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Spain
Segunda División
Round 2

Granada CF vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips

24 Aug 2026
2 - 0
Full Time
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, Granada
Correct
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
2 : 0
FT

Betting Tips

32%
28%
40%
Granada CF Draw Mallorca
Match Result
Mallorca
40%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
60%
Both Teams Score
No
52%
Double Chance
Draw/Away
35%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
12 min read

When Granada CF and Mallorca step onto the pitch at the Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes on Monday evening, they carry entirely different textures to their early Segunda División campaigns. Granada arrive having eked out a single point from their opening fixture, leaving them 14th in the embryonic table, ...

Read Full Analysis

Key Statistics

8
3 Draws
2
2.92 Avg Goals
62% BTTS
54% Over 2.5
24 Aug 2026 Granada CF 2-0 Mallorca
16 Mar 2024 Mallorca 1-0 Granada CF
26 Aug 2023 Granada CF 3-2 Mallorca
7 May 2022 Mallorca 2-6 Granada CF
19 Dec 2021 Granada CF 4-1 Mallorca
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov ✓
Founder & Lead Analyst

Granada CF and Mallorca Collide on Matchday 2 with Season Momentum at Stake

When Granada CF and Mallorca step onto the pitch at the Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes on Monday evening, they carry entirely different textures to their early Segunda División campaigns. Granada arrive having eked out a single point from their opening fixture, leaving them 14th in the embryonic table, while Mallorca burst out of the blocks with maximum points and currently sit 4th. The tactical challenge for the home side is clear: translate the comfort of their stadium into three points against a side that has already demonstrated what winning looks like this season.

The odds compilers at Bet365 see this as a genuinely tight affair, pricing Granada at 2.7, the draw at 3, and Mallorca at 2.62 in the 1X2 market. That near-equilibrium reflects both the uncertainty that permeates the early rounds of any league campaign and the genuine competitive balance between these two clubs. Granada hold the narrow favouritism by virtue of home advantage, yet Mallorca's outright odds suggest they are far from fodder for a newly-assembled home side still finding its feet.

For Granada, the imperative is immediate: a second consecutive draw will not suffice if they harbour ambitions of climbing the classification swiftly. For Mallorca, the mission is to prove their opening-weekend victory was no flash in the pan and that they can collect results on the road against opponents who will be desperate to avoid falling further behind the early pacesetters. The 20:30 BST kickoff marks the start of what promises to be a fascinating early-season chapter in Spain's second tier.

Tactical Approaches and Defensive Foundations Clash at Nuevo Estadio de Los Carmenes

Both Granada CF and Mallorca enter this Matchday 2 encounter having demonstrated identical defensive solidity in their opening fixtures, with neither side conceding a goal or keeping a clean sheet through lack of opportunity. The odds from Bet365 reflect this equilibrium, pricing Granada CF at 2.7, the draw at 3, and Mallorca at 2.62, suggesting neither team holds a meaningful edge despite their contrasting league positions. Granada CF sits 14th with a single point from a goalless draw, while Mallorca occupies fourth place following a narrow victory that delivered three points despite also failing to score in open play.

The tactical landscape points toward a cagey affair where both sets of players prioritize structural discipline over expansive attacking play. Mallorca's higher league position indicates a more aggressive intent in transition, though their attacking output in round one suggests a measured approach rather than all-out assault. Granada CF, positioned in the lower half, are likely to adopt a patient, compact shape designed to frustrate opponents and exploit any spaces Mallorca leaves when pushing forward. Neither side possesses the clear offensive firepower that their respective tallies of zero goals suggest, making this a potential chess match decided by which midfield can gain numerical superiority.

With both squads arriving equally rested after nine days since their previous outing, physical freshness should not be a differentiating factor. The decisive moments may well arrive from set-piece situations or a moment of individual quality rather than sustained attacking pressure. Mallorca hold the psychological advantage of already tasting victory this season, while Granada CF will seek to build on their hard-earned point with a stronger attacking display on home soil. The outcome likely hinges on which team successfully implements their game plan first, with the narrow odds suggesting a result too close to call without a significant tactical error or moment of brilliance.

Diverging Momentum as Granada Seek Recovery Against High-Flying Mallorca

The two sides head into this Matchday 2 encounter on sharply contrasting trajectories. Granada CF arrive with very little positive momentum to draw upon, having managed just one point from their opening fixture and carrying a sequence of defeats that stretches through their recent matches. Their solitary point came courtesy of a goalless draw on the road against Oviedo, but that result sits uncomfortably alongside home losses to Sporting Gijon by a 1-2 margin and a deflating 0-1 defeat against Burgos. Road trips have proven particularly problematic, with the side slipping to 1-3 defeats away to Mirandes and narrow 0-1 losses away to Cordoba, highlighting a pattern of struggling to contain opponents regardless of venue. With just two wins from their last ten matches and seven defeats in that sample, Granada face an uphill task in generating any sustained pressure on their opponents.

Mallorca, by contrast, have enjoyed a far more encouraging start and enter this fixture sitting fourth in the standings with three points from their opening match. The visitors demonstrated clear attacking intent in their most recent outing, securing a commanding 2-0 victory over Valladolid on home soil. Prior to that, they dismantled Oviedo with a clinical 3-0 win, suggesting a side capable of converting dominance into goals when operating in front of their own supporters. However, the form guide is not entirely unblemished, as Mallorca suffered heavy defeats away to Levante and Getafe, both by 0-2 and 1-3 scorelines respectively, and settled for a 1-1 draw against Villarreal. These results indicate that while Mallorca possess genuine quality, they remain capable of being disrupted by well-organized opponents on their travels.

The defensive statistics paint a concerning picture for the home side. Granada have shipped an average of 1.8 goals per match across their last ten outings, with their backline managing clean sheets in only 30 percent of those games. Their attacking output has been equally subdued, averaging just 0.9 goals scored per match during the same period. Mallorca, meanwhile, have shown more solidity at the back, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per match and keeping clean sheets at a 40 percent rate. Offensively, they have averaged 1.5 goals per match, representing a meaningful advantage over their opponents. Both teams have seen BTTS land in exactly 50 percent of their recent matches, suggesting that while goals at both ends remain a reasonable possibility, the defensive contrast between the two outfits is pronounced.

When examining the underlying form percentages, the disparity becomes even more stark. Granada operate at just 13 percent form compared to Mallorca's commanding 87 percent, a gap that reflects both the home side's winless streak and the visitors' capacity to collect points consistently. For Granada to pose a meaningful threat, they must first address the structural vulnerabilities that have contributed to their generous goals column. Mallorca, having already demonstrated they can secure comfortable victories when firing on all cylinders, will feel they possess the tools to exploit any lingering defensive uncertainty. The fundamental question heading into this match centres on whether Granada can produce a performance levels above their recent output, or whether Mallorca's superior form and tactical discipline will prove decisive from the outset.

Granada CF's Firm Grip on This Fixture

Granada CF has established a clear dominance in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 12 meetings against Mallorca. The two sides have also played out 3 draws during this period, with Mallorca managing only 2 victories across those encounters. The goal average of 3 per match and the fact that both teams have scored in 67% of meetings (8 out of 12) highlights how regularly these matchups produce entertaining, high-scoring affairs.

Their most recent clash came in March 2024, where Mallorca secured a narrow 1-0 victory on home soil. This result was notable as it represented one of Mallorca's rare successes in this fixture, breaking a pattern that has generally favored Granada. Looking at the broader context, Granada's victories in this fixture have often been emphatic, with scorelines such as 3-2, 6-2, and 4-1 highlighting their attacking capabilities against this opponent. Mallorca's wins have been hard-fought 1-0 affairs, suggesting they have typically struggled to match Granada's offensive output in this particular matchup.

The historical data reveals a clear trend: when Granada CF takes control of this fixture, they tend to do so convincingly. The most recent meeting provides hope for Mallorca, but the weight of evidence across the last 12 encounters points toward Granada holding the psychological edge. The consistently high goal tallies and strong BTTS record suggest that regardless of the outcome, spectators can anticipate an open contest with attacking intent from both sides.

Granada CF vs Mallorca: Betting Angles and Match Prediction for Matchday 2

The Segunda Division returns to Granada on Monday evening as Granada CF play host to a Mallorca side that sits fourth in the early standings. Mallorca arrive with a perfect record after their opening-day victory, while Granada remain searching for their first win of the campaign following a hard-fought draw last time out. The match odds reflect this competitive dynamic, with the visitors priced at 2.5 on the main line and Granada at 2.75, suggesting neither side holds a decisive edge in the eyes of bookmakers. The best available price for a Mallorca victory stands at 2.72 at Betano, making that destination the preferred option for punters backing the away side. Our primary prediction leans toward a Mallorca win, albeit with moderate confidence at 37%, acknowledging that this fixture possesses the hallmarks of a tightly contested encounter where margins may prove decisive.

When examining the goal-scoring landscape, both teams present patterns that point toward a low-scoring affair. Mallorca demonstrated clinical efficiency in their season opener, converting their chances without requiring a flood of attempts on goal, while Granada's opening fixture produced limited opportunities for both sides. The Under 2.5 goals market commands our highest confidence rating at 59%, and this aligns with the tactical approaches typically deployed in Segunda Division matchups at this early stage of the campaign. The defensive solidity both sides displayed in their opening fixtures reinforces this projection, with neither team appearing particularly dangerous going forward despite their contrasting fortunes. The odds suggest this outcome carries reasonable value, particularly for those seeking a selection with statistical backing rather than pure speculation.

The Both Teams To Score market presents an intriguing alternative, with our model favouring the "No" option at 51% confidence. This prediction stems from the conservative attacking setups both clubs demonstrated during their opening matches, where chance creation remained limited and defensive discipline took precedence. Mallorca's victory came through a single decisive moment rather than sustained pressure, suggesting they are willing to grind out results through organisation rather than offensive ambition. Granada, competing at home, may find opportunities equally scarce against a structured Mallorca defence that has already proven difficult to breach this season. For punters seeking slightly better odds, the best available price for the BTTS "No" selection can be found at 1xBet, where the Draw option also reaches 3.1, providing additional value across multiple markets for those willing to explore correlated outcomes.

The Double Chance market offers an alternative angle for risk-averse bettors, with our projection favouring the "12" outcome at 35% confidence, essentially backing either side to win while eliminating the draw from consideration. This selection acknowledges the genuine uncertainty surrounding the match result while still allowing for a decisive outcome rather than a share of the spoils. Granada's home advantage provides some comfort, yet their mid-table positioning after one match suggests they have not yet found their rhythm for the season. Mallorca's superior league position and winning momentum give them the slight edge, though the narrow margin between the odds confirms that a Granada victory remains entirely plausible. Those backing the away win should note that Pinnacle offers the best price for Granada at 2.94, making it worthwhile comparing prices across bookmakers before committing to any selection in what promises to be an evenly balanced contest on Matchday 2.

Secondary angles offer value in Monday's Segunda encounter

For those seeking alternatives to the standard match result, the Asian Handicap market presents Mallorca -0.25 at 1.52 with a 66% confidence rating. This line acknowledges Mallorca's superior early-season standing while offering a partial refund if the match ends in a draw, making it an attractive option given the visitors' strong start. The half-time market also draws attention, with the draw available at 1.90 and a 46% confidence level — suggesting that both teams are likely to feel each other out before any tactical adjustments take effect in the second half.

The correct score projection favors a narrow 0:1 away victory at 6.00 odds with 17% confidence, aligning with Mallorca's current form and Granada's defensive vulnerabilities. Corners markets show strong backing for under 9.5 at 1.47 with 63% confidence, reflecting expectations of a structured, low-event contest rather than an open attacking affair. These secondary markets provide tactical insight into how the match may unfold beyond the simple win-draw-loss outcome.

Why Mallorca Hold the Edge in This Granada Showdown

The data positions Mallorca as the most likely victors when they visit Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes on Monday evening. Sitting fourth in the Segunda División with a win already secured, Mallorca carry genuine early-season momentum into this matchday 2 fixture, while Granada occupy 14th place with just a single point from their opening assignment. The prediction model assigns a 37% probability to a Mallorca victory—the strongest signal across all available markets.

Beyond the match result, the analytical framework converges on a tight, low-scoring affair. The under 2.5 goals market commands the highest confidence at 59%, and the BTTS: no selection at 51% reinforces expectations of a cagey encounter. For those seeking a safety net, the double chance: 12 option covers both a Mallorca win and a draw at 35% confidence. Ultimately, the numbers favor Mallorca taking all three points, though the moderate confidence levels across all picks suggest prudent stake management remains essential for this Segunda División clash.

Our #1 PickUnder 2.5Over/Under Goals@1.60 · 59%
Best ValueMallorcaMatch Result (1X2)@2.27 · 37%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Our model predicts Mallorca with 40% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Is the double chance X2 a good bet for Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Our double chance pick is X2 with 35% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
Who is most likely to score in Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Adrian Fuentes is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Granada CF vs Mallorca have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (60% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Granada CF vs Mallorca?
Both teams to score: No (52% confidence).
When and where is Granada CF vs Mallorca played?
Granada CF vs Mallorca takes place on 24 Aug 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes.

Additional Information

Granada CF

Top Scorers

No data

Top Assists

No data

Cards

Sergio LópezDefender
10
Rubén AlcarazMidfielder
10
C. OnouhaAttacker
10
Mallorca

Top Scorers

RaílloDefender
1Goals
Pablo TorreAttacker
1Goals

Top Assists

Álex SalaMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

M. CalatayudDefender
10
DarderMidfielder
10

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Granada CF
LDLWW
10Played
2Wins
2Draws
6Losses
Points/Game0.8
Win %20%
Goals/Game2.5
Scored Avg1
Conceded Avg1.5
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets20%
Failed to Score40%

Recent Matches

20 SepLat Leganes2-3
12 SepDvs Albacete1-1
6 SepLat Eibar0-3
30 AugWat Cordoba3-1
24 AugWvs Mallorca2-0
Mallorca
WWDWL
10Played
5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
Points/Game1.7
Win %50%
Goals/Game2.1
Scored Avg1.3
Conceded Avg0.8
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets60%
Failed to Score30%

Recent Matches

19 SepWat Real Sociedad II1-0
13 SepWvs Sabadell2-0
5 SepDat Eldense0-0
30 AugWvs AD Ceuta FC3-0
24 AugLat Granada CF0-2

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches13
Average Goals2.92
BTTS62%
Over 2.5 Goals54%
Over 1.5 Goals69%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Granada CF251.92 per game
Mallorca131 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Granada CF4 (31%)
Mallorca2 (15%)
24 Aug 2026 Segunda División Granada CF 2-0 Mallorca
16 Mar 2024 La Liga Mallorca 1-0 Granada CF
26 Aug 2023 La Liga Granada CF 3-2 Mallorca
7 May 2022 La Liga Mallorca 2-6 Granada CF
19 Dec 2021 La Liga Granada CF 4-1 Mallorca
16 Jul 2020 La Liga Mallorca 1-2 Granada CF
5 Jan 2020 La Liga Granada CF 1-0 Mallorca
4 Jun 2019 Segunda División Mallorca 1-1 Granada CF
14 Oct 2018 Segunda División Granada CF 1-0 Mallorca
3 Mar 2013 La Liga Granada CF 1-2 Mallorca
7 Oct 2012 La Liga Mallorca 1-2 Granada CF
8 Apr 2012 La Liga Mallorca 0-0 Granada CF
7 Dec 2011 La Liga Granada CF 2-2 Mallorca

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