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Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1
Round 1

ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Prediction & Betting Tips

23 Aug 2026
1 - 0
Full Time
Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
1 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

57%
26%
17%
ES Zarzis Draw Olympique Béja
Match Result
ES Zarzis
57%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
63%
Both Teams Score
No
62%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
42%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
10 min read

The new season of Tunisia's Ligue Professionnelle 1 gets underway at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium on Sunday, August 23, 2026, when ES Zarzis play host to Olympique Béja in a Matchday 1 fixture. Kickoff is scheduled for 15:30 local time, marking the start of what both clubs will hope becomes a campaign ...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

7
2 Draws
4
2 Avg Goals
31% BTTS
31% Over 2.5
23 Aug 2026 ES Zarzis 1-0 Olympique Béja
26 Apr 2026 ES Zarzis 2-0 Olympique Béja
26 Oct 2025 Olympique Béja 0-3 ES Zarzis
2 Mar 2025 ES Zarzis 1-0 Olympique Béja
9 Nov 2024 Olympique Béja 1-2 ES Zarzis
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Ligue 1 Campaign Kicks Off in Zarzis as Hosts Welcome Béja on Matchday 1

The new season of Tunisia's Ligue Professionnelle 1 gets underway at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium on Sunday, August 23, 2026, when ES Zarzis play host to Olympique Béja in a Matchday 1 fixture. Kickoff is scheduled for 15:30 local time, marking the start of what both clubs will hope becomes a campaign of significant progress. With neither side having accumulated any points yet, this encounter represents an early opportunity to establish momentum and build confidence before the season truly takes shape.

ES Zarzis enter the new term having finished 12th in the previous campaign, while Olympique Béja concluded their season in 9th position. Both clubs arrive at this fixture with identical zero-point tallies and equal preparation time, as neither side has been in competitive action over the past ten days. That parity in freshness and current standing ensures the contest carries an even footing, though the home advantage at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium could prove pivotal for Zarzis in their bid to claim those first three points of the season.

With the Ligue 1 schedule beginning and both teams seeking to climb the table early, the stakes are clear: a positive result here sets the tone for the months ahead, while a defeat immediately puts pressure on already modest ambitions. Fans in attendance and those following the action will get their first concrete indication of each side's readiness and tactical approach under the conditions of competitive football. The pressure to perform from the opening whistle means neither club can afford a sluggish start as the season unfolds.

How Both Sides Arrive: Divergent Momentum at Matchday 1

ES Zarzis heads into Matchday 1 of the Ligue Professionnelle 1 season carrying significant positive momentum, having won four of their last ten matches with a disciplined defensive record that has seen them keep clean sheets in 40 percent of those fixtures. Their recent form of WWWLW illustrates a side that has discovered consistency in the final third, averaging 1.1 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.9, suggesting a balanced approach that neither overwhelms opponents nor leaves excessive space behind. The most recent encounter between these two clubs — a 2-0 home victory over Olympique Béja — provides a direct reference point for how this matchup has played out recently, and the manner of those results indicates a team that has found its rhythm at both ends of the pitch.

Olympique Béja arrives in a markedly different state, their form reading DWLWL over the same period but revealing a pattern of inconsistency that has plagued their campaign. With just four wins from ten matches and four defeats, they sit ninth in the embryonic league table, and their defensive metrics make for concerning reading ahead of a trip to face an in-form opponent. The side has managed only 30 percent clean sheets and concedes an average of 1.1 goals per match, marginally worse than their attacking output of 0.8 goals per game. The 0-2 defeat away to ES Zarzis in their most recent meeting will linger in the memory, and their inability to translate positive results like the 1-1 draw away to Club Africain or the 2-1 victory over Jeunesse Sportive Omrane into sustained momentum has left them searching for stability at the season's outset.

When examining the scoring patterns, both sides share a BTTS percentage of 30 percent, indicating that neither team tends to produce matches where both sides find the net, which could prove significant when assessing Over/Under markets. ES Zarzis demonstrated their capacity to control games and keep opponents at bay during their recent sequence of results, including a commanding 3-1 victory over ES Sahel that showcased their attacking potential when fully firing, while their 1-0 win over ES Metlaoui and 2-0 away success against CA Bizertin demonstrated a pragmatic efficiency. Olympique Béja's pattern is more volatile, with heavy defeats like the 0-2 loss away to CS Sfaxien offsetting their better performances, and they will need to eliminate such vulnerability if they are to compete against a side that already has their measure.

The comparison metric grading ES Zarzis at 63 percent against Olympique Béja's 37 percent reflects what the underlying numbers suggest: one team has built encouraging momentum while the other has struggled to establish consistency. For the visitors making the journey to Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, the task is clear — they must replicate the resilience shown in the 1-1 draw against Club Africain and the home win against CA Bizertin while avoiding the lapses that have cost them dearly against stronger opposition. ES Zarzis, by contrast, will look to reproduce the dominance of their previous encounter with Olympique Béja and build on a foundation that has yielded four wins from their last five matches, positioning them as the side with the psychological edge heading into this Matchday 1 fixture.

Tactical Setups and Strategic Priorities for the Opening Encounter

The opening fixture of the season presents both ES Zarzis and Olympique Béja with an immediate opportunity to establish their tactical identity. With neither side having played a competitive match in over 100 days, the match at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium carries added uncertainty. Both teams will approach Matchday 1 with caution, prioritizing defensive solidity while seeking to impose their early-season ambitions on the contest. The lack of recent match rhythm means both sets of players may require time to find their competitive edge, potentially leading to a measured opening period before either side commits to a more expansive approach.

Olympique Béja's positioning in ninth place last season suggests a side comfortable operating in a mid-table framework, likely deploying a structured 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 shape that balances defensive responsibility with counter-attacking threat. Their approach will probably center on maintaining compact defensive lines and exploiting space in behind the Zarzis backline, particularly if the home side pushes players forward in search of an early-season victory. The challenge for Béja lies in translating pre-season preparations into meaningful competitive performance without the sharpness that only official matches provide.

ES Zarzis, finishing twelfth last term, face the familiar task of fighting against relegation pressures from the campaign's outset. Their tactical approach will likely emphasize defensive discipline and set-piece efficiency, areas where smaller clubs in Tunisian football frequently find success. Playing at home provides Zarzis with a psychological advantage, and the home crowd at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium could drive a more aggressive initial pressing strategy. The tactical battle will hinge on which side can better manage the psychological weight of an opening-day fixture while executing their game plan effectively. Neither team possesses a meaningful rest advantage, meaning physical conditioning will remain relatively even, with the decisive factors likely to be tactical discipline and the ability to create clear opportunities despite potential rustiness in the final third.

Zarzis March to Victory in Recent Encounters

ES Zarzis have built a commanding record against Olympique Béja across their last four meetings, winning each encounter without exception. The most recent clash in April 2026 ended with ES Zarzis prevailing 2-0 on home soil, while their October 2025 away fixture produced their most emphatic result in this sequence, a 3-0 victory. Those four consecutive wins underline a clear psychological and tactical edge that ES Zarzis have established over their opponents in recent seasons.

Taking a broader view across 12 recorded meetings, ES Zarzis hold a 6-4 advantage with 2 draws, positioning them as the dominant force in this fixture. The average goals per meeting stands at 2.08, reflecting generally tight contests. A notable trend is the low BTTS rate of just 33%, meaning goals for both sides have been rare in this matchup. Three of the last four meetings saw ES Zarzis keep a clean sheet, and with no recent H2H victory for Olympique Béja on record, the historical pattern points firmly toward another Zarzis success.

ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja: Early Season Value in Ligue 1 Opener

The opening fixture of the season presents an intriguing tactical puzzle for punters, as ES Zarzis prepare to host Olympique Béja at the Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium in what marks the beginning of Matchday 1 in Ligue Professionnelle 1. Both clubs enter this encounter level on zero points, having participated in no competitive action as of yet, making this a true season opener where every analytical framework carries inherent uncertainty. The absence of any published bookmaker odds reflects the genuine difficulty in pricing teams whose current form remains entirely theoretical, placing greater reliance on structural indicators and historical positioning.

Our predictive model assigns ES Zarzis a 50% probability of victory, with an identical 50% chance of the match ending in a draw, while simultaneously according Olympique Béja a 0% implied win probability. This stark asymmetry warrants careful examination. The 95% confidence attached to the Double Chance prediction of 1X strongly suggests that the model identifies meaningful structural factors favoring the home side avoiding defeat, whether through outright victory or share of the points. Given that both clubs finished the previous campaign outside the upper echelons of the table, the model appears to be weighting home advantage as a decisive factor, potentially influenced by the psychological and logistical benefits of beginning a season on familiar territory.

The BTTS prediction carries 62% confidence in ruling out goals for both teams, pointing toward a match characterized by defensive organisation and limited attacking incision. When combined with the uncertainty surrounding total goals, this creates a picture of a tight, competitive fixture where clinical finishing and defensive solidity will likely determine the outcome rather than free-scoring attacking play. Punters should consider markets that reflect this expectation of a low-scoring, closely contested affair, particularly given the historical tendency for newly assembled squads to prioritise structural discipline in opening fixtures.

The strategic recommendation emerging from our analysis centres on the Double Chance market, where the 95% model confidence in ES Zarzis avoiding defeat represents the highest conviction pick available for this fixture. Without bookmaker odds to establish market value, bettors are advised to monitor early line movements when odds become available, as any price above even money for the 1X outcome would reflect reasonable value given the statistical edge our model identifies. The absence of odds should not prevent analytical engagement, but should temper stake sizing given the natural volatility inherent in season-opening fixtures where genuine form remains unknown.

Verdict: Narrow Home Win Looks the Most Likely Outcome

With both clubs entering Matchday 1 without points from the new season, this encounter presents an even contest between two sides that finished in the lower half of the Ligue 1 standings last term. ES Zarzis, completing at home at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, will feel they hold a marginal edge based on the double chance assessment, which indicates a strong probability they avoid defeat. The absence of clear total goals guidance combined with the BTTS "no" recommendation suggests a tightly contested affair where scoring opportunities could prove scarce.

The recommended betting angle for this fixture points toward the double chance 1X selection at high confidence, alongside opposing both teams to find the net. While the straight home win carries a moderate confidence rating, the safer approach acknowledges that both squads are likely to approach this season opener with caution. Backers should monitor any late team news regarding availability, but the underlying statistical picture supports ES Zarzis avoiding a loss in what promises to be a low-scoring season curtain-raiser.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Our model predicts ES Zarzis with 57% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
How many goals will ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (63% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Both teams to score: No (62% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 42% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja played?
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja takes place on 23 Aug 2026 at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.

Additional Information

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3 0 +3 9
2 ES Tunis 4 3 0 1 7 6 +1 9
3 US Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
6 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 4 2 2 0 4 1 +3 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3 3 0 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
10 ES Sahel 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2 3 -1 4
12 ES Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 3
13 ES Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2 4 -2 3
14 Olympique Béja 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
15 ES Hammam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
16 CS Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0 4 -4 0
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

ES Zarzis
LLLWW
10Played
5Wins
1Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.6
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets40%
Failed to Score20%

Recent Matches

20 SepLat Club Africain0-1
16 SepLvs US Monastirienne1-2
29 AugLat CS Sfaxien1-2
23 AugWvs Olympique Béja1-0
13 MayWat CA Bizertin2-0
Olympique Béja
DDLLD
10Played
3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
Points/Game1.2
Win %30%
Goals/Game2.2
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.2
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets10%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

13 SepDvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer1-1
5 SepDat CA Bizertin1-1
30 AugLvs US Ben Guerdane1-2
23 AugLat ES Zarzis0-1
14 MayDat Club Africain1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches13
Average Goals2
BTTS31%
Over 2.5 Goals31%
Over 1.5 Goals69%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
ES Zarzis141.08 per game
Olympique Béja120.92 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
ES Zarzis6 (46%)
Olympique Béja3 (23%)
23 Aug 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 1-0 Olympique Béja
26 Apr 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 2-0 Olympique Béja
26 Oct 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1 Olympique Béja 0-3 ES Zarzis
2 Mar 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 1-0 Olympique Béja
9 Nov 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1 Olympique Béja 1-2 ES Zarzis
23 May 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 1-0 Olympique Béja
7 May 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1 Olympique Béja 3-0 ES Zarzis
20 Feb 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1 Olympique Béja 0-1 ES Zarzis
16 Oct 2021 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 0-2 Olympique Béja
14 Apr 2013 Ligue Professionnelle 1 Olympique Béja 2-0 ES Zarzis
22 Dec 2012 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 1-1 Olympique Béja
20 Jun 2012 Ligue Professionnelle 1 ES Zarzis 1-2 Olympique Béja
18 Dec 2011 Ligue Professionnelle 1 Olympique Béja 1-1 ES Zarzis

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