Kenya
FKF Premier LeagueRound 7
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction: Nairobi United — Win (41%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: No.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
@ 1.42
64%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Nairobi UnitedDrawMara Sugar
Match Result
Nairobi United
@ 2.04
42%
Total Goals
Best ValueUnder 2.5
@ 1.42
64%
Both Teams Score
No
@ 1.61
57%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.26
36%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.25
@ 1.85
54%
Half Time
Draw
@ 1.86
48%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.00
20.0%
Correct Score
1:0
@ 6.00
16.7%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
11Draws
2
1.5Avg Goals
25%BTTS
0%Over 2.5
1 Apr 2026Nairobi United1-1Mara Sugar
1 Oct 2025Mara Sugar0-1Nairobi United
2 Jun 2024Mara Sugar1-0Nairobi United
16 Dec 2023Nairobi United0-2Mara Sugar
Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 2.89 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.88 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 2.89 | 3.12 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Nairobi United with 42% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar: what is our HT/FT tip?
Our HT/FT call is X/1 with 20% confidence.
How many goals will Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (64% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
Both teams to score: No (57% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 36% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar played?
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar takes place on 14 Nov 2026.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 12 | |
| 2 |  KCB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 7 | |
| 3 |  Murang'a SEAL | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6 | |
| 4 | Mara Sugar | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 5 |  AFC Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Shabana | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 7 |  APS Bomet | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | |
| 8 |  Kenya Police | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 9 |  Mathare United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 10 |  3K | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | |
| 11 |  Homeboyz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Posta Rangers FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 | |
| 13 |  Tusker | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Migori Youth | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Bandari | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 | |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Nairobi UnitedWDDDL
10Played
3Wins
5Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 1.4 |
| Win % | 30% |
| Goals/Game | 2.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.1 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.1 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
28 OctLat Murang'a SEAL2-3
25 OctDvs APS Bomet1-1
18 OctDat Shabana0-0
11 OctDvs KCB2-2
31 MayWat GOR Mahia1-0
Mara SugarLDWDD
10Played
3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.3 |
| Win % | 30% |
| Goals/Game | 1.6 |
| Scored Avg | 0.8 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.8 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
28 OctDvs AFC Leopards0-0
24 OctDat Ulinzi Stars0-0
19 OctWvs Mombasa Elite2-1
11 OctDat 3K2-2
31 MayLat Murang'a SEAL1-2
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 4 |
| Average Goals | 1.5 |
| BTTS | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 50% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 2 | 0.5 per game |
| Mara Sugar | 4 | 1 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 1 (25%) |
| Mara Sugar | 2 (50%) |
1 Apr 2026FKF Premier LeagueNairobi United1-1Mara Sugar
1 Oct 2025FKF Premier LeagueMara Sugar0-1Nairobi United
2 Jun 2024Super LeagueMara Sugar1-0Nairobi United
16 Dec 2023Super LeagueNairobi United0-2Mara Sugar
Nairobi United — Upcoming Predictions
Mara Sugar — Upcoming Predictions
FKF Premier League — Predictions
AFC LeopardsVS
HomeboyzO/U
Under 2.5
66%
Migori YouthVS
Mombasa EliteDC
DC X2
95%
APS BometVS
Murang'a SEALO/U
Under 2.5
60%
Nairobi UnitedVS
BandariO/U
Under 2.5
65%
3KVS
Nairobi UnitedDC
DC X2
90%
APS BometVS
Migori YouthDC
DC X2
90%
BandariVS
Mathare UnitedDC
DC 1X
90%
GOR MahiaVS
Mombasa EliteDC
DC 1X
90%
HomeboyzVS
ShabanaO/U
Under 2.5
70%
Mara SugarVS
Kenya PoliceDC
DC X2
90%