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Vietnam
V.League 2
Round 10

Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh Prediction & Betting Tips

28 Feb 2026
3 - 2
Full Time
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

54%
27%
19%
Bắc Ninh Draw Than Quang Ninh
Match Result
Bắc Ninh
54%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
60%
Both Teams Score
No
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
41%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

When two mid-table contenders clash in Vietnam's V.League 2, every point, goal, and tactical nuance can shape their path toward promotion or relegation. This Saturday's encounter between Bắc Ninh and Than Quang Ninh at 09:00 local time is no exception, carrying implications beyond the immediate stan...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Bắc Ninh
Bắc Ninh have scored in each of their last 8 matches
Bắc Ninh win 67% at home but just 25% away — a stark contrast
Bắc Ninh score 36% of their goals after the 75th minute (5 goals)
Bắc Ninh score 71% of their goals in the second half
Bắc Ninh failed to score in 3 of 10 matches (30%)
Than Quang Ninh
Than Quang Ninh have conceded in each of their last 8 matches
Than Quang Ninh failed to score in 4 of 9 matches (44%)

Key Statistics

1
1 Draws
0
2.5 Avg Goals
50% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026 Than Quang Ninh 0-0 Bắc Ninh
28 Feb 2026 Bắc Ninh 3-2 Than Quang Ninh
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Decoding the Dynamics: Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh in V.League 2 Battle

When two mid-table contenders clash in Vietnam's V.League 2, every point, goal, and tactical nuance can shape their path toward promotion or relegation. This Saturday's encounter between Bắc Ninh and Than Quang Ninh at 09:00 local time is no exception, carrying implications beyond the immediate standings and offering a fertile ground for football football prediction and soccer predictions enthusiasts alike.

Setting the Stage: Stakes and Significance

Currently occupying the 4th and 8th spots respectively, Bắc Ninh and Than Quang Ninh are navigating the complex landscape of V.League 2 with aspirations of solidifying their league positions. Bắc Ninh, sitting comfortably with 16 points from 9 matches, seeks to extend their unbeaten streak and inch closer to the top, while Than Quang Ninh, with 11 points, aims to climb the standings amidst a recent mixed run. For both clubs, this fixture could be pivotal—especially considering the competitive nature of the league where every fixture can pivot on tactical decisions, player performances, and match-day form.

Recent Momentum: Form and Momentum

Analyzing the form over the last five matches (specific match results were not provided), Bắc Ninh has demonstrated notable consistency, with a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss. Their attacking and defensive stats underscore a balanced approach, with goals scored and conceded averages suggesting a team capable of both scoring and maintaining solidity at the back. Conversely, Than Quang Ninh's form indicates a more fluctuating pattern, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, reflecting a team battling to find rhythm.

Statistically, Bắc Ninh's form scores a commanding 62% in AI-driven analysis, indicating a slight edge in current performance, with greater confidence in their ability to impose their style on the game.

Tactical Outlook: Formations and Strategies

While exact formations are not detailed, expectations lean toward Bắc Ninh deploying a structured, possession-oriented setup—possibly a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3—focusing on controlling midfield and leveraging their solid defense. Their goal-scoring consistency suggests an emphasis on attacking transitions and set-piece opportunities.

Than Quang Ninh might adopt a more pragmatic approach, perhaps a 4-4-2 or 4-1-4-1, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on counter-attacks. Their defensive resilience, with a 40% success rate in maintaining clean sheets according to recent data, could be pivotal if they look to frustrate Bắc Ninh and capitalize on quick breaks.

Key Players to Watch: Impact Makers

  • Bắc Ninh: The top scorers for Bắc Ninh are instrumental in their attacking setup, with their ability to convert chances and hold up play key to unlocking the opposition’s defense.
  • Than Quang Ninh: Their leading scorers could be decisive in exploiting defensive lapses, especially if Bắc Ninh commits players forward.

Specific names are not provided, but these players' influence will be critical in dictating the game's flow and outcome.

Head-to-Head Insights and Historical Trends

Detailed head-to-head statistics are unavailable; however, historical patterns in V.League 2 suggest that teams with current form and tactical discipline tend to dominate these fixtures. Bắc Ninh’s recent consistency could give them a psychological edge, though Than Quang Ninh’s resilience might enable a surprise, especially if they capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks.

Betting Market Breakdown: Numbers and Nuances

The bookmakers favor Bắc Ninh with a 1.67 return for a home win, implying a 53% probability — the highest among outcomes. Draws are priced at 3.1 (28.6%), while away wins are considered less likely at 4.8 (18.4%).

Double chance markets (1X at 1.15) highlight a strong expectation that Bắc Ninh will avoid defeat, reflecting their current form advantage. The Asian Handicap markets are intriguing: Bắc Ninh at -0.5 is priced at 1.77, indicating a belief that they should win or at least secure a draw; whereas, for the away side, -0.5 at 1.95 suggests they have a fighting chance if they can make the match competitive.

The over/under 2.5 goals market shows a 60% confidence in under 2.5 goals, aligning with the defensive stability observed. The 'both teams to score' market favors 'no' (58%), supporting predictions of a tight, low-scoring game.

For predictions for today’s soccer predictions markets, the value appears to lie in backing Bắc Ninh to secure a narrow victory, with under 2.5 goals, based on the data-driven analysis and current form.

Expert Predictions: Applying Data and Trends

Given the recent form, tactical shapes, and betting odds, our football forecast for today leans towards a narrow Bắc Ninh win, with a 54% confidence level. The tight nature of the matchup, combined with the statistical tendency toward under 2.5 goals and no both teams to score, makes a low-scoring, closely contested game plausible. The double chance market (1X) also favors Bắc Ninh, offering a safer bet with a higher probability, especially considering their current form edge.

Final Word: Best Bets for Today’s Fixture

  • Result Prediction: Bắc Ninh to win (54% confidence)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 goals (60% confidence)
  • Both Teams Score: No (58% confidence)
  • Double Chance: 1X (41% confidence)

In the realm of soccer and football predictions, this fixture offers limited but compelling value, especially backing Bắc Ninh’s ability to clinch the win with a disciplined, defensive-minded approach. The under 2.5 goals bet also aligns with the trends and odds, making it an attractive option for those seeking value in predictions for today’s matches.


In sum, this game is a tactical chess match with statistical underpinnings that favor Bắc Ninh slightly—yet, the unpredictable nature of football always leaves room for surprises. For those engaged in soccer predictions today, this fixture exemplifies the importance of balancing data with tactical awareness and betting insight.

Frequently Asked Questions

Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Bắc Ninh with 54% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (60% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh?
Both teams to score: No (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 41% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh played?
Bắc Ninh vs Than Quang Ninh takes place on 28 Feb 2026.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Bình Phước 22 15 5 2 47 14 +33 50
2 Bắc Ninh 22 13 6 3 41 23 +18 45
4 Binh Dinh 22 10 5 7 38 31 +7 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34 32 +2 33
6 PVF-CAND 22 8 8 6 34 26 +8 32
7 Văn Hiến 22 7 7 8 21 24 -3 28
8 Sanna Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21 23 -2 27
9 Than Quang Ninh 22 6 8 8 23 26 -3 26
10 Dong Thap 22 5 9 8 16 21 -5 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11 30 -19 14
12 Hồ Chí Minh II 22 1 4 17 15 62 -47 7
13 Hòa Bình 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Bắc Ninh
LWWDW
10Played
7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.3
Win %70%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg2.4
Conceded Avg1
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

6 JunLvs PVF-CAND1-3
30 MayWat Binh Dinh4-2
24 MayWvs Hồ Chí Minh II8-0
16 MayDat Sanna Khanh Hoa2-2
8 MayWvs Bình Phước2-1
Than Quang Ninh
WDWDL
10Played
3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.3
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

6 JunWvs Hồ Chí Minh II4-2
30 MayDat Sanna Khanh Hoa1-1
23 MayWvs PVF-CAND3-1
17 MayDat Binh Dinh1-1
9 MayLvs Dong Thap0-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches2
Average Goals2.5
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals50%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Bắc Ninh31.5 per game
Than Quang Ninh21 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Bắc Ninh1 (50%)
Than Quang Ninh1 (50%)
12 Apr 2026 V.League 2 Than Quang Ninh 0-0 Bắc Ninh
28 Feb 2026 V.League 2 Bắc Ninh 3-2 Than Quang Ninh

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