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Colombia
Primera A
Round 3

Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe Prediction & Betting Tips

29 Sep 2026
1 - 2
Full Time
Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

24%
26%
50%
Deportivo Pereira Draw Santa Fe
Match Result
Santa Fe
50%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
56%
Both Teams Score
No
51%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
39%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
13 min read

When Santa Fe make the journey to Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas on Tuesday evening, they will encounter a Deportivo Pereira side still searching for consistency. The visitors arrive with four wins from their opening Clausura fixtures, and Bet365 currently price Santa Fe at 1.83 for the away win, w...

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Match Facts

Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches
Deportivo Pereira failed to score in 3 of 5 matches (60%)
Deportivo Pereira average 3.2 yellow cards per game (16 in 5 matches)
Santa Fe
Santa Fe score 50% of their goals after the 75th minute (3 goals)
Santa Fe average 3 yellow cards per game (15 in 5 matches)

Key Statistics

3
6 Draws
6
2.73 Avg Goals
73% BTTS
53% Over 2.5
29 Sep 2026 Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe
28 Jan 2026 Santa Fe 2-2 Deportivo Pereira
13 Jul 2025 Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Santa Fe
26 Jan 2025 Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pereira
4 Oct 2024 Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Santa Fe Look to Capitalize on Fresh Legs in Clausura Round 3 Trip to Pereira

When Santa Fe make the journey to Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas on Tuesday evening, they will encounter a Deportivo Pereira side still searching for consistency. The visitors arrive with four wins from their opening Clausura fixtures, and Bet365 currently price Santa Fe at 1.83 for the away win, with the draw at 3.4 and Deportivo Pereira at 4.5. The odds reflect a clear favourite, yet the tactical dynamics at play suggest this Clausura Round 3 encounter carries more nuance than a straightforward assessment implies.

Deportivo Pereira have managed just one victory across their ten matches played, with five draws leaving them languishing near the foot of the Primera A standings. Their recent sequence of results reads DDLDL, indicating a team struggling to convert draws into wins. The challenge for Pereira in this fixture extends beyond tactics; they enter with only three days of recovery following their most recent match, a factor that could influence their ability to sustain intensity throughout the ninety minutes.

Santa Fe, meanwhile, boast a considerably healthier seven-day rest period and arrive in far better form, their recent run of LWWDW placing them eighth in the table with sixteen points from ten matches. With qualification aspirations driving their campaign, they hold a clear motivational edge over opponents who appear to be simply trying to arrest a slide. Whether Pereira can disrupt Santa Fe's rhythm on their own turf, or whether the visitors' superior conditioning proves decisive, will define the narrative of this Clausura contest.

Key Players and Probable Lineups

Deportivo Pereira enter this fixture with attacking options spread across their forward line, though goals have been hard to come by this season. J. Quiñones leads the team with one goal and one assist, demonstrating his value as both a scorer and a creator. S. Aguilar and M. Pérez have each found the net once, offering Pereira a goalscoring threat from different areas of the pitch. Santa Fe, by contrast, have shown more potency in the final third, with C. Mafla their most dangerous outlet on two goals. N. Bustos provides creative spark with a goal and two assists from midfield, while E. Olivera adds another dimension to their attack. The battle between Santa Fe's more productive forward line and whatever defensive structure Pereira can organise will likely determine the outcome.

Based on season appearances, Pereira are expected to set up in a 5-3-2 formation: J. Martinez in goal, with Eber Moreno, J. Bazán, S. Aguilar, W. Pacheco, and N. Rengifo forming the back five. J. Bermúdez and J. Monroy anchor the midfield three, while Ederson Moreno, M. Pérez, and J. Quiñones lead the line. This shape suggests Pereira may look to absorb pressure and hit on the counter-attack, with Quiñones and Pérez tasked with converting any chances that materialise. Santa Fe appear likely to deploy a 4-2-3-1: A. Mosquera in goal behind H. Palacios, E. Olivera, C. Mafla, and V. Moreno in defence. L. Palacios and D. Torres sit as a double pivot in midfield, with E. Murillo, E. Mosquera, and A. Zapata supporting lone striker H. Rodallega. This structure gives Santa Fe a clear focal point up front while maintaining width through the attacking midfielders.

Neither side has been prolific in front of goal this season, which makes the selection decisions even more critical. Pereira will need their defensive organisation to hold firm against Santa Fe's superior scoring record, while the visitors must guard against complacency against a side with little to lose. The probable lineups reflect each team's tactical preferences, though neither manager may be locked into these exact selections. What is certain is that the players named above will form the core of each side's approach, and individual performances from the key attackers on both teams could prove decisive in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter.

Midfield Supremacy Could Decide the Outcome in Pereira

The tactical landscape of this Clausura - 3 encounter presents a fascinating contrast in approach. Deportivo Pereira, languishing in 18th position, operate from a disciplined 5-3-2 structure that prioritizes defensive solidity. Their three-man midfield operates as a compact unit designed to funnel opposition attacks into congested central areas, though their struggles are evident in just four goals scored across ten matches. The absence of fresh legs may prove significant here — with only three days of rest compared to Santa Fe's full week, fatigue could compromise their energy levels in the closing stages.

Santa Fe arrive with a clear motivational edge, sitting eighth and chasing post-season qualification, and their 4-2-3-1 formation reflects a more ambitious intent. The system allows them to dominate possession and create numerical advantages in wide areas, though they must navigate this match without Daniel Torres. The midfielder was sent off in their previous outing and faces likely suspension, leaving a gap in Santa Fe's engine room that could disrupt their control of proceedings.

The temporal patterns of their attacking threat add another layer to this contest. Deportivo Pereira demonstrate their greatest danger between the 46th and 60th minute, suggesting they target second-half adjustments to break stubborn defenses. Conversely, Santa Fe have shown a clinical edge in the final fifteen minutes, with half of their six goals arriving between the 76th and 90th minute — a late-game proficiency that could prove decisive if their superior rest translates into fitness advantages. The betting odds available at Bet365 of 4.5 for a home win, 3.4 for the draw, and 1.83 for a Santa Fe victory reflect the visitors' quality advantage, though Pereira's defensive structure and the disruption to Santa Fe's midfield balance introduce genuine uncertainty.

Pereira Search for Winning Formula Against High-Flying Santa Fe

The contrast in fortunes between these two sides heading into this Clausura encounter could hardly be starker. Santa Fe arrive at the Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas in confident mood, having accumulated four wins from their last five league fixtures. Their most recent victory came in emphatic fashion, a 4-1 triumph away to Alianza Valledupar, while they also claimed impressive home wins against Deportes Tolima (1-0) and a thrilling 3-2 success over Millonarios. That sequence has lifted them to eighth position with 16 points, leaving them well-placed for a strong campaign. Deportivo Pereira, by stark comparison, find themselves languishing in 18th place with just eight points from nine matches. Their form guide tells the story: DDLDL reads their recent record, a sequence containing just one victory all season alongside five draws and three defeats.

The fundamental problem afflicting Pereira is patently obvious when examining their attacking output. They have managed a meagre 0.6 goals per game across their ten most recent fixtures, with that tally reflected in their recent results. They managed a 0-0 stalemate with Internacional de Bogota, salvaged a point through a 2-2 draw away to Águilas Doradas, and could only manage a 1-1 draw with Millonarios in their most recent home outing. The concern runs deeper than mere conversion rates, however. Pereira have found the back of the net in only four of their last ten matches, meaning they have failed to score in 60 percent of their recent games. Until they address this fundamental flaw, they face an uphill battle against any opponent, never mind a Santa Fe side that has rediscovered their scoring touch.

Santa Fe's attacking credentials are built on far more solid foundations. Their average of 1.6 goals per game places them among the division's more productive units, and their recent results provide concrete evidence of this threat. The 4-1 destruction of Alianza Valledupar away from home demonstrated their ability to dismantle opponents on the road, while the narrow 1-0 victory over Deportes Tolima showed they can also grind out results when required. Most tellingly, their 3-2 win against Millonarios indicated a capacity to win high-scoring affairs, suggesting they possess the firepower to break down whatever defensive structure Pereira attempt to deploy. Their BTTS percentage of 60 percent further reinforces this profile, meaning both teams finding the net is a realistic scenario despite Pereira's struggles.

Defensively, the gap between the sides narrows somewhat, though Santa Fe maintain the advantage. Both teams have managed clean sheets in 30 percent of their recent matches, but the context differs significantly. Pereira have conceded at an average of 1.2 goals per game, with particularly damaging recent results including a 3-1 home defeat to Bucaramanga and a devastating 3-0 loss away to Independiente Medellin. Santa Fe's defensive record of 1.1 goals conceded per game is marginally superior, and crucially they appear capable of scoring enough to absorb those concessions. The form comparison, which rates Pereira at just 33 percent compared to Santa Fe's 67 percent, accurately captures the momentum differential. Pereira require a shift in approach and mentality to climb away from danger, while Santa Fe must simply maintain their current trajectory. The visitors head into this fixture as the clear form side, and that status appears fully justified by the evidence.

Recent Clashes Between Santa Fe and Deportivo Pereira Deliver High-Scoring Drama

The head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Deportivo Pereira over their last 14 meetings reveals a closely contested rivalry. Santa Fe hold a marginal advantage with five victories compared to Deportivo Pereira's three, while six encounters have ended in stalemates. This balance suggests neither side has managed to establish clear dominance, making their matchups particularly unpredictable.

Looking at the five most recent clashes, the pattern has been remarkably consistent. Four of those five meetings produced BTTS (both teams to score) outcomes, with particularly high-scoring draws becoming a feature of this fixture. The 2-2 scoreline has appeared twice in recent encounters, while 1-1 draws have also featured prominently. Deportivo Pereira managed a narrow 1-0 victory in February 2024, and Santa Fe secured a 2-1 win at the start of 2025, demonstrating that while draws dominate, both teams have shown the ability to win tight games.

The average of 2.71 goals per meeting across this sample is notably high, reinforcing the attacking nature of these contests. With BTTS landing in 71% of those meetings, the historical data strongly points toward another open, goal-rich encounter. For bettors, the recent trends suggest backing both teams to score or exploring Over 2.5 goals markets could hold value, though the high draw percentage in the overall record warrants caution on predicting outright winners.

Santa Fe Poised to Capitalise on Pereira's Winless Slide in Clausura Clash

Santa Fe travel to Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas sitting eighth in the Primera A Clausura standings with 16 points from 10 matches, having collected four wins and four draws alongside two defeats. Their opponents, Deportivo Pereira, occupy a precarious 18th position with just eight points from nine games, and the statistics reveal a team desperately short of winning formula. Pereira have managed only one victory across the Clausura campaign, supplemented by five draws that have rescued some points but failed to translate into momentum. With the visitors holding a substantial eight-point advantage and a superior away record to call upon, Santa Fe enter this match as clear favourites in the 1X2 market at 1.85 with an implied probability of 49.1 percent. The best price available for a Santa Fe victory stands at 1.91 at Betano, offering slightly enhanced value for punters confident in an away success.

The formbook presents a compelling case for the visitors. Pereira have not claimed three points in five consecutive outings, with their solitary Clausura triumph coming against a side currently positioned below them in the table. Santa Fe, meanwhile, have demonstrated resilience on their travels and possess the quality to exploit a defence that has struggled to keep opponents at bay throughout the campaign. The 1X2 odds of 4.2 for a home win (21.6% implied probability) reflect the market's assessment of Pereira's difficult circumstances, and our confidence rating of 51 percent for a Santa Fe victory aligns with the underlying data. Those seeking the most competitive price for the away win should note that Betano currently offer the best available odds of 1.91, while the draw is best priced at 3.5 with Betfair and the home win at 4.5 with Bet365.

Goal-based markets suggest this encounter is unlikely to produce a high-scoring spectacle. Both teams have shown vulnerability in front of goal during recent weeks, and the tactical approach from Santa Fe away from home typically prioritises defensive solidity over expansive attacking play. The Under 2.5 goals market carries a 55 percent confidence rating, making it the strongest statistical recommendation in our preview. Pereira's tendency to collect points through draws rather than victories has resulted in several low-scoring finishes, while Santa Fe's away games have frequently concluded with minimal goalmouth action. For the same outcome at enhanced odds, the best available Under 2.5 price is worth securing once confirmed with preferred bookmakers.

The Both Teams To Score market points toward a clean sheet for at least one side, with our prediction of No BTTS carrying 51 percent confidence. Pereira's attacking limitations have been evident throughout the Clausura, and they face a Santa Fe defence that has proven difficult to breach on foreign soil. Should punters wish to combine Santa Fe's likely victory with the Under 2.5 goals outcome, this pairing appears the most analytically sound accumulator approach. The Double Chance market of X2, offering coverage of both a draw and an away win at 39 percent confidence, provides a lower-risk alternative for those seeking to hedge against the possibility of Pereira salvaging a point from this contest. With Santa Fe's superior league position and recent form, the evidence suggests they possess the tools to leave Pereira with all three points.

Alternative Wagers for Tuesday's Clausura Clash

Beyond the standard match result, several supplementary markets present value based on current form and statistical analysis. The Asian Handicap market strongly favours Santa Fe at -0.50 with odds of 1.21 and an 83% confidence rating, indicating the visitors hold a clear edge in the handicap market. For correct score predictions, the most likely outcome sits at 0:1 with odds of 5.60, though the 18% confidence level reflects the inherent uncertainty in exact score forecasting. Those seeking higher returns may consider this a viable option given Santa Fe's away form and Pereira's struggles near the foot of the Clausura table.

Set-piece markets offer additional angles worth exploring. The under 9.5 corners market carries odds of 1.56 with 58% confidence, suggesting a tighter contest likely to produce fewer corner opportunities. Discipline becomes a factor with the over 5.5 cards market at odds of 1.87 and 50% confidence, with the competitive nature of this Clausura fixture potentially leading to a combative affair. For individual recognition, Hugo Rodallega presents an anytime goalscorer opportunity at odds of 2.25 with 44% confidence, offering solid value if Pereira can generate meaningful attacking momentum against Santa Fe's defence.

Santa Fe Poised to Capitalise on Pereira's Struggles in Clausura Clash

When Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe meet at Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, the form guide tells a clear story. Pereira sit 18th with just one victory from nine attempts, while Santa Fe occupy a respectable eighth position with 16 points and four wins to their name. The visitors arrive in superior shape and with greater confidence heading into Clausura Round 3.

The prediction data reinforces this outlook. Santa Fe are backed to secure all three points, with strong indicators pointing toward a low-scoring affair and both teams failing to find the net. For those seeking a safety net, the Double Chance X2 option provides reasonable coverage. The analytical consensus firmly favors Santa Fe continuing their upward trajectory against a Pereira side still searching for consistency at home.

Our #1 PickUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.72 · 55%
Best ValueNoBoth Teams to Score@1.83 · 51%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our model predicts Santa Fe with 50% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (56% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Both teams to score: No (51% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 39% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Hugo Rodallega is our pick to find the net.
When and where is Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe played?
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe takes place on 29 Sep 2026 at Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas.

Additional Information

Deportivo Pereira

Top Scorers

J. QuiñonesAttacker
1Goals
S. AguilarDefender
1Goals
M. PérezAttacker
1Goals
G. TorresAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

J. QuiñonesAttacker
1Assists
W. PachecoDefender
1Assists

Cards

M. PérezAttacker
30
W. PachecoDefender
30
G. TorresAttacker
11
J. BermúdezMidfielder
20
J. QuiñonesAttacker
10
Santa Fe

Top Scorers

C. MaflaDefender
2Goals
N. BustosAttacker
1Goals
E. OliveraDefender
1Goals
F. FagúndezAttacker
1Goals
E. MosqueraMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

N. BustosAttacker
2Assists
A. ZapataMidfielder
1Assists
V. MorenoDefender
1Assists

Cards

C. MaflaDefender
20
E. MosqueraMidfielder
20
V. MorenoDefender
20
E. OliveraDefender
10
F. FagúndezAttacker
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Deportivo Pereira
WDWDD
10Played
2Wins
5Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.1
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg0.9
Conceded Avg1.3
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

30 OctWvs Jaguares1-0
25 OctDat Once Caldas1-1
20 OctWvs Chico2-0
14 OctDat Junior1-1
10 OctDvs Deportivo Cali0-0
Santa Fe
LWWLW
10Played
6Wins
1Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.9
Win %60%
Goals/Game2.4
Scored Avg1.4
Conceded Avg1
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

30 OctLat Atletico Nacional0-2
27 OctWvs Bucaramanga2-1
22 OctWvs Jaguares2-1
18 OctLat Llaneros0-1
6 OctWat Independiente Medellin1-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches15
Average Goals2.73
BTTS73%
Over 2.5 Goals53%
Over 1.5 Goals80%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Deportivo Pereira201.33 per game
Santa Fe211.4 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Deportivo Pereira1 (7%)
Santa Fe3 (20%)
29 Sep 2026 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe
28 Jan 2026 Primera A Santa Fe 2-2 Deportivo Pereira
13 Jul 2025 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Santa Fe
26 Jan 2025 Primera A Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pereira
4 Oct 2024 Primera A Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
18 Feb 2024 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Santa Fe
24 Sep 2023 Primera A Santa Fe 1-0 Deportivo Pereira
16 Apr 2023 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Santa Fe
28 Nov 2022 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 5-1 Santa Fe
9 Nov 2022 Primera A Santa Fe 2-0 Deportivo Pereira
8 Aug 2022 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Santa Fe
13 Feb 2022 Primera A Santa Fe 1-2 Deportivo Pereira
21 Aug 2021 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Santa Fe
3 Apr 2021 Primera A Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
19 Sep 2020 Primera A Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe

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