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Israel
Ligat Ha'al
Round 36

Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction & Betting Tips

23 May 2026
1 - 1
Full Time
Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Both Teams Score
Yes
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

52%
23%
24%
Beitar Jerusalem Draw Hapoel Tel Aviv
Match Result
Beitar Jerusalem
52%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams Score
Yes
59%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
38%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
15 min read

The atmosphere at the historic Teddy Stadium will reach fever pitch on Saturday, May 23, 2026, as two of Israel’s most storied clubs collide in a pivotal Ligat Ha’al encounter. This fixture is more than just a regional rivalry; it is a strategic battleground that could significantly influence the fi...

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Match Facts

Beitar Jerusalem
Beitar Jerusalem have scored all 11 penalties this season
Beitar Jerusalem have received 6 red cards in 36 matches this season
Beitar Jerusalem score 38% of their goals after the 75th minute (28 goals)
Beitar Jerusalem have won 12 of 18 away matches (67%)
Beitar Jerusalem average 2.6 yellow cards per game (93 in 36 matches)
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv have received 9 red cards in 35 matches this season
Hapoel Tel Aviv have scored all 6 penalties this season
Hapoel Tel Aviv win 82% at home but just 22% away — a stark contrast
Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 14 of 17 home matches this season (82%)
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 36% of their goals after the 75th minute (18 goals)
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 68% of their goals in the second half

Key Statistics

6
3 Draws
9
2.33 Avg Goals
39% BTTS
44% Over 2.5
23 May 2026 Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
6 May 2026 Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem
1 Jan 2026 Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
15 Sep 2025 Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-2 Beitar Jerusalem
27 Apr 2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Beitar Jerusalem
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Derby Clashes at Teddy Stadium: Beitar Jerusalem Hosts Hapoel Tel Aviv

The atmosphere at the historic Teddy Stadium will reach fever pitch on Saturday, May 23, 2026, as two of Israel’s most storied clubs collide in a pivotal Ligat Ha’al encounter. This fixture is more than just a regional rivalry; it is a strategic battleground that could significantly influence the final standings of the season. Beitar Jerusalem enters the matchday sitting comfortably in second place with an impressive haul of 57 points, boasting a robust record of 17 wins, 6 draws, and only 3 losses. Their consistency has been the hallmark of their campaign, allowing them to maintain pressure on the league leaders while keeping a comfortable cushion over their chasing pack.

Hapoel Tel Aviv arrives in the capital looking to close the gap, currently occupying fourth position with 49 points. The visitors have demonstrated resilience throughout the season, securing 15 victories, drawing 6 matches, and suffering just 5 defeats. However, the eight-point deficit means they cannot afford any slip-ups if they wish to challenge for silverware. The stakes are undeniably high for both sides, as this derby serves as a potential turning point. For Beitar, a victory would solidify their status as genuine title contenders, while for Hapoel Tel Aviv, three points are essential to keep the momentum alive in a tightly contested league table.

The contrast in form and positioning adds layers of tactical intrigue to this showdown. Beitar’s home advantage at the Teddy Stadium often translates into psychological dominance over visiting teams, but Hapoel Tel Aviv’s ability to grind out results suggests they are well-prepared for the physical and emotional demands of the derby. As the whistle blows at 17:00 local time, fans can anticipate a fierce contest where every pass and tackle carries weight. The outcome of this match will likely define the narrative for the remainder of the season, making it a must-watch event for supporters across the country and bettors analyzing the current value in the market.

Recent Form and Tactical Contrast

The upcoming clash at Teddy Stadium presents a fascinating tactical dichotomy between two sides approaching the peak of their campaigns with distinctly different momentum. Beitar Jerusalem enters this fixture riding a wave of confidence, having secured four victories in their last five outings after a brief dip in consistency. Their current trajectory places them firmly in second position with 57 points, demonstrating a robust ability to convert performances into results. In stark contrast, Hapoel Tel Aviv arrives from a more volatile run, managing only one win in their last five matches despite sitting comfortably in fourth place with 49 points. This divergence in immediate form suggests that while the visitors have built a solid foundation over the season, they may be struggling to maintain the same intensity as the home side.

Offensively, the disparity is even more pronounced. Beitar Jerusalem has been a relentless attacking force over the last ten games, averaging an impressive 2.7 goals per game. Their attack has accounted for 72% of the comparative offensive strength in this matchup, indicating a high-scoring proposition whenever they take the ball forward. Conversely, Hapoel Tel Aviv’s offense appears somewhat stifled, managing just 0.9 goals per game across the same period. With the visitors contributing only 28% of the combined attacking metrics, they rely heavily on efficiency rather than volume, making each goal scored all the more critical for their chances of securing a result away from home.

Defensive solidity offers Hapoel Tel Aviv their strongest weapon, however. The visitors boast an exceptional defensive record, conceding merely 0.5 goals per game in their last ten appearances. They have kept clean sheets in 60% of these fixtures and have seen both teams score in only 10% of their recent outings. This contrasts sharply with Beitar Jerusalem, who have conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game and have maintained a clean sheet in only 30% of their matches. While Beitar’s defense allows for more fluidity—and thus more goals—Hapoel Tel Aviv’s backline operates with a near-impenetrable structure, often frustrating opponents through disciplined positioning and compact spacing.

When analyzing the broader statistical comparison, Beitar Jerusalem holds a significant advantage in overall form, commanding 68% of the comparative metrics against Hapoel Tel Aviv’s 32%. However, betting markets must weigh this raw form against the specific tactical matchups. The low BTTS percentage for Hapoel Tel Aviv suggests that if they can silence Beitar’s potent attack, the game could remain tight. Yet, given Beitar’s superior recent performance and home advantage, the pressure will be squarely on the visitors to replicate their defensive masterclass while finding a way to break down a confident, high-flying host team.

Tactical Breakdown: Formations and Strategic Approaches

The upcoming clash between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv at the historic Teddy Stadium presents a fascinating tactical contrast between two distinct structural philosophies within the Ligat Ha’al. Beitar Jerusalem, currently sitting comfortably in second place with 57 points, has built their campaign on a robust 4-3-3 formation that emphasizes width and forward momentum. With 61 goals scored, they have proven to be one of the most potent attacking forces in the league, leveraging their home advantage to press opponents high up the pitch. Their defensive record, while solid with 29 goals conceded, shows some vulnerability compared to their rivals, having kept only seven clean sheets. This suggests a willingness to leave spaces behind the back four to accommodate the fluid movement of their front three, creating a dynamic but occasionally exposed defensive line that relies heavily on midfield recovery.

In stark contrast, Hapoel Tel Aviv, positioned fourth with 49 points, employs a more disciplined and structured 4-2-3-1 setup designed to control the tempo and exploit transitional moments. Their defensive solidity is evident in their impressive tally of 11 clean sheets and just 23 goals conceded, indicating a well-drilled backline supported by a double pivot in midfield that provides essential cover against counter-attacks. However, their attack has been somewhat less prolific than Beitar’s, with only 46 goals scored, which may force them to rely on set-pieces and individual brilliance from their attacking midfielder operating just behind the lone striker. The challenge for Hapoel Tel Aviv will be to neutralize Beitar’s wide threats without ceding too much territory, potentially requiring a compact mid-block that forces the home side to play through congested central areas.

The key battle will likely unfold in the midfield, where Beitar’s three-man unit must assert dominance over Hapoel’s two holding players to unlock the defense. If Beitar can maintain possession and stretch the game using their full-backs, they could exploit the gaps left by Hapoel’s wingers pushing forward. Conversely, if Hapoel Tel Aviv can absorb pressure and strike efficiently on the break, their superior defensive organization could frustrate Beitar’s attackers. The historical rivalry adds emotional intensity, meaning tactical discipline may occasionally give way to individual duels, particularly in the box-to-box zones where energy levels will dictate the flow of the match. Both managers face critical decisions regarding rotation and pressing triggers as they seek to secure vital points in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Decisive Factors: Star Performers and Statistical Leaders

The outcome of this high-stakes encounter will likely hinge on the form of individual talents from both squads, particularly those leading their respective offensive charts. For Beitar Jerusalem, the attacking duo of Omer Atzili and Amit Yona presents a formidable threat that Hapoel Tel Aviv’s defense must carefully manage. Both players have recorded an impressive six goals each, but it is Atzili’s all-around contribution that sets him apart as the primary engine for the home side. With four assists to complement his goal tally, Atzili demonstrates a dual capacity to finish moves and create opportunities for teammates, making him a constant danger in the final third. His ability to draw defenders creates space for others, while his direct shooting threat forces the opposition backline to stay compact. Yona, matching Atzili in raw output with six goals, offers a slightly different profile. Although he has registered only one assist compared to Atzili’s four, Yona’s efficiency in front of the goal makes him a reliable finisher. Defenders marking Yona must remain vigilant against his movement off the ball, as his goal-scoring consistency suggests an intuitive sense for positioning in crowded penalty areas.

On the visiting side, Hapoel Tel Aviv boasts a similarly potent attack led by Santiago Torial, who mirrors Beitar’s leading scorers with six goals and adds significant creative value through four assists. Torial’s statistical profile indicates he is the most complete attacker in the matchup, capable of influencing the game through both finishing and playmaking. His presence forces Beitar’s midfield to cover more ground, often pulling defenders out of position to account for his dribbling and passing range. Supporting Torial is Rotem Korine, whose four goals provide essential depth to the Tel Aviv strike force. While Korine’s assist count stands at just one, his goal contributions highlight his effectiveness as a secondary scoring option, ensuring that if Torial is neutralized, there is still a viable threat emerging from other areas of the pitch. Additionally, Raed Alkokin plays a crucial role despite having fewer goals than his peers. With three goals and four assists, Alkokin emerges as the primary creator for Hapoel Tel Aviv. His high assist total underscores his vision and distribution skills, which are vital for unlocking a stubborn Beitar defense. The synergy between Torial’s finishing prowess and Alkokin’s creative spark forms the backbone of the visitors’ attacking strategy.

Beyond these headline figures, Yaniv Shua provides Beitar Jerusalem with additional firepower, contributing four goals without any assists. This statistic reveals Shua as a pure finisher, relying heavily on instinct and positioning rather than intricate playmaking. For bettors analyzing the Match Winner or Both Teams To Score markets, understanding these distinct player roles is critical. The clash between Atzili and Torial represents a battle of the league’s most productive attackers, suggesting that goals are highly probable unless defensive errors abound. Furthermore, the creative outputs of Atzili and Alkokin indicate that both teams possess the midfield dynamism required to sustain pressure over ninety minutes. If Beitar can leverage Atzili’s versatility to stretch the field, they may exploit spaces left behind by Hapoel’s advancing full-backs. Conversely, if Torial and Alkokin maintain their recent form, their combined seven assists suggest a fluid attacking structure that could overwhelm Beitar’s backline. These individual performances will ultimately dictate whether the match ends in a tight contest or a high-scoring affair, making close attention to these key players essential for accurate prediction.

Hapoel Tel Aviv Hold Historical Edge Despite Recent Setbacks

The historical narrative of this intense rivalry heavily favors Hapoel Tel Aviv, who have secured nine victories compared to Beitar Jerusalem’s six across their last seventeen encounters. This statistical dominance suggests that the home side has traditionally possessed the psychological and tactical upper hand in this fixture. However, the margin is far from insurmountable, as Beitar has managed to keep the competition tight with two draws and a respectable win percentage that prevents Hapoel from claiming total supremacy. The average goal count of 2.35 per game indicates a moderately paced contest where neither side completely stifles the other, often leading to matches decided by single-goal margins or late bursts of attacking intensity.

Recent form tells a different story than the broader historical data implies. In their most recent meeting on May 6, 2026, Hapoel Tel Aviv suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat at home, breaking a streak of positive results for the hosts. Prior to that, Beitar Jerusalem also won 1-0 away in January 2026, demonstrating their ability to grind out results on hostile turf. These back-to-back losses for Hapoel signal a potential shift in momentum, suggesting that Beitar has found ways to neutralize the traditional home advantage. Conversely, Hapoel showed they can still overwhelm opponents, as evidenced by the thrilling 3-2 victory in September 2025 and the dominant 5-1 thrashing earlier in April 2024, proving their offensive ceiling remains high when clicking effectively.

Betting markets should take note of the relatively low Both Teams To Score (BTTS) rate of just 35% over these seventeen meetings. This statistic highlights that defensive solidity or individual brilliance often trumps consistent attacking output in this derby. With only five games listed showing specific scorelines, the trend leans toward tighter affairs rather than goal-fests, despite the occasional outlier like the 5-1 result. The majority of recent outcomes were decided by a single goal, reinforcing the value in considering Under 2.5 goals or double chance bets involving Beitar, given their improved resilience against their crosstown rivals in the current cycle.

Bet Analysis: Value in the Capital Derby

The upcoming clash between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv at Teddy Stadium presents a compelling narrative within the Ligat Ha’al, marking a crucial encounter for both sides as they vie for European qualification spots. Beitar Jerusalem currently sits comfortably in second place with 57 points, boasting an impressive record of 17 wins, 6 draws, and only 3 losses. In contrast, Hapoel Tel Aviv occupies fourth position with 49 points, having secured 15 victories, drawn 6 matches, and suffered 5 defeats. The eight-point gap suggests that while Hapoel Tel Aviv is formidable, Beitar holds a significant psychological and statistical advantage on home soil. This disparity is reflected in the market dynamics, where Beitar’s status as favorites aligns with their superior consistency throughout the season.

From a betting perspective, the Match Result prediction favors Beitar Jerusalem to secure all three points, carrying a confidence level of 45%. While this percentage may seem moderate, it accurately reflects the inherent unpredictability of derby matches where form often takes a backseat to rivalry intensity. However, the statistical edge lies clearly with the hosts, who have demonstrated greater resilience with fewer losses compared to their visitors. Betting on Beitar offers reasonable value given their home advantage at Teddy Stadium, which has historically been a fortress for the club during critical stretches of the campaign. The risk involved stems from Hapoel Tel Aviv’s ability to disrupt games through tactical discipline, but Beitar’s offensive output provides sufficient leverage to justify backing them for the win.

In terms of goal expectancy, the Total Goals market shows strong potential for an Over 2.5 goals outcome, supported by a 52% confidence rating. Both teams possess attacking depth capable of breaking down defensive lines, particularly when motivation is high. Beitar’s recent performances indicate a tendency to score consistently, while Hapoel Tel Aviv rarely fails to find the net away from home due to their balanced squad composition. The combination of two mid-table to upper-tier offenses meeting in a potentially open game creates fertile ground for multiple scoring opportunities. Bookmakers’ pricing likely accounts for the derby nature, but historical trends suggest that neither side will play excessively cautious, leading to a fluid match dynamic conducive to exceeding the two-goal threshold.

Furthermore, the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) market emerges as the most statistically robust selection, commanding a notable 61% confidence level. This high probability underscores the likelihood that both defenses will concede at least once, driven by the offensive capabilities present on both benches. Hapoel Tel Aviv’s defensive structure, though solid, has shown vulnerabilities against well-organized attacks, while Beitar’s defense, despite being one of the best in the league, cannot guarantee perfection against a quality opponent like Hapoel. Consequently, expecting both nets to shake adds considerable value to the betting slip. Additionally, the Double Chance market strongly supports covering Beitar or Draw (1X), with an exceptional 90% confidence level. This near-certainty highlights the difficulty Hapoel Tel Aviv faces in overturning the momentum at Teddy Stadium, making it a safer hedge for those seeking stability amidst the volatility of a classic Israeli derby.

Final Verdict and Betting Outlook

The upcoming clash between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv at Teddy Stadium presents a compelling narrative for the final stretch of the Ligat Ha'al season. With Beitar currently holding second place on 57 points compared to Hapoel's fourth-place standing with 49 points, the home side carries significant momentum. Their superior record of seventeen wins against only three losses underscores their consistency, making them clear favorites in this derby encounter. The statistical edge suggests that Beitar will leverage their home advantage to secure crucial points needed to solidify their position near the summit.

Betting markets reflect this confidence, with a strong recommendation backing a home victory. The primary selection is a win for Beitar Jerusalem, supported by a moderate level of certainty. For those seeking greater security, the double chance option covering both a home win and a draw offers exceptional value with very high confidence levels. Goal scorers are likely to feature prominently from both sides, as indicated by the strong probability of both teams finding the net. Consequently, targeting over 2.5 goals aligns well with recent form trends, promising an entertaining finish to this pivotal midweek fixture.

Frequently Asked Questions

Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Beitar Jerusalem with 52% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (58% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Both teams to score: Yes (59% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 38% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv takes place on 23 May 2026 at Teddy Stadium.

Additional Information

Beitar Jerusalem

Top Scorers

O. AtziliAttacker
6Goals
A. YonaMidfielder
6Goals
Y. ShuaMidfielder
4Goals
Y. CohenDefender
3Goals
J. KaluAttacker
3Goals

Top Assists

O. AtziliAttacker
4Assists
T. MuziAttacker
3Assists
G. MorozovDefender
2Assists
D. MichaMidfielder
2Assists
A. YonaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

O. AtziliAttacker
60
T. MuziAttacker
60
L. GadraniDefender
60
B. CarabalíDefender
60
G. MorozovDefender
50
Hapoel Tel Aviv

Top Scorers

S. TorialAttacker
6Goals
R. KorineAttacker
4Goals
R. AlkokinMidfielder
3Goals
L. LoizouAttacker
3Goals
ChicoDefender
2Goals

Top Assists

S. TorialAttacker
4Assists
R. AlkokinMidfielder
4Assists
R. KorineAttacker
1Assists
A. KraevMidfielder
1Assists
D. LeidnerDefender
1Assists

Cards

A. KraevMidfielder
80
FalcãoMidfielder
70
Y. NassarDefender
60
ChicoDefender
50
R. KorineAttacker
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Beitar Jerusalem
DDWDL
10Played
5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1.7
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

23 MayDvs Hapoel Tel Aviv1-1
19 MayDat Hapoel Petah Tikva0-0
16 MayWat Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1
12 MayDvs Hapoel Beer Sheva1-1
9 MayLat Maccabi Haifa0-3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
DLLWD
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

23 MayDat Beitar Jerusalem1-1
19 MayLat Maccabi Haifa1-4
15 MayLvs Hapoel Beer Sheva0-2
12 MayWvs Hapoel Petah Tikva1-0
9 MayDvs Maccabi Tel Aviv1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches18
Average Goals2.33
BTTS39%
Over 2.5 Goals44%
Over 1.5 Goals61%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Beitar Jerusalem191.06 per game
Hapoel Tel Aviv231.28 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Beitar Jerusalem5 (28%)
Hapoel Tel Aviv7 (39%)
23 May 2026 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
6 May 2026 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem
1 Jan 2026 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
15 Sep 2025 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-2 Beitar Jerusalem
27 Apr 2024 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Beitar Jerusalem
22 Jan 2024 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem
2 Oct 2023 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 0-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
18 Mar 2023 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
5 Mar 2023 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 1-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
9 Nov 2022 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem
24 Jan 2022 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 0-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
18 Oct 2021 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem
24 Apr 2021 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem
26 Jan 2021 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
31 Oct 2020 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Beitar Jerusalem
4 Jul 2020 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 Jun 2020 Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem
17 Feb 2020 Ligat Ha'al Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv

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