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FAW ChampionshipFAW Championship
Round 21

Treowen Stars vs Baglan Dragons Prediction & Betting Tips

Bush Park, Newbridge
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
4 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

45%
45%
10%
Treowen StarsDrawBaglan Dragons
Match Result
Treowen Stars
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
4 min read

Bush Park in Newbridge will come alive on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, as Treowen Stars take on Baglan Dragons in a pivotal match of the FAW Championship. The home team, Treowen Stars, will be looking to capitalize on their strong support and local advantage to secure another win in their quest for a to...

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Match Facts

Treowen Stars
Treowen Stars have conceded in each of their last 11 matches
Treowen Stars have received 7 red cards in 30 matches this season
Treowen Stars score 72% of their goals in the second half
Over 2.5 goals in 11 of Treowen Stars's last 15 matches (73%)
Treowen Stars concede 2.1 goals per game (63 in 30)
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons have received 6 red cards in 31 matches this season
Baglan Dragons failed to score in 15 of 31 matches (48%)
Baglan Dragons score 72% of their goals in the first half
Baglan Dragons have won just 2 of 16 away matches this season
Baglan Dragons score 28% of their goals in the first 15 minutes (7 goals)
Baglan Dragons conceded in the first half in 11 of their last 15 matches (73%)

Key Statistics

Treowen Stars2
0Draws
0Baglan Dragons
6Avg Goals
100%BTTS
100%Over 2.5
17 Mar 2026Treowen Stars4-1Baglan Dragons
24 Oct 2025Baglan Dragons3-4Treowen Stars
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Treowen Stars vs Baglan Dragons: Bush Park Set for Exciting Clash

Bush Park in Newbridge will come alive on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, as Treowen Stars take on Baglan Dragons in a pivotal match of the FAW Championship. The home team, Treowen Stars, will be looking to capitalize on their strong support and local advantage to secure another win in their quest for a top spot in the league. Meanwhile, Baglan Dragons will be hoping to disrupt the home side’s momentum and earn a crucial point or even a victory.

Match Context and Significance

The match between Treowen Stars and Baglan Dragons carries significant weight for both teams in their respective journeys within the FAW Championship. For Treowen Stars, a win would bolster their position in the South division and maintain their strong performance over recent weeks. On the other hand, Baglan Dragons, though currently facing some challenges, will see this game as an opportunity to shake off their recent poor run of form and gain valuable points.

Recent Momentum

Taking a look at the form tables, Treowen Stars have shown impressive resilience with a pattern of LDLDW over their last five matches. Despite not having won consistently, they've managed to pick up draws and narrow losses, indicating that they're competitive and capable of holding their own against tough opposition. Conversely, Baglan Dragons have endured a tougher stretch with WLLLL in their most recent outings. However, their solitary win in this period suggests they still possess the ability to produce standout performances when conditions align.

Current State of Play

In terms of goal-scoring prowess, Treowen Stars average 1.6 goals per game, while Baglan Dragons lag slightly behind with an average of just 0.9 goals. Defensively, Treowen Stars concede an average of 1.6 goals, nearly matching their scoring rate, whereas Baglan Dragons tend to leak more goals, conceding 1.9 per match. These statistics hint at a potential high-scoring encounter, given the attacking intent of both teams and the relatively porous defenses.

Tactical Preview

While specific formation details aren’t provided, Treowen Stars’ recent form and goal-scoring record suggest they may adopt a balanced approach, aiming to control possession and exploit gaps in the opposition defense through swift transitions. Baglan Dragons might opt for a more direct style, relying on their forwards to create chances and capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents. This contrast in playing styles could make for an entertaining and unpredictable matchup.

Head-to-Head History

Looking back at recent encounters, Treowen Stars hold a clear upper hand, having claimed victory in their last meeting against Baglan Dragons. That game, played on October 24, 2025, saw Treowen Stars triumph with a convincing 4-3 scoreline, highlighting their ability to outscore and outplay their rivals. With both teams showing varying degrees of consistency and struggle, this head-to-head record serves as a positive indicator for Treowen Stars, who might be favored to replicate their previous success.

Betting Analysis

When examining the betting markets, Treowen Stars appear to be the favorites for the match, with odds suggesting a 45% chance of a home victory. The total goals market has odds favoring over 2.5 goals, indicating that bettors expect a lively and open contest. Both teams scoring seems highly probable, with a 60% likelihood according to the betting odds. In terms of double chance, Treowen Stars or a draw (1X) stands at 90%, reflecting the belief that Baglan Dragons will struggle to secure an outright win.

Our Predictions

Based on the statistical trends and head-to-head record, we predict that Treowen Stars will emerge victorious, albeit with a relatively narrow margin. The odds favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring point towards an exciting and closely contested match. Given the higher probability of Treowen Stars securing at least a draw, the double chance (1X) offers excellent value for those looking to hedge their bets.

Best Bets Summary

In summary, our best bets for the Treowen Stars vs Baglan Dragons match on March 17, 2026, would be:

  • Match Result: Treowen Stars (45%)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 (50%)
  • Both Teams Score: Yes (60%)
  • Double Chance: Treowen Stars or Draw (90%)

These predictions take into account the teams' recent performances, historical matchups, and current form, making them well-rounded choices for those interested in backing the likely outcomes of this thrilling FAW Championship clash.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
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2Airbus UKAirbus UK3024339322+7175
3HolywellHolywell3018667840+3860
4Newtown AFCNewtown AFC30153125149+248
5RhylRhyl30144124655-946
6GuilsfieldGuilsfield30134135048+243
7Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra30125133845-741
8Denbigh TownDenbigh Town30124145259-740
9CaerswsCaersws30114154651-537
10Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers30114153949-1037
11Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur30106144449-536
12PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch30105154553-835
13Buckley TownBuckley Town3093185077-2730
14Flint MountainFlint Mountain3092193961-2229
15Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3084184787-4028
16Ruthin TownRuthin Town3065193664-2823
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Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Treowen Stars
WLLLW
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %30%
Goals/Game4.4
Scored Avg1.8
Conceded Avg2.6
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

18 AprWvs Carmarthen Town4-1
3 AprLat Trefelin0-6
28 MarLvs Ammanford AFC1-5
23 MarLvs Afan Lido0-1
20 MarWat Newport City3-2
Baglan Dragons
DLLDL
10Played
1Wins
2Draws
7Losses
Points/Game0.5
Win %10%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg0.4
Conceded Avg2.6
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score70%

Recent Matches

18 AprDvs Trethomas Bluebirds1-1
3 AprLat Cambrian & Clydach0-2
28 MarLvs Carmarthen Town0-7
24 MarDvs Cwmbran Celtic0-0
20 MarLat Ammanford AFC0-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches2
Average Goals6
BTTS100%
Over 2.5 Goals100%
Over 1.5 Goals100%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Treowen Stars84 per game
Baglan Dragons42 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Treowen Stars0 (0%)
Baglan Dragons0 (0%)
17 Mar 2026FAW ChampionshipTreowen Stars4-1Baglan Dragons
24 Oct 2025FAW ChampionshipBaglan Dragons3-4Treowen Stars