Spain
La LigaRound 8
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid
Our prediction: Real Madrid — Win (75%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Real Madrid
@ 1.21
76%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
Match Result
Real Madrid
@ 1.21
76%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
@ 1.24
75%
Both Teams Score
Best ValueYes
@ 1.55
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
@ 1.06
45%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -2
@ 2.02
50%
Half Time
Real Madrid
@ 1.55
56%
HT/FT
Home/Home
@ 1.59
62.9%
Correct Score
3:1
@ 7.50
13.3%
Additional Markets
Anytime Goal Scorer
Kylian Mbappe
71.4%@ 1.40
Carlos Espi
59.9%@ 1.67
Vinicius Jr.
51.3%@ 1.95
Endrick
47.6%@ 2.10
Yan Diomande
42.0%@ 2.38
Jude Bellingham
38.5%@ 2.60
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
107Draws
3
3.4Avg Goals
75%BTTS
70%Over 2.5
24 Jan 2026Villarreal0-2Real Madrid
4 Oct 2025Real Madrid3-1Villarreal
15 Mar 2025Villarreal1-2Real Madrid
5 Oct 2024Real Madrid2-0Villarreal
19 May 2024Villarreal4-4Real Madrid
Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 7.24 | 10.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 6.25 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 6.90 | 10.25 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Real Madrid with 76% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
What is the best bet for Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Our top recommendation is Yes with 60% confidence.
What scoreline is predicted for Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Our most likely correct score is 3:1 (13.3% implied probability).
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: what is our Asian Handicap tip?
Our Asian Handicap call is Real Madrid -2 with 50% confidence.
What is the Half Time prediction for Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Our Half Time call is Real Madrid with 56% confidence.
When and where is Real Madrid vs Villarreal played?
Real Madrid vs Villarreal takes place on 10 Oct 2026 at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.
Additional Information
Real MadridTop Scorers
J. BellinghamMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
A. GülerMidfielder
1Assists
Cards
Vinícius JúniorMidfielder
10
VillarrealTop Scorers
N. PépéMidfielder
1Goals
P. GueyeMidfielder
1Goals
Top Assists
Alberto MoleiroMidfielder
1Assists
G. MikautadzeAttacker
1Assists
Cards
P. GueyeMidfielder
10
S. MouriñoDefender
10
J. FoythDefender
10
Carlos RomeroDefender
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Real MadridLWWWL
10Played
8Wins
0Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 2.4 |
| Win % | 80% |
| Goals/Game | 3.6 |
| Scored Avg | 2.5 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.1 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
20 SeptLat Atletico Madrid1-2
15 SeptWat Elche3-2
12 SeptWvs Rayo Vallecano4-1
8 SeptWvs Inter2-1
4 SeptLat Real Betis0-1
VillarrealLLLWW
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 1.1 |
| Win % | 30% |
| Goals/Game | 3.8 |
| Scored Avg | 2 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.8 |
| BTTS | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
20 SeptWvs Levante3-1
17 SeptWat Malaga3-1
14 SeptLvs Real Betis1-2
8 SeptLat Borussia Dortmund2-3
5 SeptLvs Deportivo La Coruna2-3
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 20 |
| Average Goals | 3.4 |
| BTTS | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 85% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 40 | 2 per game |
| Villarreal | 28 | 1.4 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 4 (20%) |
| Villarreal | 3 (15%) |
24 Jan 2026La LigaVillarreal0-2Real Madrid
4 Oct 2025La LigaReal Madrid3-1Villarreal
15 Mar 2025La LigaVillarreal1-2Real Madrid
5 Oct 2024La LigaReal Madrid2-0Villarreal
19 May 2024La LigaVillarreal4-4Real Madrid
17 Dec 2023La LigaReal Madrid4-1Villarreal
8 Apr 2023La LigaReal Madrid2-3Villarreal
19 Jan 2023Copa del ReyVillarreal2-3Real Madrid
7 Jan 2023La LigaVillarreal2-1Real Madrid
12 Feb 2022La LigaVillarreal0-0Real Madrid
25 Sept 2021La LigaReal Madrid0-0Villarreal
22 May 2021La LigaReal Madrid2-1Villarreal
21 Nov 2020La LigaVillarreal1-1Real Madrid
16 Jul 2020La LigaReal Madrid2-1Villarreal
1 Sept 2019La LigaVillarreal2-2Real Madrid
5 May 2019La LigaReal Madrid3-2Villarreal
3 Jan 2019La LigaVillarreal2-2Real Madrid
19 May 2018La LigaVillarreal2-2Real Madrid
13 Jan 2018La LigaReal Madrid0-1Villarreal
26 Feb 2017La LigaVillarreal2-3Real Madrid