EnglandEngland
ChampionshipChampionship
Round 18

Derby vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

28 Nov 2026
15:00
Pride Park, Derby

Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.

Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Confidence
Do you agree with this prediction?

Betting Tips

10%
45%
45%
DerbyDrawWatford
Match Result
Watford
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams Score
Yes
62%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Expert analysis is being prepared

Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.

Key Statistics

Derby5
1Draws
8Watford
3.36Avg Goals
71%BTTS
71%Over 2.5
21 Feb 2026Watford2-0Derby
22 Nov 2025Derby2-3Watford
18 Jan 2025Derby0-2Watford
24 Aug 2024Watford2-1Derby
19 Feb 2021Watford2-1Derby
View all H2H matches

Frequently Asked Questions

Derby vs Watford: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Watford with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Watford?
Both teams to score: Yes (62% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Derby vs Watford?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Derby vs Watford have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (52% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Derby vs Watford played?
Derby vs Watford takes place on 28 Nov 2026 at Pride Park.

Additional Information

DerbyDerby

Top Scorers

S. Szmodics
S. SzmodicsAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

C. Morris
C. MorrisAttacker
1Assists

Cards

A. Mowatt
A. MowattMidfielder
10
R. Brewster
R. BrewsterAttacker
10
S. Langås
S. LangåsDefender
10
WatfordWatford

Top Scorers

Amin Nabizada
Amin NabizadaMidfielder
1Goals
Iker Bravo
Iker BravoMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

Amin Nabizada
Amin NabizadaMidfielder
10
M. Pollock
M. PollockDefender
10
H. Kyprianou
H. KyprianouMidfielder
10
O. Maamma
O. MaammaMidfielder
10
M. Doumbia
M. DoumbiaAttacker
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Derby
LDLLW
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.6
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg2
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

6 NovWvs Bolton3-1
3 NovLvs Norwich0-4
31 OctLat Millwall1-4
24 OctDat Sheffield Utd1-1
17 OctLvs Stoke City0-1
Watford
WLLWD
10Played
3Wins
1Draws
6Losses
Points/Game1
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.6
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

7 NovDvs Middlesbrough0-0
3 NovWvs Lincoln1-0
31 OctLat Norwich2-3
24 OctLat Wolves0-1
17 OctWvs Charlton2-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches14
Average Goals3.36
BTTS71%
Over 2.5 Goals71%
Over 1.5 Goals86%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Derby231.64 per game
Watford241.71 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Derby1 (7%)
Watford3 (21%)
21 Feb 2026ChampionshipWatford2-0Derby
22 Nov 2025ChampionshipDerby2-3Watford
18 Jan 2025ChampionshipDerby0-2Watford
24 Aug 2024ChampionshipWatford2-1Derby
19 Feb 2021ChampionshipWatford2-1Derby
16 Oct 2020ChampionshipDerby0-1Watford
3 Apr 2015ChampionshipDerby2-2Watford
22 Nov 2014ChampionshipWatford1-2Derby
26 Apr 2014ChampionshipDerby4-2Watford
19 Oct 2013ChampionshipWatford2-3Derby
23 Feb 2013ChampionshipWatford2-1Derby
1 Sept 2012ChampionshipDerby5-1Watford
10 Mar 2012ChampionshipDerby1-2Watford
13 Aug 2011ChampionshipWatford0-1Derby

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