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Tunisia
Ligue 2
Round 22

Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef Prediction & Betting Tips

11 Apr 2026
4 - 1
Full Time
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Double Chance
Draw/Away
4 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

10%
45%
45%
Bouchamma Draw Ksour Essef
Match Result
Ksour Essef
45%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
9 min read

The upcoming encounter between Bouchamma and Ksour Essef in Ligue 2 promises to be a tightly contested affair as both teams look to strengthen their positions in the league table. With Bouchamma sitting in 10th place on 25 points and Ksour Essef occupying fifth spot with 29 points, the gap between t...

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Match Facts

Bouchamma
Bouchamma score 37% of their goals after the 75th minute (13 goals)
Bouchamma have scored all 3 penalties this season
Bouchamma score 71% of their goals in the second half
Bouchamma have won just 2 of 13 away matches this season
Ksour Essef
Ksour Essef have conceded in each of their last 8 matches
Ksour Essef scored in the first half in 13 of their last 15 matches (87%)
Ksour Essef win 62% at home but just 8% away — a stark contrast
Ksour Essef have won just 1 of 13 away matches this season
Ksour Essef failed to score in 11 of 26 matches (42%)

Key Statistics

1
0 Draws
1
4.5 Avg Goals
100% BTTS
100% Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026 Bouchamma 4-1 Ksour Essef
16 Nov 2025 Ksour Essef 3-1 Bouchamma
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst

Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef: A Crucial Clash in the Midtable Battle

The upcoming encounter between Bouchamma and Ksour Essef in Ligue 2 promises to be a tightly contested affair as both teams look to strengthen their positions in the league table. With Bouchamma sitting in 10th place on 25 points and Ksour Essef occupying fifth spot with 29 points, the gap between them is narrow but significant. This match represents more than just a regular fixture—it’s a chance for Ksour Essef to extend their lead over the mid-table rivals while Bouchamma seeks to close the gap and climb higher up the standings.

The venue remains unspecified, which adds an extra layer of uncertainty ahead of the game. However, the tactical approach from both sides will likely play a key role in determining the outcome. Ksour Essef's stronger position in the league suggests they may adopt a more cautious strategy, aiming to secure at least a draw. Meanwhile, Bouchamma could push forward with greater intensity, knowing that a win would provide a much-needed boost in confidence and momentum. The balance between defense and attack will be crucial for both teams as they navigate this pivotal moment in the season.

Betting markets are already showing interest in this clash, with odds reflecting the competitive nature of the matchup. Bookmakers have set lines that suggest a low-scoring game is possible, given the defensive records of both sides. However, the potential for an upset remains, especially if Bouchamma can capitalize on home advantage or favorable conditions. As fans prepare for the match, the focus will be on how each team handles the pressure of the occasion and whether either side can seize control of the narrative in this critical stage of the campaign.

Form Analysis

Bouchamma enters this encounter in mid-table contention, having secured 25 points from 10 matches. Their recent performance has been inconsistent, with a record of two wins, two draws, and six losses over their last 10 games. The team's attacking output averages one goal per game, which is modest given their position in the league. However, they have shown a tendency to score in most fixtures, with a 70% chance of both teams finding the net. Despite this, their defensive record is concerning, as they concede 1.9 goals on average, and only manage a clean sheet in 10% of their matches.

Ksour Essef, by contrast, occupies fifth place with 29 points, reflecting a more stable and effective campaign. They have recorded four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last 10 games, showcasing greater consistency than their opponents. Their attack is slightly more potent, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while their defense is significantly stronger, conceding just 0.8 goals on average. This defensive solidity translates into a 40% clean sheet rate, indicating that they are less likely to let in goals compared to Bouchamma. Their overall form suggests they are more capable of maintaining control in this match.

The statistical comparison highlights a clear gap between the two sides. Bouchamma’s overall form rating stands at 36%, while Ksour Essef’s is 64%. This disparity extends to both attack and defense, with Ksour Essef showing superior efficiency in both areas. While Bouchamma’s high BTTS percentage indicates a more open style of play, it also exposes them to higher risk, particularly against a well-organized defense like that of Ksour Essef. The home side’s inability to secure consistent results makes them vulnerable, especially against a team that has demonstrated better tactical discipline and resilience.

In summary, Ksour Essef appears to hold the advantage in this matchup, based on their superior form, stronger defensive record, and more reliable attacking threat. Bouchamma will need to improve their consistency and reduce their defensive frailties if they are to challenge for a positive result. Bookmakers may favor Ksour Essef to win or keep a clean sheet, but the potential for both teams to score could make the over/under market an attractive option for bettors seeking value.

Tactical Preview: Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef

Bouchamma enters the match as the lower-ranked side, sitting 10th in Ligue 2 with 25 points from 21 games. Their defensive record is solid, having kept seven clean sheets, but their goal difference is negative, indicating they struggle to score consistently. With a formation that remains unspecified, it’s likely Bouchamma adopts a pragmatic approach, focusing on organization and counterattacks. The team's reliance on set pieces may be key, given their limited attacking output. Defensively, they need to maintain discipline against Ksour Essef’s potent attack, which has scored 29 goals in the same number of matches.

Ksour Essef, currently fifth in the table with 29 points, presents a more dynamic threat. Their higher goal tally suggests an attacking philosophy centered around possession and quick transitions. Despite conceding 21 goals, their defensive structure appears stable, with seven clean sheets recorded. If they play in a traditional 4-3-3 or similar setup, their wingers could exploit Bouchamma’s flanks, while central midfielders will look to control the tempo. For Bouchamma, disrupting Ksour Essef’s rhythm through high pressing or physical challenges might be essential to limit scoring chances.

The contrast between the two teams’ styles highlights a potential battle of systems. Bouchamma’s emphasis on defense could force Ksour Essef into longer periods of possession without creating clear opportunities. However, Ksour Essef’s superior form and attacking depth make them favorites to dominate proceedings. Bouchamma’s best chance lies in exploiting set-piece situations and maintaining a compact shape to prevent breakdowns. Bookmakers have likely positioned Ksour Essef as strong favorites, though Bouchamma’s resilience at home should not be overlooked in the over/under market.

Head-to-Head History

The most recent encounter between Bouchamma and Ksour Essef took place on 2025-11-16, ending in a 3-1 victory for Ksour Essef. This single meeting is the only one recorded in the head-to-head record, meaning there is limited historical data to draw upon for this matchup. Despite the small sample size, the result suggests that Ksour Essef has the upper hand in direct confrontations, although it is important to note that this does not necessarily indicate a trend given the lack of previous encounters.

The game saw an average of four goals per match, highlighting a high-scoring nature to the contest. Additionally, both teams scored in the match, resulting in a 100%BTTS (Both Teams To Score) outcome. This indicates that the attacking play from both sides was effective, and it may suggest that future meetings could follow a similar pattern. Bookmakers may take this into account when setting odds, potentially favoring higher over/under lines due to the scoring tendency observed in their last clash.

While the head-to-head record is short, the performance of Ksour Essef in their only meeting against Bouchamma shows they can capitalize on defensive weaknesses. However, without more data points, it is difficult to determine if this was a one-off result or indicative of a broader trend. For bettors, the low number of matches between the two teams means that form guides should be used cautiously, and other factors such as current league position, squad strength, and tactical approach will play a significant role in shaping expectations for the next encounter.

Bouchamma vs Ksour Essef Betting Analysis

The upcoming encounter between Bouchamma and Ksour Essef in Ligue 2 offers a compelling clash between a mid-table side and a team competing for European qualification. Bouchamma currently sit in 10th place with 25 points from 21 games, having secured six wins, seven draws, and eight losses. Their recent form suggests a lack of consistency, with just one win in their last five matches. In contrast, Ksour Essef occupy fifth position with 29 points, boasting eight victories, five draws, and eight defeats. This gap in league standing reflects a significant difference in quality and ambition, which is likely to influence the dynamics of the game.

The bookmakers have priced the match result at 2 (45% confidence), indicating that Ksour Essef are viewed as strong favorites despite the home advantage. The underlying logic here may stem from Bouchamma's inability to secure consistent results against higher-ranked opponents. However, the relatively low confidence level suggests there could be value in backing the home side, especially if they can capitalize on defensive vulnerabilities. For punters seeking a safer option, the double chance of X2 (90% confidence) presents a more balanced approach, combining the possibility of a draw with a Ksour Essef victory. This bet aligns well with the current form and standings of both teams.

In terms of total goals, the over/under 2.5 line has been set at 54% confidence for under 2.5 goals. This prediction is based on the defensive records of both teams, particularly Bouchamma’s struggles to keep clean sheets. With only three clean sheets in 21 games, it is reasonable to expect a tightly contested match where neither side dominates possession or creates numerous chances. On the other hand, the BTTS market at 58% confidence suggests that both teams are likely to find the back of the net. Ksour Essef’s attacking output has been more reliable than Bouchamma’s, but the hosts’ ability to score in recent fixtures makes this outcome plausible. Punters looking for a dual outcome should consider this bet, as it balances risk and reward effectively.

Conclusion and Final Prediction Summary

Bouchamma faces a challenging encounter against Ksour Essef, who sit higher in the table and have shown stronger form this season. The home side has managed to secure 25 points from 21 matches, while Ksour Essef’s 29 points suggest they are in better overall shape. Despite the gap in league position, Bouchamma’s recent performances indicate they can put up a fight, particularly at home where they have secured six wins. However, the visitors’ superior record makes them strong favorites to take all three points.

The betting model suggests a high probability of a clean sheet for Ksour Essef, with over 50% confidence in the Under 2.5 goals market. This aligns with their defensive solidity and Bouchamma’s tendency to concede. Both teams have scored in most of their fixtures, making the Both Teams To Score market a viable option. With a 90% confidence level on the Double Chance X2, it is likely that either a draw or a Ksour Essef victory will occur, reflecting the imbalance in quality between the two sides.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 26 16 8 2 54 15 +39 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43 16 +27 53
3 AS Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31 18 +13 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34 24 +10 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21 20 +1 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35 30 +5 35
7 EGS Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28 31 -3 34
8 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40 34 +6 32
9 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26 32 -6 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27 39 -12 32
11 Kalaâ Sport 26 9 3 14 28 44 -16 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29 36 -7 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16 33 -17 26
14 EO Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17 57 -40 14
Champions League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Bouchamma
DWWLW
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

12 MayDvs Korba1-1
2 MayWat EO Sidi Bouzid2-0
28 AprWvs Ariana5-0
22 AprLat Jendouba Sport1-2
11 AprWvs Ksour Essef4-1
Ksour Essef
LLLWL
10Played
3Wins
1Draws
6Losses
Points/Game1
Win %30%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

12 MayLat AS Kasserine0-1
2 MayLvs Kalaâ Sport1-2
28 AprLat Moknine1-2
19 AprWvs EGS Gafsa4-2
11 AprLat Bouchamma1-4

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches2
Average Goals4.5
BTTS100%
Over 2.5 Goals100%
Over 1.5 Goals100%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Bouchamma52.5 per game
Ksour Essef42 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Bouchamma0 (0%)
Ksour Essef0 (0%)
11 Apr 2026 Ligue 2 Bouchamma 4-1 Ksour Essef
16 Nov 2025 Ligue 2 Ksour Essef 3-1 Bouchamma

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