Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 9
Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Liverpool MontevideoDrawProgreso
Match Result
Liverpool Montevideo
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
33Draws
2
3.88Avg Goals
88%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
31 Mar 2026Progreso3-3Liverpool Montevideo
27 Apr 2025Progreso0-2Liverpool Montevideo
28 Apr 2024Progreso2-1Liverpool Montevideo
4 Jun 2021Progreso1-3Liverpool Montevideo
8 Mar 2020Liverpool Montevideo1-1Progreso
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Our model predicts Liverpool Montevideo with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Both teams to score: Yes (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso played?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso takes place on 3 Oct 2026 at Estadio Belvedere.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Torque | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 14 | |
| 3 |  Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Central Espanol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Albion FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Liverpool MontevideoWDWLD
10Played
5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 1.8 |
| Win % | 50% |
| Goals/Game | 2.2 |
| Scored Avg | 1.5 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
20 SeptDvs Racing Montevideo0-0
14 SeptLat Atletico Torque1-3
6 SeptWvs Boston River1-0
30 AugDat Cerro Largo1-1
21 AugWvs Cerro4-0
ProgresoLWWLW
10Played
4Wins
0Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 1.2 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 1.9 |
| Scored Avg | 0.7 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.2 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
19 SeptWat Boston River2-1
13 SeptLvs Cerro1-3
7 SeptWat Albion FC1-0
29 AugWvs Danubio1-0
23 AugLat Club Nacional0-1
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 8 |
| Average Goals | 3.88 |
| BTTS | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 100% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 17 | 2.13 per game |
| Progreso | 14 | 1.75 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1 (13%) |
| Progreso | 0 (0%) |
31 Mar 2026Primera DivisiónProgreso3-3Liverpool Montevideo
27 Apr 2025Primera DivisiónProgreso0-2Liverpool Montevideo
28 Apr 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso2-1Liverpool Montevideo
4 Jun 2021Primera DivisiónProgreso1-3Liverpool Montevideo
8 Mar 2020Primera DivisiónLiverpool Montevideo1-1Progreso
2 Mar 2019Primera DivisiónLiverpool Montevideo3-5Progreso
8 Apr 2018Primera DivisiónLiverpool Montevideo1-1Progreso
29 Oct 2012Primera DivisiónLiverpool Montevideo3-1Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo — Upcoming Predictions
Progreso — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
ProgresoVS
Racing MontevideoAH
Away -0.25
78%
Cerro LargoVS
Club NacionalDC
DC X2
90%
PenarolVS
Boston RiverDC
DC 1X
90%
Atletico TorqueVS
Deportivo MaldonadoBTTS
BTTS Yes
54%
Central EspanolVS
Liverpool MontevideoAH
Away -0.25
78%
JuventudVS
CerroDC
DC 1X
90%
Defensor SportingVS
DanubioO/U
Under 2.5
59%
WanderersVS
Albion FCAH
Home -0.25
55%
Atletico TorqueVS
PenarolO/U
Under 2.5
54%
Albion FCVS
Defensor SportingDC
DC X2
90%