiente1-1Velez Sarsfield
16 Aug 2025Liga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield2-1Independiente
12 Feb 2025Liga ProfesionalIndependiente3-0Velez Sarsfield
27 Sept 2024Copa ArgentinaVelez Sarsfield1-0Independiente
26 May 2024Liga ProfesionalIndependiente1-1Velez Sarsfield
12 Feb 2023Liga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield0-0Independiente
16 Sept 2022Copa ArgentinaVelez Sarsfield0-2Independiente
28 Aug 2022Liga ProfesionalIndependiente1-1Velez Sarsfield
20 Feb 2022Liga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield0-0Independiente
2 Oct 2021Liga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield3-3Independiente
20 Mar 2021Liga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield1-0Independiente
6 Oct 2019Liga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield2-0Independiente
30 Mar 2019Liga ProfesionalIndependiente2-1Velez Sarsfield
1 Oct 2017Liga ProfesionalIndependiente1-0Velez Sarsfield
1 Apr 2017Liga ProfesionalIndependiente1-1Velez Sarsfield
9 Nov 2015Liga ProfesionalIndependiente1-0Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield — Upcoming Predictions
Independiente — Upcoming Predictions
Liga Profesional — Predictions
Belgrano CordobaVS
Rosario CentralO/U
Under 2.5
69%
Sarmiento JuninVS
Argentinos JRSAH
Away -0.25
81%
Defensa Y JusticiaVS
AldosiviO/U
Under 2.5
64%
Gimnasia M.VS
Central Cordoba de SantiagoO/U
Under 2.5
66%
Racing ClubVS
Gimnasia L.P.O/U
Under 2.5
62%
Velez SarsfieldVS
Instituto CordobaO/U
Under 2.5
65%
HuracanVS
BanfieldO/U
Under 2.5
69%
PlatenseVS
Union Santa FeO/U
Under 2.5
69%
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoVS
TigreAH
Away -0.25
78%
Newells Old BoysVS
Talleres CordobaO/U
Under 2.5
65%