Valencia Derby
La Liga

Valencia Derby Predictions — Valencia — Levante

Valencia Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

Read full analysis 13 min

No upcoming Valencia Derby match scheduled yet

Head to Head (All-time · 24 matches)

12Valencia
7Draws
5Levante
Total matches24
Avg goals/match2.7
Goals41 - 24
BTTS %50%
Over 2.542%

Derby Records

Biggest Win — Valencia
3-0
Valencia — Levante · 31 Oct 15
Biggest Win — Levante
2-0
Levante — Valencia · 10 May 14
Highest Scoring Match
3-4
Levante — Valencia · 20 Dec 21
Longest Win Streaks
2 in a row
2 in a row
Longest Unbeaten Runs
7 matches
3 matches

Most Common Scorelines

1-1
2-0
0-1
1-0
4-2
3-1

Goals by Time Period

5
0-15'
12
16-30'
12
31-45'
9
46-60'
12
61-75'
15
76-90'

All-Time Derby Top Scorers

1Roger Martí6
2Santi Mina3
3Dani Parejo3
4Gonçalo Guedes3
5S. Feghouli3
6José Luis MoralesActive3
7Rodrigo2
8E. Bardhi2
9Paco Alcácer2
10Jonas2

Venue Stats

At Valencia home
12P
7HW
5D
0AW
24-9Goals
At Levante home
12P
5HW
2D
5AW
15-17Goals

Results by Season

20252W0D0W3-0
20211W1D0W5-4
20201W0D1W4-3
20191W1D0W5-3
20181W1D0W5-3
20171W1D0W4-2
20151W0D1W3-1
20141W0D1W4-2
20131W0D1W2-2
20120W1D1W2-3
20111W1D0W3-1
20101W1D0W1-0

Current Form

Valencia
WLWDL
2W 1D 2L · 4-5
W@ Athletic Club1-0
Lvs Atletico Madrid0-2
Wvs Girona2-1
D@ Mallorca1-1
L@ Elche0-1
Levante
WLDWW
3W 1D 1L · 7-7
Wvs Osasuna3-2
L@ Villarreal1-5
D@ Espanyol0-0
Wvs Sevilla2-0
Wvs Getafe1-0

Upcoming Fixtures

Valencia
14 May 26Valencia — Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
17 May 26Real Sociedad — ValenciaLa Liga
24 May 26Valencia — BarcelonaLa Liga
Levante
12 May 26Celta Vigo — LevanteLa Liga
17 May 26Levante — MallorcaLa Liga
24 May 26Real Betis — LevanteLa Liga

League Standings

Valencia#12
42Pts
11W
9D
15L
38-50Goals
WLWDL
Levante#19
36Pts
9W
9D
17L
41-57Goals
WLDWW

Recent Meetings

15 Feb 26Levante0 - 2Valencia
21 Nov 25Valencia1 - 0Levante
30 Apr 22Valencia1 - 1Levante
20 Dec 21Levante3 - 4Valencia
12 Mar 21Levante1 - 0Valencia
13 Sept 20Valencia4 - 2Levante
12 Jun 20Valencia1 - 1Levante
7 Dec 19Levante2 - 4Valencia
14 Apr 19Valencia3 - 1Levante
2 Sept 18Levante2 - 2Valencia
11 Feb 18Valencia3 - 1Levante
16 Sept 17Levante1 - 1Valencia
13 Mar 16Levante1 - 0Valencia
31 Oct 15Valencia3 - 0Levante
13 Apr 15Valencia3 - 0Levante
23 Nov 14Levante2 - 1Valencia
10 May 14Levante2 - 0Valencia
4 Jan 14Valencia2 - 0Levante
2 Mar 13Valencia2 - 2Levante
7 Oct 12Levante1 - 0Valencia

Valencia Derby — History, Stats & Predictions

The Rivalry That Defines a City

Football in Spain is steeped in tradition, but few fixtures carry the weight of the Valencia Derby. This local clash between Valencia CF and Levante UD transcends mere competition; it is a battle for pride, identity, and bragging rights within the city of Valencia. The history between these two clubs dates back decades, creating a rivalry that pulses through the streets and stadiums of the region. With over 24 meetings recorded, the contest has produced some of the most dramatic moments in Spanish football, marked by high-scoring encounters and intense emotions.

The current standings add another layer of significance to this encounter. Valencia sit at 12th place in La Liga with 35 points from 29 games, while Levante remain rooted in 19th position with just 26 points. These positions highlight the stark contrast in their recent performances, yet the derby remains a critical moment for both teams. For Valencia, a victory could provide a much-needed boost in their fight against relegation, while Levante’s struggles make this game a chance to break out of their slump. Despite the gap in league positions, the historical context ensures that neither side can afford to underestimate the other.

Statistically, the derby is a high-octane affair. The average goal per game stands at 2.7, with over half of all matches seeing both teams score. The frequency of close results—such as 1-1 draws and 2-0 wins—demonstrates how tightly contested this fixture often is. In the last five years, Valencia have maintained an edge, winning seven of their last 12 home games against Levante. However, Levante’s ability to secure victories on their own turf, including a notable 2-0 win in 2014, shows they are never easy opponents. As fans prepare for the latest chapter in this storied rivalry, anticipation builds around who will emerge victorious in what promises to be a fiercely fought match.

History

The Evolution of the Valencia Derby

The Valencia derby, contested between Valencia CF and Levante UD, has developed into one of the most fiercely contested local rivalries in Spanish football. With a head-to-head record spanning 24 matches, Valencia holds a slight advantage with 12 wins compared to Levante's five, while seven games have ended in a draw. The average goal total per fixture stands at 2.7, reflecting the intensity and competitiveness of these encounters. Both teams have shown a tendency to score in front of their respective fans, as evidenced by the 50% of matches featuring both sides finding the net and 42% exceeding two and a half goals.

Eras of Dominance

The historical trajectory of the derby reveals distinct periods where one side held sway over the other. In the early years, Valencia appeared to dominate, securing key victories that laid the foundation for their rivalry supremacy. For instance, the biggest win in derby history came in October 2015 when Valencia defeated Levante 3-0, showcasing their attacking prowess. However, Levante found their footing during certain seasons, with their largest victory recorded on May 10, 2014, when they secured a 2-0 win against Valencia.

Looking at specific seasons, the balance of power has fluctuated significantly. In 2015, Valencia claimed one win and drew once, while in 2014, they also had a similar record. By contrast, the 2012 season marked a shift, as Levante won once and drew once, indicating a growing threat from the smaller club. The 2020 season saw a rare parity, with both teams winning once and drawing none, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the derby.

Statistically, Valencia’s home advantage is evident, having won seven out of twelve fixtures at Mestalla, scoring 24 goals and conceding just nine. Levante, however, has managed five wins at their ground, although they have struggled defensively, letting in 17 goals in 12 matches. These figures suggest that Valencia’s dominance is more pronounced at home, whereas Levante has shown resilience on their own turf.

Key Moments and Players

Certain moments in the derby’s history stand out due to their dramatic impact. One such game was on December 20, 2021, when Levante scored three goals but still lost 4-3 to Valencia, marking the highest-scoring match in the rivalry. This encounter highlighted the high stakes and intense atmosphere surrounding the derby. The goal timing distribution also reveals that the majority of goals occur in the second half, with 15 goals scored in the final 15 minutes, suggesting that the pressure of the occasion often leads to late breakthroughs.

Individual performances have played a crucial role in shaping the outcomes of these matches. Levante’s Roger Martí stands as the top scorer in the derby with six goals, while Valencia’s Santi Mina, Dani Parejo, and others each contributed three. These players have become synonymous with the rivalry, with their contributions often defining the result of key fixtures. The presence of experienced forwards like Paco Alcácer and Rodrigo further underlines the attacking depth of both clubs.

Recent Form and Standings

In recent seasons, Valencia has maintained a stronger position in the league table, currently sitting at 35 points with nine wins, eight draws, and 12 losses. Their last five matches show a mixed form, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Levante, meanwhile, occupies 19th place with 26 points, struggling with a record of six wins, eight draws, and 15 losses. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games.

The latest meeting on February 15, 2026, saw Valencia secure a 2-0 victory over Levante, reinforcing their current edge in the rivalry. Prior to that, a 1-0 win on November 21, 2025, demonstrated Valencia’s ability to control the tempo and capitalize on key moments. Despite Levante’s efforts, including a notable 3-4 defeat in December 2021, it is clear that Valencia has consistently emerged victorious in recent clashes.

ICONIC MOMENTS

Valencia 4-2 Levante (2020-09-13)

The 2020-09-13 encounter between Valencia and Levante was a high-octane clash that showcased the intensity of the rivalry. Valencia secured a decisive 4-2 victory, with their attacking prowess on full display as they outscored Levante in a thrilling contest. The game featured multiple lead changes, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the derby. This result marked a significant moment for Valencia, reinforcing their dominance in the head-to-head record during this period.

Levante 3-4 Valencia (2021-12-20)

The most goal-laden derby in recent memory took place on 2021-12-20 when Levante hosted Valencia in a 3-4 thriller. This match stands as the highest-scoring game in the rivalry's history, with both sides trading blows throughout. Valencia emerged victorious, but the game’s back-and-forth nature demonstrated the competitive spirit of both clubs. The sheer volume of goals underscored the offensive flair present in this fixture, making it one of the most memorable derbies in recent years.

Valencia 1-0 Levante (2025-11-21)

In a tightly contested match on 2025-11-21, Valencia edged past Levante with a narrow 1-0 victory. The game was defined by defensive resilience and tactical discipline, with neither side able to break the deadlock until the latter stages. This result highlighted Valencia's ability to secure crucial points in a fiercely contested derby, maintaining their edge in the head-to-head standings. The low-scoring nature of the match contrasted with some of the more explosive encounters, emphasizing the different dynamics of the rivalry over time.

Valencia 3-1 Levante (2019-04-14)

The 2019-04-14 derby saw Valencia deliver a commanding performance against Levante, winning 3-1 in a display of superior attacking football. The result reflected Valencia's growing confidence in these fixtures, with key players stepping up at critical moments. This win contributed to a positive run for Valencia in the derby, showcasing their ability to control the tempo and capitalize on opportunities. The margin of victory reinforced their status as strong favorites in this historic rivalry.

Levante 2-4 Valencia (2019-12-07)

A major turning point came on 2019-12-07 when Valencia delivered a dominant 4-2 victory over Levante. The game was a testament to Valencia's attacking depth, with multiple scorers contributing to a comprehensive win. This result added to Valencia's growing list of successes in the derby, further solidifying their reputation as consistent performers in this fixture. The emphatic nature of the victory highlighted the team's ability to thrive under pressure in high-stakes matches.

KEY PLAYERS

Valencia's Offensive Threats

Valencia’s attacking line has been pivotal in their recent performances against Levante, with several players contributing crucial goals. Santi Mina, who has scored three goals in this rivalry, has shown his ability to exploit defensive gaps with his pace and finishing. His form this season has been consistent, making him a constant threat on the counterattack. Similarly, Dani Parejo, though primarily a midfielder, has chipped in with three goals, demonstrating his versatility and composure in front of goal. His experience and vision make him a key figure in tight matches.

Gonçalo Guedes and Samir Feghouli both have three goals against Levante, highlighting their importance in the attack. Guedes’ physicality and aerial ability create problems for defenders, while Feghouli’s technical skills allow him to unlock defenses with precise movements. Rodrigo, with two goals, adds another dimension to the attack, offering creativity and link-up play. Paco Alcácer, despite only scoring twice, provides a reliable presence up front, often drawing defenders and creating space for teammates.

Levante's Goal-Scoring Heroes

Levante’s success in derbies often hinges on individual brilliance, with Roger Martí leading the charge as their top scorer against Valencia with six goals. His clinical finishing and intelligent movement make him a nightmare for opposing defenders. Martí has consistently found the back of the net in high-pressure situations, showcasing his knack for big games. His ability to read the game and position himself effectively is a major asset for Levante.

Erandi Bardhi, with two goals, rounds out Levante’s main contributors. While he may not match Martí’s tally, his work rate and willingness to press make him a valuable addition to the squad. Both players thrive in the intensity of the derby, where their determination and tactical awareness come to the fore. Their performances highlight how key individuals can shape the outcome of such encounters, especially when teams are evenly matched.

Current Form and Season Context

Valencia have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, with a record of three wins, two draws, and one loss across their last six matches. Their attacking output has been solid, netting seven goals while conceding five, reflecting a more balanced approach under their current management. The team sits at 35 points after 29 games, occupying 12th place in the league table. This position suggests they are on a steady trajectory, neither in danger of relegation nor competing for European qualification. However, the gap between them and mid-table rivals remains narrow, meaning each result carries significant weight.

Levante, by contrast, have had a more inconsistent campaign, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. They have scored eight goals but also conceded seven, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by stronger opponents. With 26 points from 29 games, they occupy 19th place, just above the relegation zone. Despite this precarious situation, their recent performances indicate a slight upward trend, particularly in midfield control and set-piece execution. The contrast in form between the two sides raises questions about how Levante can challenge Valencia, especially given the latter's improved consistency and tactical discipline.

PREDICTION AND BETTING ANALYSIS

1X2 Probabilities and H2H Trends

The historical head-to-head record between Valencia and Levante shows a clear advantage for Valencia, who have won 12 out of 24 encounters compared to Levante's five victories. The remaining seven matches ended in draws, highlighting the competitiveness of this fixture. With an average of 2.7 goals per game, these teams tend to produce high-scoring contests, which influences both betting odds and match predictions.

In recent fixtures, Valencia has dominated the narrative with wins such as the 2-0 victory on 2026-02-15 and the 1-0 win on 2025-11-21. However, Levante has shown resilience, particularly in their 3-4 win at Mestalla in 2021 and a 2-2 draw in 2018. These results suggest that while Valencia holds the edge, Levante is capable of causing upsets when conditions align. Based on the H2H pattern, a home win for Valencia appears likely, though the draw remains a strong contender due to the frequency of drawn matches.

Over/Under and BTTS Analysis

Statistical trends point towards a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this encounter. With 42% of past matches exceeding this threshold, the attacking intent of both sides cannot be overlooked. Valencia’s offense has been consistent, scoring 12 goals in their last six games against Levante, while Levante has managed to find the net in nine of those matches. This suggests a fluid attack-defense dynamic where neither team can afford to sit back.

Both teams also show a strong tendency for both to score, with a 50% success rate in BTTS markets. This trend is reinforced by frequent scorelines such as 1-1 and 2-0, which have occurred multiple times in previous meetings. The 1-1 result has appeared four times, including the 2022-04-30 draw and the 2020-06-12 stalemate. A 2-0 win for Valencia has also been recorded three times, indicating that defensive stability could play a key role in determining the outcome.

Goal Timing Patterns and Match Flow

The distribution of goals across match periods reveals interesting insights into how these teams approach games. The highest number of goals occur in the second half, with 15 goals scored between 76-90 minutes, followed closely by the 46-60 minute window, where nine goals were recorded. This suggests that both teams may struggle to break through early but often find ways to create chances later in the game.

Notably, there is a significant spike in scoring activity during the first half, with 12 goals coming in the 16-30 minute period and another 12 in the 31-45 minute window. This indicates that both teams may start strongly, leading to an open and fast-paced first half. In contrast, the opening 15 minutes only produced five goals, suggesting that both sides might take some time to settle into the rhythm of the match.

Given these patterns, bookmakers are likely to favor an over 2.5 goals market, with a strong emphasis on the possibility of both teams finding the net. While Valencia’s stronger form and higher win percentage make them the favorite, the unpredictable nature of this rivalry means that any result is possible. Bettors should consider the potential for late goals and the high probability of a goal-filled contest when placing wagers.

Venue Analysis

Valencia have demonstrated a formidable presence at their home ground this season, winning seven of their 12 matches with just five draws and no losses. Their attacking prowess is evident from the 24 goals they have scored, while conceding only nine. This consistency suggests that Valencia's home environment plays a key role in their success, offering them a tactical edge over visiting teams.

In contrast, Levante have struggled on their own turf, securing only five wins in 12 games with two draws and five defeats. They have managed 15 goals but have also conceded 17, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Despite these challenges, Levante have shown resilience when playing away from home, where they remain more competitive. Their ability to secure results on the road indicates that they could pose a threat to Valencia, particularly if they can limit their errors and capitalize on counterattacks.

H2H Trends and Betting Insights

The Valencia derby has produced a balanced historical record with Valencia holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters. In 24 meetings, Valencia won 12, Levante five, and seven ended in draws. The average goal total per game stands at 2.7, reflecting a consistently high-scoring rivalry. Both teams have shown a tendency to find the back of the net, as evidenced by the 50% chance of both teams scoring in these fixtures. Historically, over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 42% of matches, suggesting that betting on higher totals could be a viable strategy.

Looking at goal distribution, the second half appears to be the most productive period for both sides. A significant number of goals were scored in the 76-90 minute window, with 15 goals in this bracket. This trend indicates that late-game intensity often defines the outcome of these clashes. Valencia's home advantage is notable, with the team winning seven out of 12 games at Mestalla, scoring 24 goals and conceding just nine. Conversely, Levante has struggled more on the road, managing only five wins from 12 away games while conceding 17 goals. Recent form also shows Valencia in better shape, having won three of their last four league matches compared to Levante’s two wins in their last five games. These factors suggest that Valencia may hold the upper hand in future encounters, though the unpredictable nature of the derby means outcomes can never be guaranteed.

FAQ: Derby Insights

Who has won more derbies?

Valencia hold the edge in head-to-head encounters, having secured 12 wins in 24 matches compared to Levante's five victories. The rivalry has been closely contested, with seven draws recorded over the years.

What is the biggest win in the derby?

The largest victory for either side came in a 3-0 triumph by Valencia, while Levante’s most significant win was a 2-0 result. These margins highlight the intensity and occasional dominance displayed by each team in key fixtures.

What is the average number of goals per match?

The derby has consistently delivered high-scoring contests, with an average of 2.7 goals per game. This reflects the attacking intent from both sides, as evidenced by the 41 goals scored by Valencia and 24 by Levante across 24 matches.

Who is the top scorer in the derby?

Roger Martí stands as the competition’s leading goal-scorer, netting six goals in derby matches. His record underscores his importance in the fixture and highlights the individual brilliance that often defines these games.

Does home advantage play a role?

While specific home and away records are not detailed, the overall balance of power favors Valencia slightly. With 12 wins out of 24, it suggests that home support may have contributed to their success, though the rivalry remains unpredictable.

When is the next derby match?

There are no upcoming derby matches scheduled at this time. Fans will need to wait until future fixtures are announced before witnessing another encounter between the two teams.