WalesWales
FAW ChampionshipFAW Championship
Round 26

Llantwit Major vs Ammanford AFC Prediction & Betting Tips

Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
2 : 3
FT

Betting Tips

37%
27%
36%
Llantwit MajorDrawAmmanford AFC
Match Result
Llantwit Major
37%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%
Double Chance
Home/Away
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.25
@ 2.06
49%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
4 min read

The picturesque surroundings of the Windmill Ground in Llantwit Major will serve as the backdrop for an intriguing clash between Llantwit Major and Ammanford AFC this Saturday. With both teams coming off recent successes, the atmosphere promises to be electric as they vie for valuable points in the ...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Llantwit Major
Llantwit Major have scored in each of their last 8 matches
Llantwit Major have conceded in each of their last 6 matches
Llantwit Major have scored all 4 penalties this season
Both teams scored in 12 of Llantwit Major's last 15 matches (80%)
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of Llantwit Major's last 15 matches (80%)
Llantwit Major have won just 3 of 15 away matches this season
Ammanford AFC
Ammanford AFC have received 3 red cards in 30 matches this season
Ammanford AFC have scored all 3 penalties this season
Ammanford AFC score 33% of their goals after the 75th minute (16 goals)
Ammanford AFC have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches (47%)

Key Statistics

Llantwit Major5
3Draws
6Ammanford AFC
2.79Avg Goals
64%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Llantwit Major2-3Ammanford AFC
8 Aug 2025Ammanford AFC2-1Llantwit Major
14 Sept 2024Llantwit Major1-0Ammanford AFC
6 Aug 2024Ammanford AFC1-2Llantwit Major
13 Jan 2024Ammanford AFC0-1Llantwit Major
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

The Windmill Ground Set to Host Exciting Battle Between Llantwit Major and Ammanford AFC

The picturesque surroundings of the Windmill Ground in Llantwit Major will serve as the backdrop for an intriguing clash between Llantwit Major and Ammanford AFC this Saturday. With both teams coming off recent successes, the atmosphere promises to be electric as they vie for valuable points in the FAW Championship.

Away Advantage: Not So Simple

The road to victory for visiting Ammanford AFC might seem straightforward, but the Windmill Ground has historically been a tough nut to crack for many teams. While Ammanford boasts a strong defense, Llantwit Major’s recent form suggests they won’t be easily subdued at home. The local support will be crucial for Llantwit Major, providing the energy needed to push for another win in front of their passionate fans.

Recent Momentum

Llantwit Major has been on a roll lately, earning three consecutive victories before dropping a game last time out. Their attacking prowess has seen them average 2.1 goals per match, while only conceding 1.2. This balanced performance makes them a formidable opponent for anyone, including Ammanford AFC. On the other hand, Ammanford AFC’s form is also impressive, with four wins and one loss in their last five outings. They’ve managed to keep things tight defensively, allowing just 0.8 goals per match, showcasing their solid backline.

Tactical Preview

In terms of tactics, both sides are likely to adopt formations that cater to their strengths. Llantwit Major might opt for a 4-3-3 setup, emphasizing their attack and quick transitions. This would allow them to exploit space and create opportunities through dynamic wing play and incisive passing. Meanwhile, Ammanford AFC could favor a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on compactness and organization. This formation enables them to maintain a strong midfield presence and provide solid cover for their defenders, making it harder for Llantwit Major to break them down.

Head-to-Head History

When looking at the head-to-head record, we see that the two teams are evenly matched, with each securing five wins in their last 13 encounters. Recent fixtures have shown that these battles can be closely contested, with an average of 2.62 goals per game. In addition, both teams scoring in a match is a common occurrence, happening in 62% of previous meetings. This indicates that fans can expect an exciting, goal-laden affair on Saturday.

Betting Analysis

Let's dive into the betting markets and see where the value lies:

  • Match Result (1X2): Bookmakers offer odds of 2.30 for a home win, 3.20 for a draw, and 2.70 for an away win. Implied probabilities suggest a slightly higher likelihood of a home win or a draw, giving us our preferred option of a home win or a draw (1X).
  • Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5): The over 2.5 goals market has odds of 1.80, while the under 2.5 goals stands at 2.00. Given the high-scoring nature of their recent encounters, we lean towards the over 2.5 goals being the way to go.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes is priced at 1.85, and no stands at 1.95. With a 59% confidence in both teams finding the net, we recommend backing the BTTS yes option.
  • Double Chance (1X, 12, 2X): Our preferred choice of 1X (home win or draw) has odds of 1.50, making it a strong value bet given the teams’ recent performances and home advantage.

The combination of favorable odds and historical trends make the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score markets particularly appealing. Additionally, the double chance of a home win or draw offers a safe and lucrative option for bettors.

Predictions and Conclusion

Based on the analysis, we predict a close and entertaining match with both teams showcasing their skills. We’re confident that Llantwit Major will secure at least a point, with a home win being the most likely outcome. Expect a total of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. These predictions come with 45%, 56%, and 59% confidence levels respectively, backed by the recent form and head-to-head history.

So, for those looking to place their bets, the best options would be to back a home win or draw, over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score. These choices align perfectly with the excitement and potential outcomes of this thrilling FAW Championship matchup.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1LlandudnoLlandudno3026227722+5580
2Airbus UKAirbus UK3024339322+7175
3HolywellHolywell3018667840+3860
4Newtown AFCNewtown AFC30153125149+248
5RhylRhyl30144124655-946
6GuilsfieldGuilsfield30134135048+243
7Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra30125133845-741
8Denbigh TownDenbigh Town30124145259-740
9CaerswsCaersws30114154651-537
10Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers30114153949-1037
11Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur30106144449-536
12PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch30105154553-835
13Buckley TownBuckley Town3093185077-2730
14Flint MountainFlint Mountain3092193961-2229
15Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3084184787-4028
16Ruthin TownRuthin Town3065193664-2823
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Llantwit Major
LDLLL
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %40%
Goals/Game4.2
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg2.2
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

18 AprLvs Cambrian & Clydach1-3
4 AprDat Aberystwyth Town2-2
28 MarLvs Caerau (Ely)1-4
20 MarLat Afan Lido1-4
14 MarLvs Ammanford AFC2-3
Ammanford AFC
WWWDW
10Played
7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.3
Win %70%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg2
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

18 AprWat Cwmbran Celtic2-1
3 AprWvs Newport City4-0
28 MarWat Treowen Stars5-1
24 MarDvs Cambrian & Clydach0-0
20 MarWvs Baglan Dragons1-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches14
Average Goals2.79
BTTS64%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals79%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Llantwit Major181.29 per game
Ammanford AFC211.5 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Llantwit Major4 (29%)
Ammanford AFC2 (14%)
14 Mar 2026FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major2-3Ammanford AFC
8 Aug 2025FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC2-1Llantwit Major
14 Sept 2024FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major1-0Ammanford AFC
6 Aug 2024FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC1-2Llantwit Major
13 Jan 2024FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC0-1Llantwit Major
21 Oct 2023FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major0-0Ammanford AFC
7 Apr 2023FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC3-2Llantwit Major
18 Mar 2023FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major1-1Ammanford AFC
26 Mar 2022FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major1-1Ammanford AFC
10 Aug 2021FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC1-3Llantwit Major
23 Nov 2019FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC4-1Llantwit Major
31 Aug 2019FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major1-3Ammanford AFC
13 Apr 2019FAW ChampionshipAmmanford AFC2-0Llantwit Major
10 Apr 2019FAW ChampionshipLlantwit Major2-0Ammanford AFC