Review Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional Matchday 22 Review 2026

Alexey Andrianov Alexey Andrianov 5 min read 1528 Jul 2026
Primera Nacional Matchday 22 Review 2026

The 22nd round of the Primera Nacional delivered 32 goals across 18 fixtures, with home teams claiming the majority of victories. Deportivo Moron recorded the standout result of the weekend with a commanding 4-0 victory over Ferro Carril Oeste, while the fixture list produced four goalless draws involving All Boys, Defensores de Belgrano, Los Andes, Deportivo Madryn, San Miguel, Acassuso, Atletico Mitre, and Almirante Brown.

Temperley and Chaco For Ever secured valuable away wins against San Martin Tucuman and Colon Santa Fe respectively, while Gimnasia Jujuy, Racing Cordoba, and Godoy Cruz all claimed maximum points on home soil. Colegiales and Almagro also celebrated away successes against Quilmes and Atlanta, contributing to an entertaining round of Argentine football action.

Matchday 22 Prediction Report Card

The 2026/27 Primera Nacional season continued with Matchday 22, and the prediction model endured a challenging round. The 1X2 accuracy settled at 44 percent, translating to eight correct outcomes from 18 matches. While this falls below the preferred threshold, the overall betting metrics told a somewhat different story. Over/Under selections delivered at a 56 percent rate, and Both Teams To Score predictions performed stronger at 61 percent, suggesting that while exact outcome calls proved difficult, broader match dynamics were captured more reliably.

Several upsets derailed the prediction record. The most costly miss came at Estadio Liberti, where Deportivo Moron dismantled Ferro Carril Oeste 4-0 despite a draw forecast. This result highlighted the volatility inherent in mid-table Primera Nacional fixtures. Two home teams also failed to convert in defensive stalemates that ended 0-0: All Boys against Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel versus Acassuso. Both matches were predicted as home victories, but neither side could break through organized low-block defenses.

A cluster of away wins compounded the difficulties. Temperley secured a 2-1 victory at San Martin Tucuman, Chaco For Ever took all three points from Colon Santa Fe with a 1-0 result, and Colegiales upset Quilmes away. Atletico Mitre also frustrated predictions with a 0-0 draw against Almirante Brown that was tipped as a home win. The silver lining emerged from a string of correct home predictions that held firm: Tristan Suarez, Atletico DE Rafaela, Agropecuario, Gimnasia Jujuy, Midland, Racing Cordoba, Godoy Cruz, and Gimnasia Y Tiro all justified their status as favorites with narrow victories. The data confirms that this round rewarded teams who converted limited chances rather than those dominating territory, a pattern worth monitoring in subsequent Matchday 23 preparations.

Surprise Results Define Matchday 22

Matchday 22 of the Primera Nacional delivered two major surprises that defied the pre-match predictions. Almagro traveled to face Atlanta and secured a convincing 3-1 victory, despite Atlanta being the predicted winner at 59 percent. The visitors' clinical performance saw them leave with all three points, overturning the expected outcome and handing Atlanta a home defeat. Similarly, Deportivo Moron hosted Ferro Carril Oeste and produced a dominant display, winning 4-0, despite the draw being the favoured result at 31 percent. Ferro Carril Oeste's defence was breached repeatedly, making this one of the round's most unexpected scorelines.

The magnitude of Deportivo Moron's victory stands out as particularly noteworthy. A four-goal margin represents a comprehensive triumph and suggests Ferro Carril Oeste struggled to contain the home side's attacking momentum throughout the match. While Deportivo Moron was not expected to win with such authority, the final result reflects their ability to convert chances when opportunities arose. The defeat leaves Ferro Carril Oeste with significant concerns after conceding four goals on their away trip.

On the other side of the spectrum, Godoy Cruz and Racing Cordoba both fulfilled their roles as pre-match favourites. Godoy Cruz claimed a 2-1 victory over Central Norte, justifying their 35 percent favouritism in a closely contested match. Racing Cordoba also delivered as expected, defeating San Telmo 2-1 despite the relatively modest 55 percent probability assigned to them. Both home sides demonstrated composure to secure maximum points and maintain consistency with the analytical projections.

The round illustrates the unpredictable nature of the Primera Nacional, where even well-supported favourites can falter. Almagro's upset at Atlanta's expense and Deportivo Moron's emphatic win over Ferro Carril Oeste highlight how underdogs can capitalise on home advantage and momentum. Meanwhile, the successful predictions for Godoy Cruz and Racing Cordoba show that certain teams maintain reliability, offering valuable insights for analysts tracking performance patterns across the season.

How the Round Reshaped the Primera Nacional Landscape

The Matchday 22 results introduced subtle but meaningful shifts in the Primera Nacional standings. Ferro Carril Oeste maintained their position at the summit with 43 points, though their lead has been trimmed as Gimnasia Jujuy closed the gap to just two points following their latest victory. The top of the table now presents a fascinating scenario where neither club appears willing to concede ground, setting the stage for continued tension between these two promotion contenders.

Behind the leaders, Deportivo Moron's three-point haul elevated them to 38 points, placing them firmly in the conversation for direct promotion spots. Temperley, meanwhile, settled for a share of the spoils and remain three points adrift on 37. The margin separating these sides from the upper echelons remains navigable, meaning both clubs possess realistic opportunities to mount serious challenges in the remaining fixtures. Colon Santa Fe and Atlanta continue their own pursuit, separated by a single point as they jostle for position within touching distance of the top half.

With the season firmly in progress, the Primera Nacional presents a compressed and fiercely competitive picture. Ferro Carril Oeste's buffer at the summit has diminished, while Gimnasia Jujuy's momentum signals they intend to apply sustained pressure. The battle for promotion places remains exceptionally tight, with any slip from the leading pack immediately inviting opportunism from those lurking just behind. Teams must now treat every fixture as pivotal, knowing that cumulative points will determine who secures the most coveted destinations come the campaign's conclusion.

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey AndrianovFounder & Lead Analyst

Founder of Football Predictions — an AI-powered football analysis platform covering 180+ leagues worldwide. Each forecast is generated by our prediction engine and editorially reviewed.

60.3% Our Pick Win Rate 16179 Predictions Tracked 30+ Years Experience

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