Friday, 6 Nov 2026: A Mixed Day for Football Predictions

Yesterday’s football predictions review covered 116 fixtures, producing a varied set of outcomes across the three main markets. The 1X2 predictions delivered 51 correct selections, an accuracy rate of 44%. With fewer than half of the predictions landing, this category proved less reliable than the other markets, reflecting the difficulty of separating successful home, draw and away calls across a large slate of fixtures.

The Over/Under market was the strongest performer, reaching 72 correct predictions from 116 and an accuracy rate of 62%. That success suggests the review’s assessment of scoring expectations was broadly effective throughout the day. BTTS also produced a positive return, with 65 correct predictions and a 56% accuracy rate. The contrast between the dependable Over/Under performance and the more challenging 1X2 record created the central drama of the review: total-goals forecasts were consistently stronger, while the exact result remained a notably difficult prediction to get right.

Honest Prediction Accuracy Breakdown

Across 116 matches, the predictions recorded a 1X2 accuracy of 51/116, or 44%. This was the weakest of the three evaluated markets and represents fewer than half of the selections classified as correct. Because each prediction was based on the highest-confidence “Our Pick,” the figure indicates that the market’s top-rated outcome was wrong in 65 matches. It is a useful benchmark for the headline result, although it does not show how close the individual matches were or whether a lower-ranked selection would have performed better.

The Over/Under market was the strongest performer, returning 72 correct predictions out of 116, or 62%. That is 21 more correct selections than the 1X2 market and 10 percentage points higher. The result suggests that the analysis was most dependable when framing matches around total-goal expectations rather than attempting to identify the precise winning team. The 44 misses still make clear that Over/Under was not consistently decisive, but it provided the clearest overall return across the full prediction sample.

BTTS finished between the other two markets with 65 correct selections from 116, equivalent to 56%. This is seven correct predictions behind the Over/Under market and 14 ahead of 1X2. Overall, the figures show a meaningful strength in goal-total forecasting, while the relatively modest 1X2 rate points to greater uncertainty when the prediction required naming the exact match result. These percentages are calculated according to the stated “Our Pick” results and should therefore be treated as a direct assessment of the highest-confidence selections rather than a broader record of every available betting line.

Five Best Prediction Calls

Oxford City’s 2-4 defeat to Leicester produced the standout call in the FA Cup 1/128-finals. Selecting an away win at 70% was strong because the prediction survived a competitive tournament fixture at a neutral or host-nation venue, where the absence of normal home advantage makes an accurate result more difficult to identify. Leicester’s four-goal winning margin also demonstrated that the call was not merely correct in outcome but supported by a clear difference on the scoreboard.

The domestic selections were equally convincing. Toulouse’s 3-1 victory over Strasbourg validated a 45% home-win prediction, with the home side scoring twice as many goals and establishing a two-goal advantage. Rapid Vienna’s 6-0 win over Wolfsberger AC was the most emphatic result among the five and made the 78% home-win prediction look secure. Even without additional match data, the six-goal margin and clean sheet provided a decisive response to the pre-match assessment.

Barracas Central’s 2-0 victory over Racing Club completed another successful home selection. The 40% prediction was grounded in a controlled scoreline, with Barracas Central winning the goal-scoring battle and keeping the opposition scoreless. UTS Rabat’s 0-2 loss to Amal Tiznit also delivered a correct home-win call at 46%, although the result required a complete reversal of the predicted outcome. Taken together, these five calls combined accurate match outcomes with varying levels of confidence, from the confident Rapid Vienna pick to the more measured successes involving Toulouse, Barracas Central, UTS Rabat and Oxford City.

Our Biggest Prediction Misses

Our most significant failure was Maccabi Tel Aviv’s 2-2 draw with Maccabi Petah Tikva. We backed Maccabi Tel Aviv to win with 79% confidence, making this the clearest example of an overconfident home selection. The draw was not a close statistical call that was narrowly missed; it was a result that directly invalidated even the strongest prediction in the set. A high probability can still be wrong, but assigning 79% to this outcome required stronger evidence than the prediction delivered.

Three other forecasts also pointed toward a winner when the match ultimately produced a draw. Botev Plovdiv’s 1-1 draw with Dunav Ruse ended a 67% Home Win prediction, while Dordrecht’s 0-0 draw with NAC Breda overturned a 64% Away Win call. VVV Venlo’s 1-1 draw with Jong PSV U21 followed the same pattern after we backed the Home Win at 60%. These misses show a recurring weakness: we placed too much weight on the predicted favourite and did not account adequately for the possibility of the teams cancelling each other out.

The Bình Phước 1-0 Da Nang result was different but equally important. We predicted an Away Win at 45%, the lowest confidence among the five misses, yet Bình Phước won. This suggests that our assessment of the stronger side was not supported by the match outcome, while the forecast remained too decisive in its wording. Across all five mistakes, the central lesson is clear: our strongest calls were not selective enough. We needed greater caution when assigning high confidence, particularly where a draw could undermine the entire prediction, and a more balanced reading of each matchup rather than defaulting to a clear favourite. The honest conclusion is not that one result was unlucky, but that several selections shared the same underlying weakness—confidence without enough discrimination.

Results Roundup: Premier League, FA Cup and European Leagues

Premier League: Everton’s 3-1 win over Coventry produced a correct 1X2 prediction. The margin suggests a controlled home performance, although the supplied results do not include the scoring sequence or individual performances.

FA Cup: Bristol Rovers defeated Cambridge United 2-0 in the 1/128-finals, but the 1X2 selection was wrong. In the other tie from the same round, Oxford City lost 4-2 to Leicester, bringing a correct 1X2 pick. The five-goal margin created the sharpest contrast among the listed FA Cup results.

La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1: Sevilla’s 0-0 draw with Alaves was the only incorrect 1X2 prediction in this group. The Italian Serie A slate delivered two correct picks: Venezia beat Udinese 2-1, while Cruzeiro edged Bahia 3-2. The Bundesliga also provided two successful selections, with Hamburger SV defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 and Rapid Vienna beating Wolfsberger AC 6-0. Finally, Toulouse’s 3-1 victory over Strasbourg completed a correct 1X2 prediction in Ligue 1.

Conclusion

Yesterday’s Results, Friday, 6 Nov 2026, covered 116 matches and produced a 1X2 accuracy rate of 44%. That figure highlights the difficulty of forecasting football outcomes consistently across a large daily slate.

The review underlines the value of checking selections against the actual results, especially when individual match outcomes vary. A 44% success rate provides a clear benchmark for future analysis and highlights where selection discipline and predictive accuracy can improve.