PolandPoland
EkstraklasaEkstraklasa
Round 21

Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Prediction & Betting Tips

Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock

7th36 pts
14 Feb 2026
0-2
Full Time
Widzew Łódź

Widzew Łódź

17th28 pts
Orlen Arena, Plock
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.38
0 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

30%
28%
42%
Wisla PlockDrawWidzew Łódź
Match Result
Away Win
@ 2.01
42%
Both Teams to Score
No
@ 1.83
51%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
@ 1.32
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Away -0.25
@ 1.38
72%
Half Time
Draw
@ 1.91
43%
HT/FT
Draw/Away
@ 5.00
20.0%
Correct Score
0:1
@ 5.75
17.4%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Over 9.5
@ 1.83
50.0%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
7 min read

Battle of Mid-Table Aspirations: Wisla Plock Faces Widzew Łódź In the heart of Poland's Ekstraklasa, a clash between Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź on Saturday evening is bound to stir strategic intrigue. Yet, amid the ebb and flow of league positions, ...

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Match Facts

Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock have lost their last 4 league matches
Wisla Plock have conceded in each of their last 8 matches
Wisla Plock have won just 1 of 11 away matches this season
Wisla Plock have scored all 3 penalties this season
Ł. Sekulski has scored 8 of Wisla Plock's 24 goals (33%)
Wisla Plock failed to score in 8 of 24 matches (33%)
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź have scored all 5 penalties this season
Widzew Łódź concede 37% of goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
S. Bergier has scored 10 of Widzew Łódź's 31 goals (32%)
S. Bergier has been involved in 10 goals (10G + 0A)
Widzew Łódź average 2.8 yellow cards per game (66 in 24 matches)

Key Statistics

Wisla Plock0
2Draws
2Widzew Łódź
2.25Avg Goals
75%BTTS
25%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Wisla Plock0-2Widzew Łódź
9 Aug 2025Widzew Łódź1-1Wisla Plock
13 Mar 2023Wisla Plock1-1Widzew Łódź
27 Aug 2022Widzew Łódź2-1Wisla Plock
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet2.203.051.60
188Bet2.523.202.43
1xBet3.323.062.25

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Battle of Mid-Table Aspirations: Wisla Plock Faces Widzew Łódź

In the heart of Poland's Ekstraklasa, a clash between Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź on Saturday evening is bound to stir strategic intrigue. Yet, amid the ebb and flow of league positions, the spotlight will inevitably fall on a standout figure: Łukasz Sekulski. With 8 goals to his name this season, Sekulski remains a constant threat, often the catalyst for Wisla’s offensive sparks. His positioning, finishing prowess, and experience can tilt the scales at Orlen Stadion, especially if Widzew Łódź’s defensive resilience is to be tested.

Assessing the Context: League Stakes and Tactical Undertones

This fixture isn’t just a routine Saturday evening matchup; it’s a narrative of stabilizing form and unyielding pursuit of consistency. Wisla Plock, currently perched comfortably in 2nd place with 33 points, aims to consolidate their position and extend their unbeaten streak. Their recent record — with 3 wins, 6 draws, and only 1 loss over the last ten matches — reflects an organized approach grounded in defensive solidity and opportunistic scoring. Their 0.9 goals per game and a 40% clean sheet rate highlight their defensive discipline, yet their goal-scoring rate suggests room for increased offensive potency.

Meanwhile, Widzew Łódź, languishing in 17th with 20 points, faces a critical juncture. Their recent form— with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses — indicates a team battling inconsistency. Despite a higher average goals scored (1.1) compared to Wisla, their 1.3 goals conceded per game expose defensive vulnerabilities. The 30% clean sheet rate underscores susceptibility, which Wisla might look to exploit given their attacking and defensive tendencies.

Form and Figures: The Road to the Match

Wisla Plock's recent form paints a picture of resilience and stability. Their last five matches are marked by just a single loss, with the majority draws, pointing to their capacity to grind out results. Their league standing—second in the table—corroborates their consistency. Their goal distribution (23 scored, 14 conceded) shows a balanced approach, often leaning on their disciplined 5-3-2 formation to absorb pressure and counterattack effectively.

Widzew Łódź’s rollercoaster ride illustrates a side struggling to maintain momentum. Their last five fixtures include three losses, but their recent double wins—a sign they can find form—could be a critical factor. Their key offensive weapon, S. Bergier, with ten goals, is a focal point, and if Widzew can get him into scoring positions, they might threaten Wisla’s backline. However, their defensive record (32 conceded goals) remains a concern, especially against a team with a disciplined defensive setup.

Strategic Perspectives: Formations, Approaches, and Game Dynamics

Anticipating tactical deployments, Wisla Plock’s typical 5-3-2 setup emphasizes defensive compactness with the flexibility to launch quick counters through their wing-backs. Their approach generally revolves around maintaining a solid backline—leveraged by their 40% clean sheet rate—and exploiting set-pieces or counterattacks to score. Their attack, slightly conservative but efficient, relies heavily on Sekulski's positioning and Daniel Pacheco’s creativity.

Widzew Łódź, adopting their traditional 4-4-2, appears more attack-oriented but vulnerable at the back. Fran Álvarez’s creative influence—contributing 3 assists alongside his five goals—suggests Widzew may attempt to dominate possession and stretch Wisla’s defensive lines. However, their defensive frailty (allowing an average of 1.3 goals per game) might open opportunities for Wisla’s disciplined shape to capitalize on transition chances.

Key Performers to Watch

  • Wisla Plock:
    • Ł. Sekulski: The leading scorer, whose positioning inside the box makes him a constant goal threat.
    • Dani Pacheco: Creative midfielder capable of unlocking defenses with key passes and occasional goals.
    • W. Nowak: Midfielder providing stability and distribution, often involved in build-up play.
  • Widzew Łódź:
    • S. Bergier: The prolific striker with 10 goals, the primary goal outlet capable of changing the game's complexion.
    • Fran Álvarez: Playmaker with 5 goals and 3 assists, whose creativity could be decisive.
    • J. Shehu: Defensive midfielder crucial for breaking up play and initiating Widzew's counters.

Head-to-Head Trends and Pattern Recognition

Looking back at the last three encounters between these sides reveals a pattern of closely contested affairs, with an average of 2.33 goals per game and a 100% BTTS (Both Teams To Score) record. The recent 1-1 draw on August 9, 2025, and the previous 1-1 stalemate in March 2023, underscore a recurring pattern of tight battles with shared scoring. Notably, Widzew’s 2-1 victory in August 2022 suggests they can edge out Wisla, but recent history indicates both teams have found the net regularly against each other, emphasizing the likelihood of goals.

Betting Market Landscape and Odds Breakdown

Bookmakers list the home win at 2.25, the draw at 2.9, and the away victory at 1.57. The implied probabilities—roughly 31.2% for Wisla, 24.2% for a draw, and 44.7% for Widzew—highlight the market's premium on the away side, likely due to Widzew’s lower league standing and recent form.

Analyzing the double chance markets, 1X (home or draw) at 1.6 suggests some value, but the 12 (home or away) at 1.36 indicates a preference for Widzew’s potential to avoid defeat. The Asian Handicap markets favor Widzew at -0.5 (1.42), implying bookmakers see Widzew as marginal favorites, while Wisla +0 at 2.3 offers value for backing the home team with a safety cushion.

The over/under bets, with a typical line at 2.5 goals, see the under at 1.62 and the over at 2.3, aligning with recent scoring averages and the historically tight nature of these fixtures. The BTTS market is evenly priced, but considering the last three matches and the historical pattern, both teams scoring seems quite probable.

Forecast and Analytical Bets: Decoding Probabilities

Based on statistical analysis, Wisla Plock's form and defensive record suggest a sturdy performance, but their goal-scoring remains modest. Widzew's attack shows promise—particularly with Bergier—yet their defensive frailty could be exploited.

Our probabilistic models yield the following insights:

  • Match Result: Widzew Łódź win — 42% confidence. Widzew's superior implied probability, combined with their offensive potential, leans the prediction toward an away victory.
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5, with a 58% confidence, aligning with recent low scoring encounters and cautious tactical setups.
  • Both Teams To Score: No, with just a slight edge at 51%. Given the historical BTTS pattern, a cautious stance favors a 'No' here, but it's a close call.
  • Double Chance: X2 (Draw or Widzew win), at 35% confidence, offers value especially considering Widzew’s resilience and Wisla's drawn-out matches.

Final Verdict: A Tactical Tug with Widzew Slightly Ahead

Taking into account the statistical weight, recent form, head-to-head tendencies, and odds, Widzew Łódź appears marginally better placed to secure at least a point, with an outside chance of a narrow victory. Wisla's organized defense combined with their disciplined approach can keep the game tight, but their lack of prolific scoring against a Widzew side eager to rebound might limit their offensive output.

In terms of betting strategy, the most compelling approach is betting on Widzew Łódź to win or draw (X2 double chance) at odds of approximately 1.3-1.36, given the combined statistical, tactical, and historical context.

Summary of Key Predictions and Best Bets

  • Outcome: Widzew Łódź to secure at least a draw, with a lean toward an away win (~42% confidence)
  • Goals: Under 2.5 goals (~58% confidence)
  • Both Teams To Score: No (~51% confidence)

This analysis underscores a contest where Widzew’s attacking threats and recent form, combined with Wisla’s disciplined structure and historical pattern of low-scoring draws, make for a compelling betting case. Expect tight defensive battles punctuated by moments of offensive brilliance, with Widzew perhaps just edging out a narrow result.

Additional Information

Wisla PlockWisla Plock

Top Scorers

Ł. Sekulski
Ł. SekulskiAttacker
8Goals
Dani Pacheco
Dani PachecoMidfielder
2Goals
W. Nowak
W. NowakMidfielder
2Goals
M. Kamiński
M. KamińskiDefender
2Goals
Iban Salvador
Iban SalvadorAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

D. Kun
D. KunMidfielder
3Assists
Jime
JimeMidfielder
2Assists
M. Haglind-Sangré
M. Haglind-SangréDefender
2Assists
Ł. Sekulski
Ł. SekulskiAttacker
1Assists
Dani Pacheco
Dani PachecoMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

Iban Salvador
Iban SalvadorAttacker
70
W. Nowak
W. NowakMidfielder
50
Ł. Sekulski
Ł. SekulskiAttacker
30
A. Edmundsson
A. EdmundssonDefender
30
Dani Pacheco
Dani PachecoMidfielder
20
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź

Top Scorers

S. Bergier
S. BergierAttacker
10Goals
Fran Álvarez
Fran ÁlvarezAttacker
5Goals
J. Shehu
J. ShehuMidfielder
4Goals
P. Therkildsen
P. TherkildsenDefender
1Goals
Ángel Baena
Ángel BaenaMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

Fran Álvarez
Fran ÁlvarezAttacker
3Assists
J. Shehu
J. ShehuMidfielder
3Assists
P. Therkildsen
P. TherkildsenDefender
2Assists
M. Krajewski
M. KrajewskiDefender
2Assists
Ángel Baena
Ángel BaenaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

J. Shehu
J. ShehuMidfielder
60
M. Fornalczyk
M. FornalczykMidfielder
60
Visus
VisusDefender
50
S. Bergier
S. BergierAttacker
31
Ángel Baena
Ángel BaenaMidfielder
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Wisla Plock
WLLLL
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game1.9
Scored Avg0.6
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

14 MarWat Cracovia Krakow2-1
9 MarLvs Arka Gdynia0-3
2 MarLat Zaglebie Lubin0-2
21 FebLat Legia Warszawa1-2
14 FebLvs Widzew Łódź0-2
Widzew Łódź
DWLDW
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game1.7
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

15 MarDat Arka Gdynia0-0
7 MarWvs Lech Poznan2-1
28 FebLat Pogon Szczecin0-1
20 FebDvs Cracovia Krakow0-0
14 FebWat Wisla Plock2-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals2.25
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 1.5 Goals100%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Wisla Plock30.75 per game
Widzew Łódź61.5 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Wisla Plock0 (0%)
Widzew Łódź1 (25%)
14 Feb 2026EkstraklasaWisla Plock0-2Widzew Łódź
9 Aug 2025EkstraklasaWidzew Łódź1-1Wisla Plock
13 Mar 2023EkstraklasaWisla Plock1-1Widzew Łódź
27 Aug 2022EkstraklasaWidzew Łódź2-1Wisla Plock