RussiaRussia
First LeagueFirst League
Round 24

Ural vs Arsenal Tula Prediction & Betting Tips

15 Mar 2026
2-0
Full Time
Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Ural
2 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

55%
25%
20%
UralDrawArsenal Tula
Match Result
Ural
55%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
53%
Both Teams Score
No
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
40%
Asian Handicap
AH Home -0.75
@ 1.84
54%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

The upcoming clash between Ural and Arsenal Tula in the First League promises to be a pivotal moment for both sides as they look to solidify their positions in the race for promotion. With Ural currently sitting in second place and Arsenal Tula fighting to stay out of the relegation zone, the stakes...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Ural
Ural have received 4 red cards in 34 matches this season
Ural scored in the first half in 11 of their last 15 matches (73%)
Ural have kept 10 clean sheets in 17 home games (59%)
Ural have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches (47%)
Ural score 22% of their goals in the first 15 minutes (11 goals)
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula have gone 5 league matches without a win
Arsenal Tula have drawn their last 3 league matches
Arsenal Tula have scored all 4 penalties this season
Arsenal Tula concede 25% of goals in the first 15 minutes (11 goals)

Key Statistics

Ural6
6Draws
4Arsenal Tula
2.06Avg Goals
50%BTTS
31%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2026Ural2-0Arsenal Tula
24 Oct 2025Arsenal Tula1-2Ural
24 Mar 2025Ural0-0Arsenal Tula
16 Sept 2024Arsenal Tula1-0Ural
21 May 2022Arsenal Tula1-2Ural
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% Our Pick Win Rate
30+ Years Experience
16.2k Predictions Tracked
Ural vs Arsenal Tula — match prediction & preview
Ural
LLLWL
Recent formvs
Arsenal Tula
LLDDD

Ural vs Arsenal Tula: First League Battle Heating Up

The upcoming clash between Ural and Arsenal Tula in the First League promises to be a pivotal moment for both sides as they look to solidify their positions in the race for promotion. With Ural currently sitting in second place and Arsenal Tula fighting to stay out of the relegation zone, the stakes couldn’t be higher. As we delve into the details of this match, let's explore what makes this encounter so compelling and what factors might influence the outcome.

Match Context and Significance

This match is a meeting of contrasting fortunes within the First League. Ural, with their consistent performance throughout the season, are aiming to maintain their strong position and potentially leapfrog the top team if they can secure enough points. On the other hand, Arsenal Tula faces the challenge of climbing up the table and avoiding a precarious finish to the campaign. The encounter at Yekaterinburg Arena will be crucial for both teams, setting the stage for a competitive and exciting match.

Recent Momentum

Ural's recent form has been steady, with a run of one draw and two wins in their last five games. This consistency has allowed them to remain near the top of the First League. Conversely, Arsenal Tula's recent run includes three losses, indicating a slight dip in form. However, they managed to bounce back with a win in their most recent outing, providing some hope for better results ahead.

A Closer Look at the Numbers

  • Ural: 10 games played, 3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, averaging 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1 goal per game.
  • Arsenal Tula: 10 games played, 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses, averaging 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1 goal per game.

Tactical Preview

Both teams typically employ a 4-3-3 formation, which suggests a balanced approach with a focus on attacking play. Ural's tactical setup allows them to press effectively and create numerous scoring opportunities, while Arsenal Tula’s system is designed to exploit spaces in the opposition defense. The battle of formations will be key, as Ural looks to maintain their control of the midfield and Arsenal Tula aims to disrupt Ural’s rhythm with swift counterattacks.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams shows a fairly even split, with Ural holding a slight edge. In their most recent encounters, Ural has emerged victorious in two out of the last three meetings. The previous match between these teams ended in a 1-2 victory for Ural, demonstrating their ability to come through in close contests. This pattern provides a positive outlook for Ural heading into Sunday's match.

Recent Meetings

  • October 24, 2025: Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural
  • March 24, 2025: Ural 0-0 Arsenal Tula
  • September 16, 2024: Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ural
  • May 21, 2022: Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural
  • September 27, 2021: Ural 2-0 Arsenal Tula

Betting Analysis

Let’s dive into the betting odds and see where the value lies for this match:

Match Winner (1X2)

  • Home: 1.71 (54.9%)
  • Draw: 3.56 (26.4%)
  • Away: 5.01 (18.7%)

Given Ural’s strong home record and their current standing in the league, the odds favor them as the favorites. However, Arsenal Tula’s recent win gives them some momentum, making the draw a potentially valuable bet despite its lower probability.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5: 56%
  • Over 2.5: 44%

The average goals scored in recent matches indicate that under 2.5 goals is a reasonable prediction. Both teams tend to keep clean sheets regularly, suggesting that a low-scoring affair is likely.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

  • Yes: 45%
  • No: 55%

The recent head-to-head record shows that both teams often manage to score in their meetings. However, considering Ural’s stronger defensive record, there’s a good chance that one team may go scoreless, making “no” a favorable option.

Double Chance

  • 1X: 1.15 (40%)
  • 12: 1.26 (40%)
  • X2: 2.04 (25%)

Considering Ural’s strong home form and their likelihood of securing a point, the 1X double chance offers good value given the high probability.

Asian Handicap

  • Home -0.75: 1.92 (52.1%)
  • Away +0.75: 1.86 (47.9%)
  • Home -1.25: 2.61 (29.7%)
  • Away +1.25: 1.4 (67.7%)

The home advantage and Ural’s form suggest that backing them with a -0.75 handicap offers a solid value bet. While a -1.25 handicap is riskier, it aligns well with Ural’s potential to dominate possession and create multiple chances.

Our Predictions

Based on our analysis, we predict that Ural will emerge victorious in this match. Their strong home record and consistent performance make them likely to secure the three points. Additionally, we anticipate that the total number of goals will be under 2.5, as both teams have shown reliability in keeping clean sheets. Lastly, we believe that only one team will score, making the “no” option for both teams to score a good choice.

Best Bets Summary

  • Match Winner: Ural (1.71)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (56%)
  • Both Teams to Score: No (55%)
  • Double Chance: 1X (1.15)

In conclusion, this match between Ural and Arsenal Tula is set to be a thrilling encounter, with Ural’s home form and recent success giving them a clear edge. The combination of strong defensive performances and attacking prowess makes Ural a standout choice for a win. Don’t miss out on the opportunity to capitalize on these predictions and enjoy the excitement of this First League clash!

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
Our model predicts Ural with 55% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Ural vs Arsenal Tula have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (53% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
Both teams to score: No (52% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 40% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
What is the Asian Handicap prediction for Ural vs Arsenal Tula?
Our Asian Handicap call is Ural -0.75 with 54% confidence.
When and where is Ural vs Arsenal Tula played?
Ural vs Arsenal Tula takes place on 15 Mar 2026 at Yekaterinburg Arena.

Additional Information

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva34191145828+3068
2FakelFakel3420864422+2268
3UralUral3418795131+2061
4Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd34151184726+2156
5KAMAZKAMAZ34121394634+1249
6EniseyEnisey341310113735+249
7Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma34121394641+549
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl34111583428+648
9Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva341210123739-246
10ChelyabinskChelyabinsk341014104240+244
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik341013114041-143
12Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk341012123745-842
13Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula34815114244-239
14Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk34910153548-1337
15FC UFAFC UFA34910153240-837
16ChernomoretsChernomorets3498173749-1235
17FK Sokol SaratovFK Sokol Saratov34511181644-2826
18ChaykaChayka3457223076-4622
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Ural
LLLWL
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.5
Conceded Avg0.7
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

23 MayLat Dinamo Makhachkala0-2
20 MayLvs Dinamo Makhachkala0-1
16 MayLat Chernomorets1-2
11 MayWvs KAMAZ2-0
4 MayLvs Shinnik Yaroslavl0-1
Arsenal Tula
LLDDD
10Played
2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.7
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

16 MayLvs Rodina Moskva1-4
11 MayLat Enisey0-1
4 MayDvs Rotor Volgograd2-2
25 AprDat Spartak Kostroma1-1
22 AprDvs Chelyabinsk0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches16
Average Goals2.06
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals31%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Ural181.13 per game
Arsenal Tula150.94 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Ural5 (31%)
Arsenal Tula5 (31%)
15 Mar 2026First LeagueUral2-0Arsenal Tula
24 Oct 2025First LeagueArsenal Tula1-2Ural
24 Mar 2025First LeagueUral0-0Arsenal Tula
16 Sept 2024First LeagueArsenal Tula1-0Ural
21 May 2022Premier LeagueArsenal Tula1-2Ural
27 Sept 2021Premier LeagueUral2-0Arsenal Tula
4 Apr 2021Premier LeagueUral2-0Arsenal Tula
18 Oct 2020Premier LeagueArsenal Tula1-0Ural
15 Jul 2020Premier LeagueUral1-3Arsenal Tula
22 Sept 2019Premier LeagueArsenal Tula1-1Ural
13 Apr 2019Premier LeagueArsenal Tula0-0Ural
29 Sept 2018Premier LeagueUral2-1Arsenal Tula
8 Dec 2017Premier LeagueUral1-1Arsenal Tula
14 Aug 2017Premier LeagueArsenal Tula2-2Ural
10 Mar 2017Premier LeagueArsenal Tula2-0Ural
28 Aug 2016Premier LeagueUral1-1Arsenal Tula

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