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England
League One
Round 38

Blackpool vs Port Vale Prediction & Betting Tips

17 Mar 2026
3 - 2
Full Time
Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

51%
25%
24%
Blackpool Draw Port Vale
Match Result
Blackpool
51%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
55%
Both Teams Score
No
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
39%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
5 min read

Bloomfield Road, located on the scenic coastline of Blackpool, will host this pivotal League One clash under the lights on Tuesday evening. Known for its intimate setting and passionate local fanbase, Bloomfield Road offers a unique advantage to the Seasiders despite their recent struggles. Midweek ...

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Blackpool
Blackpool have kept 3 consecutive clean sheets
Blackpool have received 6 red cards in 46 matches this season
A. Fletcher has been involved in 16 goals (12G + 4A)
Port Vale
Port Vale failed to score in 24 of 46 matches (52%)
Port Vale score 27% of their goals in the first 15 minutes (10 goals)
Port Vale have lost 10 of 23 home matches (43%)

Key Statistics

1
1 Draws
4
2.83 Avg Goals
33% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
17 Mar 2026 Blackpool 3-2 Port Vale
1 Jan 2026 Port Vale 5-1 Blackpool
29 Dec 2023 Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
15 Aug 2023 Blackpool 0-0 Port Vale
9 Jan 2016 Blackpool 0-1 Port Vale
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Blackpool vs Port Vale: Survival Battle at Bloomfield Road

The Atmosphere at Bloomfield Road

Bloomfield Road, located on the scenic coastline of Blackpool, will host this pivotal League One clash under the lights on Tuesday evening. Known for its intimate setting and passionate local fanbase, Bloomfield Road offers a unique advantage to the Seasiders despite their recent struggles. Midweek matches often bring a heightened sense of urgency, especially with both teams fighting to stave off relegation. The stakes are high, and the tension in the stands will no doubt inspire the players on the field.

Road to This Match: What’s at Stake?

As the League One season enters its decisive phase, the battle for survival intensifies dramatically. Blackpool, currently 21st in the standings, sit precariously close to the relegation zone, with only 38 points from 37 matches. Port Vale, meanwhile, find themselves rooted at the bottom in 24th, having amassed just 28 points from 34 outings. Both teams are desperate for points — Blackpool to widen the gap above the drop zone and Port Vale to claw their way back into contention for safety. This isn’t just a game; it’s a lifeline for both sides.

Recent Momentum: Can Blackpool Find a Spark?

Blackpool’s recent form paints a troubling picture. Their last five matches (LLDLD) have yielded just two points, and across the last ten games, they’ve managed only one win. Defensive frailty has been a severe issue, with the team conceding an alarming average of 2.2 goals per game. Scoring has also been inconsistent, with Blackpool managing only 0.9 goals per match, despite striker A. Fletcher’s commendable tally of 12 goals and 4 assists this season. If Fletcher is neutralized, Blackpool often struggle to find other avenues of attack.

Port Vale, on the other hand, have shown glimmers of resilience. Their record across the last five games (DLWDW) includes two victories, which is significant given their position as League One’s bottom club. Defensively, they’ve been relatively stable compared to Blackpool, conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game over the last ten matches. However, their attack remains blunt, averaging just 0.8 goals per match, with D. Cole leading the scoring charts at six goals.

Tactical Preview: Contrasting Systems

This encounter promises an intriguing tactical battle. Blackpool are expected to deploy their familiar 3-1-4-2 setup, featuring three center-backs to bolster their wobbly defense. The midfield holds the key, with players tasked to transition quickly and support Fletcher upfront. However, their shape often leaves them vulnerable in wide areas, where opponents have exploited gaps to devastating effect.

Port Vale’s 3-5-2 formation emphasizes defensive structure and midfield control. With five men in midfield, they aim to keep possession while frustrating opponents. The duo of R. Curtis and D. Cole upfront must capitalize on any chances, as opportunities may be scarce. Port Vale have shown discipline in their defensive transitions, boasting eight clean sheets this season — a stat they’ll be desperate to add to against a misfiring Blackpool attack.

Players to Watch

Blackpool: All eyes will be on A. Fletcher, who has been their only consistent attacking outlet with 12 goals and 4 assists this season. Alongside him, T. Bloxham has chipped in with 5 goals and 3 assists, but he’ll need to elevate his game given Blackpool’s precarious situation. On the defensive side, N. Ennis’s contributions could be vital as Blackpool aim to tighten their leaky backline.

Port Vale: For the visitors, D. Cole’s six goals represent their primary threat. R. Curtis, with 2 goals and 2 assists, adds creativity and experience in the final third. Meanwhile, R. Croasdale’s work rate and defensive discipline will be crucial, especially when dealing with Blackpool’s midfield surges.

Head-to-Head History: Port Vale Dominance

Port Vale have had the upper hand historically, winning four of the last five encounters between these sides. Blackpool have not managed a single victory in this sequence, with the most recent meeting ending in a resounding 5-1 win for Port Vale on New Year’s Day 2026. Across these matches, the average goals per game (2.4) and a low BTTS rate (20%) highlight Port Vale’s ability to shut Blackpool out while being clinical in attack.

Betting Analysis: Odds, Predictions, and Value

Bookmakers favor Blackpool for this clash, with odds of 1.4 for a home win, translating to a 50.4% implied probability. Port Vale, despite their bottom-dweller status, are priced at 2.62 for an away victory, with a 26.9% implied probability. A draw sits at 3.1 (22.7%).

The Asian Handicap markets provide an interesting dynamic: Blackpool -0.5 is priced at 1.95, reflecting a cautious optimism for a home win, while Port Vale +0.5 at 1.83 offers value for those anticipating another resilient performance from the visitors.

With recent form and head-to-head history in mind, the under 2.5 goals market (priced at 1.75) holds strong appeal, given that both teams have struggled to score prolifically. Similarly, betting on BTTS: no at 1.91 aligns with historical analysis, as only 20% of their recent encounters have seen both teams find the net.

Overall, Blackpool’s need to win is immense, but their defensive vulnerabilities make Port Vale +0.5 in the Asian Handicap market a tempting choice. Confidence levels for predictions stand as follows:

  • Match Result: Blackpool (48%)
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 (55%)
  • Both Teams to Score: No (51%)
  • Double Chance: 1X (38%)

Conclusion: Fight for Survival

With relegation looming large for both teams, this match could prove decisive in shaping their League One fates. Blackpool’s home advantage and the presence of A. Fletcher give them a slight edge, but Port Vale’s disciplined structure and recent head-to-head dominance cannot be ignored. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair where the stakes overshadow the quality of football. Regardless of the outcome, this game will leave a lasting impression in the relegation battle narrative.

Frequently Asked Questions

Blackpool vs Port Vale: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Blackpool with 51% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Both teams to score: No (51% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 39% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Niall Ennis is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Blackpool vs Port Vale have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (55% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Blackpool vs Port Vale played?
Blackpool vs Port Vale takes place on 17 Mar 2026 at Bloomfield Road.

Additional Information

Blackpool

Top Scorers

A. FletcherAttacker
12Goals
T. BloxhamAttacker
5Goals
N. EnnisAttacker
3Goals
J. BowlerMidfielder
2Goals
C. HamiltonAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

A. FletcherAttacker
4Assists
T. BloxhamAttacker
3Assists
J. BowlerMidfielder
3Assists
J. BrownMidfielder
3Assists
C. HamiltonAttacker
2Assists

Cards

L. EvansMidfielder
60
J. BrownMidfielder
60
F. HorsfallDefender
50
A. FletcherAttacker
40
Z. AshworthDefender
40
Port Vale

Top Scorers

D. ColeAttacker
6Goals
R. CurtisMidfielder
2Goals
R. CroasdaleMidfielder
2Goals
R. PatonAttacker
1Goals
G. ByersMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

R. PatonAttacker
3Assists
D. ColeAttacker
2Assists
R. CurtisMidfielder
2Assists
J. ShipleyMidfielder
2Assists
G. ByersMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

F. OjoMidfielder
60
G. ByersMidfielder
41
B. HeneghanDefender
50
C. HumphreysDefender
40
J. HeadleyMidfielder
31

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Blackpool
WWWWL
10Played
7Wins
1Draws
2Losses
Points/Game2.2
Win %70%
Goals/Game1.8
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg0.6
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

2 MayWat Reading1-0
25 AprWvs Leyton Orient1-0
18 AprWat Wycombe1-0
11 AprWvs Peterborough3-1
6 AprLat Stevenage0-1
Port Vale
LWLLD
10Played
3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg0.7
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score60%

Recent Matches

2 MayLvs Lincoln0-2
28 AprWat Stockport County2-1
25 AprLat Plymouth1-2
22 AprLat Cardiff0-1
19 AprDvs Wigan0-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches6
Average Goals2.83
BTTS33%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals67%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Blackpool40.67 per game
Port Vale132.17 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Blackpool1 (17%)
Port Vale4 (67%)
17 Mar 2026 League One Blackpool 3-2 Port Vale
1 Jan 2026 League One Port Vale 5-1 Blackpool
29 Dec 2023 League One Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
15 Aug 2023 League One Blackpool 0-0 Port Vale
9 Jan 2016 League One Blackpool 0-1 Port Vale
24 Nov 2015 League One Port Vale 2-0 Blackpool

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