Türkiye Kupası Matchday 4 Review 2026: Surprises & Key Results

The fourth matchday of Türkiye Kupası in 2026 was packed with drama, unexpected results, and high-octane football. Goals flowed in most fixtures, with several matches featuring multiple strikes and last-minute twists. The standout result was Trabzonspor's emphatic 4-2 victory over Başakşehir, signaling their intent to challenge deeper into the competition. Meanwhile, giants like Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş secured comfortable wins, reaffirming their status as tournament favorites. On the defensive side, İstanbulspor and Bodrum FK delivered scoreless draws, demonstrating the unpredictability and tightness of knockout football at this stage. Overall, the round was a perfect reminder of why cup competitions captivate fans—the underdog stories, the tactical battles, and the high stakes created an electrifying atmosphere.

Our Prediction Scorecard: Hitting and Missing

Overall, we achieved a solid 67% accuracy on 1X2 predictions, correctly forecasting 8 out of 12 matches. Our Over/Under predictions reflected a 58% success rate, and the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) predictions matched that at 58%, showcasing our balanced approach and some head-scratching misses. Notably, our confidence in some underdog outcomes paid off, but there were a few surprises where predictions fell short. This round reaffirmed that in knockout football, unpredictability is king — even the best forecasts can be overturned by tactical surprises or individual brilliance.

Most Notable Results in Detail

• Trabzonspor 4-2 Başakşehir: A stunning display of attacking football, Trabzonspor’s victory was one of the standout results. We correctly predicted the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, but underestimated Trabzonspor’s offensive potency, expecting a closer contest. Their aggressive approach and clinical finishing made this a game to remember.
• Fethiyespor 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük: Our correct prediction for Fatih Karagümrük’s win proved justified, as they dominated the match. While we missed on the over/under and BTTS markets, this solid result underscores their potential to make a deep run this season.
• Alanyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray: A tight affair that confirmed Galatasaray’s resilience, and our prediction for an away win was spot on. The game showcased Galatasaray’s attacking rise, with a decisive victory that could boost their confidence moving forward.

Biggest Surprises: When Predictions Went Wrong

• Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 1-0 Kocaelispor: An underdog triumph that defied our high-confidence prediction for Kocaelispor to win easily. Their disciplined defense and a late winner exemplify why cup competitions are unpredictable.
• Konyaspor 2-1 Eyüpspor: We expected Eyüpspor to capitalize on their form but Konyaspor’s tactical masterclass and goal in stoppage time turned the fixture on its head, catching many off guard.
• Bodrum FK 0-0 Iğdır FK: A defensive stalemate where Bodrum FK’s lack of scoring kept the game nil-nil, contradicting our expectation of an over 2.5 total goals prediction.

Best Calls: Where We Nailed It

• Galatasaray’s Win and Goals: Our prediction of an away victory with over 2.5 goals and BTTS was spot on, reflecting their attacking form.
• Beşiktaş’s Dominance: Correctly forecasted their 4-1 win over Rizespor, as they showcased their offensive strength early in the season.
• Erzurumspor FK’s High-Scoring Win: Our over 2.5 goals prediction was accurate, highlighting Erzurumspor’s attacking style this season.

Standings Impact: Shaping the Road Ahead

The results have reshuffled the knockout stage picture. Trabzonspor’s big win propels them into a strong position, while giants like Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş maintain their momentum. Underdog success stories, like Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı, inject excitement into the tournament, hinting at potential upsets ahead. The round’s outcomes will influence seedings and strategic planning for the next phase, promising a tense and unpredictable quarterfinal route.

Looking Ahead: What’s Next for Türkiye Kupası?

As we move into the next matchdays, teams will turn their focus toward consolidating their positions, with some eyeing revenge and others aiming for deep runs. The unpredictability of this season’s cup means expect more surprises, tactical battles, and thrilling football. Stay tuned for our detailed preview and predictions, as the competition promises to stay as unpredictable and exciting as ever.