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Spain
Segunda División
Round 40

Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra Prediction & Betting Tips

17 May 2026
2 - 1
Full Time
Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Deportivo La Coruna
2 : 1
FT

Betting Tips

59%
21%
20%
Deportivo La Coruna Draw FC Andorra
Match Result
Deportivo La Coruna
59%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams Score
Yes
57%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
40%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
14 min read

The atmosphere at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor is set to reach fever pitch on Sunday, May 17, 2026, as Deportivo La Coruna hosts FC Andorra in a critical Segunda División encounter. With the clock ticking down on the campaign, this fixture carries significant weight for both sides, though the immediate...

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Match Facts

Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna have scored in each of their last 13 matches
Deportivo La Coruna have won their last 4 league matches
Deportivo La Coruna have scored all 6 penalties this season
Peke has been involved in 16 goals (9G + 7A)
Deportivo La Coruna score 30% of their goals after the 75th minute (19 goals)
Both teams scored in 11 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 15 matches (73%)
FC Andorra
FC Andorra have received 3 red cards in 42 matches this season
FC Andorra score 30% of their goals after the 75th minute (18 goals)
FC Andorra conceded in the first half in 11 of their last 15 matches (73%)
FC Andorra average 2.7 yellow cards per game (115 in 42 matches)

Key Statistics

1
0 Draws
1
2 Avg Goals
50% BTTS
50% Over 2.5
17 May 2026 Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 FC Andorra
20 Dec 2025 FC Andorra 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra: Clutch Performance Needed at Riazor

The atmosphere at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor is set to reach fever pitch on Sunday, May 17, 2026, as Deportivo La Coruna hosts FC Andorra in a critical Segunda División encounter. With the clock ticking down on the campaign, this fixture carries significant weight for both sides, though the immediate pressure rests heavily on the shoulders of the hosts. Sitting comfortably in second place with an impressive 71 points, Deportivo looks to solidify their promotion push against a resilient Andorra side that sits tenth on the table with 58 points. The contrast in form is stark; Deportivo has secured twenty wins compared to Andorra's sixteen, showcasing a level of consistency that will likely dictate the tempo of the afternoon.

This match represents more than just three points; it is a statement game for Deportivo as they aim to keep pace with the league leaders. Their record of eleven draws suggests a team that rarely loses its shape but sometimes struggles to find the final touch, a trait that could prove costly against a well-drilled Andorra squad. The visitors have managed ten draws themselves, indicating a stubborn defensive approach that often frustrates higher-ranked opponents. For Andorra, traveling to Galicia offers an opportunity to steal a result and potentially climb out of the mid-table mediocrity, while any slip-up for Deportivo could allow rivals to close the gap in the tight race for automatic promotion spots.

Betting markets reflect the home advantage, with bookmakers favoring the Albiazules given their superior point tally and historical dominance at Riazor. However, the narrow margin between the teams’ win-loss records hints at potential upsets if Andorra can exploit Deportivo’s tendency toward drawn outcomes. Fans should anticipate a tactical battle where midfield control and set-piece efficiency will likely separate the two sides. As the whistle blows, the question remains whether Deportivo’s depth can overcome Andorra’s grit, making this a compelling spectacle for neutrals and punters alike who value strategic nuance over raw firepower.

Recent Form and Statistical Comparison

The upcoming clash at Estadio Abanca-Riazor presents a fascinating statistical contrast between two sides operating on different trajectories within the Segunda División hierarchy. Deportivo La Coruna currently occupies second place with 71 points, showcasing remarkable consistency over their last ten matches by going unbeaten with six wins and four draws. Their recent sequence of WWDWD highlights a team that has found a rhythm that is difficult to break, relying heavily on drawing power to accumulate points without suffering a defeat. In stark opposition, FC Andorra sits tenth with 58 points but boasts a more volatile yet potent recent run. The visitors have won three of their last five games, including a string of victories that suggests an upward surge in momentum despite earlier inconsistencies. While the hosts rely on steadiness, the guests bring explosive potential, making this matchup a battle between sustained reliability and sudden bursts of attacking flair.

Analyzing the offensive outputs reveals significant disparities in how each side approaches the final third. FC Andorra’s attack has been formidable recently, averaging an impressive 2.5 goals per game over their last ten outings. This high-scoring trend indicates a confident frontline capable of punishing defenses regularly. Conversely, Deportivo La Coruna maintains a more measured approach, averaging 1.6 goals per match during the same period. Although their goal tally is lower, it is often sufficient given their defensive solidity. The difference in scoring volume means that Andorra may need to find the net twice as frequently to secure a victory compared to the Basque coasters, who can afford to be slightly more economical in front of goal while still maintaining pressure on the league leaders.

Defensive stability plays a crucial role in defining the current standings and form comparisons. Deportivo La Coruna has conceded only 0.8 goals per game over their last ten fixtures, demonstrating a backline that is increasingly hard to penetrate. However, their inability to keep consecutive clean sheets—evidenced by just a 20% clean sheet rate and an 80% Both Teams To Score (BTTS) frequency—suggests that opponents rarely go away empty-handed. FC Andorra presents a contrasting defensive profile; they also concede roughly 0.9 goals per game, matching Deportivo’s leakiness statistically, but they manage to secure clean sheets significantly more often, achieving them in 40% of their recent matches. This implies that when Andorra defends well, they tend to shut out opponents completely, whereas Deportivo seems destined to see the ball hit the back of the net regardless of the result.

The comparative metrics further underscore these tactical divergences. With a form comparison showing Andorra at 57% versus Deportivo’s 43%, the visitors appear to hold the edge in immediate momentum, particularly in attack where they lead 60% to 40%. Defensively, Andorra also edges ahead with a 63% rating against Deportivo’s 38%, highlighting the effectiveness of the visitors’ recent defensive organization. Betting markets will likely focus on the high probability of goals from both sides due to Deportivo’s heavy BTTS record, while the disparity in average goals scored suggests that Andorra’s offense might be the key variable. If Deportivo can leverage their unbeaten streak to neutralize Andorra’s 2.5-goal average, they stand a strong chance of extending their dominance at Riazor, but the visitors’ ability to secure clean sheets poses a genuine threat to the home side’s scoring consistency.

Tactical Breakdown: Formation Clash and Strategic Approaches

The upcoming fixture at Estadio Abanca-Riazor presents a fascinating tactical dichotomy between two sides employing distinct structural philosophies. Deportivo La Coruna, sitting comfortably in second place with 71 points, relies on the traditional solidity of their 4-4-2 formation. This setup allows the Riazor side to maintain a compact mid-block, leveraging their defensive record which includes 10 clean sheets from 39 matches. With only 41 goals conceded, Deportivo’s back four appears well-drilled, providing a sturdy foundation for their attack. Their ability to control the tempo through a balanced midfield quartet is crucial, especially given their impressive goal tally of 60. The double-striker system enables them to exploit spaces behind opposing defenses, forcing opponents to commit players forward and potentially leaving gaps at the back that Deportivo can punish during transitions.

In contrast, FC Andorra approaches the match with a more fluid 4-3-3 structure, aiming to leverage width and numerical superiority in wide areas. Currently ranked tenth with 58 points, the visitors have shown resilience with 16 wins but also vulnerability, having conceded 48 goals. Their attacking output of 56 goals suggests an offensive-minded approach, yet their defensive frailties could be exposed by Deportivo’s efficient strike partnership. Andorra’s three-man midfield must work tirelessly to bridge the gap between defense and attack, often requiring full-backs to push high up the pitch to create overloads. However, this aggressive positioning leaves them susceptible to counter-attacks, particularly against a disciplined unit like Deportivo who has demonstrated the capacity to capitalize on defensive lapses throughout the season.

The key battle will likely unfold in the midfield, where Deportivo’s structured four can attempt to suffocate Andorra’s central trio. If Deportivo can dominate possession and limit Andorra’s transitional opportunities, they stand a strong chance of securing all three points. Conversely, Andorra must rely on quick ball movement and exploiting the flanks to stretch Deportivo’s defense. The home advantage at Riazor further complicates matters for the visitors, as the atmosphere may intensify pressure on Andorra’s already tested defensive line. Given the statistical disparity in goals conceded, Deportivo’s defensive organization provides a significant edge, while Andorra’s need to score early could open them up to late goals, making this a potential candidate for an engaging tactical contest.

Decisive Factors: Star Performers on Both Sides

The outcome of this encounter will likely hinge on the individual brilliance displayed by the attacking talents from both squads. For Deportivo La Coruna, the burden of production rests heavily on the shoulders of Peke, who has established himself as the primary offensive threat. With nine goals and seven assists to his name, Peke offers a dual danger that forces opposing defenses to account for both his finishing ability and his creative vision from midfield or advanced positions. His involvement in nearly half of the team’s total goal contributions suggests that if he finds space between the lines, Deportivo can unlock even the most compact backlines. Supporting him is Z. Eddahchouri, whose eight goals and three assists provide a reliable secondary option. The synergy between these two attackers creates a formidable front line that can exploit defensive errors through quick combinations and intelligent movement off the ball.

On the other side, FC Andorra relies on a more distributed attack led by Minsu Kim and Dani Villahermosa, who share the scoring load equally. Both players have recorded five goals and three assists each, indicating a balanced partnership that can confuse markers and create overloads in wide areas or central zones. This statistical parity means that marking one does not necessarily neutralize the entire offensive structure, allowing Andorra to maintain pressure through interchangeable threats. Additionally, Luis de León contributes four goals, adding depth to the forward line and providing an aerial or physical presence depending on the tactical setup. The consistency shown by Kim and Villahermosa demonstrates that Andorra possesses multiple avenues for breaking down a defense, making them dangerous opponents capable of capitalizing on transitional moments.

While David Mella adds further firepower for Deportivo with five goals and one assist, the sheer volume of output from Peke gives La Coruna a slight edge in terms of star power. However, Andorra’s reliance on two equally productive forwards might prove more resilient against high-pressing systems that target single playmakers. Bookmakers may favor the home side due to Peke’s all-around impact, but bettors should consider the potential for Both Teams To Score given the consistent returns from both attacks. The interplay between Peke’s creativity and the combined efforts of Kim and Villahermosa sets up a compelling tactical battle where individual quality could override structural advantages.

A Decisive Edge for FC Andorra in Recent Encounters

The historical narrative between these two sides is currently defined by a singular, decisive encounter that has set the tone for their upcoming clash. In the most recent meeting on December 20, 2025, FC Andorra secured a narrow but crucial 1-0 victory over Deportivo La Coruna. This result provides Andorra with significant psychological leverage, as they enter this phase of the campaign knowing they have already conquered their rivals at home. For Deportivo La Coruna, the loss serves as a lingering frustration, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in their attacking efficiency against a resilient Andorran defense. The fact that this was the only recorded meeting in the dataset underscores how fresh memories of this specific contest will heavily influence tactical approaches and player mindsets.

Statistical analysis of that single fixture reveals a tightly contested affair characterized by defensive solidity rather than offensive flair. With an average goal tally of just one per game and a 0% Both Teams To Score (BTTS) rate, the evidence points towards matches that are often decided by marginal differences. FC Andorra’s ability to keep a clean sheet in their last outing demonstrates their capacity to stifle opponents, forcing them into errors or relying on moments of individual brilliance to break the deadlock. Deportivo La Coruna must address their inability to find the net consistently if they hope to overturn this trend. The lack of draws in the limited sample size suggests that when these teams meet, one side tends to impose its will, even if the scoreline appears deceptively low.

Betting markets and analytical models should take note of the defensive emphasis evident in their head-to-head record. The absence of goals from both sides in the previous encounter indicates that midfield battles and defensive organization are likely to be more critical than wide-open attacking play. For supporters and analysts alike, the focus will be on whether Deportivo La Coruna can replicate their form to outscore Andorra, or if the visitors will continue to struggle to convert chances into concrete results. The precedent set by the 1-0 win means that FC Andorra holds the intangible advantage of momentum, making it imperative for Deportivo La Coruna to approach the match with renewed urgency and tactical precision to avoid repeating past disappointments.

Betting Analysis and Value Picks

The betting markets reflect a clear hierarchy between these two Segunda División contenders, with Deportivo La Coruna priced as heavy favorites at 1.25. This odd translates to an implied probability of approximately 60 percent, which aligns closely with our confidence level for a home victory. The gap in points—71 for Deportivo compared to 58 for FC Andorra—suggests that while Andorra has secured a comfortable mid-table position, they lack the consistency required to upset the league leaders away from home. The draw is valued at 3.9, implying it is less likely than the away win at 3.5, indicating bookmakers believe if Deportivo does not dominate, they will likely edge out a narrow victory rather than settle for a stalemate.

We predict a Match Result of 1 (Home Win) with 59 percent confidence. This selection offers solid value given the stability of Deportivo’s squad, which boasts 20 wins compared to Andorra’s 16. While Andorra has managed 10 draws, their defensive record on the road often crumbles against high-pressure attacks. The home advantage at Estadio Abanca-Riazor is significant, providing Deportivo with the momentum needed to convert possession into goals. Although the 1.25 payout may seem modest, the reliability of the home side makes this a foundational bet for accumulators seeking security.

In terms of goal expectancy, we forecast Total Goals to go Over 2.5 with 59 percent confidence. Both teams have shown attacking intent throughout the season, with Deportivo’s 20 wins suggesting consistent scoring form. Andorra, sitting in 10th place, rarely arrives at Riazor without contributing offensively, having recorded 16 victories themselves. The historical trend in this fixture often sees both sides finding the net, pushing the aggregate score past the halfway mark. The market pricing supports this view, as the alternative Under 2.5 option is typically undervalued when facing two offensive-minded squads in the late stages of the campaign.

Further supporting the case for goals, we select BTTS (Both Teams To Score) as Yes with 57 percent confidence. Andorra’s ability to grab a consolation goal or even lead temporarily cannot be underestimated, especially against a Deportivo defense that concedes regularly despite their dominance. With both teams having lost 8 and 13 games respectively, defensive solidity is relative rather than absolute. We also consider Double Chance 1X with 40 percent confidence as a safer hedge; however, the primary value lies in the straightforward home win combined with the likelihood of both nets bulging. This combination captures the essence of a competitive yet one-sided encounter where quality ultimately prevails.

Final Verdict: Deportivo Edge at Riazor

The upcoming clash between Deportivo La Coruna and FC Andorra presents a compelling case for backing the home side, who sit comfortably in second place with 71 points compared to Andorra's 58. Deportivo’s superior league position is underpinned by a robust record of twenty wins and only eight losses, showcasing their consistency throughout the campaign. Playing at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor provides a significant psychological and tactical advantage, allowing them to control the tempo against a mid-table opponent that has struggled to maintain momentum away from home. While FC Andorra boasts sixteen victories, their ten draws suggest a tendency for stagnation, which could prove costly against a more decisive attacking force.

Betting markets reflect this dynamic, with strong confidence levels pointing towards a home victory and a high-scoring affair. The prediction of over 2.5 goals aligns with the statistical trend of both teams finding the net, supporting a Both Teams To Score selection. With Deportivo needing to solidify their promotion push and Andorra looking to secure a comfortable tenth-place finish, expect an open game where the quality difference becomes apparent. The combination of form, venue, and head-to-head potential makes the double chance of a draw or win for Deportivo a safe harbor, but the primary value lies in backing Deportivo to take all three points in what should be an entertaining encounter on the Spanish coast.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra?
Our model predicts Deportivo La Coruna with 59% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (59% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra?
Both teams to score: Yes (57% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 40% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra?
Juan Molina Stoichkov is our pick to find the net.
When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra played?
Deportivo La Coruna vs FC Andorra takes place on 17 May 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Riazor.

Additional Information

Deportivo La Coruna

Top Scorers

PekeMidfielder
9Goals
Z. EddahchouriAttacker
8Goals
David MellaAttacker
5Goals
Mario SorianoMidfielder
3Goals
Luismi CruzMidfielder
2Goals

Top Assists

PekeMidfielder
7Assists
Mario SorianoMidfielder
6Assists
Luismi CruzMidfielder
4Assists
Z. EddahchouriAttacker
3Assists
StoichkovAttacker
2Assists

Cards

Z. EddahchouriAttacker
50
Diego VillaresMidfielder
50
Miguel LoureiroDefender
50
Arnau ComasDefender
50
PekeMidfielder
40
FC Andorra

Top Scorers

Minsu KimAttacker
5Goals
Dani VillahermosaMidfielder
5Goals
L. de LeónAttacker
4Goals
Manu NietoAttacker
3Goals
Gael AlonsoDefender
2Goals

Top Assists

Minsu KimAttacker
3Assists
Dani VillahermosaMidfielder
3Assists
Marc DomènechMidfielder
3Assists
Sergio MolinaMidfielder
2Assists
Manu NietoAttacker
1Assists

Cards

Gael AlonsoDefender
51
Sergio MolinaMidfielder
50
Minsu KimAttacker
40
Dani VillahermosaMidfielder
40
Aingeru OlabarrietaAttacker
40

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Deportivo La Coruna
LWWWW
10Played
6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
Points/Game2.1
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score0%

Recent Matches

31 MayLvs Las Palmas1-2
24 MayWat Valladolid2-0
17 MayWvs FC Andorra2-1
8 MayWat Cadiz1-0
1 MayWvs Leganes2-1
FC Andorra
LLLWL
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %50%
Goals/Game3.3
Scored Avg2.1
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets30%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

31 MayLat Burgos0-1
24 MayLvs AD Ceuta FC0-2
17 MayLat Deportivo La Coruna1-2
10 MayWvs Las Palmas5-1
1 MayLvs Albacete0-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches2
Average Goals2
BTTS50%
Over 2.5 Goals50%
Over 1.5 Goals50%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Deportivo La Coruna21 per game
FC Andorra21 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Deportivo La Coruna0 (0%)
FC Andorra1 (50%)
17 May 2026 Segunda División Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 FC Andorra
20 Dec 2025 Segunda División FC Andorra 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna

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