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France
Ligue 2
Round 4

Dijon vs Saint Etienne Prediction & Betting Tips

31 Aug 2026
2 - 3
Full Time
Stade Gaston Gerard, Dijon
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Match Result
Saint Etienne
2 : 3
FT

Betting Tips

20%
23%
57%
Dijon Draw Saint Etienne
Match Result
Saint Etienne
57%
Total Goals
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
40%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
13 min read

When Saint Etienne travel to face Dijon on Matchday 4 of Ligue 2, the contrast between the two sides could hardly be more stark. The visitors arrive sitting top of the table with nine points from three consecutive victories, their recent form a seamless run of wins that has positioned them firmly in...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

3
3 Draws
9
2.6 Avg Goals
47% BTTS
47% Over 2.5
31 Aug 2026 Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne
11 Feb 2023 Saint Etienne 2-0 Dijon
30 Jul 2022 Dijon 2-1 Saint Etienne
23 May 2021 Saint Etienne 0-1 Dijon
6 Dec 2020 Dijon 0-0 Saint Etienne
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Saint Etienne Aim to Extend Perfect Ligue 2 Start Against Winless Dijon

When Saint Etienne travel to face Dijon on Matchday 4 of Ligue 2, the contrast between the two sides could hardly be more stark. The visitors arrive sitting top of the table with nine points from three consecutive victories, their recent form a seamless run of wins that has positioned them firmly in the promotion picture. Dijon, by contrast, find themselves in 14th place with just two points to their name, their opening three fixtures yielding two draws and a defeat. For Saint Etienne, three points at the Stade Gaston-Gerard would maintain their remarkable start and reinforce their credentials as genuine promotion contenders. For Dijon, a positive result represents an opportunity to climb away from the lower reaches and build some much-needed momentum.

The stakes carry additional weight when considering the broader context of the season. Saint Etienne have made no secret of their ambitions, and their early-season performances suggest a side operating with clear purpose and confidence. Their unbeaten record and perfect goal difference speak to both defensive solidity and attacking potency. Dijon, meanwhile, will be desperate to avoid slipping further into trouble, though their two hard-fought draws indicate a team that remains competitive despite lacking the cutting edge needed for victory. The odds, as listed by Bet365, reflect this disparity: Dijon are priced at 3.7, the draw at 3.2, and Saint Etienne at 1.85 in the 1X2 market. Kickoff is scheduled for 19:45 BST on Monday, August 31.

Team News and Probable Lineups

The probable lineup for Dijon sets up in a 4-3-3 formation with I. Marie-Rose between the posts. The defensive line features M. Faty, Q. Bernard, L. Lacroix, and B. Hamada, while the midfield three comprises J. Marié, M. Barreto, and B. Ndezi. The attacking threat is led by A. Ntamack, Y. Barka, and T. Dong. A. Lembezat, the club's top scorer with one goal, will look to make an impact from somewhere within this setup or potentially from the bench. For Saint Etienne, the probable XI also operates in a 4-3-3 system with G. Larsonneur in goal. The defense features K. Pedro, S. Nair, J. Le Cardinal, and João Ferreira, while J. Breum, Á. Csongvai, and M. Bernauer form the midfield unit. The forward line is led by I. Cardona, who leads the club's scoring charts with two goals, supported by T. Ballo and J. Duffus. These selections reflect the most consistent performers based on appearances throughout the season, though they represent projected lineups rather than confirmed team sheets.

The attacking talent on display could prove decisive. I. Cardona has demonstrated clinical finishing for Saint Etienne, converting his chances at a rate that makes him the visitors' primary goal threat. His movement and positioning will be key to breaking down Dijon's defense. For the home side, the responsibility falls across the forward line with A. Ntamack, Y. Barka, and T. Dong all likely to feature prominently. J. Breum offers a creative dimension for Saint Etienne with his goal and assist contributions, potentially unlocking the Dijon backline through combination play with Cardona.

Saint Etienne's Unbeaten Start Poses Severe Test for Inconsistent Dijon

The form trajectories heading into this Matchday 4 fixture could scarcely present a starker contrast. Saint Etienne arrive at this encounter in imperious form, having collected nine points from their opening three Ligue 2 matches to establish themselves at the summit of the table. Their recent sequence of results speaks volumes about the momentum building at the club: consecutive victories against Grenoble (4-0), Clermont Foot (3-1), and Sochaux (3-0) have demonstrated both ruthless attacking efficiency and growing defensive cohesion. The form guide calculation of 86% for Saint Etienne against just 14% for Dijon underscores the gulf in current momentum between these two sides entering this fixture.

Dijon, by contrast, find themselves mired in mid-table anonymity with only two points from their first three matches. While their recent form guide reads DLDWW, a closer examination reveals concerning inconsistencies beneath that surface respectability. They secured a morale-boosting 3-2 victory over Orleans and a 2-1 away win at Le Puy Foot, but those successes have been undermined by draws against Clermont Foot (1-1) and Montpellier (1-1), with a defeat at home to PAU (0-1) leaving them without a win in their last two attempts. The inability to translate competitive performances into three-point hauls has left them languishing in 14th position as the season's first month draws to a close.

The statistical breakdown further illuminates the tactical battle that awaits. Saint Etienne's attacking output of 1.9 goals per match ranks among the division's most prolific, and their victories have featured increasingly comfortable margins—the 4-0 dismantling of Grenoble and 3-0 triumph at Sochaux demonstrate their capacity to dominate opponents across different tactical setups. Their 40% clean sheet rate and defensive rating of 67% suggest a balanced unit capable of controlling games at both ends of the pitch. Dijon counter with a more modest 1.2 goals per game average, though their 60% BTTS rate indicates they regularly threaten opposing goalkeepers, with their recent 3-2 victory over Orleans and the 1-1 draw with Montpellier highlighting their ability to find the net when called upon.

When examining the broader Ligue 2 context heading into Matchday 4, Saint Etienne's 86% form rating and commanding position at the table's peak reflect a side that has adapted swiftly to second-tier football following their relegation. Their victories have come against varied opposition with different tactical approaches, suggesting tactical flexibility that could prove decisive. Dijon must find a way to arrest their winless run in this fixture while facing a side that has conceded just three goals across their opening three matches. The comparison metrics place Saint Etienne at 86% for attacking prowess and 67% for defensive solidity, leaving Dijon with significant mountains to climb if they are to emerge with a positive result from this contest.

Dijon's Defensive Solidity Faces the Unstoppable Force of Saint Etienne's Title Charge

The tactical landscape of this Matchday 4 encounter presents a fascinating contrast in fortunes and approaches. Dijon occupy 14th position with just two points from their opening three matches, a run that has yielded three consecutive draws or losses. Their recent form DLD reflects a side struggling to convert defensive resilience into positive results. At home in this Ligue 2 fixture, Dijon must find a way to bridge the gap between their tactical discipline and the cutting edge required to claim all three points. With 10 days of rest behind them, they enter this contest refreshed and potentially better prepared than their opponents, who have had nine days and played one game in that same period. Bet365 have priced this match at Dijon 3.7 / Draw 3.2 / Saint Etienne 1.85, with the visitors clear favourites to maintain their perfect start to the campaign.

Saint Etienne arrive at the Stade Gaston Gerard sitting top of the Ligue 2 table with nine points from three wins, their recent form WWW representing the division's most impressive sequence of results. The clear motivation driving them is obvious: promotion back to Ligue 1 represents the club's primary objective this season. This desperation for positive results gives them a significant psychological edge over a Dijon side with little riding on the outcome by comparison. Their tactical approach will likely see them dominate possession and push aggressively forward, looking to overwhelm Dijon's back line before the home side can establish their defensive shape. The challenge for Saint Etienne lies in maintaining their offensive intensity while remaining defensively organised, as Dijon's primary strategy will almost certainly involve soaking up pressure and hitting on the counter-attack.

The decisive factor in this tactical battle may ultimately beDjon's ability to remain disciplined throughout the ninety minutes while creating enough threat on transitions to trouble a confident Saint Etienne defence. With no goals scored or conceded recorded in the available statistics for either side, the tactical framework both teams deploy will be crucial in determining how this match unfolds. Kickoff is scheduled for 19:45 BST on Monday evening, and the outcome could well hinge on which team successfully imposes their preferred style of play on the contest. If Dijon can frustrate their opponents early and force them into errors, an opportunity may present itself. However, should Saint Etienne strike early, their momentum and quality could prove overwhelming for a home side still searching for their first victory of the season.

Saint Etienne Hold the Upper Hand Against Dijon

Saint Etienne have established a commanding presence in their head-to-head matchups with Dijon, claiming victory in eight of the last 14 meetings between the sides. This dominance reflects a consistent pattern across recent encounters, with Les Verts securing comfortable margins of victory. The most recent clash saw Saint Etienne triumph 2-0 at home, demonstrating their ability to control proceedings against their opponents.

Dijon have managed only three wins across this period, with those victories tending to come in isolated bursts rather than sustained runs of success. Their 2-1 home win in July 2022 interrupted a sequence that had otherwise favoured the home side, but it failed to spark a sustained shift in fortunes. Three draws across the 14 meetings indicate relatively evenly contested stretches, though Saint Etienne have generally found a way to edge these matchups when it matters most.

Scoring trends offer a mixed picture for those assessing potential outcomes. The average of 2.43 goals per game across these encounters points toward modestly productive affairs, while the 43% rate for both teams to score suggests clean sheets remain a regular feature in this fixture. Three of the last five meetings saw at least one side fail to find the net, highlighting how defensive discipline often prevails when these clubs meet.

Saint Etienne's Perfect Start Meets Dijon's Winless Struggle at Matchday 4

Saint Etienne arrive at this fixture sitting atop Ligue 2 with a flawless nine points from three victories, making them the team to beat at this early stage of the season. Dijon, meanwhile, find themselves in the lower half of the table with just two points from a winless opening three matches. The form guide tells a stark story — Saint Etienne's 100% record contrasts sharply with Dijon's two draws and a single defeat. When the two sides meet at Matchday 4, the visitors will feel they have every right to extend their winning run against a home side still searching for their first victory of the campaign.

The match result market heavily favours Saint Etienne, with away odds of 1.91 translating to an implied probability of 48%. The best available price for an away win stands at 1.95 with Betano, offering slightly better value than the standard line. Our confidence sits at 50% for this outcome, and the outright away victory represents the most straightforward interpretation of the current form differential. Dijon's inability to convert draws into wins — they have failed to win in all three fixtures — suggests they will struggle to contain a Saint Etienne side that has demonstrated clinical efficiency in front of goal across their opening matches.

The total goals market presents an intriguing puzzle given our predictions show under 2.5 goals at 52% confidence alongside BTTS yes at the same confidence level. These two forecasts can coexist if we anticipate a low-scoring match where both teams find the net — perhaps a 1-1 draw or a narrow 2-1 victory for the visitors. The odds for under 2.5 goals are not specified in the data, but the market clearly offers value on a tight contest. Saint Etienne's defensive record has been solid enough to keep matches competitive, while Dijon's attacking limitations explain why goals are not expected to flow freely. For punters seeking additional coverage, the double chance market offers X2 at 38% confidence — essentially backing Saint Etienne to avoid defeat, which covers both a straight away win and a draw scenario.

Considering the best available odds across the key markets: home backers can find the best price of 3.95 at 10Bet, those fancying the draw should look to Pinnacle offering 3.57, and away supporters are best served by Betano at 1.95. The away win with both teams scoring presents an appealing combination bet given Saint Etienne's scoring prowess against a Dijon defence that has shown vulnerability. However, the under 2.5 angle provides the most analytical confidence for those preferring conservative positioning, as both sides appear likely to cancel each other out in a match where the visitors' superior quality may only tell by a single-goal margin rather than a comprehensive victory.

Alternative Angles: Value Beyond the Full-Time Result

Beyond the standard 1X2 market, the model identifies several supplementary angles worth considering for this Matchday 4 fixture. The strongest conviction comes from the Asian Handicap market, where Saint Etienne -0.25 sits at odds of 1.28 with a 78% confidence rating. Given Saint Etienne's flawless three-win start to the season and Dijon's struggles to find wins, the visitors hold a clear structural edge that the handicap accounts for appropriately. The HT/FT double result also warrants consideration given Saint Etienne's early-season propensity for fast starts, though the model does not provide specific odds for this market. For Correct Score predictions, the absence of detailed model output means bettors should exercise caution, though a tight contest appears likely given both sides' defensive solidity so far.

The Corners market presents a viable alternative with the under 9.5 total corners selection at odds of 1.48 backed by 61% confidence. Neither side has generated particularly high corner counts in recent Ligue 2 matches, and with Dijon sitting deep and Saint Etienne expected to dominate possession without necessarily flooding the box, this under angle aligns with the tactical dynamics anticipated. The Cards market lacks sufficient model data to formulate a reliable recommendation for this particular fixture.

For those seeking longer-odds value, the model highlights Zuriko Davitashvili as an anytime goalscorer pick at odds of 2.40 with 42% confidence. While the strike confidence falls below the thresholds of the other two markets, the potential returns remain attractive for punters willing to accept the elevated risk in exchange for superior value.

Saint Etienne Poised to Extend Dominant Start at Dijon's Expense

Saint Etienne arrive at Matchday 4 sitting pretty at the summit of Ligue 2 with a flawless nine points from three victories, while Dijon remain entrenched in the lower reaches with just two points from their opening three fixtures. The gulf in form and confidence between these two sides is unmistakable, with the visitors demonstrating clinical efficiency in front of goal throughout the campaign. Despite Dijon's resilience in securing two draws this season, their inability to convert that steel into victories suggests they may struggle to contain a Saint Etienne side that has found the net in every encounter so far.

Our strongest conviction points toward an away victory for Saint Etienne, backed by our 50% confidence rating on the match result. The supporting indicators of under 2.5 total goals and BTTS yes both hover around 52% confidence, suggesting a tightly contested affair rather than a goal spree. The recommended approach combines a straight away win with the expectation that both clubs will find the target, while the Double Chance X2 provides a safety net for more cautious traders. Given the hosts' winless record and the visitors' imperious form, Saint Etienne should have enough quality to claim all three points at the Stade Gaston Gerard.

Our #1 PickUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.82 · 52%
Best ValueYesBoth Teams to Score@1.78 · 52%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Our model predicts Saint Etienne with 57% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will Dijon vs Saint Etienne have?
We expect Over 2.5 goals (50% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Both teams to score: Yes (51% confidence).
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 40% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Zuriko Davitashvili is our pick to find the net.
When and where is Dijon vs Saint Etienne played?
Dijon vs Saint Etienne takes place on 31 Aug 2026 at Stade Gaston Gerard.

Additional Information

Dijon

Top Scorers

A. LembezatMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

No data

Cards

A. LembezatMidfielder
10
L. LacroixDefender
10
B. NdeziMidfielder
10
Saint Etienne

Top Scorers

I. CardonaAttacker
2Goals
J. BreumMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

J. BreumMidfielder
1Assists
A. BoakyeMidfielder
1Assists
T. BalloAttacker
1Assists

Cards

J. BreumMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Dijon
WWDLD
10Played
4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.5
Win %40%
Goals/Game3.1
Scored Avg1.6
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

18 SepWat Annecy2-1
11 SepWvs Laval3-2
4 SepDat Boulogne1-1
31 AugLvs Saint Etienne2-3
21 AugDat Clermont Foot1-1
Saint Etienne
DLWWW
10Played
6Wins
2Draws
2Losses
Points/Game2
Win %60%
Goals/Game3.7
Scored Avg2.5
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

19 SepDat Metz2-2
12 SepLat Dunkerque1-2
5 SepWvs Montpellier3-1
31 AugWat Dijon3-2
22 AugWvs Grenoble4-0

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches15
Average Goals2.6
BTTS47%
Over 2.5 Goals47%
Over 1.5 Goals60%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Dijon161.07 per game
Saint Etienne231.53 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Dijon2 (13%)
Saint Etienne7 (47%)
31 Aug 2026 Ligue 2 Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne
11 Feb 2023 Ligue 2 Saint Etienne 2-0 Dijon
30 Jul 2022 Ligue 2 Dijon 2-1 Saint Etienne
23 May 2021 Ligue 1 Saint Etienne 0-1 Dijon
6 Dec 2020 Ligue 1 Dijon 0-0 Saint Etienne
10 Aug 2019 Ligue 1 Dijon 1-2 Saint Etienne
22 Feb 2019 Ligue 1 Dijon 0-1 Saint Etienne
23 Jan 2019 Coupe de France Saint Etienne 3-6 Dijon
22 Dec 2018 Ligue 1 Saint Etienne 3-0 Dijon
3 Mar 2018 Ligue 1 Saint Etienne 2-2 Dijon
16 Sep 2017 Ligue 1 Dijon 0-1 Saint Etienne
19 Mar 2017 Ligue 1 Dijon 0-1 Saint Etienne
16 Oct 2016 Ligue 1 Saint Etienne 1-1 Dijon
29 Apr 2012 Ligue 1 Saint Etienne 1-0 Dijon
17 Dec 2011 Ligue 1 Dijon 1-2 Saint Etienne

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