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Ireland
Premier Division
Round 13

St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians Prediction & Betting Tips

24 Apr 2026
3 - 1
Full Time
Richmond Park, Dublin
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

43%
28%
29%
St Patrick's Athl. Draw Bohemians
Match Result
St Patrick's Athl.
43%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
57%
Both Teams Score
No
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
36%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

David Coleman Senior Football Analyst
75% 20+ yrs
9 min read

The Premier Division continues to deliver high-stakes drama as St Patrick's Athletic host Bohemians at Richmond Park on Friday evening. With both teams sitting within striking distance of the top two positions, this fixture carries significant implications for the race for silverware. St Patrick's c...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

8
6 Draws
4
2.22 Avg Goals
39% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
24 Apr 2026 St Patrick's Athl. 3-1 Bohemians
8 Feb 2026 Bohemians 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.
20 Oct 2025 Bohemians 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.
4 Jul 2025 St Patrick's Athl. 0-0 Bohemians
25 Apr 2025 Bohemians 2-1 St Patrick's Athl.
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

David Coleman
Senior Football Analyst

St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians: A Crucial Clash in the Premier Division

The Premier Division continues to deliver high-stakes drama as St Patrick's Athletic host Bohemians at Richmond Park on Friday evening. With both teams sitting within striking distance of the top two positions, this fixture carries significant implications for the race for silverware. St Patrick's currently hold second place with 23 points from 12 games, while Bohemians sit fourth with 20 points, making every point crucial in what has already been a tightly contested season.

The match is set against a backdrop of growing tension in the league table, where small margins can determine the outcome of the campaign. For St Patrick's, a win would extend their lead over the chasing pack, while a victory for Bohemians could reignite their ambitions of climbing into the playoff spots. The atmosphere at Richmond Park is likely to be electric, with fans eager to see which side can take control of the narrative in this pivotal encounter.

Both teams have shown resilience and tactical discipline this season, but the pressure of a mid-table showdown will test their ability to adapt under scrutiny. Bookmakers have positioned the game as a close contest, with odds reflecting the balance of power between the two sides. As kick-off approaches, all eyes will be on how each manager sets up to secure a vital three points in what promises to be a fiercely contested clash.

Form Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic enter this encounter in stronger form compared to Bohemians, having secured five wins from their last ten matches. Their recent results show a pattern of consistency, with victories against lower-ranked opponents and a strong ability to maintain control in games. The team averages 2.1 goals per game, indicating a potent attacking threat. However, they have struggled slightly at times, losing two of their last four matches, which suggests some inconsistency in performance. Their clean sheet record stands at 40%, showing that while they can defend effectively, there are moments where their backline is exposed.

Bohemians, on the other hand, have had a more mixed run of form, with only four wins from their past ten games. Their recent results include a series of draws and losses, which indicates a lack of momentum going into this fixture. Despite this, their attack has been relatively efficient, scoring one goal per game on average. Their defensive record is equally impressive, keeping a clean sheet in half of their matches. This suggests that Bohemians have the capability to limit opposition attacks but may struggle to convert chances into goals consistently.

In terms of overall strength, St Patrick's Athletic hold a clear advantage, with a form rating of 59% compared to Bohemians’ 41%. Their attacking prowess is significantly higher, with a 77% rating versus Bohemians’ 23%, highlighting their superior ability to create and score chances. Conversely, Bohemians have a stronger defense, rated at 67% compared to St Patrick's Athletic's 33%. This means that while Bohemians may find it difficult to break down St Patrick's Athletic's defense, they could pose a challenge if given opportunities to exploit gaps in the visitors' structure.

The contrast between the two teams' performances is evident in their scoring and defensive records. St Patrick's Athletic’s high goal output and moderate defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will look to dominate possession and press forward aggressively. Bohemians, meanwhile, may adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on maintaining shape and capitalizing on set-pieces or counterattacks. With these contrasting styles, the match is likely to be tightly contested, with St Patrick's Athletic favored to take control but Bohemians capable of causing problems if they can capitalize on key moments.

Tactical Preview

St Patrick's Athletic enter this encounter in second place, having secured seven wins, two draws, and three losses so far in the Premier Division. Their 5-3-2 formation suggests a defensive setup that prioritizes stability over attacking flair. With zero goals scored and one clean sheet recorded, their approach appears cautious, focusing on maintaining a solid backline while relying on quick counterattacks. The team’s structure is built around five defenders, which could limit their ability to dominate possession but may offer a strong shield against opposition attacks. This tactic could prove effective against Bohemians, who have struggled to find consistency in attack.

Bohemians, currently fourth in the table with five wins, five draws, and two losses, operate in a 4-2-3-1 formation. This system allows for more fluidity in midfield and provides a central striker with support from the wide players. However, their lack of goals scored and one clean sheet indicates a reliance on defensive resilience rather than offensive creativity. The compact midfield pairing might restrict their ability to break down well-organized defenses like St Patrick's. Both sides seem to prioritize defense, which could lead to a low-scoring contest where set pieces and individual moments may decide the outcome.

The tactical battle between these two teams will revolve around control of the midfield and the effectiveness of their respective attacking options. St Patrick's Athletic's deeper block could force Bohemians into long balls forward, potentially creating chances for their lone striker. Conversely, Bohemians’ structured approach might allow them to press high and win the ball in dangerous areas. Given the current form and setups, it's likely that both managers will opt for a pragmatic game plan, aiming to avoid mistakes and secure a favorable result through disciplined defending and timely transitions.

Head-to-Head History

The recent encounters between St Patrick's Athletic and Bohemians have been closely contested, reflecting a balanced rivalry over the last 17 meetings. St Patrick's Athletic hold a slight edge with seven wins compared to Bohemians’ four, while six matches ended in draws. The average goal count per game stands at 2.12, indicating that both sides tend to produce attacking football, though defensive solidity is also present. A key statistic from this fixture is the 35% chance of Both Teams To Score, suggesting that neither team has consistently kept clean sheets against the other.

Looking at the most recent fixtures, there have been several goalless draws, including a 0-0 result on 2026-02-08 and another on 2025-10-20. These results highlight the tactical discipline each side brings to the encounter. However, the 2025-04-25 meeting saw a more decisive outcome as Bohemians secured a 2-1 victory, while St Patrick's Athletic recorded a 3-0 win on 2025-03-14. This contrast shows that either team can dominate depending on form and conditions.

For bettors, the historical trend suggests that Over 2.5 Goals could be a viable option given the average scoring rate, but the frequency of draws means that a Clean Sheet for either side might also be worth considering. Bookmakers will likely set odds based on current form, but the head-to-head record provides a strong foundation for assessing potential outcomes. With both teams having shown ability to score and concede, the match promises to be competitive and open to various betting opportunities.

Betting Analysis: St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians

The clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Bohemians at Richmond Park on Friday evening presents an intriguing proposition for punters. Currently sitting in second place with 23 points from 12 games, St Patrick's Athletic have shown strong form this season, securing seven wins, two draws, and three losses. Their position in the table suggests they are a team capable of taking points from most opponents, especially at home. Meanwhile, Bohemians, in fourth place with 20 points, have managed five wins, five draws, and two losses, indicating a more inconsistent campaign. The 1.50 odds for a home win reflect the bookmakers’ belief that St Patrick's have the edge, but the implied probability of 47% leaves room for alternative outcomes.

The 1X2 market offers limited value given the current standings and recent performances. While St Patrick's Athletic are favorites, their advantage is not overwhelming. A draw at 2.90 represents a 24.3% chance according to the implied probabilities, which may appeal to those looking for a safer bet. However, the 2.45 odds for a Bohemians victory suggest some confidence in their ability to secure points away from home. Given the tight gap in the league table and the fact that both teams have been competitive against mid-table opposition, the draw could represent a potential value opportunity if the game ends in a low-scoring stalemate.

In terms of total goals, the under 2.5 line carries a 60% confidence rating based on our analysis. Both teams have struggled to score consistently, with St Patrick's Athletic managing just 14 goals in 12 matches and Bohemians scoring 13 in the same number of games. Defensive solidity has been a key factor for both sides, particularly at home for St Patrick's, who have conceded only six goals so far. This trend supports the case for the under 2.5 goals market, as neither side appears to have the attacking threat required to produce high-scoring encounters. The 2.90 odds for over 2.5 goals seem less appealing given these statistics.

The BTTS (both teams to score) market is leaning towards 'no' with a 53% confidence level. This aligns with the defensive trends observed from both teams, as well as the lack of attacking consistency. St Patrick's Athletic have only managed to keep clean sheets in four of their 12 games, while Bohemians have kept five shutouts. The combined defensive record suggests that it is unlikely either side will find the back of the net multiple times. With the 1.85 odds for BTTS appearing slightly inflated, the 'no' option presents a more attractive proposition for those seeking to avoid unnecessary risk.

Conclusion and Prediction Summary

St Patrick's Athletic host Bohemians at Richmond Park on Friday evening in a crucial clash for both sides as they battle for position in the Premier Division. St Patrick's sit second with 23 points from 12 games, having won seven and drawn two, while Bohemians occupy fourth place with 20 points after five wins and five draws. The home side has shown consistency this season, particularly in defensive organization, which could prove vital against a Bohemians team that has struggled slightly in away matches. With a strong record at home and a solid defensive setup, St Patrick's appear to have the edge in this encounter.

The betting model suggests a 45% confidence level for a home win, backed by statistical trends showing St Patrick's superiority in recent head-to-heads and their ability to control possession. Total goals are projected to stay under 2.5, reflecting the cautious approach both teams tend to take in tightly contested fixtures. Bookmakers also favor a clean sheet for the hosts, with a 53% chance of a goalless first half. While Bohemians pose a threat on the counter, the likelihood of a low-scoring result supports the under 2.5 total goals and no both teams to score. A 1X double chance is also considered, highlighting the potential for a draw but ultimately pointing toward a narrow home victory.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Shamrock Rovers 18 10 4 4 28 16 +12 34
2 St Patrick's Athl. 18 9 5 4 31 16 +15 32
3 Bohemians 18 8 7 3 27 18 +9 31
4 Dundalk 18 6 8 4 29 27 +2 26
5 Shelbourne 17 6 6 5 26 25 +1 24
6 Derry City 18 4 9 5 21 21 0 21
7 Galway United 17 5 5 7 25 28 -3 20
8 Drogheda United 18 5 5 8 22 29 -7 20
9 Sligo Rovers 18 5 4 9 14 24 -10 19
10 Waterford 18 1 7 10 18 37 -19 10
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

St Patrick's Athl.
DLWDD
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

22 MayDat Derry City0-0
15 MayLvs Shelbourne0-1
8 MayWvs Waterford4-1
4 MayDat Sligo Rovers1-1
1 MayDat Galway United2-2
Bohemians
LWWWD
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS100%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

25 MayLvs Shamrock Rovers1-2
22 MayWat Galway United4-2
15 MayWvs Drogheda United2-1
8 MayWat Dundalk3-1
4 MayDvs Shelbourne2-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals2.22
BTTS39%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals61%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
St Patrick's Athl.261.44 per game
Bohemians140.78 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
St Patrick's Athl.8 (44%)
Bohemians8 (44%)
24 Apr 2026 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 3-1 Bohemians
8 Feb 2026 Premier Division Bohemians 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.
20 Oct 2025 Premier Division Bohemians 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.
4 Jul 2025 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0-0 Bohemians
25 Apr 2025 Premier Division Bohemians 2-1 St Patrick's Athl.
14 Mar 2025 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 3-0 Bohemians
14 Oct 2024 Premier Division Bohemians 1-3 St Patrick's Athl.
28 Jun 2024 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0-0 Bohemians
24 May 2024 Premier Division Bohemians 2-2 St Patrick's Athl.
23 Feb 2024 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0-1 Bohemians
20 Oct 2023 Premier Division Bohemians 0-2 St Patrick's Athl.
11 Aug 2023 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0-0 Bohemians
14 Apr 2023 Premier Division Bohemians 2-3 St Patrick's Athl.
10 Mar 2023 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0-2 Bohemians
14 Oct 2022 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 3-1 Bohemians
29 Aug 2022 Premier Division Bohemians 1-3 St Patrick's Athl.
23 May 2022 Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 3-0 Bohemians
28 Feb 2022 Premier Division Bohemians 1-0 St Patrick's Athl.

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