Review UEFA Nations League

League A - 5: A High-Scoring Nations League Round

Alexey Andrianov Alexey Andrianov 5 min read 015 Nov 2026
League A - 5: A High-Scoring Nations League Round

League A - 5 produced a compelling run of international football, with each of the eight listed matches delivering a winner and the round generating 32 goals in total. Türkiye opened the scoring against Belgium but lost 1-2, while Italy produced one of the round’s strongest attacking displays in a 3-1 victory over France. Spain also made emphatic progress, defeating Czechia 2-0, and England secured a close 1-2? No: England beat Croatia 2-1.

The action continued at a high level elsewhere. Germany claimed a 3-1 win over Serbia, and the Netherlands delivered the round’s biggest result by defeating Greece 7-0. Norway added another clear result with a 3-1 victory over Wales, while Denmark concluded the round with an impressive attacking performance to beat Portugal 4-1. Across the eight matches, the outcomes ranged from narrow one-goal contests to the Netherlands’ seven-goal win over Greece, with goals arriving in every listed fixture.

This League A - 5 round stands out for its variety and attacking energy. Belgium, Italy, Spain, England, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway and Denmark all emerged victorious, while the four-goal displays from the Netherlands and Denmark supplied the clearest evidence of the round’s attacking character. The 32 goals underlined the value of the action, producing a memorable set of scorelines across UEFA Nations League League A - 5.

UEFA Nations League League A - 5 Prediction Scorecard

Our 1X2 predictions delivered a strong return across the eight matches, with six correct selections for an accuracy rate of 75%. We successfully backed Belgium to beat Türkiye 2-1, Spain to beat Czechia 2-0, England to beat Croatia 2-1, Germany to beat Serbia 3-1, the Netherlands to beat Greece 7-0, and Norway to beat Wales 3-1. The misses came in the 3-1 result between Italy and France and the 4-1 result between Portugal and Denmark, meaning our two unsuccessful calls were the only exceptions in an otherwise productive round.

The Over/Under and BTTS categories both recorded 88% accuracy, further strengthening the quality of our predictions beyond the 1X2 market. These figures show that our assessment of the matches was consistently strong, with only two of the eight total predictions falling short in each of those two categories. The combination of a 75% 1X2 rate with 88% in both Over/Under and BTTS indicates that the round was handled effectively across several dimensions of the match analysis.

The range of scorelines also shows that our approach did not depend on one narrow type of result. Correct calls included Belgium’s 2-1 win over Türkiye, Spain’s 2-0 victory against Czechia, England’s 2-1 win over Croatia, Germany’s 3-1 success against Serbia, the Netherlands’ 7-0 win over Greece, and Norway’s 3-1 victory against Wales. Of the eight listed matches, six produced selections that matched the result, while our only two 1X2 misses were Italy versus France and Portugal versus Denmark. Overall, the scorecard reflects a successful round supported by strong returns in all three recorded prediction categories.

Netherlands and Germany lead a round of emphatic Nations League results

The standout result was the Netherlands’ 7-0 victory over Greece, the highest-scoring outcome among the four matches. Their 61% pre-match prediction was correct, although the winning margin and seven goals produced a notably emphatic performance. Portugal then offered the sharpest contrast, losing 1-4 to Denmark after a prediction of one goal had been given a 60% chance of success.

Denmark’s win was especially notable because it overturned the forecast for Portugal. The 4-1 scoreline produced a clear away victory and one of the round’s strongest attacking displays. Alongside the Netherlands’ success, it showed that the round delivered several decisive margins rather than closely balanced contests.

Norway also secured a correct prediction with a 3-1 victory over Wales. The forecast had carried a 76% chance of success, matching the outcome of the match. Norway’s win places them among the round’s notable victors, while Wales were left to reflect on a two-goal defeat.

Germany completed the group of successful predictions by beating Serbia 3-1, also at a forecast probability of 76%. Like Norway, Germany collected a two-goal winning margin and therefore finished the round with a comfortable result. Across the four matches, the Netherlands, Norway and Germany all received correct predictions, while Portugal’s 1-4 loss was the sole incorrect forecast.

Round five leaves Spain clear at the summit

Following round five, Spain sit at the top of the updated standings with 15 points from five matches. Their unbeaten record of five wins explains the advantage, while Portugal and England are level on 12 points after four wins and one defeat. The Netherlands occupy a strong position with 11 points, having taken three wins and two draws, and Italy complete the leading group on 10 points.

The narrow margins make the standings notably competitive. Spain hold a three-point lead over Portugal and England, but only four points separate them from Italy, who have drawn once and lost once. The Netherlands have conceded more ground than Spain despite remaining unbeaten, with two draws preventing them from opening a wider gap. Greece, meanwhile, have made steady progress with eight points from two wins, two draws and one defeat.

The challenge ahead is maintaining consistency rather than relying on one exceptional result. Spain’s five wins provide the strongest foundation, but Portugal and England are only one defeat behind them and could close the gap quickly if they reproduce their winning totals. The Netherlands and Italy also remain within touching distance of the upper positions, while every additional point could become significant in such a compressed table. Greece’s eight-point total gives their campaign momentum, although the distance to the leading group means each match now carries greater weight.

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey AndrianovFounder & Lead Analyst

Founder of Football Predictions — an AI-powered football analysis platform covering 180+ leagues worldwide. Each forecast is generated by our prediction engine and editorially reviewed.

60.3% Our Pick Win Rate 16179 Predictions Tracked 30+ Years Experience

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