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Greece
Super League 1
Round 10

Kifisia vs Larisa Prediction & Betting Tips

21 May 2026
3 - 2
Full Time
Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens
Incorrect
Our #1 Pick
Total Goals
Under 2.5
3 : 2
FT

Betting Tips

43%
27%
30%
Kifisia Draw Larisa
Match Result
Kifisia
43%
Total Goals
Under 2.5
54%
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%
Double Chance
Home/Draw
36%
Odds updated hourly from bookmakers
Predictions recalculated every 2 hours
Locked 2 hours before kickoff

Expert Analysis

Alexey Andrianov Founder & Lead Analyst
60.3% 30+ yrs
13 min read

The atmosphere at the Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis is set to be electric on Thursday, May 21, 2026, as Kifisia host Larisa in a pivotal Super League 1 encounter. This fixture carries significant weight for both sides, representing more than just three points on the board. For the hosts, sitting comforta...

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Match Facts

Kifisia
Kifisia have received 8 red cards in 28 matches this season
Kifisia average 3.9 yellow cards per game (109 in 28 matches)
Kifisia have won just 2 of 14 away matches this season
Kifisia have lost 6 of 14 home matches (43%)
Larisa
Larisa have conceded in each of their last 10 matches
Larisa are unbeaten in their last 4 league matches
Larisa have drawn their last 3 league matches
Larisa have scored all 5 penalties this season
Larisa have received 4 red cards in 28 matches this season
Larisa have won just 2 of 14 away matches this season

Key Statistics

1
3 Draws
0
2.75 Avg Goals
100% BTTS
25% Over 2.5
21 May 2026 Kifisia 3-2 Larisa
22 Apr 2026 Larisa 1-1 Kifisia
10 Jan 2026 Kifisia 1-1 Larisa
30 Aug 2025 Larisa 1-1 Kifisia
View all H2H matches

Full Match Analysis

Alexey Andrianov
Founder & Lead Analyst

Kifisia vs Larisa: A Clash of Styles in the Greek Capital

The atmosphere at the Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis is set to be electric on Thursday, May 21, 2026, as Kifisia host Larisa in a pivotal Super League 1 encounter. This fixture carries significant weight for both sides, representing more than just three points on the board. For the hosts, sitting comfortably in second place with 37 points, consistency has been the defining characteristic of their campaign. Their record of eight wins, thirteen draws, and twelve losses underscores a team that rarely loses but also struggles to dominate decisively. The draw-heavy nature of their season suggests a squad that values defensive solidity, making them formidable opponents for any visitor looking to break through.

Larisa, currently occupying sixth position with 26 points, arrives in Athens with a similar profile of resilience rather than outright dominance. With four victories, fourteen draws, and fifteen defeats, the visitors have shown remarkable ability to snatch results from difficult games. However, their lower point total compared to Kifisia highlights a slight deficiency in converting those drawn performances into wins. The gap between the two teams—eleven points separates them—means that a victory for either side could significantly alter the mid-table dynamics and potentially impact European qualification hopes or survival security, depending on how the rest of the league performs.

This match promises to be a tactical battle where patience will likely be rewarded over explosive attacking flair. Both teams share a propensity for drawing matches, which often leads to tight, low-scoring affairs where individual moments of brilliance can decide the outcome. Fans should anticipate a game defined by strategic positioning and defensive organization, as neither side appears willing to take excessive risks away from home or within the familiar confines of Neapolis. The stakes are high enough to ensure intensity, yet the statistical similarities suggest a closely contested result.

Recent Form and Statistical Breakdown

The upcoming clash between Kifisia and Larisa presents a fascinating contrast in momentum within the Greek Super League 1. Kifisia enters this fixture from a position of relative strength, currently occupying second place with 37 points, boasting a record of eight wins, thirteen draws, and twelve losses. Their recent trajectory shows significant stability, evidenced by a sequence of two consecutive victories followed by three draws. This consistency has allowed them to maintain a strong grip on their table position, leveraging a balanced approach that maximizes points through resilience rather than outright dominance.

In stark contrast, Larisa finds themselves in a more precarious situation despite sitting in sixth place with 26 points. The team's recent form line of Draw-Draw-Loss-Draw-Loss highlights a struggle for consistency over the last five matches. With only four wins, fourteen draws, and fifteen losses across the season, Larisa’s ability to convert performances into victories has been limited. Their recent run features five draws in the last ten games but also five defeats, suggesting a squad that often finds itself level at halftime but lacks the cutting edge to secure all three points consistently against varying opposition.

Defensive solidity emerges as the primary differentiator in this matchup. Kifisia has demonstrated exceptional organizational discipline, keeping clean sheets in half of their recent outings. They concede an average of just 0.9 goals per game, reflecting a backline that is difficult to penetrate and well-drilled under pressure. This defensive prowess contributes significantly to their higher form rating of 78% compared to Larisa's 22%. In comparison, Larisa's defense appears more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match and managing only one clean sheet in their last ten fixtures. Such a disparity suggests that Kifisia’s rearguard will likely control the tempo and limit Larisa’s chances.

Offensively, both teams display similar efficiency, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over the same period. However, the nature of their attacking output differs markedly. Kifisia maintains a lower Both Teams To Score rate of 40%, indicating they can win without necessarily being troubled at the back. Conversely, Larisa sees both teams find the net in 70% of their recent matches, pointing to a leaky defense that allows opponents to stay in the game even when the attack performs adequately. Given Kifisia’s superior defensive metrics and current form advantage, they appear better equipped to capitalize on Larisa’s tendency to concede, potentially securing a narrow victory or a hard-fought draw at the Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis.

Tactical Breakdown: Structural Clash at Neapolis

The upcoming fixture between Kifisia and Larisa presents a fascinating tactical dichotomy rooted in their distinct structural approaches within the Super League 1. Kifisia, currently holding second place with 37 points, relies heavily on their 4-2-3-1 formation to control the midfield tempo and exploit wide areas. Their statistical profile, featuring 33 goals scored against 44 conceded, suggests a team that is offensively potent but defensively susceptible. The five clean sheets recorded indicate that while they can shut out opponents, consistency in the backline remains a challenge. In contrast, Larisa sits sixth with 26 points, utilizing a more fluid 3-4-3 setup. This formation allows them to stretch the pitch horizontally and vertically, aiming to capitalize on transitions. With only 24 goals scored and 44 conceded, Larisa’s attack appears less prolific than Kifisia’s, yet their defensive record mirrors Kifisia’s vulnerability, raising questions about the effectiveness of their three-man central defense.

Kifisia’s strength lies in their ability to maintain possession through their double pivot in the 4-2-3-1, allowing the attacking midfielder to dictate play. However, their high number of draws (13) suggests a tendency for stalemates where neither side can break the deadlock efficiently. Larisa, with an even higher draw count of 14, shares this characteristic, indicating that both teams often struggle to convert dominance into decisive results. The 3-4-3 formation employed by Larisa provides numerical superiority in midfield if the wingers tuck in, potentially overwhelming Kifisia’s two central midfielders. Yet, this also leaves spaces behind the full-backs, which Kifisia’s wingers could target. The defensive frailties of both sides, each conceding 44 goals, imply that individual errors rather than systemic failures might decide the match. Bookmakers may focus on these defensive inconsistencies when setting the Over/Under lines.

The venue, Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis in Athens, adds another layer of complexity. Playing away from home, Larisa must manage the spatial constraints effectively, using their wing-backs to provide width without overcommitting. Kifisia will likely look to press high, leveraging their home advantage to force mistakes in Larisa’s back three. The key battle will be in the center of the park, where Kifisia’s structured duo faces Larisa’s dynamic four-man midfield unit. Given the similar goal differences and the propensity for draws, this match could hinge on which team better manages the transitional phases. Tactical discipline will be paramount; any lapse in concentration by either defense could lead to crucial goals, especially considering the relatively low scoring outputs relative to the goals conceded. Analysts should watch how Larisa’s center-backs handle the pressure from Kifisia’s lone striker and supporting attacking midfields.

Deciding Factors: Star Performers and Key Contributors

The outcome of this encounter will likely hinge on the consistency of Kifisia’s attacking trio, who have collectively accounted for a significant portion of their team's offensive output. Leading the charge is P. Pantelidis, whose status as the tournament’s top scorer with seven goals makes him the primary focal point for Kifisia’s attack. His ability to find the back of the net consistently provides his side with a reliable source of momentum, often forcing opponents to adjust their defensive shape specifically to contain his movements. Alongside Pantelidis, A. Tetteh presents a dual threat that complicates matters for the defending lineup. With four goals and four assists, Tetteh demonstrates remarkable all-around contribution, acting not only as a finisher but also as a creative engine. This balance between scoring and creating means that even when defenders manage to silence Tetteh’s shooting boot, he continues to disrupt the opposition through precise passing and vision, making him a constant headache for Larisa’s midfield.

Jorge Pombo further strengthens Kifisia’s forward line, adding depth with four goals and two assists. The synergy between these three players creates a layered attack where Larisa cannot afford to focus solely on one individual without leaving another vulnerable. On the other side of the pitch, Larisa relies heavily on the clinical finishing of G. Pasas. As their leading marksman with four goals, Pasas serves as the primary outlet for Larisa’s counter-attacks and set-piece routines. Although he has yet to register an assist, his goal-scoring efficiency suggests that he maximizes every opportunity presented to him, requiring Kifisia’s defense to maintain high concentration levels throughout the ninety minutes. Supporting Pasas are L. Garate and F. Pérez, each contributing three goals to the tally. Garate adds a slight creative element with one assist, indicating a willingness to link up play more frequently than Pérez, who appears to rely more on instinctive positioning and raw finishing power. These three form a formidable front line capable of punishing any lapse in concentration from the home side.

The tactical battle will ultimately come down to how well Kifisia can leverage the combined statistical dominance of Pantelidis, Tetteh, and Pombo against the targeted efforts of Larisa’s scorers. If Kifisia can keep Pasas quiet while allowing Tetteh to exploit spaces behind the defense, they hold a distinct advantage. Conversely, if Larisa can utilize Garate’s assist capability to unlock the defense and feed Pasas or Pérez, they stand a strong chance of securing valuable points. Bookmakers may closely monitor these individual matchups, as the form of these specific players directly correlates with the probability of both teams scoring and the total number of goals in the match.

A Stalemate Defined by Consistency

The historical record between Kifisia and Larisa reveals a remarkably symmetrical rivalry that has been dominated by deadlock rather than decisive victories. In their last three encounters, neither side has managed to secure a single win, resulting in an impressive trio of draws. This pattern suggests that both teams possess nearly identical tactical strengths and weaknesses when pitted against one another, creating a competitive balance that makes predicting a clear winner exceptionally difficult for analysts and bettors alike.

Every recent meeting has concluded with the exact same scoreline, as each of the last three matches ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The consistency is almost statistical anomaly; whether playing at home or away, both squads have found the net exactly once per game over this stretch. The most recent clash on April 22, 2026, saw Larisa hold Kifisia to a point, mirroring the outcome from January 10, 2026, where Kifisia hosted their opponents to the same result. Even earlier, in late August 2025, the teams traded strikes to share the spoils again.

This unbroken streak of tied games points to a specific dynamic where defensive solidity often meets attacking efficiency. With Both Teams To Score (BTTS) hitting in 100% of these fixtures, it is evident that while defenses can contain the opposition, they rarely manage to completely silence them. The average goal tally stands at two per game, indicating tight contests where margins are incredibly thin. For those analyzing value bets, the sheer repetition of the 1-1 scoreline highlights how evenly matched these sides are, making the Draw a compelling option given the recent form.

Betting Analysis and Value Picks

The upcoming clash between Kifisia and Larisa at the Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis presents a fascinating statistical anomaly within the Greek Super League 1. Kifisia’s position in second place with 37 points is remarkable given their record of eight wins, thirteen draws, and twelve losses, suggesting a team that frequently finds themselves in tight contests rather than dominant displays. In contrast, Larisa sits sixth with 26 points, boasting an even higher draw rate with fourteen stalemates compared to Kifisia’s thirteen. This shared propensity for deadlocks significantly influences the market pricing, particularly regarding the total goals line and the likelihood of both teams finding the net.

Examining the 1X2 odds, Kifisia enters as the favorite at 1.86, implying a 50.1% chance of victory according to the bookmakers. However, the high frequency of draws for both sides makes the home win less certain than the price might suggest. The double chance option of 1X offers substantial security, aligning with our confidence level of 90%. Given that Kifisia has drawn more games than they have won, securing a point at home against a similarly inconsistent away side provides robust coverage against the ever-present threat of a 1-1 or 0-0 outcome. The implied probability of a draw stands at 28.2%, which seems undervalued considering Larisa’s ability to frustrate opponents, making the double chance a prudent defensive play.

Regarding goal markets, the prediction of Under 2.5 goals carries a 50% confidence rating, reflecting the cautious nature of both squads. With Kifisia having lost only 12 times but drawing 13, many of their matches likely ended with low-scoring results where defensive solidity or midfield gridlock played a decisive role. Similarly, Larisa’s 14 draws indicate a team capable of absorbing pressure without conceding excessively. While the BTTS prediction is marked with a higher confidence of 61%, suggesting that both defenses may leak a goal, these events often occur in low-total environments such as 1-1 or 2-1 scoresheets. Therefore, combining the expectation of both teams scoring with the under 2.5 total creates a nuanced view of a tightly contested affair.

In conclusion, the value lies in recognizing the structural similarities between these two mid-table contenders who defy traditional form guides through their draw-heavy records. The home advantage for Kifisia justifies the 1.86 odds, but the risk of a stalemate is too significant to ignore entirely. Bettors should prioritize the Double Chance 1X for stability while acknowledging the probabilistic edge on Both Teams To Score Yes. The interplay between Kifisia’s need to convert draws into wins and Larisa’s resilience away from home sets the stage for a tactical battle where margins will be thin, and the ball often settles in the back of the net only after sustained effort.

Final Verdict: Kifisia Edge in Tight Encounter

The upcoming clash between Kifisia and Larisa at the Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis presents a classic mid-table battle where home advantage could prove decisive. Kifisia’s position second on the logbook, despite a high number of draws, suggests resilience and consistency that Larisa may struggle to match away from home. With Kifisia boasting significantly more points and a superior win record, the hosts enter this fixture as slight favorites, making the Double Chance 1X selection an extremely robust option for bettors seeking security.

Goal projections indicate a tightly contested affair rather than a goal-fest. The statistical likelihood of Under 2.5 goals aligns with both teams’ tendencies toward defensive solidity, yet the high confidence rating for Both Teams To Score suggests neither side will go completely blank. This creates a compelling narrative of shared spoils within a low-scoring framework. Consequently, backing Kifisia to secure all three points while anticipating goals from both attacks offers the most balanced approach to navigating this unpredictable Greek Super League encounter.

Frequently Asked Questions

Kifisia vs Larisa: who is predicted to win?
Our model predicts Kifisia with 43% confidence based on current form, head-to-head record and statistical analysis.
Who is most likely to score in Kifisia vs Larisa?
Patrik Mijic is our pick to find the net.
How many goals will Kifisia vs Larisa have?
We expect Under 2.5 goals (54% confidence), based on both teams scoring and defensive records.
Will both teams score in Kifisia vs Larisa?
Both teams to score: Yes (52% confidence).
Is the double chance 1X a good bet for Kifisia vs Larisa?
Our double chance pick is 1X with 36% confidence — it covers two outcomes for lower risk.
When and where is Kifisia vs Larisa played?
Kifisia vs Larisa takes place on 21 May 2026 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis.

Additional Information

Kifisia

Top Scorers

P. PantelidisAttacker
7Goals
A. TettehAttacker
4Goals
Jorge PomboMidfielder
4Goals
Y. LarouciDefender
2Goals
J. AntonisseMidfielder
1Goals

Top Assists

A. TettehAttacker
4Assists
Jorge PomboMidfielder
2Assists
J. AntonisseMidfielder
2Assists
P. PantelidisAttacker
1Assists
T. Johnson EbohMidfielder
1Assists

Cards

M. RamírezGoalkeeper
60
A. TettehAttacker
50
Jorge PomboMidfielder
50
J. AntonisseMidfielder
41
David SimónDefender
50
Larisa

Top Scorers

G. PasasMidfielder
4Goals
L. GarateAttacker
3Goals
F. PérezAttacker
3Goals
Á. SagalAttacker
3Goals
Ľ. TuptaAttacker
2Goals

Top Assists

S. MourgosMidfielder
2Assists
L. GarateAttacker
1Assists
Ľ. TuptaAttacker
1Assists
J. AtanasovMidfielder
1Assists
Amr WardaAttacker
1Assists

Cards

F. PérezAttacker
70
J. AtanasovMidfielder
60
E. PantelakisDefender
60
L. GarateAttacker
50
S. MourgosMidfielder
50

Detailed Form & Recent Matches

Kifisia
WDLWW
10Played
3Wins
5Draws
2Losses
Points/Game1.4
Win %30%
Goals/Game1.7
Scored Avg0.8
Conceded Avg0.9
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets50%
Failed to Score50%

Recent Matches

21 MayWvs Larisa3-2
16 MayDat Asteras Tripolis0-0
12 MayLvs Atromitos0-3
9 MayWat Panserraikos2-1
2 MayWat Panetolikos1-0
Larisa
LWDDD
10Played
1Wins
4Draws
5Losses
Points/Game0.7
Win %10%
Goals/Game2.9
Scored Avg1.2
Conceded Avg1.7
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets0%
Failed to Score10%

Recent Matches

21 MayLat Kifisia2-3
16 MayWvs Atromitos2-1
12 MayDat Panetolikos1-1
9 MayDvs Asteras Tripolis1-1
2 MayDat Panserraikos1-1

Head to Head History

Betting Statistics

MetricValue
Total Matches4
Average Goals2.75
BTTS100%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 1.5 Goals100%

Goals by Team

TeamTotalAverage
Kifisia61.5 per game
Larisa51.25 per game

Clean Sheets

TeamClean Sheets
Kifisia0 (0%)
Larisa0 (0%)
21 May 2026 Super League 1 Kifisia 3-2 Larisa
22 Apr 2026 Super League 1 Larisa 1-1 Kifisia
10 Jan 2026 Super League 1 Kifisia 1-1 Larisa
30 Aug 2025 Super League 1 Larisa 1-1 Kifisia

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