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Kenya
FKF Premier League
Round 24

APS Bomet vs Bidco United Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Mar 2026
1 - 1
Full Time
Gusii Stadium, Kisii
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

37%
29%
34%
APS Bomet Draw Bidco United
Match Result
Draw
29%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
63%
Both Teams Score
No
56%
Double Chance
Home/Away
35%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

As we prepare for another thrilling round in the FKF Premier League, the focus shifts to the vibrant Gusii Stadium in Kisii, where APS Bomet will host Bidco United in a crucial match on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The local atmosphere is buzzing with anticipation as fans eagerly await to see which tea...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

APS Bomet
APS Bomet have won their last 4 league matches
APS Bomet have scored in each of their last 8 matches
APS Bomet score 38% of their goals after the 75th minute (15 goals)
APS Bomet concede 27% of goals in the first 15 minutes (9 goals)
APS Bomet have lost 7 of 17 home matches (41%)
APS Bomet failed to score in 11 of 34 matches (32%)
Bidco United
Bidco United failed to score in 19 of 34 matches (56%)
Bidco United have gone 4 league matches without a win
Bidco United score 85% of their goals in the second half
Bidco United score 40% of their goals after the 75th minute (8 goals)
Bidco United have lost 9 of 17 home matches (53%)
Bidco United have won just 3 of 17 away matches this season

Key Statistics

0
2 Draws
0
1 Avg Goals
50% BTTS
0% Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026 APS Bomet 1-1 Bidco United
2 Nov 2025 Bidco United 0-0 APS Bomet
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Gusii Stadium Set for Exciting Clash Between APS Bomet and Bidco United

As we prepare for another thrilling round in the FKF Premier League, the focus shifts to the vibrant Gusii Stadium in Kisii, where APS Bomet will host Bidco United in a crucial match on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The local atmosphere is buzzing with anticipation as fans eagerly await to see which team will secure valuable points in the race for survival.

The Venue Advantage

Playing in front of a supportive home crowd can make a significant difference in the FKF Premier League, and this is especially true for APS Bomet. The familiar surroundings of Gusii Stadium often provide a boost to morale and performance, potentially giving APS Bomet an edge over their opponents.

Match Context and Significance

With both teams currently in the lower half of the FKF Premier League table, every point counts as they aim to climb towards safety. APS Bomet, sitting in 17th place with 19 points, is just four points above the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Bidco United, in 15th place with 20 points, is also looking to secure a more comfortable position in the standings. This match presents a great opportunity for both sides to gain some breathing room and move closer to their goal of staying in the top flight.

Recent Momentum and Form Analysis

APS Bomet comes into this match riding a wave of mixed fortunes, with their most recent performances showing some resilience. After losing three consecutive games, they managed to pick up a win in their last outing, giving them a slight lift in spirits. Their form over the past five matches is represented by the string LLDLW, indicating that while they've had some struggles, they’ve shown flashes of quality.

Bidco United, on the other hand, has found themselves in a bit of a rut recently, with only one win in their last five matches. Their form is summarized by the string WDLLD, suggesting inconsistency and a need to find stability. Despite this, they’ve managed to accumulate a few draws, keeping them relatively close to APS Bomet in the standings.

Tactical Preview and Expected Approaches

A closer look at the tactical setup reveals that APS Bomet may opt for a solid defensive structure, leveraging their recent clean sheet record to minimize conceding goals. They'll likely prioritize maintaining possession and creating chances through midfield playmaking. On the other hand, Bidco United might adopt a more direct approach, aiming to exploit spaces with quick counterattacks and utilizing their forwards to put pressure on the opposition defense.

Head-to-Head History and Patterns

In the most recent meeting between these two teams, back in November 2025, the game ended in a 0-0 draw, highlighting the tight nature of their encounters. This result suggests that both teams tend to be evenly matched, with neither side having a significant advantage in terms of overall dominance. This parity adds another layer of intrigue to this upcoming clash, as either side could potentially emerge victorious.

Betting Analysis

Lets dive into the betting markets for this match:

  • Match Result (1X2): The odds favor a home win for APS Bomet, with the probability of a win being around 45%. However, considering their recent form and the closeness of the teams, a draw seems plausible, with the probability estimated at around 35%. An away win for Bidco United has a lower chance, at approximately 20%.
  • Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5): Based on the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, there's a strong likelihood of a low-scoring affair. The probability of under 2.5 goals is estimated at 56%, making this a favorable bet for those predicting a tightly contested match.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): With the form showing some consistency in both teams scoring, the probability of both teams finding the net is around 59%. This indicates a good chance of seeing goals from both ends of the pitch.
  • Double Chance (1X): Given the similarity in form and the recent head-to-head results, a double chance bet on APS Bomet or a draw offers a high probability of success, with an estimated 90% chance.

Clear Predictions and Reasoning

Based on the analysis of recent form, head-to-head history, and the statistical trends, our prediction for this match is as follows:

  • Match Result: We predict a win for APS Bomet, with a 45% confidence level. While Bidco United has shown some resilience, APS Bomet’s home advantage and slightly better form give them the edge.
  • Total Goals: We anticipate under 2.5 goals, with a 56% confidence level. The recent form and head-to-head suggest a tight and possibly low-scoring match.
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes, with a 59% confidence level. The balance in form and the likelihood of both teams scoring make this a strong bet.
  • Double Chance: We recommend a double chance on APS Bomet or a draw, with a 90% confidence level. This reflects the high probability of APS Bomet securing at least a point.

Best Bets Summary

For this match, the best bets would be:

  • Win for APS Bomet (1)
  • Under 2.5 total goals
  • Both teams to score (BTTS)
  • Double chance on APS Bomet or draw (1X)

These selections offer a combination of strong probabilities and potential for rewarding returns, making them attractive options for bettors looking to capitalize on the upcoming match between APS Bomet and Bidco United.

Frequently Asked Questions

APS Bomet vs Bidco United: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Draw with 29% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will APS Bomet vs Bidco United have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (63% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
Both teams to score: No (56% confidence).
Is the double chance 12 a good bet for APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
Our double chance pick is 12 with 35% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is APS Bomet vs Bidco United played?
APS Bomet vs Bidco United takes place on 14 Mar 2026 at Gusii Stadium.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 GOR Mahia 34 20 9 5 50 22 +28 69
2 AFC Leopards 34 19 7 8 44 28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31 21 +10 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44 34 +10 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35 34 +1 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47 37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36 37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42 41 +1 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27 32 -5 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37 35 +2 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30 30 0 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26 26 0 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34 37 -3 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31 35 -4 41
15 Posta Rangers FC 34 9 13 12 31 40 -9 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30 33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19 40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19 51 -32 19
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

APS Bomet
DWWWW
10Played
7Wins
3Draws
0Losses
Points/Game2.4
Win %70%
Goals/Game1.5
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg0.2
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets80%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

31 MayDat Tusker1-1
24 MayWvs AFC Leopards2-1
20 MayWat Bandari2-0
10 MayWat Mathare United2-0
6 MayWvs KCB1-0
Bidco United
WLLLD
10Played
1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.6
Win %10%
Goals/Game1.5
Scored Avg0.3
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score80%

Recent Matches

31 MayWat AFC Leopards2-1
24 MayLvs Murang'a SEAL0-2
17 MayLvs Shabana0-1
10 MayLat Tusker0-2
3 MayDvs Kariobangi Sharks0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches2
Average Goals1
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals0%
Over 1.5 Goals50%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
APS Bomet10.5 per game
Bidco United10.5 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
APS Bomet1 (50%)
Bidco United1 (50%)
14 Mar 2026 FKF Premier League APS Bomet 1-1 Bidco United
2 Nov 2025 FKF Premier League Bidco United 0-0 APS Bomet

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