GreeceGreece
Super League 1Super League 1
Round 21

Volos NFC vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction & Betting Tips

Volos NFC

Volos NFC

9th28 pts
14 Feb 2026
1-1
Full Time
Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.27
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

25%
27%
48%
Volos NFCDrawAris Thessalonikis
Match Result
Away Win
@ 1.77
48%
Both Teams to Score
No
@ 1.69
55%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
@ 1.23
38%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.27
79%
Half Time
Draw
@ 1.90
45%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 4.50
22.2%
Correct Score
0:1
@ 4.75
21.1%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Under 9.5
@ 1.56
59.4%
Anytime Goalscorer
Loren Moron
41.7%@ 2.40
Christian Kouame
36.4%@ 2.75
Migouel Alfarela
34.7%@ 2.88
Tinotenda Kadewere
28.6%@ 3.50
Carles Perez
26.7%@ 3.75
Benjamin Garre
26.7%@ 3.75
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
6 min read

Volos NFC vs Aris Thessalonikis: A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy in Greece's Super League 1 In a landscape where consistency often defines success, Saturday’s clash at the Panthessaliko Stadium promises a crucial test for both sides. Aris Thessaloni...

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Match Facts

Volos NFC
Volos NFC have gone 5 league matches without a win
Volos NFC have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
Volos NFC have scored all 4 penalties this season
Volos NFC average 3.1 yellow cards per game (75 in 24 matches)
Volos NFC failed to score in 8 of 24 matches (33%)
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis have gone 5 league matches without a win
Aris Thessalonikis have received 4 red cards in 24 matches this season
Aris Thessalonikis failed to score in 8 of 24 matches (33%)
Under 2.5 goals in 9 of Aris Thessalonikis's last 12 matches (75%)

Key Statistics

Volos NFC4
2Draws
10Aris Thessalonikis
2.38Avg Goals
25%BTTS
31%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Volos NFC1-1Aris Thessalonikis
23 Aug 2025Aris Thessalonikis2-0Volos NFC
1 Mar 2025Volos NFC1-1Aris Thessalonikis
23 Nov 2024Aris Thessalonikis0-1Volos NFC
25 Feb 2024Aris Thessalonikis2-0Volos NFC
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.803.001.38
188Bet3.453.152.04
1xBet4.043.142.00

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Volos NFC vs Aris Thessalonikis: A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy in Greece's Super League 1

In a landscape where consistency often defines success, Saturday’s clash at the Panthessaliko Stadium promises a crucial test for both sides. Aris Thessalonikis, sitting just a point ahead in the standings, will look to tighten their grip on mid-table stability, while Volos NFC aims to harness home advantage in a contest that could influence their push up the Greek Super League ladder. Recent stats reveal intriguing narratives: Aris’s superior form and defensive resilience contrast sharply with Volos’s more modest attacking outputs. This fixture could be a subtle chess match, with tactical nuances and key individual battles shaping the outcome.

Setting the Stage: Why This Match Matters

Both teams are no strangers to fluctuating form, yet their current league positions highlight a shared ambition—climbing into the top half and securing a healthier buffer from relegation threats. For Aris, a team that’s collected six wins from their last ten matches, including notable clean sheet stats, maintaining consistency is paramount. Meanwhile, Volos NFC, mired in a more mixed recent run, desperately needs a positive result to bolster morale and capitalise on their home turf.

Recent Momentum and Performance Dynamics

Volos NFC: A Tale of Fluctuations

Volos’s recent form (WLLWD) paints a picture of unpredictability. With four wins, two draws, and four losses over their last ten outings, their attacking output remains below the league average, averaging just 0.9 goals per game, with conceding slightly above at 1.1. Their home record offers some hope—they've managed a respectable 8 wins, but inconsistency in attack and defence keeps them on the fringes of the upper mid-table. Defensive solidity, with 30% clean sheets, remains a concern but is an area they hope to tighten.

Aris Thessalonikis: Steady and Defensive

Aris’s recent form (DWWDL) suggests a team that can grind out results and maintain defensive discipline—60% clean sheets and only 0.5 goals conceded per game on average. Their offensive output (1.4 goals per match) is modest but effective, especially with the contribution of their top scorer Loren Morón, who has netted four times this season. Their resilience, particularly away from home, could prove decisive in this game, especially given their history of defensive solidity.

Strategic Setups and Tactical Outlook

Both teams typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing midfield control and width. Volos, under their current formation, rely on quick transitions and aerial duels to breach defenses, leaning heavily on their attacking trio led by Lamprou and Hamulić. Aris, known for their disciplined approach, likely to adopt a more cautious stance, will focus on compactness, counter-attacks, and set-piece opportunities. Expect Aris to prioritize defensive organisation early, aiming to frustrate the hosts and exploit gaps late in the game.

Influence Men: Players to Watch

Volos NFC's Key Figures

  • L. Lamprou: With five goals, he’s their primary threat in attack, capable of unlocking tight defenses with his movement and finishing.
  • S. Hamulić: His two assists and four goals make him a vital creative and scoring outlet; his presence in the box could be decisive.
  • Joca: The playmaker behind the front line, whose vision and passing can spark offensive opportunities.

Aris Thessalonikis’s Match-Winners

  • Loren Morón: The top scorer, his movement and finishing are crucial—he’s a proven goal threat that can tip the scales.
  • Dudu: An energetic midfielder, capable of initiating counters and contributing defensively.
  • Fabiano: Defensive organisation is his forte, and his experience helps stabilize Aris’s backline especially in away fixtures.

Historical Encounters and Pattern Recognition

The head-to-head record tilts decidedly in Aris’s favor, with 10 wins in their last 15 meetings, including recent victories of 2-0 and 2-0 in 2024. Notably, goals per game in these encounters average around 2.4, with a relatively low BTTS rate of just 20%. The pattern suggests that Aris’s defensive discipline often keeps things tight, and their recent success away from home underscores their resilience. The last meeting in November 2025 saw Aris clinch a 2-0 win, a result rooted in their defensive solidity and clinical finishing.

Betting Markets: Dissecting the Odds and Finding Value

Bookmakers present Aris as clear favorites, with an implied probability of roughly 50.4% based on odds of 1.4. Volos, at 2.7, carry an implied chance of around 26.1%. The double chance markets (1X at 1.73 and X2 at 1.22) also favour away wins but offer some cover for an upset.

Over/Under 2.5 goals is a critical market—bookies lean towards under (61% confidence), based on the low average goals in recent head-to-heads and their defensive focus. The BTTS market is slightly less appealing here, with just a 55% confidence that both teams will score, consistent with recent low BTTS rates and defensive tendencies.

Asian handicaps further illustrate the perceived strength of Aris. Betting on away +0.5 at 1.95 presents a solid value, considering their recent form and head-to-head dominance. Conversely, the home +0.5 at 1.83 could appeal to those betting on a tight, low-scoring affair where Volos might just sneak a draw or narrowly lose.

Expert Predictions and Strategic Bets

Taking all factors into account, our confidence points toward an away win—Aris’s superior defensive record and recent head-to-head dominance give them the edge. We estimate a 48% confidence level for a victory for the visitors, with under 2.5 goals (61%), and a slightly cautious approach to both teams scoring, with a 55% confidence that one side will keep a clean sheet.

Based on the odds, the best value lies in backing Aris on the Asian Handicap +0.5 at 1.95, which provides security in case of a draw or narrow away win. The under 2.5 goals market also offers value, given the statistical leanings toward a low-scoring game.

Final Verdict: A Tactical, Low-Scoring Affair

In sum, expect a tightly contested game with defensive discipline at the forefront. While Volos NFC’s home advantage and attacking potential could be marginally dangerous, Aris’s defensive resilience and recent form make them slight favorites to seal the points. The likelihood of a low-scoring, cautious contest favors the under 2.5 goals bet, with the double chance on X2 providing a favorable risk-reward balance.

Thus, our recommended best bets are:

  • Aris Thessalonikis +0.5 Asian Handicap at 1.95
  • Under 2.5 Goals — high confidence based on recent trends

This game may not feature fireworks, but tactical grit and disciplined defending will undoubtedly determine the outcome in this Greece Super League 1 clash.

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Additional Information

Volos NFCVolos NFC

Top Scorers

L. Lamprou
L. LamprouMidfielder
5Goals
S. Hamulić
S. HamulićAttacker
4Goals
Joca
JocaMidfielder
3Goals
M. Comba
M. CombaMidfielder
3Goals
J. Añor
J. AñorMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

Núrio Fortuna
Núrio FortunaDefender
3Assists
S. Hamulić
S. HamulićAttacker
2Assists
L. Lamprou
L. LamprouMidfielder
1Assists
Joca
JocaMidfielder
1Assists
G. Migas
G. MigasDefender
1Assists

Cards

M. Comba
M. CombaMidfielder
80
G. Kargas
G. KargasDefender
61
Núrio Fortuna
Núrio FortunaDefender
60
D. Martínez
D. MartínezMidfielder
60
G. Migas
G. MigasDefender
60
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis

Top Scorers

Loren Morón
Loren MorónAttacker
4Goals
Dudu
DuduMidfielder
2Goals
Fabiano
FabianoDefender
2Goals
F. Jensen
F. JensenMidfielder
2Goals
Monchu
MonchuMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Álvaro Tejero
Álvaro TejeroDefender
2Assists
Loren Morón
Loren MorónAttacker
1Assists
Dudu
DuduMidfielder
1Assists
Monchu
MonchuMidfielder
1Assists
U. Račić
U. RačićMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

Monchu
MonchuMidfielder
60
Loren Morón
Loren MorónAttacker
40
U. Račić
U. RačićMidfielder
40
Álvaro Tejero
Álvaro TejeroDefender
40
N. Fadiga
N. FadigaDefender
21

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Volos NFC
LDDLD
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg1.4
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

15 MarLat Kifisia0-2
8 MarDvs OFI1-1
1 MarDvs AEK Athens FC2-2
22 FebLat Panserraikos1-2
14 FebDvs Aris Thessalonikis1-1
Aris Thessalonikis
DDLDD
10Played
1Wins
7Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1
Win %10%
Goals/Game1.6
Scored Avg0.6
Conceded Avg1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

14 MarDat Panserraikos0-0
7 MarDvs Atromitos0-0
1 MarLat Panathinaikos1-3
22 FebDvs Kifisia1-1
14 FebDat Volos NFC1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches16
Average Goals2.38
BTTS25%
Over 2.5 Goals31%
Over 1.5 Goals81%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Volos NFC110.69 per game
Aris Thessalonikis271.69 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Volos NFC4 (25%)
Aris Thessalonikis8 (50%)
14 Feb 2026Super League 1Volos NFC1-1Aris Thessalonikis
23 Aug 2025Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis2-0Volos NFC
1 Mar 2025Super League 1Volos NFC1-1Aris Thessalonikis
23 Nov 2024Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis0-1Volos NFC
25 Feb 2024Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis2-0Volos NFC
11 Nov 2023Super League 1Volos NFC0-2Aris Thessalonikis
3 May 2023Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis4-2Volos NFC
23 Apr 2023Super League 1Volos NFC0-3Aris Thessalonikis
21 Jan 2023Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis3-0Volos NFC
2 Oct 2022Super League 1Volos NFC2-0Aris Thessalonikis
5 Feb 2022Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis0-2Volos NFC
7 Nov 2021Super League 1Volos NFC1-2Aris Thessalonikis
7 Jan 2021Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis2-0Volos NFC
20 Sept 2020Super League 1Volos NFC0-1Aris Thessalonikis
19 Dec 2019Super League 1Aris Thessalonikis4-0Volos NFC
31 Aug 2019Super League 1Volos NFC1-0Aris Thessalonikis