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Scotland
Scottish Premiership
Round 1

Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips

14 Mar 2026
3 - 1
Full Time
Celtic Park, Glasgow
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Over 2.5
3 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

54%
23%
23%
Celtic Draw Motherwell
Match Result
Celtic
54%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
39%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
4 min read

The Scottish Premiership takes center stage this Saturday as Celtic welcome Motherwell to Celtic Park. With just three points separating the two teams in the standings, this matchup has significant implications for both sides as they vie for top-tier finishes.

Read Full Analysis

Match Facts

Celtic
Celtic have won their last 5 league matches
Celtic have scored in each of their last 7 matches
Celtic scored in the first half in 12 of their last 15 matches (80%)
Celtic have scored all 4 penalties this season
Both teams scored in 12 of Celtic's last 15 matches (80%)
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of Celtic's last 15 matches (80%)
Motherwell
Motherwell have scored all 6 penalties this season
Motherwell have kept 9 clean sheets in 13 home games (69%)
Motherwell have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches (52%)
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise has been involved in 15 goals (13G + 2A)
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise has scored 13 of Motherwell's 38 goals (34%)

Key Statistics

17
2 Draws
1
3.4 Avg Goals
60% BTTS
75% Over 2.5
13 May 2026 Motherwell 2-3 Celtic
14 Mar 2026 Celtic 3-1 Motherwell
30 Dec 2025 Motherwell 2-0 Celtic
5 Oct 2025 Celtic 3-2 Motherwell
2 Feb 2025 Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Celtic Set for Crucial Clash with Motherwell

The Scottish Premiership takes center stage this Saturday as Celtic welcome Motherwell to Celtic Park. With just three points separating the two teams in the standings, this matchup has significant implications for both sides as they vie for top-tier finishes.

Recent Momentum

Celtic have shown some inconsistency in their recent form, with results oscillating between wins and losses. They come into this game off the back of a draw and a loss, but still hold second place in the Scottish Premiership. Their goal-scoring average stands at 2 per match, while conceding an average of 1.6 goals. In contrast, Motherwell's last five fixtures saw them secure three wins and one loss, maintaining a strong defensive record with only 0.6 goals conceded on average.

Current State of Play

As we look at the broader picture, Celtic currently occupy the second spot in the Scottish Premiership with 58 points from 29 matches. They boast a formidable attack, led by top scorer B. Nygren, who has netted 12 goals and contributed 3 assists. Meanwhile, Motherwell, positioned fourth with 53 points, have also demonstrated resilience with an impressive 13 clean sheets this season. Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise leads the charge for Motherwell with 13 goals and 2 assists.

Tactical Preview

Celtic typically line up in a 4-3-3 formation, aiming to utilize their attacking prowess and control the midfield. Their high press and swift transitions pose a threat to most opponents. Motherwell, on the other hand, favor a 4-2-3-1 setup, focusing on solid defense and efficient ball movement. Their tactical approach often involves dropping deep to absorb pressure before launching counterattacks through their creative midfielders.

Key Players to Watch

  • Celtic:
    • B. Nygren: With 12 goals and 3 assists, he is crucial for breaking down defenses and creating scoring opportunities.
    • D. Maeda: His 7 goals and 5 assists make him a dynamic presence in both attack and midfield.
    • A. Engels: Providing stability in defense, he also contributes with his 4 goals and 2 assists.
  • Motherwell:
    • Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise: Leading the team with 13 goals and 2 assists, his clinical finishing will be pivotal.
    • A. Stamatelopoulos: Scoring 6 goals and providing 2 assists, he adds versatility to Motherwell’s offensive lineup.
    • E. Just: With 4 goals and 6 assists, he plays a vital role in linking defense and attack.

Head-to-Head History

Over the past 19 encounters, Celtic have dominated Motherwell, winning 16 times and drawing twice. However, Motherwell managed a surprise victory in their most recent meeting on December 30, 2025, securing a 2-0 win at home. Prior to that, Celtic had enjoyed a strong run against Motherwell, with notable victories such as a 4-0 triumph in December 2024 and a 3-0 win in October 2024. These results highlight the competitive nature of this rivalry despite Celtic’s overall dominance.

Betting Analysis

Let’s delve into the betting markets for this exciting encounter:

  • Match Winner (1X2): The bookmakers give Celtic a strong edge, with odds of 1.29 to win. Draw and Motherwell to win have odds of 3.8 and 3.5 respectively. Implied probabilities are 58.5% for a Celtic win, 19.9% for a draw, and 21.6% for a Motherwell victory.
  • Double Chance: Backing Celtic or a draw offers better value at 1.18, while backing Celtic or Motherwell to win gives odds of 1.25.
  • Asian Handicap: Celtic are favored at -0.5 with odds of 1.65, while Motherwell have odds of 2.25 at +0.5.
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals is priced at slightly better odds compared to under 2.5 goals, indicating that bettors expect an open and high-scoring affair.

Predictions

Based on our analysis, we predict Celtic to emerge victorious with a probability of 58%. Given their strong attacking lineup and recent home form, Celtic are likely to capitalize on their chances and edge out Motherwell. We also anticipate a total of over 2.5 goals, with a 58% confidence level, reflecting the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net. Lastly, we expect both teams to score in this match, with a 58% confidence level.

Best Bets Summary

Considering the data and market trends, the best bets for this match are:

  • Celtic to win at odds of 1.29
  • Over 2.5 goals at better-than-even money
  • Both teams to score at favorable odds

With these selections, you can capture the potential for a Celtic victory while also banking on an entertaining and goal-laden contest.

Frequently Asked Questions

Celtic vs Motherwell: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Celtic with 54% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Motherwell?
Both teams to score: Yes (58% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Celtic vs Motherwell?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 39% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Celtic vs Motherwell?
Tomas Cvancara is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Celtic vs Motherwell have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (58% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
When and where is Celtic vs Motherwell played?
Celtic vs Motherwell takes place on 14 Mar 2026 at Celtic Park.

Additional Information

Celtic

Top Scorers

B. NygrenMidfielder
12Goals
D. MaedaAttacker
7Goals
A. EngelsMidfielder
4Goals
J. KennyAttacker
4Goals
Yang Hyun-JunAttacker
4Goals

Top Assists

D. MaedaAttacker
5Assists
K. TierneyDefender
5Assists
B. NygrenMidfielder
3Assists
A. EngelsMidfielder
2Assists
J. KennyAttacker
2Assists

Cards

A. EngelsMidfielder
50
L. ScalesDefender
50
C. McGregorMidfielder
40
B. NygrenMidfielder
30
S. TounektiAttacker
30
Motherwell

Top Scorers

Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseMidfielder
13Goals
A. StamatelopoulosAttacker
6Goals
E. JustMidfielder
4Goals
M. EmmanuelDefender
4Goals
E. WattMidfielder
4Goals

Top Assists

E. JustMidfielder
6Assists
M. EmmanuelDefender
4Assists
C. SlatteryMidfielder
4Assists
Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseMidfielder
2Assists
A. StamatelopoulosAttacker
2Assists

Cards

E. WattMidfielder
50
C. SlatteryMidfielder
40
M. EmmanuelDefender
30
C. HendryAttacker
30
L. GordonDefender
30

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Celtic
WWWWW
10Played
9Wins
0Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.7
Win %90%
Goals/Game3.4
Scored Avg2.3
Conceded Avg1.1
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

23 MayWvs Dunfermline3-1
16 MayWvs Heart Of Midlothian3-1
13 MayWat Motherwell3-2
10 MayWvs Rangers3-1
3 MayWat Hibernian2-1
Motherwell
WLDLW
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.8
Win %20%
Goals/Game3
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.8
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

16 MayWat Hibernian1-0
13 MayLvs Celtic2-3
9 MayDvs Heart Of Midlothian1-1
2 MayLat Falkirk0-1
26 AprWat Rangers3-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches20
Average Goals3.4
BTTS60%
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals95%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Celtic522.6 per game
Motherwell160.8 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Celtic7 (35%)
Motherwell1 (5%)
13 May 2026 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 2-3 Celtic
14 Mar 2026 Scottish Premiership Celtic 3-1 Motherwell
30 Dec 2025 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 2-0 Celtic
5 Oct 2025 Scottish Premiership Celtic 3-2 Motherwell
2 Feb 2025 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
26 Dec 2024 Scottish Premiership Celtic 4-0 Motherwell
27 Oct 2024 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 0-3 Celtic
25 Feb 2024 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
25 Nov 2023 Scottish Premiership Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
30 Sep 2023 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 1-2 Celtic
22 Apr 2023 Scottish Premiership Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
9 Nov 2022 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 1-2 Celtic
1 Oct 2022 Scottish Premiership Celtic 2-1 Motherwell
14 May 2022 Scottish Premiership Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
6 Feb 2022 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 0-4 Celtic
12 Dec 2021 Scottish Premiership Celtic 1-0 Motherwell
16 Oct 2021 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 0-2 Celtic
6 Feb 2021 Scottish Premiership Celtic 2-1 Motherwell
8 Nov 2020 Scottish Premiership Motherwell 1-4 Celtic
30 Aug 2020 Scottish Premiership Celtic 3-0 Motherwell

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