Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 10
Penarol vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Penarol
1 : 1
FT
Betting Tips
PenarolDrawProgreso
Match Result
Penarol
68%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams Score
No
56%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
43%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -1.50
@ 2.05
49%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
82Draws
0
2.7Avg Goals
60%BTTS
50%Over 2.5
10 Oct 2026Penarol1-1Progreso
4 Apr 2026Progreso0-2Penarol
1 Feb 2025Progreso1-3Penarol
22 Jun 2024Progreso0-2Penarol
23 May 2024Penarol3-1Progreso
Frequently Asked Questions
Penarol vs Progreso: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Penarol with 68% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Penarol vs Progreso: what is our Asian Handicap tip?
Our Asian Handicap call is Penarol -1.50 with 49% confidence.
How many goals will Penarol vs Progreso have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (51% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Progreso?
Both teams to score: No (56% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Penarol vs Progreso?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 43% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Penarol vs Progreso played?
Penarol vs Progreso takes place on 10 Oct 2026 at Estadio Centenario.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 30 | |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 29 | |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 22 | |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 22 | |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 20 | |
| 7 | Progreso | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 20 | |
| 8 |  Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 | |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 | |
| 13 |  Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Cerro Largo | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 | |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
PenarolWDLDD
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 1.9 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.5 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
31 OctDvs Wanderers1-1
23 OctDat Juventud0-0
18 OctLat Liverpool Montevideo0-1
10 OctDvs Progreso1-1
4 OctWat Racing Montevideo1-0
ProgresoDWWLD
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
| Points/Game | 1.7 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.7 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.3 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
12 NovDat Cerro Largo2-2
1 NovLvs Defensor Sporting0-2
25 OctWat Wanderers1-0
17 OctWvs Juventud2-0
10 OctDat Penarol1-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 10 |
| Average Goals | 2.7 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 20 | 2 per game |
| Progreso | 7 | 0.7 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Penarol | 4 (40%) |
| Progreso | 0 (0%) |
10 Oct 2026Primera DivisiónPenarol1-1Progreso
4 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónProgreso0-2Penarol
1 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónProgreso1-3Penarol
22 Jun 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso0-2Penarol
23 May 2024Primera DivisiónPenarol3-1Progreso
14 Aug 2021Primera DivisiónPenarol1-0Progreso
6 Oct 2020Primera DivisiónPenarol2-1Progreso
26 May 2019Primera DivisiónPenarol2-2Progreso
29 Apr 2018Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Penarol
17 Nov 2012Primera DivisiónProgreso1-3Penarol
Penarol — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
Central EspanolVS
Boston RiverAH
Away -0.25
66%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
Cerro1X2
Home
59%
Club NacionalVS
Albion FCDC
DC 1X
90%
DanubioVS
Liverpool MontevideoAH
Away -0.25
81%
Defensor SportingVS
PenarolAH
Away -0.50
84%
WanderersVS
JuventudO/U
Under 2.5
53%