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Italy
Serie A
Round 5

Bologna vs Torino Prediction & Betting Tips

19 Sep 2026
1 - 1
Full Time
Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

50%
26%
25%
Bologna Draw Torino
Match Result
Bologna
50%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
53%
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
38%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
11 min read

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara will host an intriguing Serie A encounter this Saturday as Bologna play host to Torino in Matchday 5 action. Kickoff is set for 14:00 BST, and the atmosphere in the historic Emilia-Romagna venue promises to be tense, with home supporters eager to witness a reversal of their si...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

7
9 Draws
4
2.2 Avg Goals
55% BTTS
35% Over 2.5
19 Sep 2026 Bologna 1-1 Torino
15 Feb 2026 Torino 1-2 Bologna
29 Oct 2025 Bologna 0-0 Torino
14 Feb 2025 Bologna 3-2 Torino
21 Dec 2024 Torino 0-2 Bologna
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Bologna Seek Lift at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Against Torino

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara will host an intriguing Serie A encounter this Saturday as Bologna play host to Torino in Matchday 5 action. Kickoff is set for 14:00 BST, and the atmosphere in the historic Emilia-Romagna venue promises to be tense, with home supporters eager to witness a reversal of their side's stuttering start to the campaign.

The hosts enter this fixture in precarious form, occupying 17th place with just a single point from four Serie A matches. Three consecutive defeats have heaped pressure on those connected with the club, leaving Bologna desperate for positive momentum at the earliest opportunity. Torino arrive in slightly steadier shape, sitting 14th with three points from three games, though their own recent run of form offers no room for complacency as they travel north. The tactical battle between two sides seeking consistency makes this a fascinating contest.

With Torino benefiting from an extended rest period since their last competitive outing, the visitors may arrive with fresher legs, though Bologna will look to harness the energy of a home crowd to counter any physical advantage. Both clubs find themselves locked in the lower reaches of the Serie A table with identical ambitions: climbing toward safer ground. This encounter represents a pivotal early-season opportunity for one side to build genuine momentum, while the other risks sliding deeper into trouble.

Probable Lineups and Key Players

Bologna are projected to field a 4-3-3 formation with Ł. Skorupski between the posts. The defensive line features Juan Miranda at left-back, T. Heggem and E. Helland as the central defensive pairing, and N. Zortea on the right side. In midfield, J. Odgaard operates as a key creative force alongside L. Ferguson and O. El Azzouzi, who provide industry and ball-carrying ability. The attacking trio consists of R. Piccoli through the middle, with F. Bernardeschi and J. Rowe stationed on either flank. This projected eleven prioritizes a balanced approach, combining defensive solidity with pace and inventiveness in wide areas.

Torino's probable starting side also utilizes a 4-3-3 shape, with D. Mascardi in goal. The back four comprises A. Ismajli and Saúl Coco as the central defenders, P. Comuzzo at left-back, and N. Fortini at right-back. The midfield three features K. Fitz-Jim, G. Gineitis, and C. Casadei, who will look to control the tempo and disrupt Bologna's build-up play. Up front, A. Cacciamani leads the line supported by N. Vlašić and G. Simeone on either side. The only recognized goal scorer between both projected lineups is C. Adams, whose single strike makes him Torino's primary attacking threat and a player Bologna's defense must account for throughout the match.

The tactical battleground appears set in the midfield zone, where both sides' three-man units will compete for territorial dominance. Bologna's projected wide players in Bernardeschi and Rowe offer pace to exploit spaces behind Torino's full-backs, while Torino's attacking trio combines physical presence through Cacciamani and Simeone with the creativity of Vlašić. Without confirmed team news or additional squad updates available, this projected starting eleven represents the most likely configuration based on season appearances, though the actual lineups may differ depending on late fitness assessments or tactical adjustments from the respective coaching staffs.

Bologna's Growing Edge in Recent Serie A Encounters

When examining the broader head-to-head record between these two clubs across recent seasons, a pattern emerges that slightly favours Bologna. Of the last twenty competitive meetings, Bologna have claimed victory in seven occasions, while Torino have managed just five wins, with the remaining eight encounters ending all square. The frequency of draws underscores how closely contested these fixtures have historically been, with neither side able to establish consistent dominance over the other on neutral ground or at either stadium.

However, the most recent meetings paint a clearer picture of current form lines. Bologna have secured three consecutive wins against Torino, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent clash, a commanding 2-0 away win, and a 3-2 thriller on home soil. Notably, two of those five most recent fixtures ended goalless, reflecting a defensive solidity that has characterised many of their encounters. With an average of 2.4 goals per match across the sample and both teams finding the net in 55% of those games, the data suggests a moderate goal-scoring frequency rather than high-scoring affairs.

The recent trend strongly favours Bologna heading into this encounter. Torino have struggled to break down their opponents in these fixtures, failing to score in three of the last five meetings. For bettors weighing up the possibilities, the goal data hints at a potentially tight affair with fewer than three goals, while the clean sheet record suggests one side may struggle to score. Bologna's current momentum in this specific matchup adds a layer of confidence for those considering a Bologna win based purely on the head-to-head evidence.

Where Bologna's Stalemate with Torino Could Be Decided

The Serie A encounter at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on Matchday 5 presents two clubs navigating contrasting early-season realities. Bologna arrive in 17th place with a single point from four outings, their campaign derailed by a winless sequence that has left them desperately short of momentum. Torino occupy 14th with three points from three matches, their single victory providing a fragile foundation despite back-to-back defeats since. The 14:00 BST kickoff on Saturday offers both sides an opportunity to arrest concerning trajectories, with the visitors holding a game in hand that adds intrigue to their relative standing.

Bologna's early-season struggles are defined by their inability to influence proceedings in either box. With zero goals scored and zero conceded across their fixtures, their campaign has been characterized by a strange equilibrium — lacking the creativity to threaten opponents while maintaining defensive solidity that has yet to yield tangible rewards. Their recent run of defeats and draws suggests a side struggling to impose itself, potentially defaulting to a conservative approach that prioritizes avoiding mistakes over constructing meaningful attacks. Torino, by contrast, have shown glimpses of goal threat in claiming one win from their three matches, though consecutive losses demonstrate vulnerability when faced with pressure. Their tactical approach may exploit Bologna's uncertainty, with the visitors potentially comfortable absorbing pressure before striking on transitions.

The outcome could hinge on which team adapts more effectively to the occasion's demands. Bologna possess the additional motivation of playing at home, where they might be expected to show greater ambition in front of their supporters. However, their winless form and absence of a cutting edge present significant obstacles. Torino's extended preparation period — fourteen days without a match compared to Bologna's six — may provide tactical freshness, though rustiness could equally undermine their sharpness. Set pieces and defensive organization appear likely to play pivotal roles in determining which side escapes the bottom reaches of the Serie A table at this early stage.

Bologna's Winless Struggle Meets Torino's Resurgent Confidence at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna arrive at Matchday 5 in freefall, occupying 17th place with just a single point from their opening four fixtures. The club's recent form graph reads LDLLD, a damning sequence that underscores their struggles to compete at this level. Their last five Serie A encounters paint a grim picture: back-to-back 1-0 defeats away to Napoli and Atalanta, a 1-0 home loss to Lazio, and critically, just two draws against Inter (3-3) and Sassuolo (2-2) to show for their efforts. The solitary positive from that sequence remains that hard-fought 3-3 draw against Inter, a result that suggested their attacking potential exists beneath the surface, but it remains an outlier in an otherwise barren run.

Torino present a markedly different trajectory heading into this fixture. The visitors sit 14th with three points and enter on the back of a morale-boosting 2-1 victory away to Fiorentina, a result that snapped a three-match losing streak. Prior to that win, Torino had suffered narrow 1-0 and 2-1 defeats to Monza, Sassuolo, and AC Milan respectively, matches where they competed but ultimately fell short. That contrasting sequence of results—WLLLW—demonstrates a team capable of responding to adversity, and the Fiorentina triumph will have restored belief within the squad ahead of the trip to Emilia-Romagna.

The attacking comparison heavily favors Torino. The Granata average 1.2 goals per match over their last ten outings, a figure that aligns with their goal-heavy recent performances including the 2-1 Fiorentina success and multiple 1-2 defeats. Their BTTS percentage of 70% further illustrates a tendency to both score and concede, making them an unpredictable outfit. Bologna, by stark contrast, average just 0.9 goals per game across their last ten, with a concerning 30% BTTS rate reflecting their general inability to threaten consistently. The 3-3 draw against Inter remains their most productive display, but four blanks in their last five league matches highlight the scale of their offensive problems.

Defensively, neither side inspires confidence. Bologna's average of 1.4 goals conceded per match and 20% clean sheet rate represents marginally better organisation, yet they have shipped at least one goal in four of their last five fixtures. Torino's defensive record is worse on paper—1.5 goals conceded per match and a mere 10% clean sheet rate across their last ten games—but their recent victory over Fiorentina came with a solid defensive display that suggested improvement. The 0-1 loss to Monza aside, Torino have shown they can compete, whereas Bologna appear increasingly fragile. With both clubs struggling for points and confidence, this encounter shapes as a tense, low-scoring affair where the side showing greater resolve may claim crucial early-season points.

Torino Look Vulnerable as Bologna Search for First Victory at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna enter Matchday 5 in a precarious position, sitting 17th in the Serie A table with just one point from their opening four matches. Their record of zero wins, one draw, and three defeats reflects the struggles they have endured in the early stages of the campaign. Playing away from home has proven particularly difficult, and the trip to the Renato Dall'Ara represents a chance to finally break their winless streak on home soil. With the visitors also struggling for consistency, Bologna will feel this fixture offers their best opportunity to accumulate points in the coming weeks.

The model probabilities suggest an extremely competitive encounter, with Bologna given a 45% chance of victory while the draw sits at an identical 45%. This even assessment reflects how closely matched these two sides appear based on their respective starts to the season. Torino occupy 14th position with three points from their four matches, giving them a marginally better record than their opponents, but their away form has been far from convincing. The 10% probability assigned to a Torino victory indicates the model views them as clear underdogs in this particular fixture, a reflection of both Bologna's home advantage and Torino's difficult start on the road.

The prediction for under 2.5 total goals carries 55% confidence, which aligns with the defensive nature of both teams' performances this season. Neither side has demonstrated an ability to consistently breach opposing defenses, and with so much at stake for Bologna to secure their first victory, a cautious tactical approach appears likely. The model simultaneously predicts both teams to score with 60% confidence, creating an interesting contrast that suggests a tight match where chances, though limited, could fall to both sides. This combination points toward a low-scoring affair that remains competitive until the final whistle.

With 90% confidence, the double chance covering a Bologna win or draw represents the most secure option available to punters. Given the tight margins in this fixture and Torino's modest away record, protecting against the possibility of a Bologna slip is sensible risk management. The minimal difference between the home win and draw probabilities indicates that while Bologna hold a slight edge, nothing should be taken for granted in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A encounter at the Renato Dall'Ara.

Bologna to Halt Winless Run Against Inconsistent Torino

Bologna's precarious position in 17th place with just one point from four matches demands an immediate upturn in fortunes. The hosts possess one of the lowest goals tallies in Serie A with minimal attacking output so far, yet their strong double chance backing suggests they remain difficult to defeat despite their struggles. Torino sit slightly above in 14th with three points from one victory and two defeats, showing more attacking intent but leaking goals at the other end. The high confidence in both under 2.5 goals and BTTS-yes paints a picture of a tight, low-scoring encounter where both sides may find the net but struggles in attack prevent a goal-heavy spectacle. A narrow Bologna win or draw appears the most probable outcome when the teams face off at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Frequently Asked Questions

Bologna vs Torino: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Bologna with 50% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Torino?
Both teams to score: Yes (51% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Bologna vs Torino?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 38% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Bologna vs Torino?
Roberto Piccoli is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Bologna vs Torino have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (53% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Bologna vs Torino played?
Bologna vs Torino takes place on 19 Sep 2026 at Renato Dall'Ara.

Additional Information

Bologna

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

T. HeggemDefender
10
O. El AzzouziMidfielder
10
J. OdgaardMidfielder
10
N. CambiaghiMidfielder
10
Torino

Top Scorers

C. AdamsAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

G. GineitisMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

No data

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Bologna
LWDLD
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.8
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

17 OctLvs Inter1-3
11 OctWat Lecce2-1
19 SepDvs Torino1-1
13 SepLat Napoli0-1
6 SepDvs Sassuolo2-2
Torino
WWDLW
10Played
4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %40%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

19 OctWat Parma3-0
12 OctWvs Udinese2-1
19 SepDat Bologna1-1
14 SepLvs AS Roma0-2
5 SepWat Fiorentina2-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals2.2
BTTS55%
Over 2.5 Goals35%
Over 1.5 Goals75%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Bologna241.2 per game
Torino201 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Bologna6 (30%)
Torino6 (30%)
19 Sep 2026 Serie A Bologna 1-1 Torino
15 Feb 2026 Serie A Torino 1-2 Bologna
29 Oct 2025 Serie A Bologna 0-0 Torino
14 Feb 2025 Serie A Bologna 3-2 Torino
21 Dec 2024 Serie A Torino 0-2 Bologna
3 May 2024 Serie A Torino 0-0 Bologna
27 Nov 2023 Serie A Bologna 2-0 Torino
6 Mar 2023 Serie A Torino 1-0 Bologna
6 Nov 2022 Serie A Bologna 2-1 Torino
6 Mar 2022 Serie A Bologna 0-0 Torino
12 Dec 2021 Serie A Torino 2-1 Bologna
21 Apr 2021 Serie A Bologna 1-1 Torino
20 Dec 2020 Serie A Torino 1-1 Bologna
2 Aug 2020 Serie A Bologna 1-1 Torino
12 Jan 2020 Serie A Torino 1-0 Bologna
16 Mar 2019 Serie A Torino 2-3 Bologna
21 Oct 2018 Serie A Bologna 2-2 Torino
6 Jan 2018 Serie A Torino 3-0 Bologna
20 Aug 2017 Serie A Bologna 1-1 Torino
22 Jan 2017 Serie A Bologna 2-0 Torino

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