Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 14
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
Match Result
Penarol
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
22Draws
8
2.33Avg Goals
42%BTTS
42%Over 2.5
24 May 2026Defensor Sporting0-2Penarol
4 May 2026Penarol1-1Defensor Sporting
7 Jun 2025Penarol3-0Defensor Sporting
3 May 2025Defensor Sporting0-1Penarol
27 Jul 2024Penarol1-0Defensor Sporting
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?
Our model predicts Penarol with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Defensor Sporting vs Penarol have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?
Both teams to score: Yes (58% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Defensor Sporting vs Penarol played?
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol takes place on 15 Nov 2026 at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 30 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 28 | |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 22 | |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 22 | |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 19 | |
| 7 |  Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 | |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 | |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 | |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Defensor SportingLLLDW
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 1.1 |
| Win % | 30% |
| Goals/Game | 3.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.5 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.7 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
1 NovWat Progreso2-0
24 OctDvs Racing Montevideo3-3
17 OctLat Boston River0-1
10 OctLvs Cerro2-3
3 OctLat Albion FC2-3
PenarolWDLDD
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 1.9 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.5 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
31 OctDvs Wanderers1-1
23 OctDat Juventud0-0
18 OctLat Liverpool Montevideo0-1
10 OctDvs Progreso1-1
4 OctWat Racing Montevideo1-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 12 |
| Average Goals | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 8 | 0.67 per game |
| Penarol | 20 | 1.67 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 1 (8%) |
| Penarol | 6 (50%) |
24 May 2026Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting0-2Penarol
4 May 2026Primera DivisiónPenarol1-1Defensor Sporting
7 Jun 2025Primera DivisiónPenarol3-0Defensor Sporting
3 May 2025Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting0-1Penarol
27 Jul 2024Primera DivisiónPenarol1-0Defensor Sporting
18 May 2024Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting0-2Penarol
23 Jul 2023Primera DivisiónPenarol2-1Defensor Sporting
25 Feb 2023Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting2-2Penarol
13 Feb 2022Primera DivisiónPenarol0-1Defensor Sporting
23 Feb 2020Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting2-1Penarol
17 Feb 2019Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting0-1Penarol
5 May 2018Primera DivisiónPenarol4-1Defensor Sporting
Primera División — Predictions
Cerro LargoVS
ProgresoDC
DC 1X
90%
Atletico TorqueVS
Racing MontevideoDC
DC X2
90%
Central EspanolVS
Boston RiverDC
DC X2
90%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
CerroDC
DC 1X
90%
Club NacionalVS
Albion FCDC
DC 1X
90%
DanubioVS
Liverpool MontevideoDC
DC X2
90%
WanderersVS
JuventudDC
DC X2
90%