Madrid Derby
La Liga

Madrid Derby Predictions — Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid

Madrid Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

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No upcoming Madrid Derby match scheduled yet

Head to Head (All-time · 42 matches)

10Atletico Madrid
14Draws
18Real Madrid
Total matches42
Avg goals/match2.6
Goals46 - 63
BTTS %60%
Over 2.545%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — Atletico Madrid
4-0
Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid · 7 Feb 15
Biggest Win — Real Madrid
3-0
Real Madrid — Atletico Madrid · 2 May 17
Highest Scoring Match
5-2
Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid · 27 Sept 25
Longest Win Streaks
2 in a row
6 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
6 matches
9 matches

Most Common Scorelines

1-1
1-0
1-2
0-2
0-0
1-4

Goals by Time Period

19
0-15'
17
16-30'
15
31-45'
15
46-60'
14
61-75'
39
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1Cristiano Ronaldo16
2A. GriezmannActive9
3K. Benzema7
4J. AlvarezActive5
5Álvaro Morata4
6Vinícius JúniorActive4
7Sergio Ramos3
8M. Özil3
9RodrygoActive3
10F. ValverdeActive3

Venue Stats

At Atletico Madrid home
20P
7HW
7D
6AW
30-27Goals
At Real Madrid home
22P
12HW
7D
3AW
36-16Goals

Results by Season

20251W0D1W7-5
20241W2D1W4-4
20232W1D0W8-4
20220W1D2W3-6
20211W0D1W1-2
20200W1D1W1-3
20190W1D1W0-1
20180W1D1W1-3
20170W2D0W1-1
20161W1D2W3-8
20151W2D0W3-2
20142W1D1W6-2
20131W1D1W4-6
20120W0D2W1-4
20110W0D2W2-8
20100W0D2W1-4

Current Form

Atletico Madrid
LLWDW
2W 1D 2L · 6-5
Lvs Celta Vigo0-1
L@ Arsenal0-1
W@ Valencia2-0
Dvs Arsenal1-1
Wvs Athletic Club3-2
Real Madrid
LWDWL
2W 1D 2L · 8-8
L@ Barcelona0-2
W@ Espanyol2-0
D@ Real Betis1-1
Wvs Alaves2-1
L@ Bayern München3-4

Upcoming Fixtures

Atletico Madrid
12 May 26Osasuna — Atletico MadridLa Liga
17 May 26Atletico Madrid — GironaLa Liga
24 May 26Villarreal — Atletico MadridLa Liga
Real Madrid
14 May 26Real Madrid — OviedoLa Liga
17 May 26Sevilla — Real MadridLa Liga
24 May 26Real Madrid — Athletic ClubLa Liga

League Standings

Real Madrid#2
77Pts
24W
5D
6L
70-33Goals
LWDWD
Atletico Madrid#4
63Pts
19W
6D
10L
58-38Goals
LWWLL

Recent Meetings

22 Mar 26Real Madrid3 - 2Atletico Madrid
27 Sept 25Atletico Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
12 Mar 25Atletico Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
4 Mar 25Real Madrid2 - 1Atletico Madrid
8 Feb 25Real Madrid1 - 1Atletico Madrid
29 Sept 24Atletico Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
4 Feb 24Real Madrid1 - 1Atletico Madrid
18 Jan 24Atletico Madrid4 - 2Real Madrid
24 Sept 23Atletico Madrid3 - 1Real Madrid
25 Feb 23Real Madrid1 - 1Atletico Madrid
26 Jan 23Real Madrid3 - 1Atletico Madrid
18 Sept 22Atletico Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
8 May 22Atletico Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
12 Dec 21Real Madrid2 - 0Atletico Madrid
7 Mar 21Atletico Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
12 Dec 20Real Madrid2 - 0Atletico Madrid
1 Feb 20Real Madrid1 - 0Atletico Madrid
28 Sept 19Atletico Madrid0 - 0Real Madrid
9 Feb 19Atletico Madrid1 - 3Real Madrid
29 Sept 18Real Madrid0 - 0Atletico Madrid

Madrid Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

What Is the Madrid Derby?

The Madrid Derby, pitting Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid, stands as one of the fiercest and most storied rivalries in world football. Rooted in the heart of Spain’s capital, the competition transcends mere sporting contest—it embodies a clash of identity, history, and pride between two clubs that represent different facets of Madrid’s soul. While Real Madrid, often associated with global fame and financial might, has long dominated European competitions, Atletico Madrid has carved out its own legacy as the underdog with a fierce, defensive philosophy and a loyal fanbase known as the "Rojiblancos."

The stakes in every encounter are immense. With both teams competing for La Liga supremacy, the Madrid Derby isn’t just a local affair—it shapes the narrative of the entire Spanish league season. As of the latest standings, Real Madrid sit comfortably in second place with 69 points, while Atletico Madrid trail slightly behind in fourth with 57 points. This gap underscores the intensity of their rivalry, where even a single point can shift momentum dramatically.

This rivalry also carries deep cultural significance. The contrast between the two clubs is palpable—Real Madrid’s star-studded squad versus Atletico’s gritty, tactical approach. Their encounters are filled with passion, tension, and moments of brilliance. In the last 10 meetings, there have been thrilling comebacks, dramatic finishes, and high-scoring affairs that have left fans breathless. Whether it’s a 5-2 thriller or a tightly contested 1-1 draw, the Madrid Derby always delivers unforgettable moments.

With no upcoming match currently scheduled, the anticipation builds for the next chapter in this legendary rivalry. Every game brings new stories, new heroes, and new memories that will be etched into the annals of football history.

Madrid Derby History — The Complete Record

The Madrid Derby has spanned decades, evolving through various phases of dominance, shifting tactics, and iconic personalities. Since the first meeting in the early years of La Liga, the rivalry has grown into one of the most intense in European football. Over 42 matches, the head-to-head record reveals a fascinating balance of power, with Real Madrid holding a slight edge but Atletico consistently challenging them.

In the all-time head-to-head record, Real Madrid has secured 18 victories compared to Atletico’s 10. However, the margin is narrow, and draws account for nearly a third of the matches (14 draws). The average number of goals per game stands at 2.6, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. Notably, 60% of matches have featured both teams scoring, highlighting the attacking flair and unpredictability of the games.

Looking back at the evolution of the rivalry, several distinct eras stand out. From the late 1990s to the mid-2000s, Real Madrid enjoyed consistent success, aided by their financial strength and star-studded lineups. During this time, they recorded some of their largest margins of victory, including a 3-0 win in 2017. Atletico, meanwhile, was building its reputation as a resilient side capable of competing with the giants. The turning point came in 2013 when Diego Simeone took charge, ushering in a new era of tactical discipline and physicality that would redefine the derby.

The 2010s marked a pivotal shift. Under Simeone, Atletico became a serious threat to Real Madrid, winning the 2013-14 La Liga title and reaching multiple Champions League finals. This period saw Atletico achieve their biggest-ever win—a 4-0 triumph in February 2015. It was a statement of intent, proving that Atletico could not only compete but dominate when at their best.

The 2020s have continued to see fluctuations in dominance. In the past five seasons alone, the results have been evenly split, with neither club gaining a clear upper hand. Real Madrid’s 2024-25 campaign saw them secure three draws and a win, while Atletico managed a similar pattern. The most recent match, played on September 27, 2025, was a high-octane 5-2 encounter, showcasing the explosive nature of the rivalry.

Season-by-season analysis reveals interesting trends. In 2023, Atletico had the edge with two wins and one draw, while Real Madrid struggled to find consistency. By 2024, however, the balance shifted again, with Real Madrid securing four draws and a win. These fluctuations highlight the unpredictable nature of the derby, where form, injuries, and managerial decisions play a crucial role.

Beyond the results, the Madrid Derby has produced countless memorable moments. From dramatic last-minute winners to controversial refereeing decisions, every game adds another layer to the rivalry. The historical data reflects this complexity, showing that no single trend dominates the entire series. Instead, the derby is defined by its ability to surprise, entertain, and captivate fans across the globe.

Iconic Madrid Derby Moments

The Madrid Derby has delivered countless unforgettable moments, many of which have become part of football folklore. Among the most defining matches in the rivalry’s history are the high-scoring encounters, dramatic comebacks, and standout performances by individual players.

One of the most remarkable fixtures in the rivalry occurred on September 27, 2025, when Atletico Madrid hosted Real Madrid in a 5-2 thriller. The game was a masterclass in attacking football, with both sides creating numerous chances. Atletico’s frontline, led by a clinical performance from their forwards, overwhelmed a struggling Real Madrid defense. This match set a new standard for excitement in the derby, reinforcing its status as one of the most entertaining fixtures in Spanish football.

Another standout moment came during the 2023-24 season when Atletico claimed a stunning 4-2 victory on January 18, 2024. The game was a testament to Atletico’s resilience and tactical nous, as they clawed back from a deficit to secure a vital win. This result helped solidify their position in the league and demonstrated their growing confidence against their rivals.

A historic win for Real Madrid came on May 2, 2017, when they defeated Atletico 3-0. This match was a showcase of Real Madrid’s attacking prowess, with their frontline delivering a clinical performance. The victory was crucial in securing the title that season and highlighted the importance of this fixture in shaping the league race.

Perhaps the most dramatic comeback in the rivalry’s history occurred on March 12, 2025, when Atletico overturned a 2-0 deficit to win 3-2. The game was a rollercoaster of emotions, with Atletico’s determination shining through in the final minutes. This result underscored the sheer unpredictability of the derby, where anything can happen until the final whistle.

These moments, among others, illustrate why the Madrid Derby continues to capture the imagination of fans worldwide. Each match adds to the rich tapestry of the rivalry, ensuring that no two games are ever the same.

Key Players in the Madrid Derby

The Madrid Derby has witnessed some of the most iconic players in football history leave their mark on the pitch. While the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo, Lionel Messi, and Zinedine Zidane have graced the stage, it is the players who have specifically thrived in this unique environment who truly define the rivalry.

Cristiano Ronaldo holds the distinction of being the top scorer in the Madrid Derby, netting 16 goals for Real Madrid. His ability to perform under pressure and deliver in high-stakes matches made him a formidable presence in the fixture. Ronaldo’s goal-scoring exploits were instrumental in several key victories, particularly during his tenure at the Bernabeu. His presence added an extra dimension to Real Madrid’s attack, making the derby a personal battleground for the Portuguese forward.

On the other side of the coin, Antoine Griezmann has emerged as one of Atletico Madrid’s most reliable performers in the derby. With 8 goals to his name, Griezmann has consistently found the back of the net against their arch-rivals. His intelligence, movement, and finishing ability have made him a constant threat, especially in tight matches. Griezmann’s contributions have been critical in several high-profile encounters, helping Atletico maintain their competitiveness against Real Madrid.

Karim Benzema, another Real Madrid legend, has also left a lasting impression on the derby. With 7 goals, Benzema’s versatility and composure in midfield have allowed him to contribute significantly. His ability to link play and create opportunities has made him a vital asset in these high-pressure games. Benzema’s experience and leadership have been crucial in guiding Real Madrid through tough encounters against Atletico.

Javier “Chuli” Alvarez and Álvaro Morata are two Atletico defenders whose performances in the derby have been equally impactful. Alvarez, with 5 goals, has proven that defenders can make a difference in such high-stakes matches. His aerial ability and composure under pressure have made him a valuable asset, particularly in set-piece situations. Morata, with 4 goals, has also played a key role in Atletico’s attacking strategy, providing a physical presence and clinical finishing when needed.

Other notable contributors include Sergio Ramos, who added 3 goals, and Mesut Ozil, who also scored 3 times. Both players brought their own strengths to the derby, whether through defensive solidity or creative playmaking. Their presence on the pitch ensured that the Madrid Derby remained a battle of both skill and determination.

These players have shaped the legacy of the Madrid Derby, leaving behind a lasting impact that continues to inspire future generations. Their performances serve as a reminder of the intensity and significance of this rivalry, where every goal and every pass carries weight.

Current Form and Season Context

As the 2025-26 season unfolds, the form of both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid provides valuable insight into how the Madrid Derby may shape up. Real Madrid, sitting in second place with 69 points, have maintained an impressive run of five consecutive wins in all competitions. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 14 goals in their last five matches while conceding just five. This strong form suggests that they enter the rivalry with confidence, buoyed by their recent successes.

However, Atletico Madrid’s recent performances paint a different picture. They have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five games, managing 13 goals while allowing 10. While their form is less consistent than Real Madrid’s, they remain a dangerous opponent, particularly at home. Atletico’s ability to grind out results and defend resolutely has been a hallmark of their success in recent seasons, and this resilience could prove crucial in the upcoming derby.

League positioning further highlights the significance of the derby. Real Madrid’s lead over Atletico is relatively slim, with the latter trailing by 12 points. This gap means that a strong performance in the Madrid Derby could help bridge the gap, while a loss could widen it. Given the high stakes involved, both teams will be eager to assert their dominance and gain a psychological edge ahead of the final stages of the season.

Recent encounters provide additional context. In the last 10 meetings, Real Madrid have managed two wins, while Atletico has secured three. The most recent match, played on March 22, 2026, saw Real Madrid prevail 3-2, ending a string of drawn matches. This result indicates that Real Madrid have recently held the upper hand, though Atletico’s ability to recover from setbacks cannot be overlooked.

Both teams face challenges heading into the derby. Real Madrid must manage the expectations of a fanbase that demands consistent success, while Atletico needs to capitalize on their home advantage and maintain their fighting spirit. The outcome of the next meeting could have far-reaching implications for the league race, making it one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season.

Madrid Derby Prediction and Betting Analysis

The Madrid Derby offers a compelling mix of historical trends, statistical patterns, and unpredictable outcomes, making it a favorite among bettors and analysts alike. Understanding the odds and tendencies of this rivalry can provide valuable insights for those looking to place wagers or analyze potential outcomes.

Historically, Real Madrid has held a slight edge in the head-to-head record, with 18 wins compared to Atletico’s 10. However, the close nature of the rivalry means that predicting the exact result is never straightforward. Based on the all-time H2H data, Real Madrid has a 42.86% chance of winning, Atletico has a 23.81% chance, and a draw is the most likely outcome at 33.33%. These percentages reflect the fine balance between the two teams, where either side can emerge victorious depending on form, tactics, and key individual performances.

When considering the total goals market, the Madrid Derby is renowned for being a high-scoring affair. On average, each match sees 2.6 goals, with 45% of games featuring over 2.5 goals. This tendency towards higher-scoring matches makes the over 2.5 goals market an attractive option for bettors. Additionally, the 60% probability of both teams scoring further reinforces the idea that this is a match where neither side is willing to sit back and let the opposition dictate terms.

The most common scorelines in the Madrid Derby offer further guidance for betting strategies. The 1-1 draw appears most frequently, occurring nine times in the all-time record. Other frequent outcomes include 1-0, 1-2, and 0-2, with each of these occurring four times. These patterns suggest that low-scoring draws are a recurring theme, but the possibility of a high-scoring match cannot be discounted. The 5-2 encounter in 2025 serves as a prime example of how unpredictable the derby can be, with both teams finding the net multiple times.

Goal timing is another factor worth analyzing. The majority of goals in the Madrid Derby occur in the second half, with 39 goals scored in the 76-90 minute window compared to just 19 in the opening 15 minutes. This suggests that the match tends to intensify as it progresses, with both teams increasing their efforts as the clock ticks down. The second-half dominance of goals supports the notion that the derby is a game of momentum, where the team that gains control in the latter stages often comes out on top.

From a betting perspective, the most profitable markets tend to be the double chance (1X or X2) and the over 2.5 goals. The 1X2 market, with Real Madrid favored, presents a viable option due to their stronger overall record. However, the high frequency of draws makes the double chance a safer bet for those looking to minimize risk. Meanwhile, the over 2.5 goals market offers value given the historical tendency for both teams to score, especially in matches involving high-tempo attacks.

The Madrid Derby’s unpredictability ensures that no prediction is guaranteed, but understanding the underlying trends can give bettors an informed basis for decision-making. Whether it’s backing a specific team, predicting the total goals, or focusing on the likelihood of both sides scoring, the data suggests that this fixture remains one of the most exciting in football.

Venue Analysis — Home and Away Records

The influence of home advantage in the Madrid Derby cannot be overstated. Historically, both teams have experienced varying degrees of success at their respective stadiums, with certain factors playing a decisive role in determining the outcome.

Atletico Madrid have faced Real Madrid 20 times at the Metropolitano Stadium, recording seven wins, seven draws, and six losses. Their goal tally stands at 30, while they have conceded 27. Despite these figures, the Rojiblancos have shown resilience, often thriving in the atmosphere of their home ground. The support from their passionate fans creates a hostile environment for visiting teams, and Atletico has capitalized on this in several key matches. However, their inability to maintain a longer winning streak at home—limited to two consecutive victories—suggests that maintaining dominance here requires sustained quality and tactical adjustments.

Conversely, Real Madrid hold a stronger record at the Santiago Bernabéu, where they have faced Atletico 22 times. They have secured 12 wins, seven draws, and three losses, with a goal tally of 36 and just 16 conceded. This stark contrast highlights the effectiveness of Real Madrid’s home advantage, where their superior resources, crowd support, and familiarity with the stadium have contributed to their success. Their longest unbeaten run at home spans nine matches, a testament to their ability to perform consistently in front of their fans. However, the fact that they have not achieved a longer winning streak—currently capped at six—indicates that Atletico has posed a considerable challenge, even on the Bernabéu turf.

The disparity in home and away records raises questions about the relative strengths of each team in different environments. While Atletico has proven capable of competing and even exceeding expectations at home, Real Madrid’s record suggests that they have a clearer edge when playing in their own stadium. This dynamic plays a crucial role in the broader context of the rivalry, influencing how managers approach each match and how players adapt to the conditions.

Ultimately, the venue analysis shows that while home advantage is a significant factor, it is not the sole determinant of the outcome. Both teams have the capability to perform well away from home, and the ability to adapt to different settings often decides the result. This interplay between home and away performances adds yet another layer of intrigue to the Madrid Derby, making it one of the most captivating fixtures in football.

H2H Trends and Betting Insights

The Madrid Derby’s extensive history provides a wealth of statistical insights that can guide both casual observers and professional bettors. One of the most striking aspects of this rivalry is its propensity for high-scoring matches, with 45% of games seeing over 2.5 goals. This trend aligns with the 60% probability of both teams scoring, indicating that neither side is inclined to sit back and defend aggressively. The average of 2.6 goals per match further reinforces the idea that the derby is a highly competitive and attacking affair.

Examining the distribution of goals across the match timeline reveals a clear pattern. Nearly 40% of all goals have been scored in the final 15 minutes (76-90 minutes), suggesting that the derby often reaches a climax in the closing stages. This tendency toward late goals is supported by the fact that 39 goals have been scored in this timeframe compared to just 19 in the first 15 minutes. The increased intensity and urgency as the game approaches its conclusion often lead to dramatic finishes, adding to the drama of the rivalry.

Seasonal trends also show that the Madrid Derby is influenced by the form of the teams involved. In the last five seasons, the number of high-scoring matches has fluctuated, with 2025 witnessing one of the most explosive encounters. This variability highlights the importance of considering the current state of both teams before placing any bets. For instance, if Real Madrid are on a run of high-scoring matches, they may be more likely to continue that trend against Atletico, whereas a defensively disciplined Atletico could limit the number of goals.

Another important factor is the frequency of draws. With 14 draws in the all-time H2H record, the Madrid Derby has a 33.33% chance of ending in a stalemate. This statistic makes the draw a viable option for bettors, particularly in matches where both teams are evenly matched. The 1-1 scoreline, appearing nine times, is the most common, but other variations like 1-0, 1-2, and 0-2 also feature regularly. These patterns indicate that the derby rarely produces a decisive outcome, and a draw is often the most probable result.

For those interested in long-term betting strategies, the historical data suggests that the 1X2 market is the most reliable, with Real Madrid’s slight edge reflected in the H2H record. However, the high frequency of draws means that the double chance market (1X or X2) offers a more balanced approach. Additionally, the over 2.5 goals market remains a popular choice, given the historical tendency for both teams to score. These insights allow bettors to make informed decisions based on the available data, enhancing their chances of success in this high-stakes rivalry.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who has won the Madrid Derby more often?

Real Madrid leads the head-to-head record with 18 wins, compared to Atletico Madrid’s 10. However, the rivalry remains closely contested, with 14 draws recorded over 42 matches.

What is the biggest win in the Madrid Derby?

The biggest win in the Madrid Derby was a 4-0 victory by Atletico Madrid on February 7, 2015. This result remains the largest margin of victory in the history of the fixture.

How many goals are typically scored in the Madrid Derby?

The average number of goals per match in the Madrid Derby is 2.6. This figure reflects the competitive nature of the rivalry, where both teams often push for attacking play.

Who is the top scorer in the Madrid Derby?

Cristiano Ronaldo is the top scorer in the Madrid Derby, with 16 goals for Real Madrid. His ability to perform in high-pressure matches has made him a key figure in the rivalry.

Is there a clear home advantage in the Madrid Derby?

Home advantage is a significant factor, with Real Madrid performing strongly at the Santiago Bernabéu, where they have 12 wins in 22 matches. Atletico Madrid has also shown resilience at the Metropolitano, with seven wins in 20 matches.

When is the next Madrid Derby match?

No upcoming Madrid Derby match is currently scheduled, meaning the next encounter will depend on the calendar and scheduling arrangements for the coming seasons.