England
ChampionshipRound 11
Derby vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips
Pride Park, Derby
Our prediction: Draw (45%); over 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
DerbyDrawStoke City
Match Result
Stoke City
45%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
Yes
65%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
44Draws
5
2.23Avg Goals
46%BTTS
54%Over 2.5
6 Apr 2026Derby2-0Stoke City
9 Aug 2025Stoke City3-1Derby
3 May 2025Derby0-0Stoke City
2 Nov 2024Stoke City2-1Derby
30 Dec 2021Stoke City1-2Derby
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Derby vs Stoke City?
Our model predicts Stoke City with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Derby vs Stoke City?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Derby vs Stoke City have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (57% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Stoke City?
Both teams to score: Yes (65% confidence).
When and where is Derby vs Stoke City played?
Derby vs Stoke City takes place on 17 Oct 2026 at Pride Park.
Additional Information
DerbyTop Scorers
S. SzmodicsAttacker
1Goals
Top Assists
C. MorrisAttacker
1Assists
Cards
A. MowattMidfielder
10
R. BrewsterAttacker
10
S. LangåsDefender
10
Stoke CityTop Scorers
E. BocatDefender
1Goals
Top Assists
T. RigoMidfielder
1Assists
Cards
L. GrahamDefender
10
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
DerbyWLLLD
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 0.8 |
| Win % | 20% |
| Goals/Game | 2.9 |
| Scored Avg | 1.1 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.8 |
| BTTS | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% |
| Failed to Score | 30% |
Recent Matches
19 SeptDat Burnley1-1
12 SeptLvs Birmingham1-2
9 SeptLvs West Brom0-1
5 SeptLat West Ham0-3
1 SeptWat Portsmouth2-0
Stoke CityWWDWW
10Played
4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
| Points/Game | 1.3 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 3.1 |
| Scored Avg | 1.4 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.7 |
| BTTS | 70% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% |
Recent Matches
19 SeptWvs Sheffield Utd2-1
12 SeptWat Watford2-1
8 SeptDat Cardiff1-1
5 SeptWvs Charlton4-0
1 SeptWvs Norwich1-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 13 |
| Average Goals | 2.23 |
| BTTS | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Derby | 15 | 1.15 per game |
| Stoke City | 14 | 1.08 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Derby | 5 (38%) |
| Stoke City | 5 (38%) |
6 Apr 2026ChampionshipDerby2-0Stoke City
9 Aug 2025ChampionshipStoke City3-1Derby
3 May 2025ChampionshipDerby0-0Stoke City
2 Nov 2024ChampionshipStoke City2-1Derby
30 Dec 2021ChampionshipStoke City1-2Derby
18 Sept 2021ChampionshipDerby2-1Stoke City
20 Mar 2021ChampionshipStoke City1-0Derby
12 Dec 2020ChampionshipDerby0-0Stoke City
31 Jan 2020ChampionshipDerby4-0Stoke City
17 Aug 2019ChampionshipStoke City2-2Derby
13 Mar 2019ChampionshipDerby0-0Stoke City
28 Nov 2018ChampionshipStoke City2-1Derby
28 Jan 2012FA CupDerby0-2Stoke City
Derby — Upcoming Predictions
Stoke City — Upcoming Predictions
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