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Spain
Segunda División
Round 30

AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Mar 2026
1 - 2
Full Time
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

34%
28%
38%
AD Ceuta FC Draw Deportivo La Coruna
Match Result
Deportivo La Coruna
38%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
53%
Double Chance
Home/Away
35%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

The battle for a comfortable midtable finish heats up this Saturday as AD Ceuta FC takes on Deportivo La Coruna at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Both sides are locked in a tight race in the Segunda División, with just five points separating them. AD Ceuta FC currently sits in eighth place, w...

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Match Facts

AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC have scored all 7 penalties this season
AD Ceuta FC have received 5 red cards in 42 matches this season
AD Ceuta FC score 60% of their goals in the first half
AD Ceuta FC average 2.6 yellow cards per game (111 in 42 matches)
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna have scored in each of their last 13 matches
Deportivo La Coruna have won their last 4 league matches
Deportivo La Coruna have scored all 6 penalties this season
Peke has been involved in 16 goals (9G + 7A)
Deportivo La Coruna score 30% of their goals after the 75th minute (19 goals)
Both teams scored in 11 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 15 matches (73%)

Key Statistics

0
0 Draws
4
2.5 Avg Goals
75% BTTS
75% Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026 AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna
23 Nov 2025 Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 AD Ceuta FC
23 Apr 2023 Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 AD Ceuta FC
18 Dec 2022 AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna: A Fight for Midtable Position

The battle for a comfortable midtable finish heats up this Saturday as AD Ceuta FC takes on Deportivo La Coruna at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Both sides are locked in a tight race in the Segunda División, with just five points separating them. AD Ceuta FC currently sits in eighth place, while Deportivo La Coruna occupies fourth spot. With only four rounds left in the regular season, each point is crucial for maintaining or improving their standing.

Recent Momentum

Looking at recent form, both teams have shown flashes of brilliance and moments of struggle. AD Ceuta FC has picked up three wins in their last five matches, with notable victories over tough opponents. However, they also suffered a loss in their most recent outing, hinting at some inconsistency. On the other hand, Deportivo La Coruna has been equally mercurial, securing two wins in their last three games but also tasting defeat twice. These trends suggest that neither side can be taken lightly, and the outcome of this match could come down to who strikes first and maintains composure throughout.

Current State of Play

In terms of overall performance, AD Ceuta FC’s attack has been the standout feature, racking up 36 goals in the season so far. Their star striker, Marcos Fernández, leads the way with seven goals, supported well by Kuki and José Matos. Defensively, however, AD Ceuta FC has struggled at times, conceding 39 goals and managing just eight clean sheets. Conversely, Deportivo La Coruna boasts a stronger defensive record, having conceded only 31 goals and keeping eight clean sheets themselves. Their attack, although slightly less prolific, has still managed to net 44 goals this season, spearheaded by Peke, who has nine goals and seven assists.

Tactical Preview

When it comes to formations, AD Ceuta FC typically lines up in a 4-3-3 system, providing a solid attacking platform. This setup allows them to stretch the field and create multiple goal-scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, Deportivo La Coruna prefers a 4-2-3-1 formation, which offers a balance between midfield control and attacking flair. Both teams will look to exploit their strengths in this match, with AD Ceuta FC aiming to use their forwards to break down Deportivo’s solid defense, while Deportivo La Coruna will seek to disrupt AD Ceuta FC’s attacking rhythm through precise passing and movement.

Key Players to Watch

  • Marcos Fernández (AD Ceuta FC): As the leading scorer for his team, Fernández will be crucial in finding the back of the net. His pace and finishing ability make him a constant threat to the opposing goalkeeper.
  • Peke (Deportivo La Coruna): With nine goals and seven assists, Peke has been instrumental in creating chances and scoring them. He will be key to unlocking AD Ceuta FC’s defense.
  • Kuki (AD Ceuta FC): Kuki has four goals and three assists, showcasing his versatility as both a goal-scorer and playmaker. Expect him to be involved in many of AD Ceuta FC’s best attacking moves.
  • Z. Eddahchouri (Deportivo La Coruna): Known for his goal-scoring prowess, Z. Eddahchouri has eight goals this season. His ability to strike from distance could prove decisive in this tightly contested match.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, Deportivo La Coruna has held the upper hand against AD Ceuta FC, winning all three of their most recent encounters. However, AD Ceuta FC’s home advantage could provide a psychological boost, potentially turning the tide in this upcoming clash. With both teams performing similarly over the past few weeks, it’s anyone’s guess who will emerge victorious on Saturday.

Betting Analysis

The bookmakers favor Deportivo La Coruna, with odds of 1.73 for them to win the match outright. AD Ceuta FC is priced at 2.00, indicating a slight edge for the visitors. A draw is set at 2.9, reflecting the closely matched nature of the two teams. In terms of over/under goals, the market leans towards a lower-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals priced at around 1.9. Both teams scoring (BTTS) is predicted at 53%, with odds of around 1.8. For double chance, the X2 option offers better value at 1.36, given the relative parity between the teams.

Our Predictions

Considering the strong defensive record of Deportivo La Coruna and the home-field advantage of AD Ceuta FC, we predict a narrow victory for Deportivo La Coruna, with a scoreline of 2-1. We also believe that there will be fewer than 2.5 total goals scored in the match, due to the likelihood of cautious defending from both sides. Additionally, we anticipate both teams to score, making the BTTS bet a good choice. For double chance, we lean towards the X2 option, given the close form and the potential for a draw.

Best Bets Summary

  • Match Result: Deportivo La Coruna to win (odds: 1.73)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (odds: 1.9)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (odds: 1.8)
  • Double Chance: X2 (odds: 1.36)

In conclusion, this Saturday’s match promises to be a thrilling contest between two evenly-matched teams vying for midtable stability. With both squads showing flashes of brilliance and moments of vulnerability, the outcome is wide open. Don’t miss out on the action!

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our model predicts Deportivo La Coruna with 38% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 35% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Marc Domenech is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Both teams to score: Yes (53% confidence).
When and where is AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
AD Ceuta FC vs Deportivo La Coruna takes place on 14 Mar 2026 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Additional Information

AD Ceuta FC

Top Scorers

Marcos FernándezAttacker
7Goals
KukiMidfielder
4Goals
José MatosDefender
4Goals
JamelliAttacker
4Goals
K. KonéAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

KukiMidfielder
3Assists
José MatosDefender
2Assists
K. KonéAttacker
2Assists
Y. DidiMidfielder
2Assists
Cristian RodríguezMidfielder
2Assists

Cards

Marcos FernándezAttacker
60
A. TuhamiAttacker
51
José MatosDefender
50
JamelliAttacker
50
KukiMidfielder
40
Deportivo La Coruna

Top Scorers

PekeMidfielder
9Goals
Z. EddahchouriAttacker
8Goals
David MellaAttacker
5Goals
Mario SorianoMidfielder
3Goals
Luismi CruzMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

PekeMidfielder
7Assists
Mario SorianoMidfielder
6Assists
Luismi CruzMidfielder
4Assists
Z. EddahchouriAttacker
3Assists
StoichkovAttacker
2Assists

Cards

Z. EddahchouriAttacker
50
Diego VillaresMidfielder
50
Miguel LoureiroDefender
50
Arnau ComasDefender
50
PekeMidfielder
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

AD Ceuta FC
WWLDW
10Played
3Wins
5Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

30 MayWvs Albacete1-0
24 MayWat FC Andorra2-0
16 MayLvs Malaga1-4
9 MayDvs Castellón1-1
3 MayWat Sporting Gijon2-1
Deportivo La Coruna
LWWWW
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

31 MayLvs Las Palmas1-2
24 MayWat Valladolid2-0
17 MayWvs FC Andorra2-1
8 MayWat Cadiz1-0
1 MayWvs Leganes2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals2.5
BTTS75%
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
AD Ceuta FC30.75 per game
Deportivo La Coruna71.75 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC0 (0%)
Deportivo La Coruna1 (25%)
14 Mar 2026 Segunda División AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna
23 Nov 2025 Segunda División Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 AD Ceuta FC
23 Apr 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1 Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 AD Ceuta FC
18 Dec 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1 AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna

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