Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 10
Penarol vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips
Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
PenarolDrawProgreso
Match Result
Penarol
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
59%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
81Draws
0
2.78Avg Goals
56%BTTS
56%Over 2.5
4 Apr 2026Progreso0-2Penarol
1 Feb 2025Progreso1-3Penarol
22 Jun 2024Progreso0-2Penarol
23 May 2024Penarol3-1Progreso
14 Aug 2021Penarol1-0Progreso
Frequently Asked Questions
Penarol vs Progreso: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Penarol with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Penarol vs Progreso have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Progreso?
Both teams to score: Yes (59% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Penarol vs Progreso?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Penarol vs Progreso played?
Penarol vs Progreso takes place on 10 Oct 2026.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Torque | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Cerro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Juventud | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 9 |  Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | |
| 10 | Progreso | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Cerro Largo | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Central Espanol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Danubio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Albion FC | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
PenarolLWWWW
10Played
8Wins
1Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 2.5 |
| Win % | 80% |
| Goals/Game | 3 |
| Scored Avg | 2.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.6 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
26 SeptWvs Boston River2-1
19 SeptWat Cerro2-1
13 SeptWvs Albion FC3-1
5 SeptWat Danubio4-0
30 AugLvs Club Nacional0-1
ProgresoWWLWW
10Played
5Wins
0Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 1.5 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2 |
| Scored Avg | 0.9 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.1 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
26 SeptWvs Racing Montevideo2-1
19 SeptWat Boston River2-1
13 SeptLvs Cerro1-3
7 SeptWat Albion FC1-0
29 AugWvs Danubio1-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 9 |
| Average Goals | 2.78 |
| BTTS | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 19 | 2.11 per game |
| Progreso | 6 | 0.67 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Penarol | 4 (44%) |
| Progreso | 0 (0%) |
4 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónProgreso0-2Penarol
1 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónProgreso1-3Penarol
22 Jun 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso0-2Penarol
23 May 2024Primera DivisiónPenarol3-1Progreso
14 Aug 2021Primera DivisiónPenarol1-0Progreso
6 Oct 2020Primera DivisiónPenarol2-1Progreso
26 May 2019Primera DivisiónPenarol2-2Progreso
29 Apr 2018Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Penarol
17 Nov 2012Primera DivisiónProgreso1-3Penarol
Penarol — Upcoming Predictions
Progreso — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
Atletico TorqueVS
PenarolAH
Away -0.25
68%
Liverpool MontevideoVS
Progreso1X2
Home
56%
Albion FCVS
Defensor SportingAH
Away -0.25
66%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
Central Espanol1X2
Home
57%
DanubioVS
Cerro LargoO/U
Under 2.5
60%
Boston RiverVS
JuventudAH
Away -0.25
66%
CerroVS
WanderersAH
Away -0.25
68%
Racing MontevideoVS
PenarolAH
Away -0.25
74%
Club NacionalVS
Atletico TorqueDC
DC 1X
70%
Deportivo MaldonadoVS
Liverpool MontevideoDC
DC 1X
90%