Wales
FAW ChampionshipRound 5
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Baglan DragonsDrawCaerau (Ely)
Match Result
Caerau (Ely)
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams Score
Yes
65%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
20Draws
5
2.86Avg Goals
43%BTTS
71%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Baglan Dragons0-5Caerau (Ely)
17 Sept 2025Caerau (Ely)2-1Baglan Dragons
22 Aug 2025Caerau (Ely)1-0Baglan Dragons
11 Jan 2025Baglan Dragons2-1Caerau (Ely)
1 Nov 2024Caerau (Ely)2-1Baglan Dragons
Frequently Asked Questions
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Caerau (Ely) with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (70% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
Both teams to score: Yes (65% confidence).
When and where is Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) played?
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) takes place on 28 Aug 2026.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 6 | |
| 2 |  Carmarthen Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 3 |  Pontypridd Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 4 |  Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 5 |  Afan Lido | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3 | |
| 6 |  Aberystwyth Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | |
| 7 |  Newport City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 | |
| 8 |  Pontardawe Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | |
| 12 |  Cardiff Draconians | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 13 |  llanelli AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | |
| 15 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | |
| 16 |  Llantwit Major | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Baglan DragonsLLDDL
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 0.6 |
| Win % | 10% |
| Goals/Game | 2.8 |
| Scored Avg | 0.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 2.4 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 70% |
Recent Matches
9 AugLvs Swansea University0-3
31 JulDat Trethomas Bluebirds0-0
18 AprDvs Trethomas Bluebirds1-1
3 AprLat Cambrian & Clydach0-2
28 MarLvs Carmarthen Town0-7
Caerau (Ely)WWDLD
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 2.1 |
| Win % | 60% |
| Goals/Game | 3.3 |
| Scored Avg | 2.6 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
7 AugDvs Ynyshir Albions1-1
1 AugLat Carmarthen Town3-4
18 AprDat Pontypridd Town0-0
4 AprWvs Ynyshir Albions2-0
28 MarWat Llantwit Major4-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 7 |
| Average Goals | 2.86 |
| BTTS | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 86% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 6 | 0.86 per game |
| Caerau (Ely) | 14 | 2 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1 (14%) |
| Caerau (Ely) | 3 (43%) |
14 Mar 2026FAW ChampionshipBaglan Dragons0-5Caerau (Ely)
17 Sept 2025FAW ChampionshipCaerau (Ely)2-1Baglan Dragons
22 Aug 2025FAW ChampionshipCaerau (Ely)1-0Baglan Dragons
11 Jan 2025FAW ChampionshipBaglan Dragons2-1Caerau (Ely)
1 Nov 2024FAW ChampionshipCaerau (Ely)2-1Baglan Dragons
20 Jan 2024FAW ChampionshipBaglan Dragons2-0Caerau (Ely)
6 Oct 2023FAW ChampionshipCaerau (Ely)3-0Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons — Upcoming Predictions
Caerau (Ely) — Upcoming Predictions
FAW Championship — Predictions
Carmarthen TownVS
Afan LidoO/U
Under 2.5
60%
Trethomas BluebirdsVS
Caerau (Ely)AH
Away -0.25
79%
Ruthin TownVS
Denbigh TownAH
Away -0.50
72%
Bangor City 1876 FCVS
LlanuwchllynDC
DC 1X
66%
Buckley TownVS
PorthmadogDC
DC 1X
95%
Mold AlexandraVS
Holyhead HotspurDC
DC 1X
95%
Newtown AFCVS
GuilsfieldDC
DC 1X
95%
PenrhyncochVS
Bala TownDC
DC 1X
66%
RhylVS
CaerswsDC
DC 1X
90%
Cardiff DraconiansVS
Pontypridd TownDC
DC 1X
90%