Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 14
Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Cerro LargoDrawProgreso
Match Result
Cerro Largo
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
43Draws
0
1.71Avg Goals
43%BTTS
29%Over 2.5
3 May 2026Progreso0-1Cerro Largo
7 Feb 2025Cerro Largo4-1Progreso
4 Jun 2024Progreso0-1Cerro Largo
19 Jun 2021Progreso0-0Cerro Largo
12 Sept 2020Progreso1-2Cerro Largo
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Our model predicts Cerro Largo with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Both teams to score: Yes (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Cerro Largo vs Progreso have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Cerro Largo vs Progreso played?
Cerro Largo vs Progreso takes place on 12 Nov 2026 at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 30 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 28 | |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 22 | |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 19 | |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 | |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 | |
| 13 |  Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 | |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 | |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Cerro LargoLLDWL
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 0.6 |
| Win % | 10% |
| Goals/Game | 2.1 |
| Scored Avg | 0.7 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.4 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
31 OctLat Racing Montevideo1-3
25 OctWvs Boston River2-0
16 OctDat Cerro1-1
11 OctLvs Albion FC0-1
4 OctLat Danubio1-2
ProgresoLDWWL
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.9 |
| Win % | 60% |
| Goals/Game | 2.4 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.1 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
1 NovLvs Defensor Sporting0-2
25 OctWat Wanderers1-0
17 OctWvs Juventud2-0
10 OctDat Penarol1-1
3 OctLat Liverpool Montevideo2-3
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 7 |
| Average Goals | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 43% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 9 | 1.29 per game |
| Progreso | 3 | 0.43 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 4 (57%) |
| Progreso | 2 (29%) |
3 May 2026Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Cerro Largo
7 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónCerro Largo4-1Progreso
4 Jun 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Cerro Largo
19 Jun 2021Primera DivisiónProgreso0-0Cerro Largo
12 Sept 2020Primera DivisiónProgreso1-2Cerro Largo
19 May 2019Primera DivisiónCerro Largo0-0Progreso
16 Sept 2012Primera DivisiónCerro Largo1-1Progreso
Primera División — Predictions
Atletico TorqueVS
Racing MontevideoDC
DC X2
90%
Central EspanolVS
Boston RiverDC
DC X2
90%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
CerroDC
DC 1X
90%
Club NacionalVS
Albion FCDC
DC 1X
90%
DanubioVS
Liverpool MontevideoDC
DC X2
90%
Defensor SportingVS
PenarolDC
DC X2
90%
WanderersVS
JuventudDC
DC X2
90%