Mexico
Liga MXRound 4
Necaxa vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Our prediction: Necaxa — Win (42%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
@ 1.61
57%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
NecaxaDrawLeon
Match Result
Necaxa
@ 1.92
44%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.76
54%
Both Teams Score
Best ValueYes
@ 1.61
57%
Double Chance
Home/Away
@ 1.27
37%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.5
@ 2.15
47%
Half Time
Draw
@ 2.18
40%
HT/FT
Draw/Home
@ 5.30
18.9%
Correct Score
2:1
@ 7.50
13.3%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
32Draws
14
2.84Avg Goals
58%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
1 Mar 2026Leon2-1Necaxa
16 Aug 2025Necaxa0-1Leon
15 Mar 2025Necaxa2-1Leon
22 Jul 2024Leon1-1Necaxa
1 Apr 2024Necaxa1-2Leon
Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.65 | 3.55 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.48 | 3.06 |
| 888Sport | 1.57 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Necaxa vs Leon?
Our model predicts Necaxa with 44% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Necaxa vs Leon have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Leon?
Both teams to score: Yes (57% confidence).
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for Necaxa vs Leon?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 37% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
What is the best bet for Necaxa vs Leon?
Our top recommendation is Yes with 57% confidence.
When and where is Necaxa vs Leon played?
Necaxa vs Leon takes place on 18 Aug 2026 at Estadio Victoria.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 |  Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 3 |  Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 | |
| 7 |  Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | |
| 11 |  Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 | |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 | |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
NecaxaDLWWL
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.5 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 2.7 |
| Scored Avg | 1.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.4 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
3 AugLat Toluca1-3
26 JulWvs Monterrey2-1
17 JulWvs Atlante FC2-1
27 AprLat Cruz Azul1-4
23 AprDvs Guadalajara Chivas0-0
LeonLLLLW
10Played
5Wins
0Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 1.5 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 3.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.8 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
2 AugWvs CF Pachuca1-0
25 JulLat Club Tijuana0-1
18 JulLvs Atlas2-3
26 AprLat Toluca1-4
22 AprLvs Club America2-3
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 19 |
| Average Goals | 2.84 |
| BTTS | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 84% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 19 | 1 per game |
| Leon | 35 | 1.84 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1 (5%) |
| Leon | 7 (37%) |
1 Mar 2026Liga MXLeon2-1Necaxa
16 Aug 2025Liga MXNecaxa0-1Leon
15 Mar 2025Liga MXNecaxa2-1Leon
22 Jul 2024Liga MXLeon1-1Necaxa
1 Apr 2024Liga MXNecaxa1-2Leon
2 Sept 2023Liga MXLeon1-1Necaxa
17 Jan 2023Liga MXLeon2-1Necaxa
3 Sept 2022Liga MXNecaxa3-2Leon
26 Feb 2022Liga MXNecaxa0-1Leon
6 Nov 2021Liga MXLeon3-0Necaxa
16 Mar 2021Liga MXLeon3-1Necaxa
5 Sept 2020Liga MXNecaxa0-2Leon
22 Feb 2020Liga MXLeon2-1Necaxa
21 Sept 2019Liga MXNecaxa2-4Leon
7 Apr 2019Liga MXLeon2-1Necaxa
21 Oct 2018Liga MXNecaxa0-2Leon
28 Jan 2018Liga MXLeon0-4Necaxa
13 Aug 2017Liga MXNecaxa0-3Leon
15 Jan 2017Liga MXNecaxa0-1Leon
Liga MX — Predictions
Atlante FCVS
TolucaAH
Away -0.50
87%
MonterreyVS
FC Juarez1X2
Home
61%
AtlasVS
Tigres UANLAH
Away -0.25
74%
U.N.A.M. - PumasVS
Club Queretaro1X2
Home
58%
Club AmericaVS
Atletico San Luis1X2
Home
60%
Santos LagunaVS
Guadalajara ChivasAH
Away -0.50
85%
Club TijuanaVS
Cruz AzulAH
Away -0.25
70%