ItalyItaly
Serie ASerie A
Round 6

Como vs AS Roma Prediction & Betting Tips

11 Oct 2026
10:30
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Our prediction: Como — Win (37%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.51
62%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

37%
27%
36%
ComoDrawAS Roma
Match Result
Como
@ 2.25
38%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.64
58%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.29
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.25
@ 2.10
48%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.20
39%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 6.08
16.4%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 7.50
13.3%

Additional Markets

Total Corners
Under 9.5
@ 1.47
62.2%
Anytime Goal Scorer
Donyell Malen
48.8%@ 2.05
Moise Kean
40.0%@ 2.50
Santiago Castro
36.4%@ 2.75
Anastasios Douvikas
36.4%@ 2.75
Nicolas Paz
34.7%@ 2.88
Paulo Dybala
33.3%@ 3.00
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
12 min read

AS Roma travel to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Matchday 6 holding a commanding position at Serie A's summit. The capital club arrives with a flawless four-game winning streak and 13 points from five matches, establishing themselves as early frontrunners for the Scudetto. Como, meanwhile, sit co...

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Key Statistics

Como2
0Draws
2AS Roma
2.25Avg Goals
50%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2026Como2-1AS Roma
15 Dec 2025AS Roma1-0Como
2 Mar 2025AS Roma2-1Como
15 Dec 2024Como2-0AS Roma
View all H2H matches

Betting Odds

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet2.693.702.68
Bet3651.833.501.83
Betano1.853.551.90

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Como vs AS Roma — match prediction & preview
Como
WWWWL
Recent formvs
AS Roma
WWDWD

Roma's Title Pursuit Meets Resurgent Como at Sinigaglia

AS Roma travel to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Matchday 6 holding a commanding position at Serie A's summit. The capital club arrives with a flawless four-game winning streak and 13 points from five matches, establishing themselves as early frontrunners for the Scudetto. Como, meanwhile, sit comfortably in eighth place with 10 points, their three victories marking a promising start to their top-flight return. The clash presents a fascinating contrast in ambitions as Roma seek to extend their perfect record while Como aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table.

The visitors from Rome carry considerably more riding on this fixture than their hosts. Currently sitting atop the standings, Roma enter as clear favourites in the title race and will be determined to maintain their imperious form. Their recent domestic run of four consecutive wins speaks to a squad firing on all cylinders. For Como, the objective appears more measured — continuing their solid start without the immediate pressure of a title charge. Yet with both sides facing another fixture in just three days' time, rotation decisions could significantly influence the tactical approach each manager adopts for Sunday's encounter.

Kickoff is scheduled for 11:30 BST on Sunday, with Bet365 pricing the match at Como 2.55, the draw at 3.4, and AS Roma at 2.6 in the 1X2 market. The narrow favourite pricing reflects Roma's superior league position and winning momentum, though Como's home advantage and surprisingly strong start mean the hosts cannot be dismissed lightly. The extended rest both squads have enjoyed should ensure a competitive contest between two teams in confident mood.

Team News and Probable Lineups

Both clubs approach this Serie A fixture with contrasting attacking threats that will likely dictate the tactical framework. Roma's forward line is led by D. Malen, who has shown his goal-scoring instincts with three goals this season to establish himself as the club's primary attacking outlet. The Dutch international's pace and ability to find space in behind defenses will test the Como backline throughout the contest. Supporting him, P. Dybala offers creativity and the vision to unlock tight defenses with his range of passing and technical quality. For Como, the offensive burden falls mainly on T. Douvikas, who has scored once this season and will look to add to that tally against Roma's defense.

The projected Como lineup operates in a 4-3-3 formation, with J. Butez anticipated between the posts. The defensive unit comprises Álex Valle at left-back, T. Chalobah and Jacobo Ramón Naveros as the central pairing, and Yan Couto on the right flank. The midfield engine room features Luis Milla, N. Paz, and Jesús Rodríguez, tasked with controlling the center of the pitch and transitioning the ball quickly to the forwards. In attack, Assane Diao and L. da Cunha flank T. Douvikas, providing width and direct running that could expose gaps in Roma's defensive structure.

Roma's likely starting eleven features M. Svilar in goal behind a back four of G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, Hermoso, and K. Koulierakis. The midfield foundation consists of E. Lulli, B. Cristante, and Wesley, who will look to disrupt Como's build-up play while establishing territorial advantage. The attacking trio of P. Dybala, D. Malen, and Rodrigo Mora completes the 4-3-3 shape, combining pace, creativity, and finishing ability. The collision between Como's possession-based approach and Roma's transition threat sets up an intriguing contest across all areas of the pitch, with both sets of players aiming to impose their preferred style on the encounter.

Can Como Neutralise Roma's Momentum at the Sinigaglia?

AS Roma head to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia sitting top of the Serie A table with 13 points from five matches, buoyed by four wins in their last four league outings. Their recent form reads DWWWW, suggesting a side that has found a consistent rhythm both in transition and when controlling possession in the final third. For Como, who arrive in eighth place with 10 points and a mixed recent record of LWWWD, the challenge lies in disrupting Roma's structures without exposing themselves to counter-attacks. The visitors' momentum represents a significant tactical hurdle, particularly given that Roma have strong motivation playing within the Champions League league stage context, which sharpens their competitive edge for every domestic fixture.

Rotation considerations add a layer of complexity to both camps. With each side playing again in three days in another competition, starting elevens may not reflect peak intensity, potentially creating spaces in midfield channels that the fresher side could exploit. Roma's approach likely focuses on maintaining territorial dominance through patient build-up play, while Como must balance defensive discipline with moments of ambition on the counter. The visitors, with 22 days of rest compared to Como's 21, hold a marginal physical advantage that could prove decisive in the closing stages if the match remains tightly contested.

Bet365 price this match at Como 2.55, the draw at 3.4, and AS Roma at 2.6 in the 1X2 market. The tight pricing reflects the competitive nature of the fixture, though Roma's superior league position and superior recent form make them the more likely aggressors. Como's task is to frustrate Roma's build-up, force turnovers in dangerous areas, and exploit any spaces left behind by players pushed forward in search of a breakthrough. Whether Como can execute that plan against a side chasing the title remains the central tactical puzzle ahead of kickoff at 11:30 BST on Sunday.

Recent H2H History Between Como and AS Roma

The rivalry between Como and AS Roma has produced an even split in recent encounters, with both clubs claiming two victories each across their last four meetings. Neither side has managed to establish clear dominance in this fixture, as every clash between them has produced a decisive outcome without a single draw.

Goal-scoring patterns reveal an average of 2.25 goals per match, indicating moderately attacking contests. The 50% BTTS (Both Teams To Score) rate adds another layer of complexity, suggesting exactly half of their recent meetings have seen both clubs find the net. This inconsistency makes predicting goal-scoring outcomes particularly challenging for this matchup.

Each club has enjoyed home success in this sequence. Como secured victory at their home ground with a 2-1 scoreline in March 2026, while AS Roma claimed a 1-0 win at home in December 2025. This home advantage pattern suggests venue may play a significant role when these sides next meet.

Form Guide: Can Como Spring a Surprise Against Serie A Leaders Roma?

AS Roma travel to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia sitting atop the Serie A standings with 13 points from four wins and a draw, showcasing remarkable consistency over their opening five fixtures. The visitors arrive on the back of a sequence that reads DWDWW, with their most recent outing producing a thrilling 2-2 draw against Inter that underlined their ability to compete against the division's heavyweights. Claudio Ranieri's side demonstrated their clinical edge by securing a 4-0 victory away to Lecce and followed that with a composed 2-0 win on the road at Torino, suggesting they possess the defensive discipline and attacking firepower required to handle the pressure of leading the table.

The attacking metrics for Roma make for formidable reading, with the Giallorossi averaging 2.6 goals per match across their last ten fixtures while conceding a mere 0.6 goals on average. Their clean sheet percentage stands at an impressive 60 percent, indicating a well-organised defensive unit that frustrates opponents. In the final third, Roma have shown versatility across multiple competition fronts, recording a 2-1 home win against Atalanta alongside a creditable 1-1 draw away to Fenerbahçe in European competition. With eight wins from their last ten matches across all competitions, Roma approach Matchday 6 with significant momentum and a psychological edge over their opponents.

Como occupy eighth position in the Serie A table with 10 points, and their recent form suggests they are capable of causing problems for the league leaders despite sitting lower in the standings. The hosts' last ten results read W7 D2 L1, and their current sequence of LWWWW indicates a team that has recovered sharply from a recent setback. A 0-2 defeat away to Frosinone ended a four-match winning streak, but Cesc Fabregas's side responded with victories against Parma (2-1 at home), a dominant 4-1 success against RB Leipzig, and back-to-back 4-1 and 2-1 wins on the road against Genoa and Napoli respectively. Those results demonstrate that Como possess genuine quality going forward, averaging 1.9 goals per match across their recent fixtures.

However, the statistical comparison reveals a considerable gap between the sides. Roma hold advantages of 57 percent to 43 percent in overall form, 61 percent to 39 percent in attacking metrics, and a commanding 67 percent to 33 percent in defensive efficiency. Como's clean sheet record of 30 percent and BTTS percentage of 60 percent suggest vulnerabilities at the back that Roma's prolific attack, averaging 2.6 goals per game, will look to exploit. The contrast between Roma's watertight defensive structure and Como's tendency to concede sets the stage for an intriguing tactical battle at the Sinigaglia.

Roma Head to Como as Narrow Favourites Amid Tight Odds Landscape

Serie A leaders AS Roma travel to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Matchday 6 to face a resurgent Como side sitting eighth in the table with 10 points from four games. The visitors arrive in imperious form, unbeaten in four matches with four wins and a draw, while Como have shown impressive early-season mettle with three victories. The 1X2 market presents fascinating value, with the draw priced at 3.4 (implied 26.9% probability) and both teams separated by minimal favouritism despite their contrasting league positions. At those odds, the bookmakers effectively consider this a coin-flip between the sides, though Roma's superior record warrants closer examination of where the genuine value lies for punters seeking an edge over the market.

Our model assigns a 38% confidence rating to a Como victory, representing the highest probability in the 1X2 spectrum but still marginally below the implied 36.6% threshold. This modest divergence suggests value exists on the home side, particularly given their strong home form and the psychological boost of playing at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. The best available odds for a home win stand at 2.69 with 1xBet, offering punters enhanced returns compared to the standard market price of 2.5. For those seeking greater coverage, the double chance 12 market (either team to win) carries 37% confidence and eliminates the draw from the equation, which may appeal to more risk-averse bettors uncomfortable with the narrow margins separating these two competitive squads.

Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent this season, and our goals analysis points strongly toward Over 2.5 goals at 57% confidence. This projection aligns with Roma's free-scoring form and Como's willingness to push forward in home fixtures. The BTTS market reinforces this outlook, with yes commanding 60% confidence — the highest-rated selection in our prediction portfolio. Given Roma's perfect four-game unbeaten start and Como's three wins from four matches, a goal-scoring spectacle appears increasingly likely, making both the goals and BTTS markets compelling alternatives to the tight 1X2 margins.

For value-focused punters, the standout opportunities emerge in the goals-related markets rather than the match result. BTTS yes at 60% confidence represents our highest conviction pick, with Over 2.5 goals providing slightly more conservative coverage at 57%. Those preferring match result punts should consider backing Como at 2.69 with 1xBet, where the best price available provides meaningful value over the standard 2.5 market offering. The draw at 3.4 presents interesting each-way potential given how closely the odds reflect the genuine 50/50 nature of this contest between two sides in excellent early-season form.

Alternative Betting Angles for Como vs Roma

For punters seeking value beyond the standard 1X2 market, the Correct Score market presents an intriguing option with the most likely outcome projected at a 2:1 scoreline. This particular result carries odds of 7.50 and a confidence rating of 13%, reflecting both Roma's strong attacking capabilities and the potential for Como to find the net at home. While the probability may appear modest, the odds compensate for the uncertainty, making it a viable option for those looking to combine it within a multi-bet accumulator. The 2:1 result aligns with Roma's dominant league position and suggests a scenario where they control proceedings but leave room for Como to pose a genuine threat on the counter-attack.

The Corners market offers a more statistically grounded opportunity, with under 9.5 corners carrying odds of 1.38 and a commanding confidence level of 65%. This high confidence stems from tactical analysis suggesting a controlled, possession-based approach from Roma rather than a chaotic, end-to-end encounter. With both teams understanding the stakes of Matchday 6 in Serie A, expect a measured performance that prioritizes defensive solidity over relentless attacking pressure. The odds may appear short, but the 65% confidence makes this one of the most reliable angles available for this fixture, particularly for risk-averse bettors building a portfolio of selections.

For individual recognition, the anytime goalscorer market features Donyell Malen as a standout pick at odds of 2.10 with 48% confidence. Malen's presence in the lineup provides Roma with pace and finishing ability, and his odds of 2.10 reflect a reasonable probability of finding the target during the 90 minutes. At near even money, this selection offers better value than simply backing Roma to win outright, combining team success with individual reward. Punters should monitor pre-match team news to confirm Malen's involvement from the start, as his impact could prove decisive in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A encounter at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Verdict: Como Can Test Roma's Title Credentials at Sinigaglia

Roma enter Matchday 6 sitting top of the Serie A standings with an unbeaten record and will face a Como side sitting eighth with ten points. The prediction data suggests a competitive encounter, with the double chance pick at 12 (37% confidence) indicating Roma are unlikely to suffer a heavy defeat, while the over 2.5 goals selection at 57% confidence points toward an entertaining contest. BTTS at 60% confidence adds weight to the expectation of goals at both ends, suggesting Roma's clinical attack will breach Como's defense despite the hosts' solid recent form. The match result pick of 1 (38% confidence) favors Roma as the likely winners, though the relatively modest confidence levels across all selections reflect the genuine competitive balance between these two in-form sides.

Our #1 PickYesBoth Teams to Score@1.54 · 60%
Best ValueComoMatch Result (1X2)@2.27 · 38%
Our Predictions: Como vs AS Roma — Como — Win (37%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

Como vs AS Roma: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Como with 38% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Como vs AS Roma have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (58% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Como vs AS Roma?
Both teams to score: Yes (62% confidence).
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Como vs AS Roma?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 37% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
What is the best bet for Como vs AS Roma?
Our top recommendation is Yes with 62% confidence.
When and where is Como vs AS Roma played?
Como vs AS Roma takes place on 11 Oct 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Additional Information

ComoComo

Top Scorers

T. Douvikas
T. DouvikasAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

No data
AS RomaAS Roma

Top Scorers

D. Malen
D. MalenAttacker
3Goals
N. Pisilli
N. PisilliMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

P. Dybala
P. DybalaAttacker
3Assists

Cards

Hermoso
HermosoDefender
10
M. Koné
M. KonéMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Como
WWWWL
10Played
7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.3
Win %70%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.9
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

20 SeptLat Frosinone0-2
14 SeptWvs Parma2-1
10 SeptWvs RB Leipzig4-1
4 SeptWat Genoa4-1
30 AugWat Napoli2-1
AS Roma
WWDWD
10Played
8Wins
2Draws
0Losses
Points/Game2.6
Win %80%
Goals/Game3.2
Scored Avg2.6
Conceded Avg0.6
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

19 SeptDvs Inter2-2
14 SeptWat Torino2-0
10 SeptDat Fenerbahçe1-1
5 SeptWvs Atalanta2-1
31 AugWat Lecce4-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals2.25
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Como51.25 per game
AS Roma41 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Como1 (25%)
AS Roma1 (25%)
15 Mar 2026Serie AComo2-1AS Roma
15 Dec 2025Serie AAS Roma1-0Como
2 Mar 2025Serie AAS Roma2-1Como
15 Dec 2024Serie AComo2-0AS Roma

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