Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 8
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Betting Tips
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
ProgresoDrawRacing Montevideo
Match Result
Racing Montevideo
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
31Draws
4
3.38Avg Goals
50%BTTS
75%Over 2.5
26 Mar 2026Racing Montevideo1-1Progreso
22 Jun 2025Racing Montevideo3-0Progreso
30 Mar 2025Progreso0-1Racing Montevideo
7 Jul 2024Progreso3-2Racing Montevideo
10 Mar 2024Progreso4-3Racing Montevideo
Frequently Asked Questions
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Racing Montevideo with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Progreso vs Racing Montevideo have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Both teams to score: Yes (58% confidence).
When and where is Progreso vs Racing Montevideo played?
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo takes place on 26 Sept 2026 at Parque Abraham Paladino.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Torque | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 14 | |
| 3 |  Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 12 | |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Central Espanol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Albion FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
ProgresoLWWLW
10Played
4Wins
0Draws
6Losses
| Points/Game | 1.2 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 1.9 |
| Scored Avg | 0.7 |
| Conceded Avg | 1.2 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
19 SeptWat Boston River2-1
13 SeptLvs Cerro1-3
7 SeptWat Albion FC1-0
29 AugWvs Danubio1-0
23 AugLat Club Nacional0-1
Racing MontevideoDWLWD
10Played
4Wins
4Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 1.7 |
| Scored Avg | 1 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
20 SeptDat Liverpool Montevideo0-0
12 SeptWvs Boston River3-2
6 SeptLat Cerro0-1
31 AugWvs Albion FC1-0
23 AugDat Danubio0-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 8 |
| Average Goals | 3.38 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 88% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 12 | 1.5 per game |
| Racing Montevideo | 15 | 1.88 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Progreso | 1 (13%) |
| Racing Montevideo | 3 (38%) |
26 Mar 2026Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-1Progreso
22 Jun 2025Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo3-0Progreso
30 Mar 2025Primera DivisiónProgreso0-1Racing Montevideo
7 Jul 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso3-2Racing Montevideo
10 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónProgreso4-3Racing Montevideo
17 Mar 2019Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo3-0Progreso
25 Mar 2018Primera DivisiónProgreso3-0Racing Montevideo
9 Dec 2012Primera DivisiónProgreso1-2Racing Montevideo
Primera División — Predictions
Cerro LargoVS
Club NacionalDC
DC X2
90%
PenarolVS
Boston RiverDC
DC 1X
90%
Atletico TorqueVS
Deportivo MaldonadoDC
DC 1X
70%
Central EspanolVS
Liverpool MontevideoDC
DC X2
90%
JuventudVS
CerroDC
DC 1X
90%
Defensor SportingVS
DanubioDC
DC 1X
90%
WanderersVS
Albion FCDC
DC 1X
90%
Atletico TorqueVS
PenarolO/U
Under 2.5
54%