Athens Derby
Super League 1

Athens Derby Predictions — AEK Athens FC — Panathinaikos

Athens Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

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No upcoming Athens Derby match scheduled yet

Head to Head (All-time · 47 matches)

17AEK Athens FC
14Draws
16Panathinaikos
Total matches47
Avg goals/match2.1
Goals53 - 47
BTTS %40%
Over 2.540%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — AEK Athens FC
4-0
AEK Athens FC — Panathinaikos · 18 Jan 26
Biggest Win — Panathinaikos
3-0
Panathinaikos — AEK Athens FC · 27 Feb 22
Highest Scoring Match
2-3
Panathinaikos — AEK Athens FC · 30 Nov 25
Longest Win Streaks
2 in a row
3 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
5 matches
4 matches

Most Common Scorelines

0-0
8×
1-0
6×
1-1
5×
1-2
4×
0-1
4×
2-0
3×

Goals by Time Period

12
0-15'
17
16-30'
18
31-45'
11
46-60'
22
61-75'
20
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1L. JovicActive7
2S. Leto4
3L. GarciaActive4
4F. Ioannidis4
5S. Araújo3
6M. Berg3
7Nélson Oliveira3
8F. Macheda3
9Aitor Cantalapiedra3
10O. Pineda3

Venue Stats

At AEK Athens FC home
23P
13HW
6D
4AW
34-15Goals
At Panathinaikos home
24P
12HW
8D
4AW
32-19Goals

Results by Season

20260W0D1W0-2▼
20253W1D0W9-3▼
20241W0D3W4-6▼
20232W1D1W8-5▼
20221W2D1W2-2▼
20211W2D1W2-4▼
20201W2D1W4-4▼
20192W1D1W7-5▼
20180W2D0W0-0▼
20171W1D0W4-1▼
20161W1D2W3-4▼
20152W1D1W4-4▼
20120W0D2W0-3▼
20112W0D2W6-4▼

Current Form

AEK Athens FC
LLWLL
1W 0D 4L · 9-13
Lvs Real Madrid2-3
L@ Panathinaikos0-2
Wvs Panetolikos5-0
L@ Manchester City1-5
L@ Shakhtar Donetsk1-3
Panathinaikos
WWWWW
5W 0D 0L · 15-3
Wvs CSKA Sofia2-1
Wvs AEK Athens FC2-0
W@ Volos NFC1-0
W@ Kairat Almaty5-1
Wvs Asteras Tripolis5-1

Upcoming Fixtures

AEK Athens FC
8 Nov 26AEK Athens FC — LevadiakosSuper League 1
21 Nov 26Kalamata — AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
Panathinaikos
8 Nov 26Iraklis 1908 — PanathinaikosSuper League 1

League Standings

Panathinaikos#1
24Pts
8W
0D
1L
20-4Goals
WWWLW
AEK Athens FC#4
17Pts
5W
2D
1L
21-5Goals
LWWWD

Recent Meetings

1 Nov 26Panathinaikos2 - 0AEK Athens FC
10 May 26AEK Athens FC2 - 1Panathinaikos
3 May 26Panathinaikos0 - 0AEK Athens FC
18 Jan 26AEK Athens FC4 - 0Panathinaikos
30 Nov 25Panathinaikos2 - 3AEK Athens FC
4 May 25AEK Athens FC1 - 2Panathinaikos
6 Apr 25Panathinaikos3 - 1AEK Athens FC
19 Jan 25Panathinaikos1 - 0AEK Athens FC
29 Sept 24AEK Athens FC2 - 0Panathinaikos
24 Apr 24AEK Athens FC3 - 0Panathinaikos
3 Apr 24Panathinaikos2 - 1AEK Athens FC
14 Jan 24AEK Athens FC2 - 2Panathinaikos
25 Sept 23Panathinaikos1 - 2AEK Athens FC
30 Apr 23Panathinaikos0 - 0AEK Athens FC
19 Mar 23AEK Athens FC0 - 0Panathinaikos
8 Jan 23AEK Athens FC1 - 0Panathinaikos
11 Sept 22Panathinaikos2 - 1AEK Athens FC
8 May 22AEK Athens FC0 - 0Panathinaikos
13 Mar 22Panathinaikos1 - 1AEK Athens FC
27 Feb 22Panathinaikos3 - 0AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos Predictions & Stats

Athens Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

Four Points, One City: The High Stakes Behind Athens Derby

Four points separate Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC at the summit of Super League 1, making this Athens Derby far more than a symbolic contest. Panathinaikos sit second with 21 points, while third-placed AEK remain unbeaten with 17. The league positions underline contrasting strengths: Panathinaikos have won seven and lost once, whereas AEK have drawn twice and not lost. Recent form amplifies the tension, with Panathinaikos arriving after four consecutive victories and AEK victorious in three of their last five matches.

The appeal of the Athens Derby lies in the concentration of Greek football’s capital identity into one fixture. AEK Athens FC and Panathinaikos are not merely regular opponents; they are the two sides through which the city’s sporting rivalry is expressed. Every decision, duel and goal carries added weight because the clubs share the same urban landscape and the same passionate constituency. For Panathinaikos, the priority is preserving their advantage at the top. For AEK, the challenge is converting defensive resilience into enough victories to climb past their rivals.

Yet the recent head-to-head record offers no excuse for either side. Across 46 competitive matches covering the last decade and a half, AEK have won 17, Panathinaikos 15 and 14 have ended level. AEK’s 53 goals narrowly exceed Panathinaikos’ 45, while the average match contains 2.1 goals. Both teams have also found a way to keep this rivalry tight: AEK’s unbeaten run reached five matches, compared with four for Panathinaikos, while the latter produced the longer winning streak of three.

That balance should not be mistaken for predictability. Only 41% of these meetings have featured both teams scoring, and the same proportion have produced more than 2.5 goals, indicating a derby frequently defined by caution. Eight scoreless draws are the most common individual result, although 1-0 has appeared six times. Goal timing also suggests that any breakthrough can transform the contest: 42 goals were scored after the 60th minute, compared with 28 before halftime. Current AEK striker L. Jovic leads the supplied scoring chart with seven goals, while L. Garcia’s four adds further weight to AEK’s threat. The numbers capture the essence of Athens Derby: Panathinaikos hold the sharper league form, AEK carry the stronger unbeaten record, and recent history suggests neither can claim control.

History: AEK’s Narrow Edge in a Tightly Contested Rivalry

Over the last decade and a half of competitive Athens Derby football, AEK Athens FC have held a slim but meaningful advantage. Across 46 meetings, AEK won 17 times, Panathinaikos 15, with 14 draws. The goals scored—53 for AEK and 45 for Panathinaikos—reinforce that impression: neither side has established lasting supremacy, but AEK have generally produced the more forceful return.

My verdict is that this is a rivalry defined by narrow margins rather than sustained dominance. The scoreline of 4-0 is AEK’s largest win in the supplied recent sample, while Panathinaikos’ corresponding advantage came in a 3-0 victory. Yet those emphatic results belong within a much tighter overall pattern. AEK’s longest winning streak was two matches and their longest unbeaten run five; Panathinaikos’ best sequences were three wins and four matches unbeaten. The balance has therefore repeatedly shifted without either club creating a runaway era.

From stability to AEK’s advantage

The earliest phase of the season-by-season record was closely balanced. Panathinaikos led the 2016 season with two victories from four meetings, before AEK responded with a win in 2017. The following year brought two draws and no winners, illustrating how difficult the rivalry has often been to separate. AEK then gained the upper hand in 2019 with two wins, compared with one for Panathinaikos, although one of their meetings was drawn.

From 2020 through 2022, the derby settled into an almost immovable stalemate. Each season produced one victory apiece and two draws. In that stretch, AEK’s 4-0 and Panathinaikos’ 3-0 away victories arrived as isolated peaks rather than evidence of prolonged control. The sequence confirms the broader statistical picture: eight of the listed scorelines were 0-0, and five were 1-1. With both BTTS and Over 2.5 registering at 41%, tactical caution and close contests have been central to the rivalry’s recent character.

Panathinaikos’ 2024 surge

Panathinaikos’ clearest period of dominance came in 2024, when they won all three listed meetings without conceding a draw. The recent match record supports that reading: Panathinaikos won 2-1 at AEK before adding 3-0 and 2-0 successes, the latter two also appearing among AEK’s heaviest victories in the subsequent 2026 entries. The turnaround was sharp rather than gradual, and it temporarily gave the titleholders a psychological and competitive edge.

Yet the 2025 season summary marks a decisive reversal. AEK won three of four meetings, with Panathinaikos winning none and the remaining contest ending in a draw. The listed encounters from that phase included AEK victories of 3-2 away and 2-1 at home, while Panathinaikos also navigated a run of away wins—2-1, 3-1 and 1-0. This was not simple home-field separation; it was two forceful teams capable of imposing themselves through contrasting methods.

Recent history belongs to AEK

Across the ten most recent meetings provided, AEK won five, Panathinaikos four and one match was drawn. AEK’s 4-0 victory stands as the largest result in that sequence, while their 3-2 win produced the highest combined scoring total. Panathinaikos nevertheless maintain excellent recent form, arriving on four wins from five and sitting second on 21 points, compared with AEK’s third place on 17.

The conclusion is clear: AEK own the finer historical margin, but Panathinaikos are currently the more efficient side. AEK’s home record of 13 wins, six draws and four defeats is stronger than Panathinaikos’ 11 wins, eight draws and four losses, although both have been secure away from home. Current AEK forward L. Jovic leads the scoring charts with seven goals, with current teammate L. Garcia on four, giving the yellow-and-black attack substantial recent pedigree. Still, a 17-15-14 ledger offers no room for complacency. In this derby, momentum matters more than statistical comfort, and the balance can change within a single month.

Iconic Moments

AEK Athens FC 4-0 Panathinaikos — 18 January 2026

The 4-0 victory stands as AEK Athens FC’s biggest win in the recent history of the Athens Derby. Four goals without reply represented ruthless efficiency and a emphatic shift in momentum, especially when set against Panathinaikos’ narrow victory in the corresponding meeting earlier in January. This was not merely another success; the margin established AEK as the dominant side in one of the rivalry’s most emphatic recent performances. The result also formed part of a sequence in which AEK repeatedly answered close contests with greater attacking force.

Panathinaikos 2-3 AEK Athens FC — 30 November 2025

With five goals scored, the 3-2 result was the highest-scoring match in the recent head-to-head record. The action promised a major confrontation, and it delivered an outcome that captures the tension of the Athens Derby: neither side offered enough defensive control to turn the contest into a routine victory. AEK’s willingness to attack was decisive, but Panathinaikos’ two goals ensured that the advantage could not be treated as comfortable. For AEK, this was an important precursor to the 4-0 showdown that followed.

Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens FC — 3 May 2026

Four days before their next meeting, Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC produced the opposite spectacle to the five-goal thriller: a goalless draw. The blank score carried its own significance. After AEK’s emphatic 4-0 victory, this was the clearest indication that the derby cannot be reduced to a single hierarchy or result. A draw denied either club a breakthrough, preserved the uncertainty and ensured that AEK’s superiority in the previous meeting would not remove the edge from this rivalry.

AEK Athens FC 2-1 Panathinaikos — 10 May 2026

The 2-1 result completed a compelling week for the Athens Derby and gave AEK Athens FC another statement victory. The scoreline was narrower than the 4-0 win five days earlier, yet its timing made it equally valuable. AEK followed a goalless draw with a win over the same opponent, demonstrating an ability to regain control when the contest proved less open. Across the five most recent meetings listed, AEK recorded three victories, Panathinaikos won once and the draw completed the pattern. This latest success reinforced AEK’s strong recent head-to-head position without erasing the rivalry’s capacity for surprises.

Panathinaikos 3-0 AEK Athens FC — 27 February 2022

The 3-0 victory ranks as Panathinaikos’ biggest win in the recent history of the Athens Derby. It is the benchmark against which the club’s subsequent defeats must be measured, particularly AEK’s 4-0 response in January 2026. Panathinaikos produced a clean-sheet victory at home, but the margin also exposed how quickly momentum can change in this fixture. AEK later reversed the psychological picture with emphatic wins of 3-0 and 2-1 in 2024, while Panathinaikos’ 3-1 success in April 2025 confirmed that the derby remains capable of shifting from one club’s strongest day to the other’s.

Key Players: Current Output and Historical Scoring Weight

AEK Athens FC: Jovic Leads the Present-Day Scoring Charge

Among the players identified as active AEK Athens FC squad members, L. Jovic is the clear statistical centre of attention. His seven goals make him the leading scorer in the supplied recent Athens Derby scoring sample, and they give AEK’s current attacking contingent a tangible edge in a fixture where marginal moments can decide the outcome. Jovic’s contribution is especially important because the numbers reflect direct production in the derby itself, rather than general form or reputation elsewhere.

L. Garcia adds another layer to AEK’s current threat with four goals. His contribution also highlights how the recent scoring hierarchy is distributed: Jovic stands alone at the summit, but Garcia’s return is meaningful in a rivalry defined by narrow margins. The two active players in AEK’s group account for eleven goals between them, giving the club’s present generation a substantial share of the listed derby output. That does not guarantee success against Panathinaikos, but it establishes AEK as the side with the stronger documented current scoring presence.

Panathinaikos: A Historic Scoring Line Without a Listed Active Standout

There are no players marked as active from Panathinaikos in the supplied top-scorers list. That absence matters: the historical scoring numbers can identify the club’s past derby contributors, but they cannot be used to name a current Panathinaikos threat. Without an active player to anchor the section, Panathinaikos’ case rests on the weight of former figures rather than any claim about the present squad’s finishing record.

S. Leto and F. Ioannidis each scored four goals in the recent derby sample, making them joint contributors behind the leading total. Their records illustrate the danger Panathinaikos has historically posed, while M. Berg and F. Macheda added three goals apiece. Those four former players form a notable group in the club’s recent Athens Derby scoring narrative, but their past production must not be confused with current availability or influence.

The comparison is therefore revealing rather than symmetrical. AEK can point to active scoring figures in Jovic and Garcia, with seven and four goals respectively. Panathinaikos’ documented contributors are historical names from the same recent sample, led by Leto and Ioannidis on four goals, without a listed active scorer to carry that lineage forward. In a derby where every goal carries extra significance, AEK currently owns the stronger statistical platform, while Panathinaikos will need its present squad to match the kind of derby productivity previously supplied by its leading figures.

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