Uruguay
Primera DivisiónRound 9
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction & Betting Tips
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
Our prediction: Draw (45%); under 2.5; Both teams to score: Yes.
Best Bet
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
ConfidenceBetting Tips
Racing MontevideoDrawPenarol
Match Result
Penarol
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis is being prepared
Our expert is currently reviewing the latest stats, form and odds for this match. The full analysis will be available shortly.
Key Statistics
33Draws
6
3.33Avg Goals
75%BTTS
58%Over 2.5
12 Jul 2026Racing Montevideo1-1Penarol
29 Mar 2026Penarol1-2Racing Montevideo
9 Mar 2025Penarol0-2Racing Montevideo
16 Jun 2024Penarol1-1Racing Montevideo
15 Mar 2024Racing Montevideo1-2Penarol
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Our model predicts Penarol with 45% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 90% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
How many goals will Racing Montevideo vs Penarol have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
Both teams to score: Yes (60% confidence).
When and where is Racing Montevideo vs Penarol played?
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol takes place on 4 Oct 2026 at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Additional Information
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Torque | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 14 | |
| 3 |  Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 12 | |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Central Espanol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Albion FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 0 |
Detailed Form & Recent Matches
Racing MontevideoDWLWD
10Played
4Wins
4Draws
2Losses
| Points/Game | 1.6 |
| Win % | 40% |
| Goals/Game | 1.7 |
| Scored Avg | 1 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.7 |
| BTTS | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% |
Recent Matches
20 SeptDat Liverpool Montevideo0-0
12 SeptWvs Boston River3-2
6 SeptLat Cerro0-1
31 AugWvs Albion FC1-0
23 AugDat Danubio0-0
PenarolDLWWW
10Played
7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
| Points/Game | 2.3 |
| Win % | 70% |
| Goals/Game | 2.9 |
| Scored Avg | 2.3 |
| Conceded Avg | 0.6 |
| BTTS | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% |
Recent Matches
19 SeptWat Cerro2-1
13 SeptWvs Albion FC3-1
5 SeptWat Danubio4-0
30 AugLvs Club Nacional0-1
22 AugDat Deportivo Maldonado0-0
Head to Head History
Betting Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 12 |
| Average Goals | 3.33 |
| BTTS | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 100% |
Goals by Team
| Team | Total | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 16 | 1.33 per game |
| Penarol | 24 | 2 per game |
Clean Sheets
| Team | Clean Sheets |
|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 1 (8%) |
| Penarol | 2 (17%) |
12 Jul 2026Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-1Penarol
29 Mar 2026Primera DivisiónPenarol1-2Racing Montevideo
9 Mar 2025Primera DivisiónPenarol0-2Racing Montevideo
16 Jun 2024Primera DivisiónPenarol1-1Racing Montevideo
15 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-2Penarol
8 May 2023Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo0-2Penarol
23 Mar 2019Primera DivisiónPenarol2-2Racing Montevideo
4 Feb 2018Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo0-2Penarol
14 May 2017Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo1-3Penarol
13 Nov 2016Primera DivisiónRacing Montevideo2-5Penarol
19 Sept 2015Primera DivisiónPenarol3-1Racing Montevideo
7 Dec 2014Primera DivisiónPenarol2-3Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo — Upcoming Predictions
Penarol — Upcoming Predictions
Primera División — Predictions
ProgresoVS
Racing MontevideoAH
Away -0.25
78%
Cerro LargoVS
Club NacionalDC
DC X2
90%
PenarolVS
Boston RiverDC
DC 1X
90%
Atletico TorqueVS
Deportivo MaldonadoBTTS
BTTS Yes
54%
Central EspanolVS
Liverpool MontevideoAH
Away -0.25
78%
JuventudVS
CerroDC
DC 1X
90%
Defensor SportingVS
DanubioO/U
Under 2.5
59%
WanderersVS
Albion FCAH
Home -0.25
55%
Atletico TorqueVS
PenarolO/U
Under 2.5
54%
Liverpool MontevideoVS
ProgresoDC
DC 1X
90%