RussiaRussia
First LeagueFirst League
Round 24

Ural vs Arsenal Tula Prediction & Betting Tips

15 Mar 2026
2-0
Full Time
Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Ural
2 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

55%
25%
20%
UralDrawArsenal Tula
Match Result
Ural
55%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
53%
Both Teams Score
No
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
40%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.75
@ 1.84
54%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
5 min read

The upcoming clash between Ural and Arsenal Tula in the First League promises to be a pivotal moment for both sides as they look to solidify their positions in the race for promotion. With Ural currently sitting in second place and Arsenal Tula fighting to stay out of the relegation zone, the stakes...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Ural
Ural have received 3 red cards in 29 matches this season
Ural have kept 14 clean sheets in 29 matches (48%)
Ural have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 home games (57%)
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula have scored all 4 penalties this season
Arsenal Tula concede 28% of goals in the first 15 minutes (10 goals)
Both teams scored in 11 of Arsenal Tula's last 15 matches (73%)

Key Statistics

Ural6
6Draws
4Arsenal Tula
2.06Avg Goals
50%BTTS
31%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2026Ural2-0Arsenal Tula
24 Oct 2025Arsenal Tula1-2Ural
24 Mar 2025Ural0-0Arsenal Tula
16 Sept 2024Arsenal Tula1-0Ural
21 May 2022Arsenal Tula1-2Ural
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst
75% Accuracy
20+ Years Experience
5.5k Predictions

Ural vs Arsenal Tula: First League Battle Heating Up

The upcoming clash between Ural and Arsenal Tula in the First League promises to be a pivotal moment for both sides as they look to solidify their positions in the race for promotion. With Ural currently sitting in second place and Arsenal Tula fighting to stay out of the relegation zone, the stakes couldn’t be higher. As we delve into the details of this match, let's explore what makes this encounter so compelling and what factors might influence the outcome.

Match Context and Significance

This match is a meeting of contrasting fortunes within the First League. Ural, with their consistent performance throughout the season, are aiming to maintain their strong position and potentially leapfrog the top team if they can secure enough points. On the other hand, Arsenal Tula faces the challenge of climbing up the table and avoiding a precarious finish to the campaign. The encounter at Yekaterinburg Arena will be crucial for both teams, setting the stage for a competitive and exciting match.

Recent Momentum

Ural's recent form has been steady, with a run of one draw and two wins in their last five games. This consistency has allowed them to remain near the top of the First League. Conversely, Arsenal Tula's recent run includes three losses, indicating a slight dip in form. However, they managed to bounce back with a win in their most recent outing, providing some hope for better results ahead.

A Closer Look at the Numbers

  • Ural: 10 games played, 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, averaging 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1 goal per game.
  • Arsenal Tula: 10 games played, 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses, averaging 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1 goal per game.

Tactical Preview

Both teams typically employ a 4-3-3 formation, which suggests a balanced approach with a focus on attacking play. Ural's tactical setup allows them to press effectively and create numerous scoring opportunities, while Arsenal Tula’s system is designed to exploit spaces in the opposition defense. The battle of formations will be key, as Ural looks to maintain their control of the midfield and Arsenal Tula aims to disrupt Ural’s rhythm with swift counterattacks.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams shows a fairly even split, with Ural holding a slight edge. In their most recent encounters, Ural has emerged victorious in two out of the last three meetings. The previous match between these teams ended in a 1-2 victory for Ural, demonstrating their ability to come through in close contests. This pattern provides a positive outlook for Ural heading into Sunday's match.

Recent Meetings

  • October 24, 2025: Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural
  • March 24, 2025: Ural 0-0 Arsenal Tula
  • September 16, 2024: Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ural
  • May 21, 2022: Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural
  • September 27, 2021: Ural 2-0 Arsenal Tula

Betting Analysis

Let’s dive into the betting odds and see where the value lies for this match:

Match Winner (1X2)

  • Home: 1.71 (54.9%)
  • Draw: 3.56 (26.4%)
  • Away: 5.01 (18.7%)

Given Ural’s strong home record and their current standing in the league, the odds favor them as the favorites. However, Arsenal Tula’s recent win gives them some momentum, making the draw a potentially valuable bet despite its lower probability.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5: 56%
  • Over 2.5: 44%

The average goals scored in recent matches indicate that under 2.5 goals is a reasonable prediction. Both teams tend to keep clean sheets regularly, suggesting that a low-scoring affair is likely.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

  • Yes: 45%
  • No: 55%

The recent head-to-head record shows that both teams often manage to score in their meetings. However, considering Ural’s stronger defensive record, there’s a good chance that one team may go scoreless, making “no” a favorable option.

Double Chance

  • 1X: 1.15 (40%)
  • 12: 1.26 (40%)
  • X2: 2.04 (25%)

Considering Ural’s strong home form and their likelihood of securing a point, the 1X double chance offers good value given the high probability.

Asian Handicap

  • Home -0.75: 1.92 (52.1%)
  • Away +0.75: 1.86 (47.9%)
  • Home -1.25: 2.61 (29.7%)
  • Away +1.25: 1.4 (67.7%)

The home advantage and Ural’s form suggest that backing them with a -0.75 handicap offers a solid value bet. While a -1.25 handicap is riskier, it aligns well with Ural’s potential to dominate possession and create multiple chances.

Our Predictions

Based on our analysis, we predict that Ural will emerge victorious in this match. Their strong home record and consistent performance make them likely to secure the three points. Additionally, we anticipate that the total number of goals will be under 2.5, as both teams have shown reliability in keeping clean sheets. Lastly, we believe that only one team will score, making the “no” option for both teams to score a good choice.

Best Bets Summary

  • Match Winner: Ural (1.71)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (56%)
  • Both Teams to Score: No (55%)
  • Double Chance: 1X (1.15)

In conclusion, this match between Ural and Arsenal Tula is set to be a thrilling encounter, with Ural’s home form and recent success giving them a clear edge. The combination of strong defensive performances and attacking prowess makes Ural a standout choice for a win. Don’t miss out on the opportunity to capitalize on these predictions and enjoy the excitement of this First League clash!

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FakelFakel3018663720+1760
2UralUral3117774828+2058
3Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva30151144826+2256
4Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd3014974023+1751
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma31121274537+848
6EniseyEnisey31121093632+446
7KAMAZKAMAZ30101374230+1243
8FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik31101293835+342
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3091382725+240
10ChelyabinskChelyabinsk3191393836+240
11Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva30108123136-538
12Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula3181493937+238
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk3098133342-935
14Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk30811113242-1035
15FC UFAFC UFA30710133036-631
16ChernomoretsChernomorets3078153244-1229
17ChaykaChayka3057182965-3622
18FK Sokol SaratovFK Sokol Saratov30210181243-3116
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Ural
WWWDW
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1.8
Conceded Avg1
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

26 AprWat Chelyabinsk2-1
22 AprWvs Torpedo Moskva2-0
18 AprWat FK Sokol Saratov3-0
12 AprDvs FC UFA0-0
5 AprWvs Chayka5-0
Arsenal Tula
DDLDL
10Played
2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.9
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.3
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

25 AprDat Spartak Kostroma1-1
22 AprDvs Chelyabinsk0-0
18 AprLat Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2
12 AprDat Torpedo Moskva1-1
5 AprLvs Fakel1-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches16
Average Goals2.06
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals31%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Ural181.13 per game
Arsenal Tula150.94 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Ural5 (31%)
Arsenal Tula5 (31%)
15 Mar 2026First LeagueUral2-0Arsenal Tula
24 Oct 2025First LeagueArsenal Tula1-2Ural
24 Mar 2025First LeagueUral0-0Arsenal Tula
16 Sept 2024First LeagueArsenal Tula1-0Ural
21 May 2022Premier LeagueArsenal Tula1-2Ural
27 Sept 2021Premier LeagueUral2-0Arsenal Tula
4 Apr 2021Premier LeagueUral2-0Arsenal Tula
18 Oct 2020Premier LeagueArsenal Tula1-0Ural
15 Jul 2020Premier LeagueUral1-3Arsenal Tula
22 Sept 2019Premier LeagueArsenal Tula1-1Ural
13 Apr 2019Premier LeagueArsenal Tula0-0Ural
29 Sept 2018Premier LeagueUral2-1Arsenal Tula
8 Dec 2017Premier LeagueUral1-1Arsenal Tula
14 Aug 2017Premier LeagueArsenal Tula2-2Ural
10 Mar 2017Premier LeagueArsenal Tula2-0Ural
28 Aug 2016Premier LeagueUral1-1Arsenal Tula